BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A (BXMT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:BXMT • US09257W1009

Current stock price

18.56 USD
-0.03 (-0.16%)
At close:
18.56 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This BXMT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

2

1. BXMT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • BXMT had negative earnings in the past year.
  • BXMT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • BXMT had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years BXMT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
BXMT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBXMT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • BXMT has a Return On Assets (0.55%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of BXMT (3.13%) is worse than 66.18% of its industry peers.
  • BXMT's Return On Invested Capital of 0.42% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BXMT outperforms 42.65% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.13%
ROIC 0.42%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.67%
ROE(3y)1.13%
ROE(5y)3.61%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BXMT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBXMT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of BXMT (7.11%) is worse than 61.76% of its industry peers.
  • BXMT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 6.81%, BXMT is not doing good in the industry: 67.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • BXMT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • BXMT's Gross Margin of 31.46% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BXMT outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BXMT has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.81%
PM (TTM) 7.11%
GM 31.46%
OM growth 3Y-41.92%
OM growth 5Y-29.65%
PM growth 3Y-27.39%
PM growth 5Y-16.64%
GM growth 3Y-6.65%
GM growth 5Y-7.09%
BXMT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBXMT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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5

2. BXMT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BXMT is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for BXMT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • BXMT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • BXMT has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
BXMT Yearly Shares OutstandingBXMT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
BXMT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBXMT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.10, we must say that BXMT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • BXMT has a Altman-Z score of 0.10. This is in the better half of the industry: BXMT outperforms 77.94% of its industry peers.
  • BXMT has a debt to FCF ratio of 61.43. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as BXMT would need 61.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 61.43, BXMT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.62 is on the high side and indicates that BXMT has dependencies on debt financing.
  • BXMT has a Debt to Equity ratio (4.62) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.62
Debt/FCF 61.43
Altman-Z 0.1
ROIC/WACC0.07
WACC5.99%
BXMT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBXMT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • BXMT has a Current Ratio of 3.40. This indicates that BXMT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of BXMT (3.40) is better than 97.06% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.40 indicates that BXMT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • BXMT has a better Quick ratio (3.40) than 97.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.4
Quick Ratio 3.4
BXMT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBXMT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. BXMT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • BXMT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -3575.00%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.97% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, BXMT shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.51% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, BXMT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.60% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3575%
EPS 3Y-23.95%
EPS 5Y-7.97%
EPS Q2Q%-65.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.51%
Revenue growth 3Y4.8%
Revenue growth 5Y14.6%
Sales Q2Q%-17.37%

3.2 Future

  • BXMT is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 49.67% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.44% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y214.26%
EPS Next 2Y83.11%
EPS Next 3Y49.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.54%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BXMT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBXMT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
BXMT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBXMT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3

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5

4. BXMT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BXMT. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.05 indicates a reasonable valuation of BXMT.
  • BXMT's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. BXMT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 11.05
BXMT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBXMT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of BXMT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: BXMT is cheaper than 69.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BXMT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.06% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.9
EV/EBITDA 108.33
BXMT Per share dataBXMT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as BXMT's earnings are expected to grow with 49.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y83.11%
EPS Next 3Y49.67%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. BXMT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • BXMT has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.11%, which is a nice return.
  • BXMT's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 10.94.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, BXMT pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.11%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of BXMT decreases each year by -5.24%.
  • BXMT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
BXMT Yearly Dividends per shareBXMT Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • BXMT pays out 294.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP294.55%
EPS Next 2Y83.11%
EPS Next 3Y49.67%
BXMT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendBXMT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M
BXMT Dividend Payout.BXMT Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.BXMT Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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BXMT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A

NYSE:BXMT (3/13/2026, 8:13:00 PM)

After market: 18.56 0 (0%)

18.56

-0.03 (-0.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners59.63%
Inst Owner Change-0.5%
Ins Owners0.99%
Ins Owner Change3.88%
Market Cap3.13B
Revenue(TTM)1.54B
Net Income(TTM)109.57M
Analysts78.67
Price Target21.57 (16.22%)
Short Float %6.44%
Short Ratio6.94
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.11%
Yearly Dividend1.89
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.24%
DP294.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-443.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-873.11%
Max EPS beat(2)-13.77%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-198.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-873.11%
Max EPS beat(4)124.35%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-101.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-64.15%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-21.82%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-15.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)-14.59%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.09%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-8.78%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)24.87%
PT rev (1m)0.28%
PT rev (3m)2.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)15.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)17.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-10.41%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-15.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-18.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 11.05
P/S 2.03
P/FCF 11.9
P/OCF 11.35
P/B 0.9
P/tB 0.9
EV/EBITDA 108.33
EPS(TTM)-1.47
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.68
Fwd EY9.05%
FCF(TTM)1.56
FCFY8.4%
OCF(TTM)1.63
OCFY8.81%
SpS9.13
BVpS20.74
TBVpS20.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.55%
ROE 3.13%
ROCE 0.53%
ROIC 0.42%
ROICexc 0.43%
ROICexgc 0.43%
OM 6.81%
PM (TTM) 7.11%
GM 31.46%
FCFM 17.07%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.67%
ROE(3y)1.13%
ROE(5y)3.61%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-33.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-21.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y-33.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.9%
OM growth 3Y-41.92%
OM growth 5Y-29.65%
PM growth 3Y-27.39%
PM growth 5Y-16.64%
GM growth 3Y-6.65%
GM growth 5Y-7.09%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.62
Debt/FCF 61.43
Debt/EBITDA 92.96
Cap/Depr 18.55%
Cap/Sales 0.83%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 158.67%
Profit Quality 240.12%
Current Ratio 3.4
Quick Ratio 3.4
Altman-Z 0.1
F-Score7
WACC5.99%
ROIC/WACC0.07
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3575%
EPS 3Y-23.95%
EPS 5Y-7.97%
EPS Q2Q%-65.6%
EPS Next Y214.26%
EPS Next 2Y83.11%
EPS Next 3Y49.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.51%
Revenue growth 3Y4.8%
Revenue growth 5Y14.6%
Sales Q2Q%-17.37%
Revenue Next Year-1.54%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y151.98%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-19.38%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-28.09%
FCF growth 3Y-12.8%
FCF growth 5Y-4.81%
OCF growth 1Y-24.72%
OCF growth 3Y-11.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.9%

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A / BXMT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A (BXMT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BXMT.


What is the valuation status for BXMT stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A (BXMT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of BXMT stock?

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A (BXMT) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A (BXMT) stock?

The dividend rating of BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRU-CL A (BXMT) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 294.55%.