Logo image of GPRE

GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:GPRE - US3932221043 - Common Stock

11.15 USD
+0.6 (+5.64%)
Last: 10/24/2025, 8:00:01 PM
11.15 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 10/24/2025, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

GPRE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GPRE have multiple concerns. GPRE is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GPRE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year GPRE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
Of the past 5 years GPRE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
GPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -9.42%, GPRE is doing worse than 83.25% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRE has a worse Return On Equity (-20.66%) than 79.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.42%
ROE -20.66%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

GPRE has a worse Gross Margin (5.50%) than 74.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPRE has grown nicely.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GPRE so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 5.5%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
GPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
GPRE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingGPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.56, we must say that GPRE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRE's Altman-Z score of 1.56 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 56.94% of its industry peers.
GPRE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. This is a neutral value indicating GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.74, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 62.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.74
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.56
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.93%
GPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

GPRE has a Current Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.47, GPRE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.94 indicates that GPRE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRE has a Quick ratio of 0.94. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GPRE outperforms 50.72% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 0.94
GPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GPRE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -145.83%.
Looking at the last year, GPRE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.03% in the last year.
GPRE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.34% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-145.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-10.66%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 57.49% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.70% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-63.39%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue Next Year-8.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
GPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 447.27 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GPRE.
GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GPRE is more expensive than 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.99.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 447.27
GPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 100 200 300 400

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GPRE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GPRE is more expensive than 71.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 46.09
GPRE Per share dataGPRE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 37.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GPRE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GREEN PLAINS INC

NASDAQ:GPRE (10/24/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 11.15 0 (0%)

11.15

+0.6 (+5.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)08-11 2025-08-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Inst Owners87.8%
Inst Owner Change-0.61%
Ins Owners1.4%
Ins Owner Change4.06%
Market Cap762.33M
Revenue(TTM)2.40B
Net Income(TTM)-151879000
Analysts73.33
Price Target10.09 (-9.51%)
Short Float %10%
Short Ratio2.72
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-36.76%
DP-3.4%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-74.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-101.38%
Max EPS beat(2)-48.21%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)11.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-165.14%
Max EPS beat(4)362.54%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)4.48%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-764.98%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-603.96%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.91%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.95%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.54%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.87%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)9.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)36.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-119.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-47.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 447.27
P/S 0.32
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 19.3
P/B 1.04
P/tB 1.04
EV/EBITDA 46.09
EPS(TTM)-1.77
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.02
Fwd EY0.22%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY5.18%
SpS35.06
BVpS10.75
TBVpS10.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.42%
ROE -20.66%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 5.5%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.74
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 23.14
Cap/Depr 85.63%
Cap/Sales 3.48%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 168.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 0.94
Altman-Z 1.56
F-Score3
WACC7.93%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-145.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.05%
EPS Next Y-63.39%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-10.66%
Revenue Next Year-8.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-143.02%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year175.83%
EBIT Next 3Y70.72%
EBIT Next 5Y72%
FCF growth 1Y64.87%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y400.08%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

GREEN PLAINS INC / GPRE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GPRE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GPRE.


Can you provide the valuation status for GREEN PLAINS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?

GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is expected to decline by -63.39% in the next year.