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REPSOL SA (1REP.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1REP - Euronext Milan - ES0173516115 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

11.785  +0.81 (+7.43%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to 1REP. 1REP was compared to 59 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of 1REP have multiple concerns. 1REP is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1REP had positive earnings in the past year.
1REP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
1REP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years 1REP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1REP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1REP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B 8B

1.2 Ratios

1REP has a worse Return On Assets (2.68%) than 72.88% of its industry peers.
1REP's Return On Equity of 6.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1REP is outperformed by 76.27% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.54%, 1REP is doing worse than 76.27% of the companies in the same industry.
1REP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.89%. This is significantly below the industry average of 15.65%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.54%) for 1REP is well below the 3 year average (8.89%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that 1REP had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.68%
ROE 6.4%
ROIC 4.54%
ROA(3y)4.91%
ROA(5y)2.45%
ROE(3y)11.61%
ROE(5y)5.85%
ROIC(3y)8.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1REP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1REP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

1REP has a Profit Margin of 2.97%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1REP underperforms 79.66% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1REP has declined.
1REP's Operating Margin of 5.06% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1REP is outperformed by 81.36% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1REP has remained more or less at the same level.
1REP has a worse Gross Margin (24.51%) than 79.66% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1REP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.06%
PM (TTM) 2.97%
GM 24.51%
OM growth 3Y-24.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.14%
PM growth 3Y-15.4%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
1REP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1REP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1REP is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for 1REP has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1REP has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, 1REP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
1REP.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1REP.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
1REP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1REP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.42, we must say that 1REP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of 1REP (1.42) is worse than 66.10% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1REP is 51.58, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1REP, 51.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1REP (51.58) is worse than 71.19% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36 indicates that 1REP is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.36, 1REP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 51.58
Altman-Z 1.42
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC6.29%
1REP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1REP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.36 indicates that 1REP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.36, 1REP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.46% of the companies in the same industry.
1REP has a Quick Ratio of 1.36. This is a bad value and indicates that 1REP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1REP has a Quick ratio of 0.96. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1REP underperforms 71.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 0.96
1REP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1REP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1REP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.85%.
Measured over the past years, 1REP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 18.66% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.10% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.85%
EPS 3Y18.66%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-46.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.72%
Revenue growth 5Y2.98%
Sales Q2Q%-8.92%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1REP will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.08% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.62% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.92%
EPS Next 3Y0.36%
EPS Next 5Y1.08%
Revenue Next Year-2.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.11%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.62%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1REP.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1REP.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20B 40B 60B
1REP.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1REP.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 4.38 indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1REP.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1REP is valued cheaper than 86.44% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of 1REP to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.03), we can say 1REP is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 5.25, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1REP.
1REP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. 1REP is cheaper than 88.14% of the companies in the same industry.
1REP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.94.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.38
Fwd PE 5.25
1REP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1REP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

71.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1REP, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1REP indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: 1REP is more expensive than 71.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 56.83
EV/EBITDA 2.68
1REP.MI Per share data1REP.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-3.92%
EPS Next 3Y0.36%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1REP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.77%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 60.18, 1REP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
1REP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.77%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of 1REP grows each year by 32.62%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

67.98% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1REP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
1REP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP67.98%
EPS Next 2Y-3.92%
EPS Next 3Y0.36%
1REP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1REP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B
1REP.MI Dividend Payout.1REP.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1REP.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

REPSOL SA

BIT:1REP (5/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

11.785

+0.81 (+7.43%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)04-07 2025-04-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-07 2025-07-07/bmo
Inst Owners33.43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.64B
Analysts70.32
Price Target13.77 (16.84%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.77%
Yearly Dividend0.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.62%
DP67.98%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.85%
Max EPS beat(2)18.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.61%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.85%
Max EPS beat(4)22.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)16.72%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)13.85%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)13.09%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)-8.34%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.18%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-8.34%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.72%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-8.52%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-9.32%
PT rev (1m)-4.92%
PT rev (3m)-5.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.62%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.38
Fwd PE 5.25
P/S 0.24
P/FCF 56.83
P/OCF 2.75
P/B 0.51
P/tB 0.58
EV/EBITDA 2.68
EPS(TTM)2.69
EY22.83%
EPS(NY)2.24
Fwd EY19.05%
FCF(TTM)0.21
FCFY1.76%
OCF(TTM)4.29
OCFY36.4%
SpS49.35
BVpS22.89
TBVpS20.19
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.68%
ROE 6.4%
ROCE 6.08%
ROIC 4.54%
ROICexc 5.31%
ROICexgc 5.75%
OM 5.06%
PM (TTM) 2.97%
GM 24.51%
FCFM 0.42%
ROA(3y)4.91%
ROA(5y)2.45%
ROE(3y)11.61%
ROE(5y)5.85%
ROIC(3y)8.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)11.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.06%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.91%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-29.75%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.93%
OM growth 3Y-24.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.14%
PM growth 3Y-15.4%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 51.58
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 159.95%
Cap/Sales 8.27%
Interest Coverage 7.2
Cash Conversion 84.97%
Profit Quality 14.15%
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.42
F-Score4
WACC6.29%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)161.65%
Cap/Depr(5y)133.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.95%
Profit Quality(3y)62.72%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.85%
EPS 3Y18.66%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-46.94%
EPS Next Y-16.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.92%
EPS Next 3Y0.36%
EPS Next 5Y1.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.72%
Revenue growth 5Y2.98%
Sales Q2Q%-8.92%
Revenue Next Year-2.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.11%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.62%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.2%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.11%
EBIT growth 5Y2.83%
EBIT Next Year53.91%
EBIT Next 3Y18.02%
EBIT Next 5Y9.85%
FCF growth 1Y-89.2%
FCF growth 3Y-55.78%
FCF growth 5Y-31.76%
OCF growth 1Y-23.74%
OCF growth 3Y2.01%
OCF growth 5Y0.47%