AMERISAFE INC (AMSF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:AMSF - Nasdaq - US03071H1005 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AMSF. AMSF was compared to 142 industry peers in the Insurance industry. AMSF has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. AMSF is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AMSF had positive earnings in the past year.
AMSF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years AMSF has been profitable.
In the past 5 years AMSF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.10%, AMSF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 18.20%, AMSF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.32% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of AMSF (4.17%) is better than 78.17% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AMSF is in line with the industry average of 4.07%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 18.2% | ||
| ROIC | 4.17% |
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)4.96%
ROE(3y)20.1%
ROE(5y)19.3%
ROIC(3y)4.78%
ROIC(5y)4.81%
1.3 Margins
AMSF's Profit Margin of 15.84% is amongst the best of the industry. AMSF outperforms 84.51% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AMSF has declined.
AMSF's Operating Margin of 19.34% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AMSF outperforms 78.87% of its industry peers.
AMSF's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.84% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-3.47%
OM growth 5Y-8.09%
PM growth 3Y-5.13%
PM growth 5Y-6.1%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AMSF is destroying value.
AMSF has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AMSF has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AMSF has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AMSF has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC9.05%
2.3 Liquidity
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AMSF have decreased strongly by -12.27% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AMSF shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -11.34% on average per year.
AMSF shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.50%.
Measured over the past years, AMSF shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -3.91% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.27%
EPS 3Y-3.68%
EPS 5Y-11.34%
EPS Q2Q%-13.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.5%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.45%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.91%
Sales Q2Q%-9.81%
3.2 Future
AMSF is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.92% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.52% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-7.61%
EPS Next 2Y-4.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.35%
Revenue Next 2Y2.52%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.50 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AMSF.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AMSF indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AMSF is more expensive than 64.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AMSF is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.25, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.80, AMSF is valued on the expensive side.
AMSF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AMSF is more expensive than 71.13% of the companies in the same industry.
AMSF is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AMSF's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
AMSF's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. AMSF is more expensive than 80.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of AMSF may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AMSF's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AMSF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.31%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
AMSF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.09.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, AMSF pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.31% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AMSF decreases each year by -0.15%.
AMSF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.15%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
AMSF pays out 180.75% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AMSF's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP180.75%
EPS Next 2Y-4.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
NASDAQ:AMSF (6/2/2025, 12:17:10 PM)
47.38
-0.09 (-0.19%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners99.93%
Inst Owner Change1.26%
Ins Owners1.17%
Ins Owner Change4.14%
Market Cap902.59M
Analysts76
Price Target58.82 (24.15%)
Short Float %0.75%
Short Ratio1.31
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.31% |
Yearly Dividend4.47
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.15%
DP180.75%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.53%
Max EPS beat(2)4.89%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.06%
Max EPS beat(4)4.89%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.21%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.94%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.34%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.75%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.3%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.43%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.88%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.44%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.91%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.19%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.8 | ||
| P/S | 3.01 | ||
| P/FCF | 61 | ||
| P/OCF | 60.61 | ||
| P/B | 3.46 | ||
| P/tB | 3.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.59 |
EPS(TTM)2.43
EY5.13%
EPS(NY)2.28
Fwd EY4.81%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY1.64%
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY1.65%
SpS15.73
BVpS13.69
TBVpS13.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 18.2% | ||
| ROCE | 5.19% | ||
| ROIC | 4.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.93% | ||
| OM | 19.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.84% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 4.94% |
ROA(3y)4.74%
ROA(5y)4.96%
ROE(3y)20.1%
ROE(5y)19.3%
ROIC(3y)4.78%
ROIC(5y)4.81%
ROICexc(3y)4.99%
ROICexc(5y)5.03%
ROICexgc(3y)5.72%
ROICexgc(5y)5.69%
ROCE(3y)5.96%
ROCE(5y)5.99%
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.96%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.79%
OM growth 3Y-3.47%
OM growth 5Y-8.09%
PM growth 3Y-5.13%
PM growth 5Y-6.1%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 9.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.03% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 25.27% | ||
| Profit Quality | 31.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | N/A | ||
| Quick Ratio | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score4
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)92.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)99.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.37%
Profit Quality(3y)45.41%
Profit Quality(5y)52.83%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.27%
EPS 3Y-3.68%
EPS 5Y-11.34%
EPS Q2Q%-13.04%
EPS Next Y-7.61%
EPS Next 2Y-4.92%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.5%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.45%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.91%
Sales Q2Q%-9.81%
Revenue Next Year-1.35%
Revenue Next 2Y2.52%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.39%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.9%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.68%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-54.89%
FCF growth 3Y-13.99%
FCF growth 5Y-21.39%
OCF growth 1Y-56.96%
OCF growth 3Y-13.98%
OCF growth 5Y-21.04%