Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AAIC - US0413562051 - REIT
4.84 USD
+0.07 (+1.47%)
4.84 USD
0 (0%)
AAIC gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AAIC have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, AAIC is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AAIC was profitable.
AAIC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
1.2 Ratios
AAIC has a worse Return On Assets (-0.27%) than 65.63% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -1.08%, AAIC is doing worse than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
AAIC has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.19%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAIC underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAIC has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 4.02%, AAIC is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AAIC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AAIC has a Gross Margin (36.78%) which is in line with its industry peers.
AAIC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% |
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The number of shares outstanding for AAIC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AAIC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -3.28, we must say that AAIC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -3.28, AAIC is doing worse than 98.44% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01 is on the high side and indicates that AAIC has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.01, AAIC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAIC's Current ratio of 0.36 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC outperforms 57.81% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAIC has a Quick ratio of 0.36. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAIC outperforms 57.81% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 17.39% over the past year.
The earnings per share for AAIC have been decreasing by -33.34% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 17.04% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, AAIC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -16.37% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.19% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, AAIC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.93, the valuation of AAIC can be described as rather expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AAIC.
AAIC is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.57 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AAIC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AAIC is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.31% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.88. AAIC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AAIC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AAIC's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for AAIC!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
4.84
+0.07 (+1.47%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap137.07M
Revenue(TTM)52.20M
Net Income(TTM)-2.30M
Analysts77.78
Price Target5.61 (15.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.16%
DP-86.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(4)16.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.25%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)21.86%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)20.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)114.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)234.03%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)82.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)234.03%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)85.94%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)80.72%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)39.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)18.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 | ||
| P/S | 2.63 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.64 | ||
| P/tB | 0.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.27
EY5.58%
EPS(NY)0.28
Fwd EY5.69%
FCF(TTM)-0.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.43
OCFYN/A
SpS1.84
BVpS7.52
TBVpS7.52
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROCE | 0.67% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.2% | ||
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.72%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.79%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-78.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-30.12%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-258.44%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
Arlington Asset Investment Corp / AAIC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AAIC.
What is the valuation status for AAIC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for Arlington Asset Investment Corp?
Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 17.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.64.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AAIC stock?
The dividend rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -86.96%.