CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
41.19 USD
-0.61 (-1.46%)
41.24 USD
+0.05 (+0.12%)
Overall CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CMG against 134 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. CMG has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. CMG is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating. This makes CMG very considerable for growth and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
CMG had positive earnings in the past year.
CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years CMG has been profitable.
In the past 5 years CMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
CMG's Return On Assets of 16.64% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 94.78% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 43.70%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.30% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Return On Invested Capital of 18.27% is amongst the best of the industry. CMG outperforms 90.30% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for CMG is significantly above the industry average of 10.67%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (18.27%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (16.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.64% | ||
| ROE | 43.7% | ||
| ROIC | 18.27% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.32%, CMG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.84% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
CMG has a better Operating Margin (16.88%) than 73.88% of its industry peers.
CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 31.11%, CMG is not doing good in the industry: 74.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
CMG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.32% | ||
| GM | 31.11% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), CMG is creating value.
CMG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for CMG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
CMG has an Altman-Z score of 8.02. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of CMG (8.02) is better than 90.30% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for CMG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.02 |
ROIC/WACC2.11
WACC8.66%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.65 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.65, CMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.62 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
CMG has a Quick ratio of 1.62. This is in the better half of the industry: CMG outperforms 78.36% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.62 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 9.43%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 31.99% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has grown by 8.57% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, CMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.43%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%-2.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.57%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%3.04%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.95% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.40% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.48%
EPS Next 2Y11.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.18%
EPS Next 5Y14.95%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y9.4%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y11.4%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.13, CMG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as CMG.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. CMG is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.47 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as CMG.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.92, CMG is valued a bit more expensive.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
CMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. CMG is more expensive than 71.64% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 37.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.03 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates CMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
CMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMG's earnings are expected to grow with 13.18% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)4.83
PEG (5Y)1.13
EPS Next 2Y11.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.18%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
CMG does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
41.19
-0.61 (-1.46%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.32%
Inst Owner Change-0.08%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change-6.25%
Market Cap55.23B
Revenue(TTM)11.58B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts81.95
Price Target59.58 (44.65%)
Short Float %2.14%
Short Ratio1.57
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.22%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)2.13%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)2.36%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)5.96%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)5.1%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)4.4%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.2%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.3%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.66%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.84%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.47 | ||
| P/S | 4.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 37.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 26.41 | ||
| P/B | 15.65 | ||
| P/tB | 15.75 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.03 |
EPS(TTM)1.14
EY2.77%
EPS(NY)1.4
Fwd EY3.39%
FCF(TTM)1.09
FCFY2.65%
OCF(TTM)1.56
OCFY3.79%
SpS8.63
BVpS2.63
TBVpS2.61
PEG (NY)4.83
PEG (5Y)1.13
Graham Number8.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.64% | ||
| ROE | 43.7% | ||
| ROCE | 24.02% | ||
| ROIC | 18.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.64% | ||
| OM | 16.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.32% | ||
| GM | 31.11% | ||
| FCFM | 12.66% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 180.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.41% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 95.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.02 |
F-Score7
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC2.11
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.43%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%-2.94%
EPS Next Y7.48%
EPS Next 2Y11.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.18%
EPS Next 5Y14.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.57%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%3.04%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y9.4%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y11.4%
EBIT growth 1Y7.95%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year27.06%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y16.36%
FCF growth 1Y17.2%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y16.79%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMG.
What is the valuation status of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 36.13 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.65.
Can you provide the financial health for CMG stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.