Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AAIC • US0413562051

4.84 USD
+0.07 (+1.47%)
At close: Dec 13, 2023
4.84 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/13/2023, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

2

AAIC gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 70 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AAIC may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, AAIC is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AAIC was profitable.
  • AAIC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
AAIC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAIC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • AAIC's Return On Assets of -0.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 65.63% of its industry peers.
  • AAIC has a Return On Equity of -1.08%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAIC underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • AAIC's Return On Invested Capital of 0.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.27%
ROE -1.08%
ROIC 0.19%
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AAIC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAIC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • AAIC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AAIC has a worse Operating Margin (4.02%) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • AAIC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AAIC has a Gross Margin (36.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AAIC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 36.78%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
AAIC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAIC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -500 -1K

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AAIC has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AAIC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAIC Yearly Shares OutstandingAAIC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M
AAIC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAIC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • AAIC has an Altman-Z score of -3.28. This is a bad value and indicates that AAIC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -3.28, AAIC is doing worse than 98.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01 is on the high side and indicates that AAIC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AAIC's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -3.28
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AAIC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAIC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • AAIC has a Current Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that AAIC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AAIC has a Current ratio (0.36) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AAIC has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that AAIC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.36, AAIC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.36
AAIC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAIC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AAIC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.39%, which is quite good.
  • The earnings per share for AAIC have been decreasing by -33.34% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, AAIC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 17.04% in the last year.
  • AAIC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -16.37% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AAIC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -4.19% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AAIC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AAIC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAIC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M
AAIC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAIC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4 5

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AAIC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.93.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AAIC.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.16. AAIC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.57 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AAIC.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAIC indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AAIC is more expensive than 70.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.10. AAIC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.93
Fwd PE 17.57
AAIC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAIC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AAIC Per share dataAAIC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AAIC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as AAIC's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AAIC does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

Arlington Asset Investment Corp

NYSE:AAIC (12/13/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 4.84 0 (0%)

4.84

+0.07 (+1.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)11-13
Earnings (Next)03-29
Inst Owners43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap137.07M
Revenue(TTM)52.20M
Net Income(TTM)-2.30M
Analysts77.78
Price Target5.61 (15.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.16%
DP-86.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(4)16.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.25%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)21.86%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)20.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)114.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)234.03%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)82.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)234.03%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)85.94%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)80.72%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)39.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)18.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.93
Fwd PE 17.57
P/S 2.63
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.64
P/tB 0.64
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.27
EY5.58%
EPS(NY)0.28
Fwd EY5.69%
FCF(TTM)-0.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.43
OCFYN/A
SpS1.84
BVpS7.52
TBVpS7.52
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.27%
ROE -1.08%
ROCE 0.67%
ROIC 0.19%
ROICexc 0.19%
ROICexgc 0.2%
OM 4.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 36.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.72%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.79%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 0.07
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.36
Altman-Z -3.28
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-78.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-30.12%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-258.44%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

Arlington Asset Investment Corp / AAIC FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AAIC.


What is the valuation status for AAIC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Arlington Asset Investment Corp?

Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 17.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.64.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AAIC stock?

The dividend rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -86.96%.