BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA New York Stock Exchange NYSE:BBAI • US08975B1098

4.265 USD
-0.29 (-6.47%)
Last: Feb 11, 2026, 01:16 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, BBAI scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BBAI was compared to 87 industry peers in the IT Services industry. BBAI scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. BBAI is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year BBAI has reported negative net income.
  • BBAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • BBAI had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years BBAI always reported negative operating cash flow.
BBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBBAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

  • BBAI has a worse Return On Assets (-47.25%) than 85.06% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI's Return On Equity of -71.24% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BBAI is outperformed by 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBBAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

  • With a Gross Margin value of 27.28%, BBAI is not doing good in the industry: 67.82% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • BBAI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • BBAI does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
BBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBBAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100 -150

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • BBAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • The number of shares outstanding for BBAI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BBAI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingBBAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
BBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBBAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.02 indicates that BBAI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • BBAI has a Altman-Z score (3.02) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • BBAI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • BBAI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.17. This is in the better half of the industry: BBAI outperforms 60.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.02
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.23%
BBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBBAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.13 indicates that BBAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • BBAI has a better Current ratio (3.13) than 80.46% of its industry peers.
  • BBAI has a Quick Ratio of 3.13. This indicates that BBAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BBAI's Quick ratio of 3.13 is amongst the best of the industry. BBAI outperforms 80.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
BBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBBAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • BBAI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -155.56%.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -6.95% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.81% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.86% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • BBAI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -2.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
BBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
BBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBBAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • BBAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BBAI. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBBAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BBAI Per share dataBBAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • BBAI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.86% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for BBAI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:BBAI (2/11/2026, 1:16:09 PM)

4.265

-0.29 (-6.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)11-10
Earnings (Next)03-04
Inst Owners34.16%
Inst Owner Change8.56%
Ins Owners0.73%
Ins Owner Change1.29%
Market Cap1.86B
Revenue(TTM)144.20M
Net Income(TTM)-434.57M
Analysts80
Price Target6.46 (51.47%)
Short Float %23.68%
Short Ratio1.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-272.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-658.55%
Max EPS beat(2)113.37%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-424.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-836.82%
Max EPS beat(4)113.37%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-255.37%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-192.26%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-485.24%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-11.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-13.39%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.14%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.68%
PT rev (1m)-5%
PT rev (3m)8.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)14.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)16.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 12.91
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 3.05
P/tB 4.15
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.15
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.25
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.08
OCFYN/A
SpS0.33
BVpS1.4
TBVpS1.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -47.25%
ROE -71.24%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 27.28%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-59.47%
ROA(5y)-42.13%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.17
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 53.09%
Cap/Sales 5.22%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.13
Quick Ratio 3.13
Altman-Z 3.02
F-Score5
WACC9.23%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)50.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-155.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
EPS Next Y-27.73%
EPS Next 2Y28.66%
EPS Next 3Y13.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.81%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-20.15%
Revenue Next Year-22.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year75.58%
EBIT Next 3Y27.38%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-34.59%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-21.43%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC / BBAI FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BBAI.


What is the valuation status of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of BBAI stock?

BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BBAI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BIGBEAR.AI HOLDINGS INC (BBAI) is expected to decline by -27.73% in the next year.