BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:BAER • US96812F1021

2.59 USD
-0.09 (-3.36%)
At close: Feb 13, 2026
2.6234 USD
+0.03 (+1.29%)
After Hours: 2/13/2026, 8:00:01 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, BAER scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. BAER was compared to 80 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. While BAER seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. BAER is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • BAER had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year BAER had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years BAER reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In multiple years BAER reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
BAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFBAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100M -200M -300M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -6.49%, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 68.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -25.88%, BAER is not doing good in the industry: 72.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.48%, BAER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.49%
ROE -25.88%
ROIC 7.48%
ROA(3y)-39.65%
ROA(5y)-30.08%
ROE(3y)-161.05%
ROE(5y)-112.25%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
BAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICBAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of BAER (21.04%) is better than 95.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of BAER has declined.
  • BAER has a better Gross Margin (44.22%) than 78.75% of its industry peers.
  • BAER's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 44.22%
OM growth 3Y-4.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.66%
GM growth 5YN/A
BAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsBAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so BAER is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for BAER has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, BAER has an improved debt to assets ratio.
BAER Yearly Shares OutstandingBAER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
BAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsBAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.50, we must say that BAER is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • BAER has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.50) than 78.75% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of BAER is 8.36, which is on the high side as it means it would take BAER, 8.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 8.36, BAER is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.57 is on the high side and indicates that BAER has dependencies on debt financing.
  • BAER's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.57 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. BAER is outperformed by 83.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.57
Debt/FCF 8.36
Altman-Z -0.5
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC10.34%
BAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFBAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • BAER has a Current Ratio of 3.95. This indicates that BAER is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of BAER (3.95) is better than 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • BAER has a Quick Ratio of 3.90. This indicates that BAER is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • BAER has a better Quick ratio (3.90) than 88.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.95
Quick Ratio 3.9
BAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesBAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • BAER shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 62.04%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, BAER shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 54.35%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 35.79% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.35%
Revenue growth 3Y35.79%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.24%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 34.67% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 19.76% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y57.23%
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year30.18%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
BAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesBAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
BAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesBAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • BAER reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for BAER. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
BAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsBAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 86.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BAER, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 93.75% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than BAER, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.92
EV/EBITDA 6.71
BAER Per share dataBAER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • BAER's earnings are expected to grow with 34.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for BAER!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD

NASDAQ:BAER (2/13/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 2.6234 +0.03 (+1.29%)

2.59

-0.09 (-3.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)03-11
Inst Owners36.06%
Inst Owner Change2.62%
Ins Owners26.18%
Ins Owner Change23.49%
Market Cap143.85M
Revenue(TTM)129.87M
Net Income(TTM)-20.17M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.36 (106.95%)
Short Float %0.76%
Short Ratio0.46
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)35.67%
Min EPS beat(2)13.36%
Max EPS beat(2)57.98%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.37%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.45%
Max EPS beat(4)57.98%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)80.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)37.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)123.32%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)93.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)37.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)155.65%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)22%
EPS NY rev (3m)22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-56.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)9.92%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.11
P/FCF 5.92
P/OCF 3.89
P/B 1.85
P/tB 2.82
EV/EBITDA 6.71
EPS(TTM)-0.52
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.17
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.44
FCFY16.89%
OCF(TTM)0.67
OCFY25.69%
SpS2.34
BVpS1.4
TBVpS0.92
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -6.49%
ROE -25.88%
ROCE 9.47%
ROIC 7.48%
ROICexc 9.24%
ROICexgc 10.45%
OM 21.04%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 44.22%
FCFM 18.7%
ROA(3y)-39.65%
ROA(5y)-30.08%
ROE(3y)-161.05%
ROE(5y)-112.25%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.04%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y1.63%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-4.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.66%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.57
Debt/FCF 8.36
Debt/EBITDA 4.53
Cap/Depr 74.97%
Cap/Sales 9.75%
Interest Coverage 1.21
Cash Conversion 83.58%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.95
Quick Ratio 3.9
Altman-Z -0.5
F-Score7
WACC10.34%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)203.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)680.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)37.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)129.42%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.35%
EPS Next Y57.23%
EPS Next 2Y34.67%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)54.35%
Revenue growth 3Y35.79%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.24%
Revenue Next Year30.18%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y359.31%
EBIT growth 3Y30.28%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year2600.84%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y137.16%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y184.99%
OCF growth 3Y15.82%
OCF growth 5YN/A

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD / BAER FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for BAER stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to BAER.


What is the valuation status of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) stock?

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for BAER stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of BRIDGER AEROSPACE GROUP HOLD (BAER) is expected to grow by 57.23% in the next year.