CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:CMG - US1696561059 - Common Stock
31.69 USD
-0.84 (-2.58%)
31.67 USD
-0.02 (-0.06%)
Overall CMG gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated CMG against 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making CMG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. CMG is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. These ratings could make CMG a good candidate for quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year CMG was profitable.
CMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years CMG has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years CMG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of CMG (16.55%) is better than 95.49% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 47.69%, CMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.98% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG has a Return On Invested Capital of 18.25%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 90.23% of its industry peers.
CMG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.89%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.72%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (18.25%) for CMG is above the 3 year average (16.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
1.3 Margins
CMG has a Profit Margin of 13.04%. This is amongst the best in the industry. CMG outperforms 82.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CMG has grown nicely.
CMG has a better Operating Margin (16.55%) than 72.18% of its industry peers.
CMG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.89%, CMG is doing worse than 75.19% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% |
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so CMG is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, CMG has less shares outstanding
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
CMG has an Altman-Z score of 6.41. This indicates that CMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of CMG (6.41) is better than 89.47% of its industry peers.
CMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.41 |
ROIC/WACC2.09
WACC8.75%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.54 indicates that CMG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.54, CMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.93% of the companies in the same industry.
CMG has a Quick Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that CMG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
CMG's Quick ratio of 1.50 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CMG outperforms 77.44% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
CMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.95%.
CMG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.99% yearly.
Looking at the last year, CMG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.31% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, CMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
3.2 Future
CMG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.95% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, CMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.40% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.48%
EPS Next 2Y11.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.18%
EPS Next 5Y14.95%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y9.4%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y11.4%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.32 indicates a quite expensive valuation of CMG.
CMG's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
CMG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.11.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.67, the valuation of CMG can be described as rather expensive.
CMG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.55, CMG is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.67 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of CMG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: CMG is more expensive than 63.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, CMG is valued a bit cheaper than 61.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of CMG may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as CMG's earnings are expected to grow with 13.18% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)3.65
PEG (5Y)0.85
EPS Next 2Y11.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.18%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for CMG!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
31.69
-0.84 (-2.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.32%
Inst Owner Change-1.65%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change-6.25%
Market Cap42.49B
Revenue(TTM)11.79B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts81.95
Price Target54.93 (73.34%)
Short Float %2.06%
Short Ratio1.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)0.31%
Max EPS beat(2)0.33%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)0.31%
Max EPS beat(4)2.13%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.32%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)4.3%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)3.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.31%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.3%
PT rev (1m)-7.8%
PT rev (3m)-9.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.68%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.67 | ||
| P/S | 3.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.19 | ||
| P/B | 13.19 | ||
| P/tB | 13.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.52 |
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY3.66%
EPS(NY)1.4
Fwd EY4.41%
FCF(TTM)1.17
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)1.65
OCFY5.21%
SpS8.79
BVpS2.4
TBVpS2.39
PEG (NY)3.65
PEG (5Y)0.85
Graham Number7.92
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.55% | ||
| ROE | 47.69% | ||
| ROCE | 23.99% | ||
| ROIC | 18.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.19% | ||
| OM | 16.55% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.04% | ||
| GM | 30.89% | ||
| FCFM | 13.35% |
ROA(3y)14.97%
ROA(5y)12.14%
ROE(3y)40.02%
ROE(5y)33.22%
ROIC(3y)16.89%
ROIC(5y)13.28%
ROICexc(3y)20.4%
ROICexc(5y)16.1%
ROICexgc(3y)20.47%
ROICexgc(5y)16.17%
ROCE(3y)22.21%
ROCE(5y)17.46%
ROICexgc growth 3Y18.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.8%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y16.87%
OM growth 3Y16.04%
OM growth 5Y14.88%
PM growth 3Y16.16%
PM growth 5Y16.69%
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y2.96%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 182.03% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.44% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 102.38% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.41 |
F-Score7
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC2.09
Cap/Depr(3y)173.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.72%
Profit Quality(3y)97.3%
Profit Quality(5y)100.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.95%
EPS 3Y30.4%
EPS 5Y31.99%
EPS Q2Q%7.41%
EPS Next Y7.48%
EPS Next 2Y11.35%
EPS Next 3Y13.18%
EPS Next 5Y14.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.31%
Revenue growth 3Y14.45%
Revenue growth 5Y15.16%
Sales Q2Q%7.51%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y9.4%
Revenue Next 3Y10.02%
Revenue Next 5Y11.4%
EBIT growth 1Y2.84%
EBIT growth 3Y32.8%
EBIT growth 5Y32.3%
EBIT Next Year27.06%
EBIT Next 3Y18.54%
EBIT Next 5Y16.36%
FCF growth 1Y13.4%
FCF growth 3Y21.65%
FCF growth 5Y31.27%
OCF growth 1Y15.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.97%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC / CMG FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to CMG.
What is the valuation status of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 27.32 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 13.19.
Can you provide the financial health for CMG stock?
The financial health rating of CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG) is 8 / 10.