GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE)
US3932221043 - Common Stock
GPRE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. GPRE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. GPRE is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GPRE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year GPRE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GPRE has a Return On Assets of -2.62%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GPRE underperforms 83.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -5.33%, GPRE is doing worse than 80.10% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.62% | ||
| ROE | -5.33% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.62%
ROA(5y)-6.12%
ROE(3y)-10.66%
ROE(5y)-14.2%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GPRE has a worse Gross Margin (7.36%) than 78.64% of its industry peers.
GPRE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GPRE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 7.36% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y-2.72%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
GPRE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.02 indicates that GPRE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of GPRE (2.02) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GPRE has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.11. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GPRE would need 10.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GPRE's Debt to FCF ratio of 10.11 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 41.75% of its industry peers.
GPRE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70. This is a neutral value indicating GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GPRE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.70. This is in the lower half of the industry: GPRE underperforms 64.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.02 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.96%
2.3 Liquidity
GPRE has a Current Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GPRE's Current ratio of 1.68 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 68.45% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.11 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRE has a Quick ratio (1.11) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.11 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GPRE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 82.09%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue for GPRE has decreased by -20.74% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.01% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.09%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.74%
Revenue growth 3Y19.66%
Revenue growth 5Y2.01%
Sales Q2Q%-27.84%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 48.39% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y36.34%
EPS Next 2Y61.32%
EPS Next 3Y52.17%
EPS Next 5Y48.39%
Revenue Next Year-25.77%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.48%
Revenue Next 5Y1.18%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GPRE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.83 indicates a correct valuation of GPRE.
GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.55, GPRE is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.83 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GPRE is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 76.21% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
GPRE's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 52.17% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y61.32%
EPS Next 3Y52.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GPRE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
GREEN PLAINS INC
NASDAQ:GPRE (10/14/2024, 11:22:03 AM)
12.52
-0.82 (-6.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap809.54M
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
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Min EPS beat(4)
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EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
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Min Revenue beat(4)
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Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.83 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.62% | ||
| ROE | -5.33% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 7.36% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover1.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.11 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.09%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y
EPS Q2Q%
EPS Next Y36.34%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-20.74%
Revenue growth 3Y19.66%
Revenue growth 5Y
Sales Q2Q%
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y