CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
39.96 USD
-0.4 (-0.99%)
39.94 USD
-0.02 (-0.05%)
Overall CMG gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated CMG against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CMG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CMG is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. These ratings would make CMG suitable for quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- CMG had positive earnings in the past year.
- CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- CMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years CMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of CMG (16.55%) is better than 93.98% of its industry peers.
- CMG has a Return On Equity of 47.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 90.23% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 18.25%, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.98% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.34%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (18.25%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (16.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.04%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
- CMG's Operating Margin of 16.55% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 74.44% of its industry peers.
- CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- CMG has a worse Gross Margin (30.89%) than 73.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMG is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
- There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 7.43 indicates that CMG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- CMG has a Altman-Z score of 7.43. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 93.23% of its industry peers.
- There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.43 |
ROIC/WACC2.06
WACC8.88%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.54 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 1.54, CMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.50 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- CMG has a better Quick ratio (1.50) than 75.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- CMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.95%.
- Measured over the past years, CMG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.99% on average per year.
- CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.31%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y11.65%
Revenue Next Year5.18%
Revenue Next 2Y7.49%
Revenue Next 3Y8.79%
Revenue Next 5Y10.26%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 34.45, CMG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- CMG's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CMG to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say CMG is valued slightly more expensively.
- CMG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.58.
- CMG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.29. CMG is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- CMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CMG is more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as CMG.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The excellent profitability rating of CMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)9.52
PEG (5Y)1.08
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
39.96
-0.4 (-0.99%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/amc
Earnings (Next)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Inst Owners90.35%
Inst Owner Change-0.22%
Ins Owners0.24%
Ins Owner Change-21.36%
Market Cap52.84B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts79.51
Price Target45.48 (13.81%)
Short Float %2.49%
Short Ratio1.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-0.41%
PT rev (3m)-23.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.18%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.58 | ||
| P/S | 4.48 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.59 | ||
| P/OCF | 23.86 | ||
| P/B | 16.4 | ||
| P/tB | 16.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.01 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY2.9%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY3.07%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY2.98%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY4.19%
SpS8.91
BVpS2.44
TBVpS2.42
PEG (NY)9.52
PEG (5Y)1.08
Graham Number7.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.43 |
F-Score7
WACC8.88%
ROIC/WACC2.06
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y3.62%
EPS Next 2Y4.31%
EPS Next 3Y8.81%
EPS Next 5Y11.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year5.18%
Revenue Next 2Y7.49%
Revenue Next 3Y8.79%
Revenue Next 5Y10.26%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year19.99%
EBIT Next 3Y13.62%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to CMG.
Can you provide the valuation status for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.