COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:COST • US22160K1051

Current stock price

988.075 USD
+3.33 (+0.34%)
Last:

This COST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. COST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • COST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • COST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years COST has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years COST had a positive operating cash flow.
COST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCOST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of COST (10.22%) is better than 86.49% of its industry peers.
  • COST has a better Return On Equity (26.64%) than 86.49% of its industry peers.
  • COST's Return On Invested Capital of 19.20% is amongst the best of the industry. COST outperforms 97.30% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for COST is significantly below the industry average of 34.78%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (19.20%) for COST is above the 3 year average (19.04%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.22%
ROE 26.64%
ROIC 19.2%
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
COST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCOST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 2.99%, COST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of COST has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 3.82%, COST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COST's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • COST's Gross Margin of 12.93% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. COST is outperformed by 83.78% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of COST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.82%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 12.93%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
COST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCOST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

7

2. COST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so COST is creating value.
  • COST has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for COST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • COST has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
COST Yearly Shares OutstandingCOST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
COST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCOST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 9.39 indicates that COST is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 9.39, COST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COST has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.63. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.63 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • COST has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.63) than 86.49% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18 indicates that COST is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.18, COST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 0.63
Altman-Z 9.39
ROIC/WACC2.19
WACC8.77%
COST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCOST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • COST has a Current Ratio of 1.06. This is a normal value and indicates that COST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.06, COST is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • COST has a Quick Ratio of 1.06. This is a bad value and indicates that COST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • COST has a Quick ratio (0.59) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.59
COST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCOST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

5

3. COST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.26% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, COST shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.76% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 8.40% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • Measured over the past years, COST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.26%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%13.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%9.22%

3.2 Future

  • COST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.44% yearly.
  • COST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.18% yearly.
EPS Next Y14.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.44%
Revenue Next Year8.51%
Revenue Next 2Y8.08%
Revenue Next 3Y8.1%
Revenue Next 5Y7.18%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
COST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCOST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 100B 200B 300B 400B 500B
COST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCOST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10 20 30 40

1

4. COST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • COST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 51.38.
  • COST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. COST is more expensive than 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of COST to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say COST is valued expensively.
  • COST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.04.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.16% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • COST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 38.20.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 51.38
Fwd PE 43.04
COST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCOST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 72.97% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, COST is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.16% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 48.18
EV/EBITDA 31.47
COST Per share dataCOST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 200 400 600

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of COST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.49
PEG (5Y)3.26
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%

5

5. COST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.50%, COST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.76, COST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, COST's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.5%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of COST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.97%!
  • COST has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of COST decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
COST Yearly Dividends per shareCOST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15

5.3 Sustainability

  • 33.01% of the earnings are spent on dividend by COST. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of COST is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.01%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
COST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCOST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B
COST Dividend Payout.COST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.COST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

COST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP

NASDAQ:COST (4/16/2026, 12:01:07 PM)

988.075

+3.33 (+0.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-28
Inst Owners72.25%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-0.35%
Market Cap438.36B
Revenue(TTM)286.26B
Net Income(TTM)8.55B
Analysts79.09
Price Target1089.14 (10.23%)
Short Float %1.42%
Short Ratio3.21
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.5%
Yearly Dividend4.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.97%
DP33.01%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-30
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)3.28%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)3.28%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.35%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.14%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.12%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.53%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.72%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.92%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)2.02%
PT rev (3m)3.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 51.38
Fwd PE 43.04
P/S 1.53
P/FCF 48.18
P/OCF 29.2
P/B 13.66
P/tB 13.66
EV/EBITDA 31.47
EPS(TTM)19.23
EY1.95%
EPS(NY)22.96
Fwd EY2.32%
FCF(TTM)20.51
FCFY2.08%
OCF(TTM)33.84
OCFY3.42%
SpS645.25
BVpS72.33
TBVpS72.33
PEG (NY)3.49
PEG (5Y)3.26
Graham Number176.899 (-82.1%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.22%
ROE 26.64%
ROCE 25.52%
ROIC 19.2%
ROICexc 33.42%
ROICexgc 33.42%
OM 3.82%
PM (TTM) 2.99%
GM 12.93%
FCFM 3.18%
ROA(3y)10.06%
ROA(5y)9.55%
ROE(3y)28.02%
ROE(5y)28.18%
ROIC(3y)19.04%
ROIC(5y)18.81%
ROICexc(3y)30.66%
ROICexc(5y)30.26%
ROICexgc(3y)32.07%
ROICexgc(5y)31.88%
ROCE(3y)25.3%
ROCE(5y)25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.66%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.68%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y0.6%
PM growth 3Y4.55%
PM growth 5Y4.16%
GM growth 3Y1.87%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover3.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.18
Debt/FCF 0.63
Debt/EBITDA 0.42
Cap/Depr 234.6%
Cap/Sales 2.07%
Interest Coverage 107.26
Cash Conversion 111.52%
Profit Quality 106.43%
Current Ratio 1.06
Quick Ratio 0.59
Altman-Z 9.39
F-Score7
WACC8.77%
ROIC/WACC2.19
Cap/Depr(3y)215.11%
Cap/Depr(5y)210.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.84%
Profit Quality(3y)97.98%
Profit Quality(5y)92.22%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.26%
EPS 3Y11.13%
EPS 5Y15.76%
EPS Q2Q%13.93%
EPS Next Y14.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.28%
EPS Next 3Y11.8%
EPS Next 5Y9.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.4%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y10.54%
Sales Q2Q%9.22%
Revenue Next Year8.51%
Revenue Next 2Y8.08%
Revenue Next 3Y8.1%
Revenue Next 5Y7.18%
EBIT growth 1Y12.19%
EBIT growth 3Y9.49%
EBIT growth 5Y11.2%
EBIT Next Year37.85%
EBIT Next 3Y19.15%
EBIT Next 5Y13.81%
FCF growth 1Y46.73%
FCF growth 3Y30.81%
FCF growth 5Y5.31%
OCF growth 1Y40.97%
OCF growth 3Y21.73%
OCF growth 5Y8.52%

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP / COST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for COST stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to COST.


What is the valuation status of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP?

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is 51.38 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.66.


Can you provide the financial health for COST stock?

The financial health rating of COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (COST) is 7 / 10.