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GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GPRE - Nasdaq - US3932221043 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.4  +0.09 (+1.23%)

After market: 7.37 -0.03 (-0.41%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to GPRE. GPRE was compared to 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. GPRE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, GPRE is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GPRE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year GPRE has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -6.24%, GPRE is doing worse than 77.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -13.04%, GPRE is doing worse than 74.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.24%
ROE -13.04%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

With a Gross Margin value of 5.19%, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 75.96% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GPRE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GPRE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 5.19%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
GPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
GPRE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
GPRE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingGPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.41, we must say that GPRE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRE has a Altman-Z score of 1.41. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GPRE outperforms 52.88% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GPRE (0.71) is worse than 62.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.41
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.47%
GPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.38 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRE's Current ratio of 1.38 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 63.46% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that GPRE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GPRE (0.81) is worse than 60.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.38
Quick Ratio 0.81
GPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GPRE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -37.40%.
The Revenue for GPRE has decreased by -19.51% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.34% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.4%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%0.72%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 57.49% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-10.5%
EPS Next 2Y44.91%
EPS Next 3Y42.11%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue Next Year-2%
Revenue Next 2Y0.43%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
GPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
GPRE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 54.41.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GPRE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GPRE is more expensive than 68.75% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.04, GPRE is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 54.41
GPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GPRE is valued a bit more expensive than 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 75.47
GPRE Per share dataGPRE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 42.11% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.91%
EPS Next 3Y42.11%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GPRE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GREEN PLAINS INC

NASDAQ:GPRE (8/8/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 7.37 -0.03 (-0.41%)

7.4

+0.09 (+1.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-11 2025-08-11/bmo
Inst Owners92.18%
Inst Owner Change-0.41%
Ins Owners1.34%
Ins Owner Change6.39%
Market Cap483.96M
Analysts72
Price Target9.75 (31.76%)
Short Float %13.53%
Short Ratio5.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-36.76%
DP-4.97%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-133.26%
Min EPS beat(2)-165.14%
Max EPS beat(2)-101.38%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-213.36%
Max EPS beat(4)362.54%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-968.52%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-729.5%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-588.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.34%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.87%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.6%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)10.87%
PT rev (3m)-1.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-85.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.34%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 54.41
P/S 0.2
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.61
P/tB 0.61
EV/EBITDA 75.47
EPS(TTM)-1.69
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.14
Fwd EY1.84%
FCF(TTM)-1.9
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.53
OCFYN/A
SpS37.66
BVpS12.19
TBVpS12.19
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.24%
ROE -13.04%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 5.19%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover1.48
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.71
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 52.45
Cap/Depr 98.37%
Cap/Sales 3.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.38
Quick Ratio 0.81
Altman-Z 1.41
F-Score2
WACC8.47%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.4%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-40.74%
EPS Next Y-10.5%
EPS Next 2Y44.91%
EPS Next 3Y42.11%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-19.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%0.72%
Revenue Next Year-2%
Revenue Next 2Y0.43%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-45.97%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year158.11%
EBIT Next 3Y72.08%
EBIT Next 5Y62.64%
FCF growth 1Y-83.49%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-129.87%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A