GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE)
US3932221043 - Common Stock
GPRE gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GPRE have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, GPRE is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GPRE had negative earnings in the past year.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GPRE has a Return On Assets of -4.81%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GPRE underperforms 88.68% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -11.07%, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 86.79% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.81% | ||
| ROE | -11.07% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.62%
ROA(5y)-6.12%
ROE(3y)-10.66%
ROE(5y)-14.2%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Gross Margin value of 5.82%, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 82.55% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GPRE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GPRE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 5.82% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y-2.72%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GPRE has more shares outstanding
GPRE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GPRE has an Altman-Z score of 2.37. This is not the best score and indicates that GPRE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.37, GPRE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.26% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71 indicates that GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GPRE has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.71) than 63.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.37 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.75%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.90 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.90, GPRE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.53% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.34 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.34, GPRE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.92% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.34 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 31.36% over the past year.
The Revenue for GPRE has decreased by -10.02% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.01% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.36%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS growth Q2Q118.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.02%
Revenue growth 3Y19.66%
Revenue growth 5Y2.01%
Revenue growth Q2Q-22.06%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 48.39% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.12% on average per year.
EPS Next Y140.12%
EPS Next 2Y84.14%
EPS Next 3Y58.83%
EPS Next 5Y48.39%
Revenue Next Year-15.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.1%
Revenue Next 3Y4.24%
Revenue Next 5Y9.12%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
GPRE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.52.
69.34% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GPRE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GPRE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.52 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GPRE is valued a bit more expensive than 76.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 47.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 58.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y84.14%
EPS Next 3Y58.83%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GPRE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
GREEN PLAINS INC
NASDAQ:GPRE (4/18/2024, 7:00:02 PM)
After market: 21.14 0 (0%)21.14
+0.21 (+1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap1.36B
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.52 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -4.81% | ||
| ROE | -11.07% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 5.82% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover1.7
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.34 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)31.36%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y
EPS growth Q2Q
EPS Next Y140.12%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.02%
Revenue growth 3Y19.66%
Revenue growth 5Y
Revenue growth Q2Q
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y