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AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL (AEL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AEL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0256762065 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

56.47  +0.31 (+0.55%)

After market: 56.47 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AEL. AEL was compared to 143 industry peers in the Insurance industry. While AEL seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AEL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AEL was profitable.
In the past year AEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AEL has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AEL had a positive operating cash flow.
AEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

AEL's Return On Assets of 0.21% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AEL is outperformed by 69.29% of its industry peers.
AEL has a worse Return On Equity (5.52%) than 61.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.21%
ROE 5.52%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.79%
ROA(5y)0.72%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)15.57%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

AEL has a Profit Margin (5.85%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AEL has declined.
AEL's Operating Margin of 52.33% is amongst the best of the industry. AEL outperforms 97.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 52.33%
PM (TTM) 5.85%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-39.39%
PM growth 5Y-27.69%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AEL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, AEL has less shares outstanding
AEL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AEL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AEL Yearly Shares OutstandingAEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
AEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of AEL is 0.22, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AEL, only 0.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.22, AEL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.57% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that AEL is not too dependend on debt financing.
AEL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.29. This is in the better half of the industry: AEL outperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 0.22
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.32%
AEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
AEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 10M 20M 30M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 89.20% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.07% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 97.17% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 13.00% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)89.2%
EPS 3Y117.68%
EPS 5Y10.07%
EPS Q2Q%151.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)97.17%
Revenue growth 3Y5.51%
Revenue growth 5Y13%
Sales Q2Q%24.24%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.70% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.89% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%
EPS Next 5Y-0.7%
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y6.44%
Revenue Next 5Y6.89%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
AEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.50, the valuation of AEL can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.11), we can say AEL is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.63, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AEL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AEL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AEL is cheaper than 69.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.78, AEL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.5
Fwd PE 7.63
AEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

AEL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AEL is cheaper than 91.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.15
EV/EBITDA -2.49
AEL Per share dataAEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AEL has a yearly dividend return of 0.67%, which is pretty low.
AEL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 3.46.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.67, AEL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.39.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.67%

5.2 History

The dividend of AEL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.46%!
AEL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AEL Yearly Dividends per shareAEL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

26.19% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AEL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP26.19%
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%
AEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B
AEL Dividend Payout.AEL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AEL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL

NYSE:AEL (5/2/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 56.47 0 (0%)

56.47

+0.31 (+0.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)05-01 2024-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)08-05 2024-08-05/amc
Inst Owners14.71%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners18.55%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.48B
Analysts50
Price Target56.1 (-0.66%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.67%
Yearly Dividend0.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.46%
DP26.19%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.93%
Min EPS beat(2)12.78%
Max EPS beat(2)41.09%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)16.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.82%
Max EPS beat(4)41.09%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)17.33%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)15.86%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.13%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)17.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)40.46%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)22.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)69.59%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.11%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)23.56%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)19.8%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.5
Fwd PE 7.63
P/S 1.57
P/FCF 1.15
P/OCF 1.14
P/B 1.48
P/tB 1.48
EV/EBITDA -2.49
EPS(TTM)7.53
EY13.33%
EPS(NY)7.4
Fwd EY13.1%
FCF(TTM)48.99
FCFY86.75%
OCF(TTM)49.62
OCFY87.87%
SpS35.9
BVpS38.08
TBVpS38.08
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.21%
ROE 5.52%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 52.33%
PM (TTM) 5.85%
GM N/A
FCFM 136.45%
ROA(3y)0.79%
ROA(5y)0.72%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)15.57%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-39.39%
PM growth 5Y-27.69%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 0.22
Debt/EBITDA 0.49
Cap/Depr 17.37%
Cap/Sales 1.76%
Interest Coverage 29.82
Cash Conversion 221.32%
Profit Quality 2332.17%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score7
WACC8.32%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)10.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)7.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.16%
Profit Quality(3y)1160.31%
Profit Quality(5y)1008.72%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)89.2%
EPS 3Y117.68%
EPS 5Y10.07%
EPS Q2Q%151.9%
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%
EPS Next 5Y-0.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)97.17%
Revenue growth 3Y5.51%
Revenue growth 5Y13%
Sales Q2Q%24.24%
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y6.44%
Revenue Next 5Y6.89%
EBIT growth 1Y2774.39%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y94.18%
FCF growth 3Y44.4%
FCF growth 5Y151.19%
OCF growth 1Y92.73%
OCF growth 3Y44.53%
OCF growth 5Y146.6%