GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090

Current stock price

42.66 USD
+0.36 (+0.85%)
At close:
42.66 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. GSHD Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GSHD was profitable.
  • GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GSHD has always been profitable.
  • GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GSHD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGSHD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M 40M 60M 80M

1.2 Ratios

  • GSHD has a better Return On Assets (6.71%) than 87.07% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 20.65%, GSHD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GSHD is significantly above the industry average of 9.36%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.53%) for GSHD is below the current ROIC(20.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.71%
ROE N/A
ROIC 20.65%
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
GSHD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGSHD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • GSHD's Profit Margin of 7.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD outperforms 48.98% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 20.38%, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GSHD has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.38%
PM (TTM) 7.62%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GSHD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGSHD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. GSHD Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GSHD is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
  • GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GSHD Yearly Shares OutstandingGSHD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
GSHD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGSHD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • GSHD has an Altman-Z score of 2.59. This is not the best score and indicates that GSHD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GSHD has a Altman-Z score of 2.59. This is amongst the best in the industry. GSHD outperforms 92.52% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.30, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.30, GSHD is doing worse than 64.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.3
Altman-Z 2.59
ROIC/WACC2.27
WACC9.09%
GSHD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGSHD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 0.08, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GSHD has a Quick Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GSHD's Quick ratio of 0.08 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD outperforms 62.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.08
Quick Ratio 0.08
GSHD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGSHD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. GSHD Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GSHD shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.50%.
  • GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.79% yearly.
  • GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 16.15%.
  • Measured over the past years, GSHD shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 25.57% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.91% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 31.13% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.64%
Revenue Next 3Y20.49%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GSHD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGSHD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 500M 1B 1.5B
GSHD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGSHD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2 4 6 8 10

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. GSHD Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.06 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GSHD.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 79.59% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.35, GSHD is valued at the same level.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.26 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GSHD.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than 77.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GSHD is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.61, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.06
Fwd PE 20.26
GSHD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGSHD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 70.07% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • GSHD's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.94
EV/EBITDA 21.22
GSHD Per share dataGSHD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GSHD's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • GSHD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 24.03% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)1.17
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GSHD Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GSHD!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A

NASDAQ:GSHD (3/31/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 42.66 0 (0%)

42.66

+0.36 (+0.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners112.51%
Inst Owner Change-5.99%
Ins Owners4.35%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.56B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts74.44
Price Target76.5 (79.32%)
Short Float %11.11%
Short Ratio4.88
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-3.35%
PT rev (3m)-18.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.06
Fwd PE 20.26
P/S 4.27
P/FCF 22.94
P/OCF 17.01
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 21.22
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY4.34%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY4.94%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY4.36%
OCF(TTM)2.51
OCFY5.88%
SpS9.98
BVpS-2.61
TBVpS-3.7
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)1.17
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.71%
ROE N/A
ROCE 23.62%
ROIC 20.65%
ROICexc 23.18%
ROICexgc 27.8%
OM 20.38%
PM (TTM) 7.62%
GM N/A
FCFM 18.62%
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.3
Debt/EBITDA 3.38
Cap/Depr 210.48%
Cap/Sales 6.49%
Interest Coverage 3.43
Cash Conversion 107.04%
Profit Quality 244.46%
Current Ratio 0.08
Quick Ratio 0.08
Altman-Z 2.59
F-Score5
WACC9.09%
ROIC/WACC2.27
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.64%
Revenue Next 3Y20.49%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year77.16%
EBIT Next 3Y43.47%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.


What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.84% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?

The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 523.83%.