BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:BAER • US96812F1021

2.62 USD
+0.04 (+1.55%)
At close: Feb 19, 2026
2.62 USD
0 (0%)
Pre-Market: 2/20/2026, 5:34:20 AM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall BAER gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated BAER against 80 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. While BAER seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BAER is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year BAER has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year BAER had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • BAER had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: BAER reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
BAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • BAER has a worse Return On Assets (-6.49%) than 67.50% of its industry peers.
  • BAER has a worse Return On Equity (-25.88%) than 71.25% of its industry peers.
  • BAER has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.48%) than 67.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.49%
ROE -25.88%
ROIC 7.48%
ROA(3y)-39.65%
ROA(5y)-30.08%
ROE(3y)-161.05%
ROE(5y)-112.25%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of BAER (21.04%) is better than 96.25% of its industry peers.
  • BAER's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of BAER (44.22%) is better than 78.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of BAER has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 44.22%
OM growth 3Y-4.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.66%
GM growth 5YN/A
BAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BAER is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for BAER has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for BAER has been reduced compared to a year ago.
BAER Yearly Shares OutstandingBAER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
BAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • BAER has an Altman-Z score of -0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that BAER is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • BAER has a Altman-Z score of -0.51. This is in the lower half of the industry: BAER underperforms 78.75% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of BAER is 8.36, which is on the high side as it means it would take BAER, 8.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 8.36, BAER is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • BAER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.57. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.57, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 83.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.57
Debt/FCF 8.36
Altman-Z -0.51
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC10.4%
BAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • BAER has a Current Ratio of 3.95. This indicates that BAER is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BAER has a Current ratio of 3.95. This is amongst the best in the industry. BAER outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • BAER has a Quick Ratio of 3.90. This indicates that BAER is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BAER's Quick ratio of 3.90 is amongst the best of the industry. BAER outperforms 88.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.95
Quick Ratio 3.9
BAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 62.04% over the past year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 54.35% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • BAER shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 35.79% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.35%
Revenue growth 3Y35.79%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.24%

3.2 Future

  • BAER is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.67% yearly.
  • BAER is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 19.76% yearly.
EPS Next Y57.23%
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year30.18%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
BAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
BAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BAER. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Also next year BAER is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BAER is valued cheaper than 91.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, BAER is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.99
EV/EBITDA 6.64
BAER Per share dataBAER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as BAER's earnings are expected to grow with 34.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for BAER!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD

NASDAQ:BAER (2/19/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

Premarket: 2.62 0 (0%)

2.62

+0.04 (+1.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)03-11
Inst Owners36.06%
Inst Owner Change1.12%
Ins Owners26.18%
Ins Owner Change23.49%
Market Cap145.51M
Revenue(TTM)129.87M
Net Income(TTM)-20.17M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.36 (104.58%)
Short Float %0.78%
Short Ratio0.39
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)35.67%
Min EPS beat(2)13.36%
Max EPS beat(2)57.98%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.37%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.45%
Max EPS beat(4)57.98%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)80.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)37.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)123.32%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)93.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)37.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)155.65%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)22%
EPS NY rev (3m)22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-56.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.12
P/FCF 5.99
P/OCF 3.94
P/B 1.87
P/tB 2.85
EV/EBITDA 6.64
EPS(TTM)-0.52
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY16.69%
OCF(TTM)0.67
OCFY25.39%
SpS2.34
BVpS1.4
TBVpS0.92
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.49%
ROE -25.88%
ROCE 9.47%
ROIC 7.48%
ROICexc 9.24%
ROICexgc 10.45%
OM 21.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 44.22%
FCFM 18.7%
ROA(3y)-39.65%
ROA(5y)-30.08%
ROE(3y)-161.05%
ROE(5y)-112.25%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.04%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y1.63%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-4.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.66%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.57
Debt/FCF 8.36
Debt/EBITDA 4.53
Cap/Depr 74.97%
Cap/Sales 9.75%
Interest Coverage 1.21
Cash Conversion 83.58%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.95
Quick Ratio 3.9
Altman-Z -0.51
F-Score7
WACC10.4%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)203.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)680.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)37.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)129.42%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
EPS Next Y57.23%
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.35%
Revenue growth 3Y35.79%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.24%
Revenue Next Year30.18%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y359.31%
EBIT growth 3Y30.28%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year2600.84%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y137.16%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y184.99%
OCF growth 3Y15.82%
OCF growth 5YN/A

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD / BAER FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for BAER stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BAER.


What is the valuation status of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BAER stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) is expected to grow by 57.23% in the next year.