GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
41.1 USD
-0.98 (-2.33%)
At close:
41.1 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GSHD had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GSHD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD has been profitable.
- GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of GSHD (6.71%) is better than 87.84% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of GSHD (20.65%) is better than 97.30% of its industry peers.
- GSHD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.53%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.34%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (20.65%) for GSHD is above the 3 year average (16.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- GSHD's Profit Margin of 7.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD outperforms 49.32% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- GSHD has a Operating Margin of 20.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: GSHD outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- GSHD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
- GSHD has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.52 indicates that GSHD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- GSHD has a better Altman-Z score (2.52) than 93.24% of its industry peers.
- GSHD has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.30. This is a neutral value as GSHD would need 4.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- GSHD's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD is outperformed by 64.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
ROIC/WACC2.25
WACC9.17%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 0.08, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- GSHD has a Quick ratio of 0.08. This is in the better half of the industry: GSHD outperforms 63.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GSHD have decreased by -7.50% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 19.79% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 16.15%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 25.57% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
3.2 Future
- GSHD is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.91% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 31.13% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.64%
Revenue Next 3Y20.49%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 22.22, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GSHD.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GSHD indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GSHD is more expensive than 79.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.88.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.52, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GSHD.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 76.35% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.19. GSHD is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.52 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 69.59% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than 71.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GSHD's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- GSHD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 24.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)1.12
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for GSHD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
41.1
-0.98 (-2.33%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/amc
Inst Owners112.51%
Inst Owner Change-5.99%
Ins Owners4.35%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.50B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts74.44
Price Target76.5 (86.13%)
Short Float %11.64%
Short Ratio5.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-3.35%
PT rev (3m)-18.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.52 | ||
| P/S | 4.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.39 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.55 |
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY4.5%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY5.12%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY4.52%
OCF(TTM)2.51
OCFY6.1%
SpS9.98
BVpS-2.61
TBVpS-3.7
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)1.12
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.52 |
F-Score5
WACC9.17%
ROIC/WACC2.25
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.64%
Revenue Next 3Y20.49%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year77.16%
EBIT Next 3Y43.47%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) stock?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for GSHD stock?
The financial health rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 4 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.84% in the next year.