AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP (AGNCP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:AGNCP - Nasdaq - US00123Q2030 - Currency: USD
AGNCP gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 65 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AGNCP have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, AGNCP is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGNCP had positive earnings in the past year.
AGNCP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AGNCP reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AGNCP 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGNCP (0.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 3.33%, AGNCP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.69% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCP has a Return On Invested Capital (0.40%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.35% | ||
| ROE | 3.33% | ||
| ROIC | 0.4% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNCP has a Profit Margin (9.46%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNCP has declined.
AGNCP has a Operating Margin of 13.31%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGNCP outperforms 63.08% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNCP has remained more or less at the same level.
With a Gross Margin value of 16.54%, AGNCP is not doing good in the industry: 69.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNCP has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.46% | ||
| GM | 16.54% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The number of shares outstanding for AGNCP has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
AGNCP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGNCP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.95, we must say that AGNCP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGNCP has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.95) than 86.15% of its industry peers.
AGNCP has a debt to FCF ratio of 323.18. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNCP would need 323.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 323.18, AGNCP is not doing good in the industry: 69.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGNCP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 8.30, AGNCP is not doing good in the industry: 81.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 323.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.95 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
AGNCP has a Current Ratio of 0.02. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGNCP (0.02) is worse than 92.31% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNCP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AGNCP (0.02) is worse than 92.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AGNCP have decreased strongly by -29.20% in the last year.
AGNCP shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.15% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.2%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-24.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%630%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCP will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -5.57% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 201.74% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-11.35%
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1983.49%
Revenue Next 2Y404.58%
Revenue Next 3Y201.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.02 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCP.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AGNCP.
AGNCP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.52, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.01, which indicates a correct valuation of AGNCP.
AGNCP's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGNCP to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.25), we can say AGNCP is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGNCP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AGNCP is more expensive than 75.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 98.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGNCP's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.57% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGNCP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 15.81%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 14.00, AGNCP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
AGNCP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 15.81% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNCP decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNCP has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGNCP has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
395.81% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNCP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNCP has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP395.81%
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP
NASDAQ:AGNCP (6/6/2025, 8:00:00 PM)
24.82
-0.07 (-0.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners41.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap25.33B
Analysts78.1
Price Target27.72 (11.68%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 15.81% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP395.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.53%
Max EPS beat(2)7.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.58%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.43%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)6.38%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-49.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)-52.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)-47.42%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-84.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-97.85%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-90.88%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-106.22%
PT rev (1m)-1.05%
PT rev (3m)4.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)14.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.01 | ||
| P/S | 7.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 98.16 | ||
| P/OCF | 98.16 | ||
| P/B | 2.52 | ||
| P/tB | 2.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.77
EY7.13%
EPS(NY)1.65
Fwd EY6.66%
FCF(TTM)0.25
FCFY1.02%
OCF(TTM)0.25
OCFY1.02%
SpS3.46
BVpS9.84
TBVpS9.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.35% | ||
| ROE | 3.33% | ||
| ROCE | 4.62% | ||
| ROIC | 0.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.4% | ||
| OM | 13.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.46% | ||
| GM | 16.54% | ||
| FCFM | 7.31% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 323.18 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.95 |
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.2%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-24.14%
EPS Next Y-11.35%
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%630%
Revenue Next Year1983.49%
Revenue Next 2Y404.58%
Revenue Next 3Y201.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.25%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-61.38%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y-61.38%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%