BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:BAER • US96812F1021

Current stock price

2 USD
-0.05 (-2.44%)
At close:
2 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This BAER fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. BAER Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year BAER has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year BAER had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years BAER reported 4 times negative net income.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: BAER reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
BAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • BAER has a Return On Assets of -6.94%. This is in the lower half of the industry: BAER underperforms 65.85% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -35.47%, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 70.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • BAER's Return On Invested Capital of 3.90% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. BAER outperforms 53.66% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.94%
ROE -35.47%
ROIC 3.9%
ROA(3y)-5.96%
ROA(5y)-27.48%
ROE(3y)-26.77%
ROE(5y)-110.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

  • BAER has a better Operating Margin (12.62%) than 80.49% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 42.08%, BAER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • BAER's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.62%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 42.08%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y16.01%
GM growth 5Y58.79%
BAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -200 -400 -600

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3

2. BAER Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BAER is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BAER has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for BAER has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BAER has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BAER Yearly Shares OutstandingBAER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
BAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.94, we must say that BAER is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of -0.94, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 79.27% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • BAER has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.28. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.28, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 84.15% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.28
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.94
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC12.24%
BAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.43 indicates that BAER has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.43, BAER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • BAER has a Quick Ratio of 2.33. This indicates that BAER is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BAER has a better Quick ratio (2.33) than 84.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.43
Quick Ratio 2.33
BAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. BAER Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 39.78% over the past year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 24.56% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • Measured over the past years, BAER shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 55.72% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.56%
Revenue growth 3Y38.35%
Revenue growth 5Y55.72%
Sales Q2Q%-45.16%

3.2 Future

  • No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
  • No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next Y69.04%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.18%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
  • No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
BAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
BAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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1

4. BAER Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • BAER reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year BAER is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, BAER is valued a bit cheaper than 69.51% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.46
BAER Per share dataBAER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. BAER Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • BAER does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

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BAER Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD

NASDAQ:BAER (3/13/2026, 8:10:57 PM)

After market: 2 0 (0%)

2

-0.05 (-2.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)03-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners39.86%
Inst Owner Change10.61%
Ins Owners26.18%
Ins Owner Change24.69%
Market Cap111.08M
Revenue(TTM)122.83M
Net Income(TTM)-22.94M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.36 (168%)
Short Float %0.7%
Short Ratio0.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.72%
Max EPS beat(2)13.36%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)15.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.72%
Max EPS beat(4)57.98%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)33.21%
Min Revenue beat(2)28.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)37.51%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)86.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)28.91%
Max Revenue beat(4)155.65%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-69.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-69.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.9
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 6.64
P/B 1.72
P/tB 2.94
EV/EBITDA 9.46
EPS(TTM)-0.56
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.18
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.3
OCFY15.06%
SpS2.21
BVpS1.16
TBVpS0.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.94%
ROE -35.47%
ROCE 4.94%
ROIC 3.9%
ROICexc 4.34%
ROICexgc 4.79%
OM 12.62%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 42.08%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-5.96%
ROA(5y)-27.48%
ROE(3y)-26.77%
ROE(5y)-110.98%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y16.01%
GM growth 5Y58.79%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.28
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.86
Cap/Depr 531.76%
Cap/Sales 66.98%
Interest Coverage 0.54
Cash Conversion 54.02%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.43
Quick Ratio 2.33
Altman-Z -0.94
F-Score6
WACC12.24%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)250.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)389.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.62%
Cap/Sales(5y)63.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-11.11%
EPS Next Y69.04%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.56%
Revenue growth 3Y38.35%
Revenue growth 5Y55.72%
Sales Q2Q%-45.16%
Revenue Next Year10.18%
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y171.07%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year243.26%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1692.61%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y78.86%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD / BAER Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for BAER stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to BAER.


What is the valuation status of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BAER stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) is expected to grow by 69.04% in the next year.