CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) Forecast, Price Target & Analyst Ratings

NASDAQ:CHDN • US1714841087

Current stock price

89.59 USD
+0.52 (+0.58%)
At close:
89.59 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

Analyst forecast overview

View the latest analyst price targets, stock forecast, EPS estimates, revenue projections, revisions, full estimates, rating distribution and upgrades/downgrades for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN).

Forecast Snapshot

Consensus Price Target

Price Target
$138.58
+ 54.68% Upside
→ Price target details

Next Earnings Forecast

Earnings Estimate
Release Date
Apr 22, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.05
Revenue Estimate
673.44M
→ Full earnings forecast details

ChartMill Buy Consensus

Rating
84.21%
Weighted Analyst Rating Score
→ Analyst Ratings details

Price Target Details & History

Consensus Price Target and Range

Mean target
$138.58
Upside
+ 54.68%
From current price of $89.59 to mean target of $138.58, Based on 19 analyst forecasts
Low
$111.10
Median
$142.29
High
$159.60

Price Target Revisions

1 Month
-1.71%
3 Months
0.97%

Price Target Summary

19 Wall Street analysts provided a forecast for the next 12 months for CHDN. The average price target is 138.57 USD. This implies a price increase of 54.68% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 89.59.
The average price target has been revised upward by 0.97% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peer stocks trading 30% below analyst price target

Analyst Ratings & History

Current Analyst Ratings

CHDN Current Analyst RatingCHDN Current Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings.Current Analyst Rating Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell 2 4 6 8 10

Analyst Ratings History

CHDN Historical Analyst RatingsCHDN Historical Analyst Buy, Sell and Hold Ratings and number of analysts.Historical Monthly Analyst Rating -19 -17 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 5 10 15

Analyst Ratings Consensus

ChartMill Buy Consensus
84.21%
CHDN was analyzed by 19 analysts. The buy percentage consensus is at 84. So analysts seem to be very confident about CHDN.
In the previous month the buy percentage consensus was at a similar level.
CHDN was analyzed by 19 analysts, which should be a sufficient number of analysts to have a meaningful average consensus rating.
→ Find peer stocks with a buy consensus above 85%

Recent Upgrades & Downgrades

DateFirmActionFrom → To
2026-02-27Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2026-01-14CitizensMaintains Market Outperform -> Market Outperform
2026-01-05Wells FargoMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-11-18Wells FargoInitiate Overweight
2025-10-24MacquarieMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-10-24BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-10-21SusquehannaMaintains Positive -> Positive
2025-10-16JP MorganMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-07-28MacquarieMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-07-25MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-07-25BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-07-23SusquehannaMaintains Positive -> Positive
2025-07-22MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-07-18BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-07-16Truist SecuritiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-07-11StifelMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-06-23JP MorganInitiate Overweight
2025-05-27JMP SecuritiesMaintains Market Outperform -> Market Outperform
2025-05-23MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-05-05JMP SecuritiesReiterate Market Outperform -> Market Outperform
2025-04-25MizuhoMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-04-25BarclaysMaintains Overweight -> Overweight
2025-04-25JefferiesMaintains Buy -> Buy
2025-04-24MacquarieMaintains Outperform -> Outperform
2025-04-24JMP SecuritiesReiterate Market Outperform -> Market Outperform

Next Earnings Forecast Details

Next Earnings Details

Release Date
Apr 22, 2026
Period
Q1 / 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.05
Revenue Estimate
673.44M
Revenue Q2Q
4.80%
EPS Q2Q
-1.58%
Number of Analysts
10

Next Earnings Revisions

Revenue (1 Month)
0.11%
Revenue (3 Months)
-0.14%
EPS (1 Month)
-1.49%
EPS (3 Months)
10.12%

Next Earnings Summary

CHDN is expected to report earnings on 4/22/2026. The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings is 1.05 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 673.44M USD.
The next earnings revenue estimate has been revised downward by 0.14% in the past 3 months.
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% revenue growth next quarter

Full Analyst Estimates 2026 - 2028

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT, EBITDA and Operating Margin Analyst Estimates

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Revenue
YoY % growth
CHDN revenue by date.CHDN revenue by date.
2.462B
36.02%		2.734B
11.07%		2.926B
7.01%		3.09B
5.61%		3.199B
3.53%		2.777B
-13.19%
EBITDA
YoY % growth
CHDN ebitda by date.CHDN ebitda by date.
762.4M
47.78%		899.9M
18.04%		969.5M
7.73%		1.267B
30.69%		1.314B
3.71%		1.377B
4.79%
EBIT
YoY % growth
CHDN ebit by date.CHDN ebit by date.
593.4M
47.54%		700.8M
18.10%		736.4M
5.08%		818.98M
11.21%		861.33M
5.17%		928.15M
7.76%
Operating Margin
CHDN operating margin by date.CHDN operating margin by date.
24.11%25.63%25.17%26.50%26.92%33.42%
EPS
YoY % growth
CHDN eps by date.CHDN eps by date.
4.95
20.58%		5.91
19.39%		6.23
5.41%		6.82
9.51%		7.48
9.63%		7.91
5.71%

All data in USD

Quarterly Earnings Per Share (EPS), Revenue, EBIT and EBITDA Analyst Estimates

Q1 / 26 Q2 / 26 Q3 / 26 Q4 / 26 Q1 / 27 Q2 / 27 Q3 / 27 Q4 / 27 Q1 / 28 Q2 / 28 Q3 / 28 Q4 / 28
EPS
Q2Q % growth		1.05
-1.58%		3.42
10.34%		1.21
10.82%		1.13
16.30%		1.20
14.30%		3.51
2.66%		1.29
6.57%		1.33
18.29%		1.31
8.81%		3.96
12.88%		1.60
24.01%		1.32
-1.02%
Revenue
Q2Q % growth		673.44M
4.80%		998.2M
6.83%		722.09M
5.72%		696.16M
4.54%		697.92M
3.64%		1.033B
3.49%		753.33M
4.33%		727.45M
4.49%		735.4M
5.37%		1.067B
3.29%		790.93M
4.99%		766.41M
5.36%
EBITDA
Q2Q % growth		252.09M
29.81%		481.62M
7.46%		273.01M
-14.28%		258.87M
-27.75%		261.94M
3.91%		494.31M
2.63%		278.43M
1.99%		265.62M
2.61%		283.95M
8.40%		527.74M
6.76%		312.03M
12.07%		291.58M
9.77%
EBIT
Q2Q % growth		140.76M
4.27%		365.66M
10.40%		166.36M
14.73%		143.22M
14.39%		153.96M
9.38%		386.99M
5.83%		178.58M
7.35%		154.21M
7.67%		166.89M
8.40%		405.26M
4.72%		190.71M
6.79%		164.73M
6.82%

All data in USD

Yearly Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue Trends vs Historical Data

CHDN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesCHDN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
CHDN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesCHDN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

Long Term Forward Growth Forecast Summary

Long Term EPS Growth (CAGR)

EPS Next 3 Year
8.27%
EPS Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term Revenue Growth (CAGR)

Revenue Next 3 Year
-2.28%
Revenue Next 5 Year
N/A

Long Term EBIT Growth (CAGR)

EBIT Next 3 Year
23.39%
EBIT Next 5 Year
N/A
→ Find peers expecting at least 20% CAGR revenue growth over the next 3 years

CHURCHILL DOWNS INC / CHDN Forecast FAQ

What do analysts expect the price target to be for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN)?

19 analysts have analysed CHDN and the average price target is 138.57 USD. This implies a price increase of 54.68% is expected in the next year compared to the current price of 89.59.

When does CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) report earnings?

CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) will report earnings on 2026-04-22, after the market close.

What are the consensus estimates for CHDN stock next earnings?

The consensus EPS estimate for the next earnings of CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) is 1.05 USD and the consensus revenue estimate is 673.44M USD.

What is the consensus rating for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) stock?

The consensus rating for CHURCHILL DOWNS INC (CHDN) is 84.2105 / 100 . This indicates that analysts generally have a positive outlook on the stock.