11.06 USD
-0.1 (-0.9%)
11.05 USD
-0.01 (-0.09%)
AGNC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNC while its profitability can be described as average. AGNC has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGNC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGNC had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AGNC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AGNC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGNC (0.63%) is better than 72.06% of its industry peers.
AGNC has a better Return On Equity (6.00%) than 85.29% of its industry peers.
AGNC has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGNC outperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 18.05%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 22.01%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
AGNC's Gross Margin of 25.11% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 47.06% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
AGNC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGNC has an Altman-Z score of -1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -1.03, AGNC is doing worse than 95.59% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC has a debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNC would need 157.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGNC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNC outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
AGNC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AGNC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 8.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGNC underperforms 72.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGNC (0.02) is worse than 88.24% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNC's Quick ratio of 0.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGNC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -28.04%.
AGNC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -7.48% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -6.06% on average over the next years.
AGNC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 204.03% yearly.
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.18, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
85.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGNC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
AGNC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.92.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.84, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaper than 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AGNC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of AGNC may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AGNC's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.43%, AGNC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 11.16, AGNC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
AGNC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.94.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.43% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
221.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
11.06
-0.1 (-0.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.98%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change-4.79%
Market Cap11.86B
Revenue(TTM)3.81B
Net Income(TTM)687.00M
Analysts77
Price Target10.41 (-5.88%)
Short Float %5.51%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.43% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP221.4%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.32%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.53%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-57.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-83.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-66.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-99.31%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.84 | ||
| P/S | 3.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.64 | ||
| P/B | 1.04 | ||
| P/tB | 1.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.54
EY13.92%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY14.61%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY5.09%
OCF(TTM)0.56
OCFY5.09%
SpS3.55
BVpS10.67
TBVpS10.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROCE | 7.23% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.63% | ||
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% | ||
| FCFM | 15.87% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.32%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8528.57%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y8528.57%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AGNC stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to decline by -18.31% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?
The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.