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BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:BAER - US96812F1021 - Common Stock

1.77 USD
-0.1 (-5.35%)
Last: 12/9/2025, 8:00:02 PM
1.78 USD
+0.01 (+0.56%)
After Hours: 12/9/2025, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Overall BAER gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated BAER against 82 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. BAER may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. BAER does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year BAER has reported negative net income.
BAER had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years BAER reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
BAER had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
BAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -24.21%, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 80.49% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
BAER has a Return On Equity of -173.88%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: BAER underperforms 84.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -24.21%
ROE -173.88%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-33.26%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-128.88%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

BAER has a better Gross Margin (41.77%) than 73.17% of its industry peers.
BAER does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 41.77%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
BAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

BAER does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
There is no outstanding debt for BAER. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
BAER Yearly Shares OutstandingBAER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
BAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

BAER has an Altman-Z score of -1.89. This is a bad value and indicates that BAER is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
BAER has a worse Altman-Z score (-1.89) than 82.93% of its industry peers.
BAER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of BAER (5.19) is worse than 87.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.89
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.84%
BAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that BAER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of BAER (1.56) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.53 indicates that BAER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.53, BAER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1.53
BAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

BAER shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 62.04%, which is quite impressive.
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.24%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, BAER will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 34.67% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, BAER will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 19.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y45.16%
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

BAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
BAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

BAER reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BAER. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
BAER Per share dataBAER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

BAER's earnings are expected to grow with 34.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for BAER!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD

NASDAQ:BAER (12/9/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 1.78 +0.01 (+0.56%)

1.77

-0.1 (-5.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2026-03-11
Inst Owners36.06%
Inst Owner Change7.21%
Ins Owners26%
Ins Owner Change23.49%
Market Cap98.31M
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)-68.20M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.36 (202.82%)
Short Float %1.94%
Short Ratio1.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.34
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 24.13
P/B 2.51
P/tB 12.11
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.52
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.09
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.07
OCFY4.14%
SpS1.32
BVpS0.71
TBVpS0.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -24.21%
ROE -173.88%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 41.77%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-33.26%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-128.88%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 93.75%
Cap/Sales 12.01%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.56
Quick Ratio 1.53
Altman-Z -1.89
F-Score4
WACC10.84%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)461.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
EPS Next Y45.16%
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.24%
Revenue Next Year18.43%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y68.95%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year170.97%
EBIT Next 3Y46.69%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-540.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y651.96%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD / BAER FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for BAER stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BAER.


What is the valuation status for BAER stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


What is the financial health of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

The financial health rating of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) is 2 / 10.