GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:GPRE • US3932221043

12.4 USD
+0.76 (+6.53%)
Last: Feb 3, 2026, 01:13 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, GPRE scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GPRE was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GPRE have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, GPRE is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GPRE has reported negative net income.
  • GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GPRE had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years GPRE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
GPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -12.28%, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 84.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GPRE has a worse Return On Equity (-24.47%) than 79.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.28%
ROE -24.47%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • GPRE has a worse Gross Margin (4.72%) than 75.85% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPRE has grown nicely.
  • GPRE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 4.72%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
GPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GPRE is higher compared to a year ago.
GPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingGPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GPRE has an Altman-Z score of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that GPRE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of GPRE (1.62) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that GPRE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GPRE (0.48) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.62
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.99%
GPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • GPRE has a Current Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GPRE's Current ratio of 1.68 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 70.53% of its industry peers.
  • GPRE has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GPRE has a better Quick ratio (1.20) than 61.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.68
Quick Ratio 1.2
GPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GPRE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -502.63%.
  • Looking at the last year, GPRE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.15% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, GPRE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.34% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-502.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-75.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-22.81%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 57.49% on average per year.
  • GPRE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.70% yearly.
EPS Next Y-37.89%
EPS Next 2Y45.2%
EPS Next 3Y44.27%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue Next Year-9.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.44%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
GPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GPRE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • GPRE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 84.25.
  • GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GPRE is more expensive than 64.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.64, GPRE is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 84.25
GPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
GPRE Per share dataGPRE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 44.27% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.2%
EPS Next 3Y44.27%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • GPRE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GREEN PLAINS INC

NASDAQ:GPRE (2/3/2026, 1:13:07 PM)

12.4

+0.76 (+6.53%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-05
Inst Owners93.61%
Inst Owner Change3.01%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change1.31%
Market Cap866.02M
Revenue(TTM)2.25B
Net Income(TTM)-188.15M
Analysts74.67
Price Target11.79 (-4.92%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-36.76%
DP-2.75%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)146.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-48.21%
Max EPS beat(2)341.93%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)6.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-165.14%
Max EPS beat(4)341.93%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.57%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-650.49%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-560.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.91%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.66%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.89%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)9.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-43.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-55.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)15.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.87%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 84.25
P/S 0.39
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 52.31
P/B 1.13
P/tB 1.13
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.29
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.15
Fwd EY1.19%
FCF(TTM)-0.61
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.24
OCFY1.91%
SpS32.17
BVpS11.01
TBVpS11.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -12.28%
ROE -24.47%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 4.72%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 61.36%
Cap/Sales 2.63%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.68
Quick Ratio 1.2
Altman-Z 1.62
F-Score3
WACC7.99%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-502.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-75.36%
EPS Next Y-37.89%
EPS Next 2Y45.2%
EPS Next 3Y44.27%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-22.81%
Revenue Next Year-9.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.45%
Revenue Next 3Y1.44%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-383.86%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year223.02%
EBIT Next 3Y74.2%
EBIT Next 5Y72%
FCF growth 1Y26.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-66.08%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

GREEN PLAINS INC / GPRE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GPRE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GPRE.


What is the valuation status for GPRE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?

GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for GPRE stock?

The financial health rating of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GPRE stock?

The dividend rating of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -2.75%.