GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GPRE - US3932221043 - Common Stock
11.15 USD
+0.6 (+5.64%)
11.15 USD
0 (0%)
GPRE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GPRE have multiple concerns. GPRE is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GPRE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year GPRE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
Of the past 5 years GPRE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -9.42%, GPRE is doing worse than 83.25% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRE has a worse Return On Equity (-20.66%) than 79.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -9.42% | ||
| ROE | -20.66% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GPRE has a worse Gross Margin (5.50%) than 74.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPRE has grown nicely.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GPRE so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 5.5% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
GPRE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.56, we must say that GPRE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRE's Altman-Z score of 1.56 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 56.94% of its industry peers.
GPRE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. This is a neutral value indicating GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.74, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 62.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.74 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.56 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.93%
2.3 Liquidity
GPRE has a Current Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.47, GPRE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.94 indicates that GPRE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRE has a Quick ratio of 0.94. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GPRE outperforms 50.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GPRE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -145.83%.
Looking at the last year, GPRE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.03% in the last year.
GPRE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.34% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-145.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-10.66%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 57.49% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.70% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-63.39%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue Next Year-8.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 447.27 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GPRE.
GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GPRE is more expensive than 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.99.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 447.27 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GPRE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GPRE is more expensive than 71.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 46.09 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 37.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GPRE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
11.15
+0.6 (+5.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.8%
Inst Owner Change-0.61%
Ins Owners1.4%
Ins Owner Change4.06%
Market Cap762.33M
Revenue(TTM)2.40B
Net Income(TTM)-151879000
Analysts73.33
Price Target10.09 (-9.51%)
Short Float %10%
Short Ratio2.72
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-36.76%
DP-3.4%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-74.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-101.38%
Max EPS beat(2)-48.21%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)11.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-165.14%
Max EPS beat(4)362.54%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)4.48%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-764.98%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-603.96%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.91%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.95%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.54%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.87%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)9.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)36.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-119.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-47.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 447.27 | ||
| P/S | 0.32 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 19.3 | ||
| P/B | 1.04 | ||
| P/tB | 1.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 46.09 |
EPS(TTM)-1.77
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.02
Fwd EY0.22%
FCF(TTM)-0.64
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY5.18%
SpS35.06
BVpS10.75
TBVpS10.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -9.42% | ||
| ROE | -20.66% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 5.5% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.74 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 23.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 85.63% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 168.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.56 |
F-Score3
WACC7.93%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-145.83%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-21.05%
EPS Next Y-63.39%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.03%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-10.66%
Revenue Next Year-8.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-143.02%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year175.83%
EBIT Next 3Y70.72%
EBIT Next 5Y72%
FCF growth 1Y64.87%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y400.08%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
GREEN PLAINS INC / GPRE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GPRE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GPRE.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREEN PLAINS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?
GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is expected to decline by -63.39% in the next year.