GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090

64 USD
+3.63 (+6.01%)
Last: Feb 4, 2026, 11:52 AM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, GSHD scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GSHD was compared to 147 industry peers in the Insurance industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GSHD get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GSHD is valued quite expensive, but it does show an excellent growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GSHD was profitable.
  • GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GSHD has been profitable.
  • GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GSHD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGSHD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M 40M 60M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.50%, GSHD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 20.39%, GSHD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GSHD is below the industry average of 14.94%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (20.39%) for GSHD is above the 3 year average (11.27%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.5%
ROE N/A
ROIC 20.39%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)3.77%
ROE(3y)33.31%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)11.27%
ROIC(5y)10.24%
GSHD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGSHD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • GSHD's Profit Margin of 8.55% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD outperforms 53.06% of its industry peers.
  • GSHD's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GSHD has a better Operating Margin (20.17%) than 70.07% of its industry peers.
  • GSHD's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.17%
PM (TTM) 8.55%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y50.09%
OM growth 5Y1.33%
PM growth 3Y39.43%
PM growth 5Y15.8%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GSHD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGSHD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GSHD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • GSHD has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GSHD Yearly Shares OutstandingGSHD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
GSHD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGSHD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • GSHD has an Altman-Z score of 3.36. This indicates that GSHD is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GSHD has a better Altman-Z score (3.36) than 97.28% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.65, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.65 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.65, GSHD is not doing good in the industry: 62.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.65
Altman-Z 3.36
ROIC/WACC2.3
WACC8.87%
GSHD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGSHD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M

2.3 Liquidity

  • GSHD has a Current Ratio of 0.16. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GSHD has a better Current ratio (0.16) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.16 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GSHD has a better Quick ratio (0.16) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.16
Quick Ratio 0.16
GSHD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGSHD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 34.23% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 38.67% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • GSHD shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 24.81%.
  • Measured over the past years, GSHD shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 32.33% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.23%
EPS 3Y60.91%
EPS 5Y38.67%
EPS Q2Q%-8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.81%
Revenue growth 3Y27.62%
Revenue growth 5Y32.33%
Sales Q2Q%15.89%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.35% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.08% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-8.79%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.77%
EPS Next 5Y20.35%
Revenue Next Year20.16%
Revenue Next 2Y19.52%
Revenue Next 3Y20.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.08%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
GSHD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGSHD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 500M 1B 1.5B
GSHD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGSHD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2 4 6 8 10

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 32.00, the valuation of GSHD can be described as expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 76.87% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.18, GSHD is valued at the same level.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 29.31, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GSHD.
  • 76.87% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GSHD to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.51), we can say GSHD is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32
Fwd PE 29.31
GSHD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGSHD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GSHD indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GSHD is more expensive than 71.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 37.45
EV/EBITDA 29.51
GSHD Per share dataGSHD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of GSHD may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 13.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.83
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.77%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GSHD!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A

NASDAQ:GSHD (2/4/2026, 11:52:31 AM)

64

+3.63 (+6.01%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)10-22
Earnings (Next)02-25
Inst Owners111%
Inst Owner Change0.1%
Ins Owners4.26%
Ins Owner Change-8.18%
Market Cap2.36B
Revenue(TTM)353.97M
Net Income(TTM)30.25M
Analysts73.33
Price Target94.04 (46.94%)
Short Float %10.36%
Short Ratio9.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)-24.29%
DP691.97%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)26.65%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)95.09%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)17.43%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)46.29%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)41.76%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.35%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)17.19%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.09%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.77%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.52%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)-2.12%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32
Fwd PE 29.31
P/S 6.66
P/FCF 37.45
P/OCF 29.07
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 29.51
EPS(TTM)2
EY3.13%
EPS(NY)2.18
Fwd EY3.41%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY2.67%
OCF(TTM)2.2
OCFY3.44%
SpS9.61
BVpS-2.85
TBVpS-3.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.83
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.5%
ROE N/A
ROCE 22.7%
ROIC 20.39%
ROICexc 24.39%
ROICexgc 28.82%
OM 20.17%
PM (TTM) 8.55%
GM N/A
FCFM 17.79%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)3.77%
ROE(3y)33.31%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)11.27%
ROIC(5y)10.24%
ROICexc(3y)13.56%
ROICexc(5y)12.36%
ROICexgc(3y)15.18%
ROICexgc(5y)13.51%
ROCE(3y)12.56%
ROCE(5y)11.4%
ROICexgc growth 3Y72.95%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y68.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.47%
OM growth 3Y50.09%
OM growth 5Y1.33%
PM growth 3Y39.43%
PM growth 5Y15.8%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.65
Debt/EBITDA 3.47
Cap/Depr 149.54%
Cap/Sales 5.13%
Interest Coverage 4.02
Cash Conversion 97.09%
Profit Quality 208.1%
Current Ratio 0.16
Quick Ratio 0.16
Altman-Z 3.36
F-Score8
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC2.3
Cap/Depr(3y)163.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)216.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.25%
Profit Quality(3y)1423.66%
Profit Quality(5y)959.07%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)34.23%
EPS 3Y60.91%
EPS 5Y38.67%
EPS Q2Q%-8%
EPS Next Y-8.79%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y13.77%
EPS Next 5Y20.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.81%
Revenue growth 3Y27.62%
Revenue growth 5Y32.33%
Sales Q2Q%15.89%
Revenue Next Year20.16%
Revenue Next 2Y19.52%
Revenue Next 3Y20.3%
Revenue Next 5Y19.08%
EBIT growth 1Y78.62%
EBIT growth 3Y91.54%
EBIT growth 5Y34.1%
EBIT Next Year112.54%
EBIT Next 3Y47.88%
EBIT Next 5Y33.78%
FCF growth 1Y113.06%
FCF growth 3Y43.64%
FCF growth 5Y28.2%
OCF growth 1Y103.12%
OCF growth 3Y26.38%
OCF growth 5Y27.49%

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.


What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) stock?

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for GSHD stock?

The financial health rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to decline by -8.79% in the next year.