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GDS HOLDINGS LTD - ADR (GDS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GDS - Nasdaq - US36165L1089 - ADR - Currency: USD

25.76  +0.55 (+2.18%)

After market: 26.238 +0.48 (+1.86%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, GDS scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GDS was compared to 82 industry peers in the IT Services industry. While GDS is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GDS is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GDS had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GDS had a positive cash flow from operations.
GDS had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
GDS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GDS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGDS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B -6B -8B

1.2 Ratios

GDS's Return On Assets of 4.58% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GDS outperforms 62.20% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 14.32%, GDS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.37%, GDS is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.34% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GDS is significantly below the industry average of 22.65%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.01%) for GDS is below the current ROIC(1.37%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.58%
ROE 14.32%
ROIC 1.37%
ROA(3y)-1.09%
ROA(5y)-1.28%
ROE(3y)-4.57%
ROE(5y)-4.33%
ROIC(3y)1.01%
ROIC(5y)0.96%
GDS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGDS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

GDS has a Profit Margin of 31.32%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GDS outperforms 97.56% of its industry peers.
GDS has a Operating Margin of 10.42%. This is in the better half of the industry: GDS outperforms 68.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GDS has remained more or less at the same level.
The Gross Margin of GDS (21.81%) is worse than 76.83% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GDS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.42%
PM (TTM) 31.32%
GM 21.81%
OM growth 3Y15.28%
OM growth 5Y-0.84%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.17%
GDS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGDS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GDS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GDS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GDS has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GDS has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GDS Yearly Shares OutstandingGDS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
GDS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGDS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

GDS has an Altman-Z score of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that GDS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GDS has a Altman-Z score of 0.55. This is in the lower half of the industry: GDS underperforms 70.73% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.62 is on the high side and indicates that GDS has dependencies on debt financing.
GDS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.62) than 70.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.62
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.55
ROIC/WACC0.18
WACC7.62%
GDS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGDS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

GDS has a Current Ratio of 1.28. This is a normal value and indicates that GDS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GDS has a Current ratio of 1.28. This is in the lower half of the industry: GDS underperforms 64.63% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.28 indicates that GDS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GDS has a Quick ratio of 1.28. This is in the lower half of the industry: GDS underperforms 63.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.28
Quick Ratio 1.28
GDS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGDS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 352.22% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 8.11% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 20.15% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)352.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%2654.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.11%
Revenue growth 3Y9.7%
Revenue growth 5Y20.15%
Sales Q2Q%22.59%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -25.92% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
The Revenue is expected to grow by 11.81% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-119.86%
EPS Next 2Y-43.46%
EPS Next 3Y-54.23%
EPS Next 5Y-25.92%
Revenue Next Year0.93%
Revenue Next 2Y7.02%
Revenue Next 3Y9.24%
Revenue Next 5Y11.81%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
GDS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGDS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B
GDS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGDS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5 10 15

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.78, the valuation of GDS can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GDS is valued cheaper than 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
GDS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.88.
GDS is expected to report negative earnings next year, which makes the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.78
Fwd PE N/A
GDS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGDS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 -40

4.2 Price Multiples

GDS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GDS is cheaper than 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.22
GDS Per share dataGDS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as GDS's earnings are expected to decrease with -54.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-43.46%
EPS Next 3Y-54.23%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GDS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GDS HOLDINGS LTD - ADR

NASDAQ:GDS (5/1/2025, 5:13:40 PM)

After market: 26.238 +0.48 (+1.86%)

25.76

+0.55 (+2.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)03-19 2025-03-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-14 2025-05-14
Inst Owners32.58%
Inst Owner Change0.17%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap5.01B
Analysts86.67
Price Target24.83 (-3.61%)
Short Float %6.47%
Short Ratio2.24
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.04
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)726.09%
Min EPS beat(2)40.32%
Max EPS beat(2)1411.86%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)372.53%
Min EPS beat(4)14.44%
Max EPS beat(4)1411.86%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)198.96%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)139.96%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)35.58%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.16%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.8%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.51%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.77%
PT rev (1m)-31.88%
PT rev (3m)18.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)7.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-10.49%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-16.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.78
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 3.38
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 18.77
P/B 1.55
P/tB 2.12
EV/EBITDA 16.22
EPS(TTM)2.39
EY9.28%
EPS(NY)-0.47
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.73
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.37
OCFY5.33%
SpS7.62
BVpS16.66
TBVpS12.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.58%
ROE 14.32%
ROCE 1.74%
ROIC 1.37%
ROICexc 1.56%
ROICexgc 1.76%
OM 10.42%
PM (TTM) 31.32%
GM 21.81%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-1.09%
ROA(5y)-1.28%
ROE(3y)-4.57%
ROE(5y)-4.33%
ROIC(3y)1.01%
ROIC(5y)0.96%
ROICexc(3y)1.15%
ROICexc(5y)1.17%
ROICexgc(3y)1.32%
ROICexgc(5y)1.33%
ROCE(3y)1.29%
ROCE(5y)1.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y21.36%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y23.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.34%
OM growth 3Y15.28%
OM growth 5Y-0.84%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-3.17%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.62
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 8.73
Cap/Depr 91.44%
Cap/Sales 27.55%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 44.41%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.28
Quick Ratio 1.28
Altman-Z 0.55
F-Score6
WACC7.62%
ROIC/WACC0.18
Cap/Depr(3y)195.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)293.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)67.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)94.18%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)352.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%2654.55%
EPS Next Y-119.86%
EPS Next 2Y-43.46%
EPS Next 3Y-54.23%
EPS Next 5Y-25.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.11%
Revenue growth 3Y9.7%
Revenue growth 5Y20.15%
Sales Q2Q%22.59%
Revenue Next Year0.93%
Revenue Next 2Y7.02%
Revenue Next 3Y9.24%
Revenue Next 5Y11.81%
EBIT growth 1Y102.22%
EBIT growth 3Y26.47%
EBIT growth 5Y19.15%
EBIT Next Year414.41%
EBIT Next 3Y84.81%
EBIT Next 5Y52.63%
FCF growth 1Y75.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.14%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y45.88%