Logo image of AGNCM

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.84971 PERP (AGNCM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGNCM - Nasdaq - US00123Q6098 - Currency: USD

24.65  +0.05 (+0.2%)

Fundamental Rating

3

AGNCM gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 65 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNCM has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. While showing a medium growth rate, AGNCM is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AGNCM had positive earnings in the past year.
AGNCM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCM reported negative net income in multiple years.
AGNCM had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
AGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.83%, AGNCM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 7.49%, AGNCM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.78%, AGNCM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.83%
ROE 7.49%
ROIC 0.78%
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 18.72%, AGNCM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.08% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNCM has declined.
AGNCM's Operating Margin of 22.11% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCM outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNCM has remained more or less at the same level.
AGNCM has a Gross Margin (24.92%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNCM has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.11%
PM (TTM) 18.72%
GM 24.92%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
AGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

Compared to 1 year ago, AGNCM has more shares outstanding
AGNCM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGNCM has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
AGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.92, we must say that AGNCM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AGNCM (-0.92) is worse than 92.31% of its industry peers.
AGNCM has a debt to FCF ratio of 901.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNCM would need 901.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGNCM's Debt to FCF ratio of 901.61 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCM is outperformed by 67.69% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.94 is on the high side and indicates that AGNCM has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AGNCM (7.94) is worse than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.94
Debt/FCF 901.61
Altman-Z -0.92
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

AGNCM has a Current Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGNCM has a Current ratio of 0.01. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCM underperforms 92.31% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.01 indicates that AGNCM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNCM has a Quick ratio of 0.01. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCM underperforms 92.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
AGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AGNCM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -29.20%.
Measured over the past years, AGNCM shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% on average per year.
AGNCM shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.15%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.2%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-24.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%630%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCM will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -5.57% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCM will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 201.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-11.35%
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1983.49%
Revenue Next 2Y404.58%
Revenue Next 3Y201.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1B 2B 3B
AGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.93, which indicates a correct valuation of AGNCM.
61.54% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGNCM, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.19. AGNCM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.91 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCM.
AGNCM's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGNCM to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.13), we can say AGNCM is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.93
Fwd PE 14.91
AGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

67.69% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AGNCM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 292.47
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCM Per share dataAGNCM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGNCM's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.57% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 16.36%, AGNCM is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 14.38, AGNCM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
AGNCM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.40.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 16.36%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGNCM decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNCM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of AGNCM decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
AGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

AGNCM pays out 169.77% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGNCM's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP169.77%
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%
AGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
AGNCM Dividend Payout.AGNCM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.84971 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCM (5/29/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

24.65

+0.05 (+0.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)04-21 2025-04-21/amc
Earnings (Next)07-21 2025-07-21/amc
Inst Owners41.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap25.15B
Analysts78.1
Price Target27.25 (10.55%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.37
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 16.36%
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP169.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date04-01 2025-04-01 (0.55632)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-14.53%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-8.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.92%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.86%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.77%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)7.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-90.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-47.42%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-98.37%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-93.91%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-110.36%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-88.14%
PT rev (1m)-2.35%
PT rev (3m)0.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.93
Fwd PE 14.91
P/S 6.44
P/FCF 292.47
P/OCF 292.47
P/B 2.58
P/tB 2.72
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.77
EY7.18%
EPS(NY)1.65
Fwd EY6.71%
FCF(TTM)0.08
FCFY0.34%
OCF(TTM)0.08
OCFY0.34%
SpS3.83
BVpS9.57
TBVpS9.05
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.83%
ROE 7.49%
ROCE 8.7%
ROIC 0.78%
ROICexc 0.78%
ROICexgc 0.79%
OM 22.11%
PM (TTM) 18.72%
GM 24.92%
FCFM 2.2%
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.94
Debt/FCF 901.61
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 0.3
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 11.76%
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
Altman-Z -0.92
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.2%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-24.14%
EPS Next Y-11.35%
EPS Next 2Y-6.96%
EPS Next 3Y-5.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.15%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%630%
Revenue Next Year1983.49%
Revenue Next 2Y404.58%
Revenue Next 3Y201.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y456.77%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y172.88%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y172.88%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%