9.74 USD
-0.58 (-5.62%)
9.74 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to GPRE. GPRE was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. GPRE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. GPRE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GPRE has reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
Of the past 5 years GPRE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -12.28%, GPRE is doing worse than 84.69% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRE has a Return On Equity of -24.47%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GPRE underperforms 79.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -12.28% | ||
| ROE | -24.47% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Gross Margin of GPRE (4.72%) is worse than 76.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPRE has grown nicely.
GPRE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 4.72% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
GPRE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GPRE is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.51, we must say that GPRE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRE's Altman-Z score of 1.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 55.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that GPRE is not too dependend on debt financing.
GPRE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.48 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 47.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.1%
2.3 Liquidity
GPRE has a Current Ratio of 1.68. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GPRE has a better Current ratio (1.68) than 71.77% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.20 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRE has a better Quick ratio (1.20) than 61.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GPRE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -502.63%.
GPRE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -13.15%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.34% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-502.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-75.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-22.81%
3.2 Future
GPRE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 57.49% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.70% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-41.54%
EPS Next 2Y46.15%
EPS Next 3Y44.1%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue Next Year-13.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.8%
Revenue Next 3Y1.44%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 52.63 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GPRE.
62.68% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GPRE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.69, GPRE is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 52.63 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 44.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.15%
EPS Next 3Y44.1%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GPRE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
9.74
-0.58 (-5.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.59%
Inst Owner Change5.9%
Ins Owners1.36%
Ins Owner Change0.91%
Market Cap680.24M
Revenue(TTM)2.25B
Net Income(TTM)-188.15M
Analysts74.67
Price Target11.79 (21.05%)
Short Float %19.26%
Short Ratio5.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-36.76%
DP-2.75%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)146.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-48.21%
Max EPS beat(2)341.93%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)6.8%
Min EPS beat(4)-165.14%
Max EPS beat(4)341.93%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.57%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-650.49%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-560.2%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)-14.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-12.91%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.66%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.89%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.25%
PT rev (1m)9.47%
PT rev (3m)19.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-84.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)103.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)13.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.02%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 52.63 | ||
| P/S | 0.3 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 41.09 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 0.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)-2.29
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.19
Fwd EY1.9%
FCF(TTM)-0.61
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.24
OCFY2.43%
SpS32.17
BVpS11.01
TBVpS11.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -12.28% | ||
| ROE | -24.47% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 4.72% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
F-Score3
WACC8.1%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-502.63%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-75.36%
EPS Next Y-41.54%
EPS Next 2Y46.15%
EPS Next 3Y44.1%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-22.81%
Revenue Next Year-13.16%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.8%
Revenue Next 3Y1.44%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-383.86%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year224.87%
EBIT Next 3Y73.91%
EBIT Next 5Y72%
FCF growth 1Y26.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-66.08%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
GREEN PLAINS INC / GPRE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GPRE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GPRE.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREEN PLAINS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?
GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) is expected to decline by -41.54% in the next year.