ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT INC (ARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:ARR - US0423157058 - REIT
15.03 USD
-0.16 (-1.05%)
15.0301 USD
0 (0%)
ARR gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 67 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. ARR has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ARR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ARR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ARR reported 4 times negative net income.
ARR had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ARR's Return On Assets of -0.25% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ARR is outperformed by 67.16% of its industry peers.
ARR has a Return On Equity of -2.46%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ARR underperforms 67.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.25% | ||
| ROE | -2.46% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-1.14%
ROA(5y)-1.48%
ROE(3y)-9.99%
ROE(5y)-10.72%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for ARR so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The number of shares outstanding for ARR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
ARR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ARR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.98, we must say that ARR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ARR has a Altman-Z score of -0.98. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ARR underperforms 91.04% of its industry peers.
ARR has a debt to FCF ratio of 48.52. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ARR would need 48.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ARR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (48.52) than 70.15% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.72 is on the high side and indicates that ARR has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ARR (7.72) is worse than 70.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.72 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.52 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.98 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.02 indicates that ARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ARR has a worse Current ratio (0.02) than 89.55% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that ARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.02, ARR is not doing good in the industry: 89.55% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ARR have decreased strongly by -15.80% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.48% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 16.26% in the past year. This is quite good.
ARR shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 48.97% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.8%
EPS 3Y56.5%
EPS 5Y9.48%
EPS Q2Q%-28.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.26%
Revenue growth 3Y114.12%
Revenue growth 5Y48.97%
Sales Q2Q%372.86%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, ARR will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -5.54% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, ARR will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 122.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-12.04%
EPS Next 2Y-3.8%
EPS Next 3Y-5.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year252.77%
Revenue Next 2Y122.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.41, the valuation of ARR can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ARR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.01% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.03, ARR is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.41 indicates a rather cheap valuation of ARR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ARR is valued cheaper than 97.01% of the companies in the same industry.
ARR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.63, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ARR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as ARR's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.47
EPS Next 2Y-3.8%
EPS Next 3Y-5.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 19.54%, ARR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
ARR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 12.25. ARR pays more dividend than 97.01% of the companies in the same industry.
ARR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.34.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.54% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ARR has a limited annual growth rate of 1.50%.
ARR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
ARR has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-506.69%
EPS Next 2Y-3.8%
EPS Next 3Y-5.54%
15.03
-0.16 (-1.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners48.99%
Inst Owner Change0.64%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change5.7%
Market Cap1.69B
Analysts72
Price Target17.68 (17.63%)
Short Float %6.82%
Short Ratio1.75
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 19.54% |
Yearly Dividend2.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.5%
DP-506.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.48%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-21.46%
Max EPS beat(4)0.42%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.05%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.72%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.86%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-32.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-40.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)-23.76%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-58.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-96.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)-23.76%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-73.04%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-78.27%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-94.15%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-14.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-8.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-13.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-24.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.41 | ||
| P/S | 2.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.41 | ||
| P/B | 1.02 | ||
| P/tB | 1.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)3.41
EY22.69%
EPS(NY)3.41
Fwd EY22.66%
FCF(TTM)2.35
FCFY15.6%
OCF(TTM)2.35
OCFY15.6%
SpS5.06
BVpS14.75
TBVpS14.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.47
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.25% | ||
| ROE | -2.46% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 46.32% |
ROA(3y)-1.14%
ROA(5y)-1.48%
ROE(3y)-9.99%
ROE(5y)-10.72%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.72 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 48.52 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.98 |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.8%
EPS 3Y56.5%
EPS 5Y9.48%
EPS Q2Q%-28.7%
EPS Next Y-12.04%
EPS Next 2Y-3.8%
EPS Next 3Y-5.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.26%
Revenue growth 3Y114.12%
Revenue growth 5Y48.97%
Sales Q2Q%372.86%
Revenue Next Year252.77%
Revenue Next 2Y122.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y74.56%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8.58%
FCF growth 3Y181.37%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y8.58%
OCF growth 3Y181.37%
OCF growth 5YN/A