GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:GPRE • US3932221043

Current stock price

16.295 USD
0 (-0.03%)
Last:

This GPRE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. GPRE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GPRE has reported negative net income.
  • GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
  • GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -7.68%, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 79.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -15.83%, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 76.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.68%
ROE -15.83%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.71%
ROA(5y)-5.23%
ROE(3y)-12.14%
ROE(5y)-11.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • GPRE has a Gross Margin of 6.69%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GPRE underperforms 73.21% of its industry peers.
  • GPRE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GPRE so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 6.69%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y21.17%
GM growth 5Y2.9%
GPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5

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4

2. GPRE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • GPRE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingGPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
GPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GPRE has an Altman-Z score of 1.81. This is a bad value and indicates that GPRE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of GPRE (1.81) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRE is 5.42, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GPRE, 5.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 5.42, GPRE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.52, GPRE is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.28% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 5.42
Altman-Z 1.81
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8%
GPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.79 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GPRE has a Current ratio of 1.79. This is in the better half of the industry: GPRE outperforms 70.81% of its industry peers.
  • GPRE has a Quick Ratio of 1.24. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GPRE has a better Quick ratio (1.24) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.79
Quick Ratio 1.24
GPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. GPRE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.35% over the past year.
  • GPRE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -14.93%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.69% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%119.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-17.04%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%-26.57%

3.2 Future

  • GPRE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 63.81% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.50% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y133.33%
EPS Next 2Y61.42%
EPS Next 3Y62.91%
EPS Next 5Y63.81%
Revenue Next Year-8.3%
Revenue Next 2Y1.27%
Revenue Next 3Y17.49%
Revenue Next 5Y12.5%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
GPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

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3

4. GPRE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • GPRE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.81.
  • GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • GPRE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.67, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 38.81
GPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GPRE is valued a bit more expensive than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GPRE is valued a bit cheaper than 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.45
EV/EBITDA 36.84
GPRE Per share dataGPRE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GPRE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 62.91% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y61.42%
EPS Next 3Y62.91%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GPRE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GPRE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

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GPRE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREEN PLAINS INC

NASDAQ:GPRE (3/25/2026, 12:22:53 PM)

16.295

0 (-0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners105.81%
Inst Owner Change11.64%
Ins Owners1.34%
Ins Owner Change2.7%
Market Cap1.14B
Revenue(TTM)2.09B
Net Income(TTM)-121.28M
Analysts77.33
Price Target14.28 (-12.37%)
Short Float %18.91%
Short Ratio8.29
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.59%
DP-0.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)597.16%
Min EPS beat(2)341.93%
Max EPS beat(2)852.38%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)261.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-101.38%
Max EPS beat(4)852.38%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)106.75%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-566.17%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-498.53%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)-14.36%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-12.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-9.75%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.52%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.73%
PT rev (1m)21.15%
PT rev (3m)21.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-26.97%
EPS NQ rev (3m)62.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)169.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)126.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 38.81
P/S 0.54
P/FCF 15.45
P/OCF 10.27
P/B 1.49
P/tB 1.51
EV/EBITDA 36.84
EPS(TTM)-1.26
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.42
Fwd EY2.58%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY6.47%
OCF(TTM)1.59
OCFY9.74%
SpS29.95
BVpS10.97
TBVpS10.82
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.68%
ROE -15.83%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 6.69%
FCFM 3.52%
ROA(3y)-5.71%
ROA(5y)-5.23%
ROE(3y)-12.14%
ROE(5y)-11.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y21.17%
GM growth 5Y2.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.33
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 5.42
Debt/EBITDA 11.02
Cap/Depr 37.79%
Cap/Sales 1.78%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 308.94%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.79
Quick Ratio 1.24
Altman-Z 1.81
F-Score6
WACC8%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%119.77%
EPS Next Y133.33%
EPS Next 2Y61.42%
EPS Next 3Y62.91%
EPS Next 5Y63.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-17.04%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%-26.57%
Revenue Next Year-8.3%
Revenue Next 2Y1.27%
Revenue Next 3Y17.49%
Revenue Next 5Y12.5%
EBIT growth 1Y20%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year476.33%
EBIT Next 3Y118.49%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y158.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y469.98%
OCF growth 3Y16.73%
OCF growth 5Y2.31%

GREEN PLAINS INC / GPRE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GPRE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GPRE.


What is the valuation status for GPRE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?

GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for GPRE stock?

The financial health rating of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GPRE stock?

The dividend rating of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -0.59%.