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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:AGNC - US00123Q1040 - REIT

11.295 USD
-0.05 (-0.48%)
Last: 1/14/2026, 9:53:09 AM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, AGNC scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGNC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNC while its profitability can be described as average. AGNC has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGNC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years AGNC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years AGNC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AGNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AGNC (0.63%) is better than 72.06% of its industry peers.
  • AGNC's Return On Equity of 6.00% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNC outperforms 85.29% of its industry peers.
  • AGNC has a better Return On Invested Capital (0.62%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.63%
ROE 6%
ROIC 0.62%
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AGNC (18.05%) is better than 83.82% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNC has declined.
  • AGNC has a Operating Margin of 22.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
  • AGNC has a Gross Margin of 25.11%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNC outperforms 47.06% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.01%
PM (TTM) 18.05%
GM 25.11%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
AGNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AGNC is higher compared to a year ago.
AGNC Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
AGNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.03, we must say that AGNC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGNC has a worse Altman-Z score (-1.03) than 95.59% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNC is 157.31, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGNC, 157.31 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AGNC's Debt to FCF ratio of 157.31 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30 is on the high side and indicates that AGNC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AGNC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (8.30) than 72.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.3
Debt/FCF 157.31
Altman-Z -1.03
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AGNC has a Current Ratio of 0.02. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGNC has a worse Current ratio (0.02) than 88.24% of its industry peers.
  • AGNC has a Quick Ratio of 0.02. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGNC has a worse Quick ratio (0.02) than 88.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.02
Quick Ratio 0.02
AGNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -28.04% in the last year.
  • AGNC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% yearly.
  • AGNC shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.48%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -6.06% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 204.03% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AGNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1B 2B 3B
AGNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.33, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGNC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.99, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaper than 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.04. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.33
Fwd PE 6.99
AGNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGNC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.06
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNC Per share dataAGNC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AGNC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • AGNC's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.06% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AGNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.03%, which is a nice return.
  • AGNC's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 10.90.
  • AGNC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.92.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.03%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
  • AGNC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
AGNC Yearly Dividends per shareAGNC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 221.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AGNC's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
AGNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
AGNC Dividend Payout.AGNC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP

NASDAQ:AGNC (1/14/2026, 9:53:09 AM)

11.295

-0.05 (-0.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)10-20
Earnings (Next)02-02
Inst Owners39.98%
Inst Owner Change0.81%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change-4.79%
Market Cap12.12B
Revenue(TTM)3.81B
Net Income(TTM)687.00M
Analysts77
Price Target10.41 (-7.84%)
Short Float %5.51%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.03%
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP221.4%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.32%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.53%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-57.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-83.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-66.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-99.31%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.33
Fwd PE 6.99
P/S 3.18
P/FCF 20.06
P/OCF 20.06
P/B 1.06
P/tB 1.11
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.54
EY13.63%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY14.31%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY4.98%
OCF(TTM)0.56
OCFY4.98%
SpS3.55
BVpS10.67
TBVpS10.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.23
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.63%
ROE 6%
ROCE 7.23%
ROIC 0.62%
ROICexc 0.62%
ROICexgc 0.63%
OM 22.01%
PM (TTM) 18.05%
GM 25.11%
FCFM 15.87%
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.3
Debt/FCF 157.31
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 87.92%
Current Ratio 0.02
Quick Ratio 0.02
Altman-Z -1.03
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.32%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8528.57%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y8528.57%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.


What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AGNC stock?

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to decline by -18.31% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?

The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.