INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:IBTX • US45384B1061
Current stock price
60.67 USD
+0.28 (+0.46%)
At close:
60.63 USD
-0.04 (-0.07%)
After Hours:
This IBTX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. IBTX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- IBTX had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year IBTX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- IBTX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years IBTX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- IBTX has a Return On Assets of -2.20%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: IBTX underperforms 98.99% of its industry peers.
- IBTX's Return On Equity of -20.96% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. IBTX is outperformed by 98.99% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.2% | ||
| ROE | -20.96% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.83%
ROA(5y)0.98%
ROE(3y)6.2%
ROE(5y)6.94%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- IBTX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- IBTX does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-36.52%
PM growth 5Y-24.46%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. IBTX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- IBTX does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
- Compared to 1 year ago, IBTX has more shares outstanding
- IBTX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- The Debt to FCF ratio of IBTX is 12.15, which is on the high side as it means it would take IBTX, 12.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- IBTX has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (12.15) than 75.06% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 indicates that IBTX is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.26, IBTX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.05% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC17.25%
2.3 Liquidity
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A |
3. IBTX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- IBTX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -39.43%.
- IBTX shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -5.80% yearly.
- IBTX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.01%.
- IBTX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.43%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y-5.8%
EPS Q2Q%-36.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y6.63%
Sales Q2Q%-1.95%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.84% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, IBTX will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-25.82%
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-5.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.16%
Revenue Next 3Y9.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. IBTX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 25.82, the valuation of IBTX can be described as expensive.
- 82.62% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than IBTX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- IBTX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.87, which indicates a correct valuation of IBTX.
- 70.53% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than IBTX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- IBTX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.54.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 80.10% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than IBTX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 59.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- IBTX's earnings are expected to grow with 14.84% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%
5. IBTX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- IBTX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.51%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.73, IBTX is paying slightly less dividend.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, IBTX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.51% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of IBTX grows each year by 23.11%, which is quite nice.
- IBTX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- IBTX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.11%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
- IBTX has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
- The dividend of IBTX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP-15.39%
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%
IBTX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
60.67
+0.28 (+0.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)10-21 2024-10-21/amc
Earnings (Next)01-20 2025-01-20/amc
Inst Owners77.53%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.11%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.51B
Revenue(TTM)587.60M
Net Income(TTM)-408.52M
Analysts80
Price Target58.31 (-3.89%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.51% |
Yearly Dividend1.52
Dividend Growth(5Y)23.11%
DP-15.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-13.55%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.26%
Max EPS beat(2)1.17%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.26%
Max EPS beat(4)4.56%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.37%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.26%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.85%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.46%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.51%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.51%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.9%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.13%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.72%
PT rev (1m)2.69%
PT rev (3m)1.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.93%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.87 | ||
| P/S | 4.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 59.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 44.69 | ||
| P/B | 1.29 | ||
| P/tB | 1.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)2.35
EY3.87%
EPS(NY)4.08
Fwd EY6.72%
FCF(TTM)1.01
FCFY1.67%
OCF(TTM)1.36
OCFY2.24%
SpS14.18
BVpS47.03
TBVpS34.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.2% | ||
| ROE | -20.96% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 7.14% |
ROA(3y)0.83%
ROA(5y)0.98%
ROE(3y)6.2%
ROE(5y)6.94%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-36.52%
PM growth 5Y-24.46%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 45.25% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score4
WACC17.25%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)194.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.12%
Profit Quality(3y)168.82%
Profit Quality(5y)129.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-39.43%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y-5.8%
EPS Q2Q%-36.71%
EPS Next Y-25.82%
EPS Next 2Y11.19%
EPS Next 3Y14.84%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y6.63%
Sales Q2Q%-1.95%
Revenue Next Year-5.75%
Revenue Next 2Y8.16%
Revenue Next 3Y9.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-65.51%
FCF growth 3Y2.7%
FCF growth 5Y3.65%
OCF growth 1Y-73.99%
OCF growth 3Y2.32%
OCF growth 5Y0.81%
INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC / IBTX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to IBTX.
What is the valuation status for IBTX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of IBTX stock?
INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) is 25.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.29.
What is the expected EPS growth for INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of INDEPENDENT BANK GROUP INC (IBTX) is expected to decline by -25.82% in the next year.