BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC (BLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:BLMN - Nasdaq - US0942351083 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall BLMN gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated BLMN against 135 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of BLMN have multiple concerns. BLMN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year BLMN was profitable.
In the past year BLMN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years BLMN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
BLMN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -3.78%, BLMN is not doing good in the industry: 75.56% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Return On Equity of BLMN (-94.47%) is worse than 65.93% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of BLMN (6.66%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for BLMN is below the industry average of 14.13%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.78% | ||
| ROE | -94.47% | ||
| ROIC | 6.66% |
ROA(3y)2.17%
ROA(5y)1.65%
ROE(3y)1.18%
ROE(5y)-770.59%
ROIC(3y)9.55%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.19%, BLMN is doing worse than 65.19% of the companies in the same industry.
BLMN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of BLMN (70.94%) is better than 85.19% of its industry peers.
BLMN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 70.94% |
OM growth 3Y-17.82%
OM growth 5Y1.66%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.51%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BLMN is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for BLMN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for BLMN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
BLMN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
BLMN has an Altman-Z score of 0.88. This is a bad value and indicates that BLMN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BLMN's Altman-Z score of 0.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BLMN is outperformed by 70.37% of its industry peers.
BLMN has a debt to FCF ratio of 140.42. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as BLMN would need 140.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of BLMN (140.42) is worse than 65.93% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.64 is on the high side and indicates that BLMN has dependencies on debt financing.
BLMN's Debt to Equity ratio of 7.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BLMN is outperformed by 63.70% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 140.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.86%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.34 indicates that BLMN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
BLMN's Current ratio of 0.34 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BLMN is outperformed by 82.22% of its industry peers.
BLMN has a Quick Ratio of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that BLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of BLMN (0.26) is worse than 87.41% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
BLMN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -35.74%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.30% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, BLMN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -17.68% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-35.74%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y3.3%
EPS Q2Q%-15.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.93%
Sales Q2Q%-12.19%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, BLMN will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -5.02% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.74% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-30.46%
EPS Next 2Y-13.3%
EPS Next 3Y-5.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-11.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
BLMN is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.46.
BLMN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BLMN is cheaper than 98.52% of the companies in the same industry.
BLMN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.82.
BLMN is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.57.
BLMN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. BLMN is cheaper than 97.04% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of BLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.76), we can say BLMN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BLMN is valued cheaper than 97.04% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of BLMN is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 86.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
BLMN's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.02% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.35
EPS Next 2Y-13.3%
EPS Next 3Y-5.02%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.87%, BLMN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
In the last 3 months the price of BLMN has falen by -36.32%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
BLMN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.73. BLMN pays more dividend than 96.30% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, BLMN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.87% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of BLMN grows each year by 19.12%, which is quite nice.
BLMN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of BLMN decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)19.12%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
BLMN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-64.5%
EPS Next 2Y-13.3%
EPS Next 3Y-5.02%
7.54
-0.17 (-2.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners107.14%
Inst Owner Change0.6%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner Change7.09%
Market Cap641.35M
Analysts54.44
Price Target9.99 (32.49%)
Short Float %10.56%
Short Ratio2.8
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.87% |
Yearly Dividend0.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)19.12%
DP-64.5%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.82%
Min EPS beat(2)0.68%
Max EPS beat(2)2.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.76%
Max EPS beat(4)2.96%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.77%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)2.87%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)11.54%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-24.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-45.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.28%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)-45.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.42%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.51%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.27%
PT rev (1m)-16.79%
PT rev (3m)-36.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.47%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.57 | ||
| P/S | 0.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 86.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.81 | ||
| P/B | 4.73 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.23 |
EPS(TTM)1.69
EY22.41%
EPS(NY)1.35
Fwd EY17.94%
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY1.15%
OCF(TTM)2.68
OCFY35.57%
SpS46.44
BVpS1.59
TBVpS-5.96
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.78% | ||
| ROE | -94.47% | ||
| ROCE | 8.42% | ||
| ROIC | 6.66% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.41% | ||
| OM | 5.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 70.94% | ||
| FCFM | 0.19% |
ROA(3y)2.17%
ROA(5y)1.65%
ROE(3y)1.18%
ROE(5y)-770.59%
ROIC(3y)9.55%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.93%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.52%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.09%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-22.65%
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.95%
ROICexc growth 3Y-20.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.37%
OM growth 3Y-17.82%
OM growth 5Y1.66%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.36%
GM growth 5Y0.51%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 140.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.72 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 125.72% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.59% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 59.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
F-Score4
WACC8.86%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)141.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.75%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-35.74%
EPS 3Y-12.64%
EPS 5Y3.3%
EPS Q2Q%-15.71%
EPS Next Y-30.46%
EPS Next 2Y-13.3%
EPS Next 3Y-5.02%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.93%
Sales Q2Q%-12.19%
Revenue Next Year-11.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.79%
EBIT growth 3Y-18.98%
EBIT growth 5Y0.71%
EBIT Next Year32.37%
EBIT Next 3Y11.73%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-96.45%
FCF growth 3Y-70.21%
FCF growth 5Y-45.63%
OCF growth 1Y-57.15%
OCF growth 3Y-17.24%
OCF growth 5Y-6.4%