INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:IBTX • US45384B1061

Current stock price

60.67 USD
+0.28 (+0.46%)
At close:
60.63 USD
-0.04 (-0.07%)
After Hours:

This IBTX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. IBTX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • IBTX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • IBTX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • IBTX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years IBTX had a positive operating cash flow.
IBTX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFIBTX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

1.2 Ratios

  • IBTX has a Return On Assets of -2.20%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: IBTX underperforms 98.99% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of IBTX (-20.96%) is worse than 98.99% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.2%
ROE -20.96%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.83%
ROA(5y)0.98%
ROE(3y)6.2%
ROE(5y)6.94%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
IBTX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICIBTX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

  • IBTX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • IBTX does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-36.52%
PM growth 5Y-24.46%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
IBTX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsIBTX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

1

2. IBTX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • IBTX does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for IBTX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, IBTX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
IBTX Yearly Shares OutstandingIBTX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
IBTX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsIBTX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • IBTX has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as IBTX would need 12.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of IBTX (12.15) is worse than 75.06% of its industry peers.
  • IBTX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • IBTX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.26. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: IBTX outperforms 40.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 12.15
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC17.25%
IBTX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFIBTX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
IBTX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesIBTX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M

5

3. IBTX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for IBTX have decreased strongly by -39.43% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -5.80% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has grown by 8.01% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • IBTX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.43%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y-5.8%
EPS Q2Q%-36.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y6.63%
Sales Q2Q%-1.95%

3.2 Future

  • IBTX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.84% yearly.
  • IBTX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.19% yearly.
EPS Next Y-25.82%
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.16%
Revenue Next 3Y9.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
IBTX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesIBTX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M
IBTX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesIBTX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

1

4. IBTX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 25.82, the valuation of IBTX can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of IBTX indicates a rather expensive valuation: IBTX more expensive than 82.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, IBTX is valued at the same level.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.87, which indicates a correct valuation of IBTX.
  • 70.53% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than IBTX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.68, IBTX is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.82
Fwd PE 14.87
IBTX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsIBTX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, IBTX is valued more expensive than 80.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 59.94
EV/EBITDA N/A
IBTX Per share dataIBTX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • IBTX's earnings are expected to grow with 14.84% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%

5

5. IBTX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.51%, IBTX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.73, IBTX is paying slightly less dividend.
  • IBTX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of IBTX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 23.11%!
  • IBTX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • IBTX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years11
IBTX Yearly Dividends per shareIBTX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • IBTX has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
  • The dividend of IBTX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-15.39%
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%
IBTX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendIBTX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

IBTX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC

NASDAQ:IBTX (12/31/2024, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 60.63 -0.04 (-0.07%)

60.67

+0.28 (+0.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)10-21
Earnings (Next)01-20
Inst Owners77.53%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.11%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.51B
Revenue(TTM)587.60M
Net Income(TTM)-408.52M
Analysts80
Price Target58.31 (-3.89%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.51%
Yearly Dividend1.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.11%
DP-15.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.55%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.26%
Max EPS beat(2)1.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.26%
Max EPS beat(4)4.56%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.37%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.26%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.85%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.46%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.51%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.51%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.9%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.13%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.72%
PT rev (1m)2.69%
PT rev (3m)1.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.82
Fwd PE 14.87
P/S 4.28
P/FCF 59.94
P/OCF 44.69
P/B 1.29
P/tB 1.76
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)2.35
EY3.87%
EPS(NY)4.08
Fwd EY6.72%
FCF(TTM)1.01
FCFY1.67%
OCF(TTM)1.36
OCFY2.24%
SpS14.18
BVpS47.03
TBVpS34.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.2%
ROE -20.96%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM 7.14%
ROA(3y)0.83%
ROA(5y)0.98%
ROE(3y)6.2%
ROE(5y)6.94%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-36.52%
PM growth 5Y-24.46%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 12.15
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 45.25%
Cap/Sales 2.44%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACC17.25%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)194.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.12%
Profit Quality(3y)168.82%
Profit Quality(5y)129.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.43%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y-5.8%
EPS Q2Q%-36.71%
EPS Next Y-25.82%
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y6.63%
Sales Q2Q%-1.95%
Revenue Next Year-5.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.16%
Revenue Next 3Y9.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-65.51%
FCF growth 3Y2.7%
FCF growth 5Y3.65%
OCF growth 1Y-73.99%
OCF growth 3Y2.32%
OCF growth 5Y0.81%

INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC / IBTX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to IBTX.


What is the valuation status for IBTX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of IBTX stock?

INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) is 25.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.29.


What is the expected EPS growth for INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) is expected to decline by -25.82% in the next year.