CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:CHDN • US1714841087

Current stock price

85.81 USD
-0.13 (-0.15%)
At close:
85.81 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This CHDN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. CHDN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • CHDN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • CHDN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • CHDN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years CHDN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
CHDN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFCHDN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.07%, CHDN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CHDN has a better Return On Equity (37.61%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
  • CHDN's Return On Invested Capital of 8.03% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. CHDN outperforms 63.49% of its industry peers.
  • CHDN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.65%. This is below the industry average of 10.59%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.03%) for CHDN is above the 3 year average (7.65%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.07%
ROE 37.61%
ROIC 8.03%
ROA(3y)5.63%
ROA(5y)6.47%
ROE(3y)41.14%
ROE(5y)56.86%
ROIC(3y)7.65%
ROIC(5y)7.4%
CHDN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICCHDN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.98%, CHDN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of CHDN has declined.
  • CHDN's Operating Margin of 25.17% is amongst the best of the industry. CHDN outperforms 89.68% of its industry peers.
  • CHDN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • CHDN's Gross Margin of 34.18% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CHDN is outperformed by 72.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of CHDN has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.17%
PM (TTM) 12.98%
GM 34.18%
OM growth 3Y4.24%
OM growth 5Y27.51%
PM growth 3Y-18.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.33%
GM growth 5Y5.29%
CHDN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsCHDN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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2

2. CHDN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • CHDN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CHDN has less shares outstanding
  • CHDN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, CHDN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
CHDN Yearly Shares OutstandingCHDN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
CHDN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsCHDN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.41, we must say that CHDN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.41, CHDN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CHDN has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.57. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as CHDN would need 16.57 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • CHDN has a Debt to FCF ratio (16.57) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • CHDN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.02. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • CHDN's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. CHDN is outperformed by 64.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.02
Debt/FCF 16.57
Altman-Z 1.41
ROIC/WACC1.13
WACC7.08%
CHDN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFCHDN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • CHDN has a Current Ratio of 0.60. This is a bad value and indicates that CHDN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.60, CHDN is doing worse than 76.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.59 indicates that CHDN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • CHDN has a Quick ratio of 0.59. This is in the lower half of the industry: CHDN underperforms 74.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.6
Quick Ratio 0.59
CHDN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesCHDN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. CHDN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.41% over the past year.
  • CHDN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 69.14% yearly.
  • CHDN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.01%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 22.65% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.41%
EPS 3Y14.92%
EPS 5Y69.14%
EPS Q2Q%5.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.01%
Revenue growth 3Y17.37%
Revenue growth 5Y22.65%
Sales Q2Q%6.68%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • CHDN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.53% yearly.
EPS Next Y9.51%
EPS Next 2Y9.57%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.83%
Revenue Next 2Y3.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.53%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
CHDN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCHDN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
CHDN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCHDN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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5

4. CHDN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.77, CHDN is valued correctly.
  • CHDN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. CHDN is cheaper than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of CHDN to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.11), we can say CHDN is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.58, CHDN is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, CHDN is valued a bit cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • CHDN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.12.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.77
Fwd PE 12.58
CHDN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsCHDN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • CHDN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • CHDN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. CHDN is cheaper than 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.32
EV/EBITDA 11.26
CHDN Per share dataCHDN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • CHDN's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • CHDN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.45
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y9.57%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. CHDN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.52%, CHDN is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • In the last 3 months the price of CHDN has falen by -25.23%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.12, CHDN has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.52, CHDN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.52%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of CHDN grows each year by 7.82%, which is quite nice.
  • CHDN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • CHDN has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.82%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years23
CHDN Yearly Dividends per shareCHDN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 8.11% of the earnings are spent on dividend by CHDN. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • CHDN's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP8.11%
EPS Next 2Y9.57%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
CHDN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendCHDN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M 400M
CHDN Dividend Payout.CHDN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.CHDN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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CHDN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CHURCHILL DOWNS INC

NASDAQ:CHDN (3/18/2026, 5:20:00 PM)

After market: 85.81 0 (0%)

85.81

-0.13 (-0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-25
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners81.75%
Inst Owner Change3.88%
Ins Owners5.89%
Ins Owner Change2.01%
Market Cap5.98B
Revenue(TTM)2.93B
Net Income(TTM)379.70M
Analysts84.21
Price Target140.99 (64.3%)
Short Float %3.94%
Short Ratio2.72
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.52%
Yearly Dividend0.43
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.82%
DP8.11%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.96%
Max EPS beat(2)8.6%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.96%
Max EPS beat(4)8.6%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)3.43%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)2.7%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.4%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.19%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.63%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.77
Fwd PE 12.58
P/S 2.04
P/FCF 19.32
P/OCF 7.77
P/B 5.92
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.26
EPS(TTM)6.23
EY7.26%
EPS(NY)6.82
Fwd EY7.95%
FCF(TTM)4.44
FCFY5.18%
OCF(TTM)11.04
OCFY12.87%
SpS41.98
BVpS14.49
TBVpS-34.52
PEG (NY)1.45
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number45.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.07%
ROE 37.61%
ROCE 10.91%
ROIC 8.03%
ROICexc 8.28%
ROICexgc 17.3%
OM 25.17%
PM (TTM) 12.98%
GM 34.18%
FCFM 10.58%
ROA(3y)5.63%
ROA(5y)6.47%
ROE(3y)41.14%
ROE(5y)56.86%
ROIC(3y)7.65%
ROIC(5y)7.4%
ROICexc(3y)7.86%
ROICexc(5y)7.78%
ROICexgc(3y)16.7%
ROICexgc(5y)15.42%
ROCE(3y)10.39%
ROCE(5y)10.06%
ROICexgc growth 3Y10.97%
ROICexgc growth 5Y34.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y25.68%
OM growth 3Y4.24%
OM growth 5Y27.51%
PM growth 3Y-18.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.33%
GM growth 5Y5.29%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.02
Debt/FCF 16.57
Debt/EBITDA 5.23
Cap/Depr 197.43%
Cap/Sales 15.73%
Interest Coverage 2.5
Cash Conversion 79.4%
Profit Quality 81.54%
Current Ratio 0.6
Quick Ratio 0.59
Altman-Z 1.41
F-Score6
WACC7.08%
ROIC/WACC1.13
Cap/Depr(3y)290.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)272.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.07%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.84%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.41%
EPS 3Y14.92%
EPS 5Y69.14%
EPS Q2Q%5.43%
EPS Next Y9.51%
EPS Next 2Y9.57%
EPS Next 3Y8.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.01%
Revenue growth 3Y17.37%
Revenue growth 5Y22.65%
Sales Q2Q%6.68%
Revenue Next Year3.83%
Revenue Next 2Y3.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.53%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y5.08%
EBIT growth 3Y22.34%
EBIT growth 5Y56.4%
EBIT Next Year72.84%
EBIT Next 3Y23.39%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y37.17%
FCF growth 3Y57%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-0.38%
OCF growth 3Y12.77%
OCF growth 5Y40.24%

CHURCHILL DOWNS INC / CHDN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to CHDN.


Can you provide the valuation status for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC?

CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) is 13.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.92.


What is the earnings growth outlook for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) is expected to grow by 9.51% in the next year.