ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:EARN • US2885781078

Current stock price

4.49 USD
-0.11 (-2.39%)
At close:
4.4995 USD
+0.01 (+0.21%)
After Hours:

This EARN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. EARN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EARN was profitable.
  • In the past year EARN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EARN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years EARN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
EARN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEARN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

  • EARN has a Return On Assets of 3.56%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EARN outperforms 57.44% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of EARN (6.58%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EARN has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.19%) than 78.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.56%
ROE 6.58%
ROIC 7.19%
ROA(3y)-0.53%
ROA(5y)-0.06%
ROE(3y)-6.71%
ROE(5y)-2.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
EARN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEARN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of EARN (22.51%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EARN has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of EARN (48.72%) is better than 86.36% of its industry peers.
  • EARN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • EARN has a better Gross Margin (57.37%) than 65.70% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EARN has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 48.72%
PM (TTM) 22.51%
GM 57.37%
OM growth 3Y-43.57%
OM growth 5Y11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-23.61%
GM growth 3Y-38.4%
GM growth 5Y9.83%
EARN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEARN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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3

2. EARN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EARN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EARN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for EARN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
EARN Yearly Shares OutstandingEARN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
EARN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEARN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.09, we must say that EARN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • EARN's Altman-Z score of -0.09 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EARN is outperformed by 76.86% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EARN is 0.48, which is an excellent value as it means it would take EARN, only 0.48 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • EARN's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.48 is amongst the best of the industry. EARN outperforms 91.74% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.78 indicates that EARN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • EARN has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.78) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for EARN, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.78
Debt/FCF 0.48
Altman-Z -0.09
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
EARN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEARN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.18 indicates that EARN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of EARN (0.18) is worse than 87.60% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.18 indicates that EARN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EARN has a Quick ratio of 0.18. This is amonst the worse of the industry: EARN underperforms 87.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.18
Quick Ratio 0.18
EARN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEARN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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5

3. EARN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for EARN have decreased strongly by -67.70% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for EARN have been decreasing by -31.03% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, EARN shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 34.56%.
  • Measured over the past years, EARN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.60% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-67.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-31.03%
EPS Q2Q%83.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.7%
Revenue growth 5Y2.6%
Sales Q2Q%161.58%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EARN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.31% on average per year.
  • EARN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.81% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.76%
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year24.47%
Revenue Next 2Y16.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
EARN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEARN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 20M 40M 60M
EARN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEARN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

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6

4. EARN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.47 indicates a correct valuation of EARN.
  • EARN's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • EARN is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • EARN is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.19.
  • 94.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EARN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • EARN is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.47
Fwd PE 4.19
EARN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEARN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 99.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EARN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 0.46
EV/EBITDA N/A
EARN Per share dataEARN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EARN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. EARN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EARN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 17.91%, which is a nice return.
  • EARN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.94. EARN pays more dividend than 90.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EARN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 17.91%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EARN decreases each year by -5.74%.
  • EARN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of EARN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.74%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
EARN Yearly Dividends per shareEARN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • EARN pays out 74.71% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP74.71%
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EARN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEARN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M
EARN Dividend Payout.EARN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EARN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EARN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ELLINGTON CREDIT CO

NYSE:EARN (3/13/2026, 8:22:17 PM)

After market: 4.4995 +0.01 (+0.21%)

4.49

-0.11 (-2.39%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)03-10
Earnings (Next)05-18
Inst Owners10.34%
Inst Owner Change-9.15%
Ins Owners0.95%
Ins Owner Change-1.2%
Market Cap168.69M
Revenue(TTM)65.80M
Net Income(TTM)14.81M
Analysts76
Price Target5.87 (30.73%)
Short Float %1.47%
Short Ratio1.21
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 17.91%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.74%
DP74.71%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-31
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)48.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)97.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)30.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)97.3%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)10.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-30.78%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-34.38%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.47
Fwd PE 4.19
P/S 2.56
P/FCF 0.46
P/OCF 0.46
P/B 0.75
P/tB 0.75
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.36
EY8.02%
EPS(NY)1.07
Fwd EY23.85%
FCF(TTM)9.81
FCFY218.51%
OCF(TTM)9.81
OCFY218.51%
SpS1.75
BVpS5.99
TBVpS5.99
PEG (NY)0.74
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.97
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.56%
ROE 6.58%
ROCE 13.96%
ROIC 7.19%
ROICexc 7.19%
ROICexgc 7.22%
OM 48.72%
PM (TTM) 22.51%
GM 57.37%
FCFM 560.17%
ROA(3y)-0.53%
ROA(5y)-0.06%
ROE(3y)-6.71%
ROE(5y)-2.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.77%
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y29.4%
OM growth 3Y-43.57%
OM growth 5Y11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-23.61%
GM growth 3Y-38.4%
GM growth 5Y9.83%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.78
Debt/FCF 0.48
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage -1.58
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 2488.89%
Current Ratio 0.18
Quick Ratio 0.18
Altman-Z -0.09
F-Score8
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-67.7%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-31.03%
EPS Q2Q%83.62%
EPS Next Y16.76%
EPS Next 2Y8.31%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.7%
Revenue growth 5Y2.6%
Sales Q2Q%161.58%
Revenue Next Year24.47%
Revenue Next 2Y16.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2161.07%
EBIT growth 3Y-31.89%
EBIT growth 5Y13.89%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y1400.65%
FCF growth 3Y-31.12%
FCF growth 5Y-12.27%
OCF growth 1Y1400.65%
OCF growth 3Y-31.12%
OCF growth 5Y-12.27%

ELLINGTON CREDIT CO / EARN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to EARN.


What is the valuation status of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of EARN stock?

ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for EARN stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) is 12.47 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.75.


How financially healthy is ELLINGTON CREDIT CO?

The financial health rating of ELLINGTON CREDIT CO (EARN) is 3 / 10.