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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP (AGNCP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGNCP - Nasdaq - US00123Q2030 - Currency: USD

24.96  +0.05 (+0.2%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AGNCP. AGNCP was compared to 65 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNCP has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AGNCP is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AGNCP was profitable.
In the past year AGNCP had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AGNCP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AGNCP 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AGNCP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AGNCP (0.83%) is better than 70.77% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AGNCP (7.49%) is better than 83.08% of its industry peers.
AGNCP has a Return On Invested Capital (0.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.83%
ROE 7.49%
ROIC 0.78%
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

AGNCP has a better Profit Margin (18.72%) than 81.54% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNCP has declined.
The Operating Margin of AGNCP (22.11%) is better than 78.46% of its industry peers.
AGNCP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 24.92%, AGNCP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.23% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.11%
PM (TTM) 18.72%
GM 24.92%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
AGNCP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AGNCP has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AGNCP has more shares outstanding
AGNCP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGNCP Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
AGNCP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.94, we must say that AGNCP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -0.94, AGNCP is not doing good in the industry: 90.77% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGNCP has a debt to FCF ratio of 901.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNCP would need 901.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 901.61, AGNCP is doing worse than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.94. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AGNCP has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (7.94) than 81.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.94
Debt/FCF 901.61
Altman-Z -0.94
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.01 indicates that AGNCP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.01, AGNCP is not doing good in the industry: 93.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.01 indicates that AGNCP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.01, AGNCP is not doing good in the industry: 93.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
AGNCP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AGNCP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -29.20%.
AGNCP shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% yearly.
AGNCP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.15%.
Measured over the past years, AGNCP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.2%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-24.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%630%

3.2 Future

AGNCP is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -5.91% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCP will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 201.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-13.68%
EPS Next 2Y-7.47%
EPS Next 3Y-5.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1983.49%
Revenue Next 2Y404.58%
Revenue Next 3Y201.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AGNCP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1B 2B 3B
AGNCP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AGNCP is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.10.
AGNCP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 24.21. AGNCP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.26 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGNCP indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AGNCP is more expensive than 60.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.44, AGNCP is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.1
Fwd PE 15.26
AGNCP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

AGNCP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AGNCP is more expensive than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 275.43
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCP Per share dataAGNCP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGNCP's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.91% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.47%
EPS Next 3Y-5.91%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGNCP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 16.22%, which is a nice return.
AGNCP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 13.99.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, AGNCP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 16.22%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGNCP decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNCP has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGNCP has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
AGNCP Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

AGNCP pays out 169.77% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNCP has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP169.77%
EPS Next 2Y-7.47%
EPS Next 3Y-5.91%
AGNCP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
AGNCP Dividend Payout.AGNCP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCP (5/9/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

24.96

+0.05 (+0.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)04-21 2025-04-21/amc
Earnings (Next)07-21 2025-07-21/amc
Inst Owners41.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap23.69B
Analysts78.1
Price Target27.72 (11.06%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.28
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 16.22%
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP169.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date04-01 2025-04-01 (0.3828125)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-14.53%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-8.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.92%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.86%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.77%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)7.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-90.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-47.42%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-98.37%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-93.91%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-110.36%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-88.14%
PT rev (1m)0.13%
PT rev (3m)4.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.93%
Revenue NY rev (1m)7.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.1
Fwd PE 15.26
P/S 6.07
P/FCF 275.43
P/OCF 275.43
P/B 2.43
P/tB 2.56
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.77
EY7.09%
EPS(NY)1.64
Fwd EY6.55%
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY0.36%
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.36%
SpS4.11
BVpS10.29
TBVpS9.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.83%
ROE 7.49%
ROCE 8.7%
ROIC 0.78%
ROICexc 0.78%
ROICexgc 0.79%
OM 22.11%
PM (TTM) 18.72%
GM 24.92%
FCFM 2.2%
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.94
Debt/FCF 901.61
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 0.3
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 11.76%
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
Altman-Z -0.94
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.2%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-24.14%
EPS Next Y-13.68%
EPS Next 2Y-7.47%
EPS Next 3Y-5.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%630%
Revenue Next Year1983.49%
Revenue Next 2Y404.58%
Revenue Next 3Y201.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y456.77%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y172.88%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y172.88%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%