GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:GPRE • US3932221043

15.28 USD
-0.23 (-1.48%)
Last: Mar 6, 2026, 02:53 PM
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This GPRE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall GPRE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GPRE against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of GPRE is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. GPRE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. GPRE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GPRE had negative earnings in the past year.
  • GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GPRE had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years GPRE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
GPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of GPRE (-7.68%) is worse than 81.16% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of GPRE (-15.83%) is worse than 77.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.68%
ROE -15.83%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.71%
ROA(5y)-5.23%
ROE(3y)-12.14%
ROE(5y)-11.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • GPRE's Gross Margin of 6.69% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE is outperformed by 73.91% of its industry peers.
  • GPRE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GPRE so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 6.69%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y21.17%
GM growth 5Y2.9%
GPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5

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4

2. GPRE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • GPRE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GPRE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingGPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
GPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • GPRE has an Altman-Z score of 1.77. This is a bad value and indicates that GPRE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.77, GPRE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRE is 5.42, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GPRE, 5.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GPRE's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.42 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.52, GPRE is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.34% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 5.42
Altman-Z 1.77
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.79%
GPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.79 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GPRE's Current ratio of 1.79 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 71.50% of its industry peers.
  • GPRE has a Quick Ratio of 1.24. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GPRE's Quick ratio of 1.24 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 63.28% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.79
Quick Ratio 1.24
GPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. GPRE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GPRE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.35%.
  • Looking at the last year, GPRE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.93% in the last year.
  • GPRE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.69% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%119.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-17.04%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%-26.57%

3.2 Future

  • GPRE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 63.81% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.50% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y112.37%
EPS Next 2Y75.56%
EPS Next 3Y63.01%
EPS Next 5Y63.81%
Revenue Next Year-8.3%
Revenue Next 2Y1.27%
Revenue Next 3Y17.49%
Revenue Next 5Y12.5%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
GPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

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3

4. GPRE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 98.00, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GPRE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GPRE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GPRE is more expensive than 63.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GPRE to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.79), we can say GPRE is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 98
GPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GPRE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GPRE is more expensive than 71.01% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GPRE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GPRE is cheaper than 69.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.49
EV/EBITDA 35.3
GPRE Per share dataGPRE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 63.01% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y75.56%
EPS Next 3Y63.01%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GPRE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GPRE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GPRE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREEN PLAINS INC

NASDAQ:GPRE (3/6/2026, 2:53:04 PM)

15.28

-0.23 (-1.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners93.61%
Inst Owner Change11.59%
Ins Owners1.41%
Ins Owner Change-0.08%
Market Cap1.07B
Revenue(TTM)2.09B
Net Income(TTM)-121.28M
Analysts74.67
Price Target14.28 (-6.54%)
Short Float %19.91%
Short Ratio9.56
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend0.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.59%
DP-0.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)597.16%
Min EPS beat(2)341.93%
Max EPS beat(2)852.38%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)261.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-101.38%
Max EPS beat(4)852.38%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)106.75%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-566.17%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-498.53%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)-14.36%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-12.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-9.75%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.52%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.73%
PT rev (1m)21.15%
PT rev (3m)21.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)44.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)55.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)525.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 98
P/S 0.51
P/FCF 14.49
P/OCF 9.63
P/B 1.39
P/tB 1.41
EV/EBITDA 35.3
EPS(TTM)-1.26
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.16
Fwd EY1.02%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY6.9%
OCF(TTM)1.59
OCFY10.39%
SpS29.95
BVpS10.97
TBVpS10.82
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.68%
ROE -15.83%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 6.69%
FCFM 3.52%
ROA(3y)-5.71%
ROA(5y)-5.23%
ROE(3y)-12.14%
ROE(5y)-11.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y21.17%
GM growth 5Y2.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.33
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF 5.42
Debt/EBITDA 11.02
Cap/Depr 37.79%
Cap/Sales 1.78%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 308.94%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.79
Quick Ratio 1.24
Altman-Z 1.77
F-Score6
WACC7.79%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)84.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)137.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.27%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.35%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%119.77%
EPS Next Y112.37%
EPS Next 2Y75.56%
EPS Next 3Y63.01%
EPS Next 5Y63.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-17.04%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%-26.57%
Revenue Next Year-8.3%
Revenue Next 2Y1.27%
Revenue Next 3Y17.49%
Revenue Next 5Y12.5%
EBIT growth 1Y20%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year476.33%
EBIT Next 3Y118.49%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y158.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y469.98%
OCF growth 3Y16.73%
OCF growth 5Y2.31%

GREEN PLAINS INC / GPRE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GPRE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GPRE.


What is the valuation status for GPRE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?

GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for GPRE stock?

The financial health rating of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GPRE stock?

The dividend rating of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -0.59%.