GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GPRE - US3932221043 - Common Stock
9.91 USD
-0.13 (-1.29%)
10.1 USD
+0.19 (+1.92%)
Overall GPRE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated GPRE against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. GPRE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, GPRE is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GPRE has reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GPRE had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GPRE has a Return On Assets of -12.28%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GPRE underperforms 84.29% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -24.47%, GPRE is doing worse than 79.52% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -12.28% | ||
| ROE | -24.47% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 4.72%, GPRE is doing worse than 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPRE has grown nicely.
GPRE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 4.72% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
GPRE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GPRE is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GPRE has an Altman-Z score of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that GPRE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRE has a Altman-Z score (1.52) which is in line with its industry peers.
GPRE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GPRE (0.48) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.1%
2.3 Liquidity
GPRE has a Current Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GPRE's Current ratio of 1.68 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 71.90% of its industry peers.
GPRE has a Quick Ratio of 1.20. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GPRE's Quick ratio of 1.20 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 61.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GPRE have decreased strongly by -502.63% in the last year.
The Revenue for GPRE has decreased by -13.15% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.34% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-502.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-75.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-22.81%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 57.49% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-63.39%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue Next Year-8.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
GPRE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 397.53.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GPRE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GPRE is more expensive than 69.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.08. GPRE is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 397.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 37.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GPRE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
9.91
-0.13 (-1.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners87.8%
Inst Owner Change4.11%
Ins Owners1.4%
Ins Owner Change11.66%
Market Cap677.55M
Revenue(TTM)2.25B
Net Income(TTM)-188.15M
Analysts76
Price Target10.77 (8.68%)
Short Float %18.79%
Short Ratio5.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-36.76%
DP-2.75%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)146.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-48.21%
Max EPS beat(2)341.93%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)6.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-165.14%
Max EPS beat(4)341.93%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.57%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-650.49%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-560.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.91%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.66%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.89%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)6.74%
PT rev (3m)10.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)143.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)172.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-47.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 397.53 | ||
| P/S | 0.3 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 40.93 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 0.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)-2.29
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.02
Fwd EY0.25%
FCF(TTM)-0.62
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.24
OCFY2.44%
SpS32.86
BVpS11.25
TBVpS11.25
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -12.28% | ||
| ROE | -24.47% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 4.72% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
F-Score3
WACC8.1%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-502.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-75.36%
EPS Next Y-63.39%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y37.47%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-22.81%
Revenue Next Year-8.1%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.47%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-383.86%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year175.83%
EBIT Next 3Y70.72%
EBIT Next 5Y72%
FCF growth 1Y26.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-66.08%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
GREEN PLAINS INC / GPRE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GPRE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GPRE.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREEN PLAINS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?
GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is expected to decline by -63.39% in the next year.