CHANNELADVISOR CORP (ECOM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ECOM • US1591791009

23.09 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
At close: Nov 14, 2022
23.09 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 11/14/2022, 8:16:17 PM

This ECOM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, ECOM scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ECOM was compared to 276 industry peers in the Software industry. While ECOM seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, ECOM is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. ECOM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ECOM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ECOM had a positive cash flow from operations.
ECOM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFECOM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20M 40M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.84%
ROE 22%
ROIC 6.31%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ECOM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICECOM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.04%
PM (TTM) 21.39%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ECOM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsECOM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60

6

2. ECOM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ECOM is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ECOM has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for ECOM is higher compared to a year ago.
ECOM Yearly Shares OutstandingECOM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 10M 20M 30M
ECOM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsECOM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 8.49 indicates that ECOM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • There is no outstanding debt for ECOM. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 8.49
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC10.72%
ECOM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFECOM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ECOM has a Current Ratio of 2.79. This indicates that ECOM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.79 indicates that ECOM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.79
ECOM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesECOM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M

5

3. ECOM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ECOM have decreased strongly by -13.27% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, ECOM shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 102.06% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, ECOM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.03% in the last year.
  • ECOM shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.18% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.27%
EPS 3Y102.06%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%9.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.03%
Revenue growth 3Y8.53%
Revenue growth 5Y8.18%
Sales Q2Q%4.61%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.37% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.87% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-13.87%
EPS Next 2Y2.19%
EPS Next 3Y10.23%
EPS Next 5Y15.37%
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.19%
Revenue Next 3Y9.42%
Revenue Next 5Y6.87%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
ECOM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesECOM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M
ECOM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesECOM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

1

4. ECOM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.16, ECOM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • ECOM is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.33 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ECOM.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ECOM to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.95), we can say ECOM is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.16
Fwd PE 22.33
ECOM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsECOM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.44
EV/EBITDA 29.05
ECOM Per share dataECOM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.19%
EPS Next 3Y10.23%

0

5. ECOM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ECOM does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ECOM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CHANNELADVISOR CORP

NYSE:ECOM (11/14/2022, 8:16:17 PM)

After market: 23.09 0 (0%)

23.09

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)11-07
Earnings (Next)02-08
Inst Owners0.39%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners14.09%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap667.68M
Revenue(TTM)174.03M
Net Income(TTM)37.23M
Analysts74.55
Price Target23.53 (1.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.85%
Min EPS beat(2)11.11%
Max EPS beat(2)20.58%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.29%
Min EPS beat(4)5.99%
Max EPS beat(4)20.58%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.67%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.16
Fwd PE 22.33
P/S 3.84
P/FCF 29.44
P/OCF 22.45
P/B 3.95
P/tB 4.81
EV/EBITDA 29.05
EPS(TTM)0.85
EY3.68%
EPS(NY)1.03
Fwd EY4.48%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY3.4%
OCF(TTM)1.03
OCFY4.45%
SpS6.02
BVpS5.85
TBVpS4.8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.84%
ROE 22%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 6.31%
ROICexc 12.7%
ROICexgc 19.57%
OM 8.04%
PM (TTM) 21.39%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 118.43%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 60.92%
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.79
Altman-Z 8.49
F-Score7
WACC10.72%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)69.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)60.52%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)161.65%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.27%
EPS 3Y102.06%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%9.52%
EPS Next Y-13.87%
EPS Next 2Y2.19%
EPS Next 3Y10.23%
EPS Next 5Y15.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.03%
Revenue growth 3Y8.53%
Revenue growth 5Y8.18%
Sales Q2Q%4.61%
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.19%
Revenue Next 3Y9.42%
Revenue Next 5Y6.87%
EBIT growth 1Y-29.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year26.77%
EBIT Next 3Y16.98%
EBIT Next 5Y11.5%
FCF growth 1Y-16.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y24.93%
OCF growth 1Y-5.54%
OCF growth 3Y203.11%
OCF growth 5Y24.24%

CHANNELADVISOR CORP / ECOM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ECOM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ECOM.


What is the valuation status of CHANNELADVISOR CORP (ECOM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CHANNELADVISOR CORP (ECOM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ECOM stock?

CHANNELADVISOR CORP (ECOM) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for CHANNELADVISOR CORP (ECOM) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CHANNELADVISOR CORP (ECOM) is expected to decline by -13.87% in the next year.