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EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1EXPE - Euronext Milan - US30212P3038 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

188.4  -4.98 (-2.58%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall 1EXPE gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated 1EXPE against 56 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While 1EXPE belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. 1EXPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1EXPE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year 1EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years 1EXPE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years 1EXPE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1EXPE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1EXPE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

1EXPE has a Return On Assets of 5.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1EXPE outperforms 69.09% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of 1EXPE (78.87%) is better than 96.36% of its industry peers.
1EXPE has a better Return On Invested Capital (13.93%) than 78.18% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1EXPE is in line with the industry average of 11.15%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.99%) for 1EXPE is below the current ROIC(13.93%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.49%
ROE 78.87%
ROIC 13.93%
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1EXPE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1EXPE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

1EXPE has a better Profit Margin (8.97%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
1EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 12.15%, 1EXPE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.36% of the companies in the same industry.
1EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 89.44%, 1EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.09% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1EXPE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.97%
GM 89.44%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
1EXPE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1EXPE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1EXPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1EXPE has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for 1EXPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1EXPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
1EXPE.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1EXPE.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
1EXPE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1EXPE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.45, we must say that 1EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.45, 1EXPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.09% of the companies in the same industry.
1EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.69. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as 1EXPE would need 2.69 years to pay back of all of its debts.
1EXPE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.69. This is in the better half of the industry: 1EXPE outperforms 76.36% of its industry peers.
1EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.35. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of 1EXPE (3.35) is worse than 61.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.35
Debt/FCF 2.69
Altman-Z 1.45
ROIC/WACC1.68
WACC8.31%
1EXPE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1EXPE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.72 indicates that 1EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.72, 1EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 65.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1EXPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that 1EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1EXPE has a worse Quick ratio (0.72) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
1EXPE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1EXPE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.64%, which is quite impressive.
1EXPE shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 14.87% yearly.
1EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.64%.
1EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.56% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.64%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%38.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%10.29%

3.2 Future

1EXPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.71% yearly.
1EXPE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.45% yearly.
EPS Next Y18.93%
EPS Next 2Y18.99%
EPS Next 3Y17.5%
EPS Next 5Y16.71%
Revenue Next Year6.61%
Revenue Next 2Y6.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.06%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
1EXPE.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1EXPE.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
1EXPE.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1EXPE.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 10 20 30

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.76, which indicates a correct valuation of 1EXPE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1EXPE is cheaper than 76.36% of the companies listed in the same industry.
1EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.32.
1EXPE is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.09.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1EXPE is cheaper than 74.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.13. 1EXPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.76
Fwd PE 14.09
1EXPE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1EXPE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as 1EXPE.
1EXPE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1EXPE is cheaper than 69.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.35
EV/EBITDA 11.16
1EXPE.MI Per share data1EXPE.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of 1EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
1EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 17.50% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)1.13
EPS Next 2Y18.99%
EPS Next 3Y17.5%

2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1EXPE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.02%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.28, 1EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.02, 1EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.40.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.02%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y18.99%
EPS Next 3Y17.5%
1EXPE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1EXPE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

BIT:1EXPE (3/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

188.4

-4.98 (-2.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-06 2025-02-06/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/amc
Inst Owners97.28%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.45%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap24.28B
Analysts72.56
Price Target205.47 (9.06%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.02%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)7.08%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.95%
Max EPS beat(2)15.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)53.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.95%
Max EPS beat(4)187.08%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-17.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-10.27%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.66%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.98%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.89%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.33%
PT rev (1m)8%
PT rev (3m)33.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)88.97%
EPS NQ rev (3m)702.93%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.75%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.76
Fwd PE 14.09
P/S 1.93
P/FCF 11.35
P/OCF 8.57
P/B 16.98
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.16
EPS(TTM)11.24
EY5.97%
EPS(NY)13.37
Fwd EY7.1%
FCF(TTM)16.6
FCFY8.81%
OCF(TTM)21.99
OCFY11.67%
SpS97.57
BVpS11.1
TBVpS-43.5
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)1.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.49%
ROE 78.87%
ROCE 18.96%
ROIC 13.93%
ROICexc 28.48%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 12.15%
PM (TTM) 8.97%
GM 89.44%
FCFM 17.01%
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y125.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.57%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.35
Debt/FCF 2.69
Debt/EBITDA 2.09
Cap/Depr 90.21%
Cap/Sales 5.52%
Interest Coverage 7.2
Cash Conversion 123.3%
Profit Quality 189.66%
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 1.45
F-Score8
WACC8.31%
ROIC/WACC1.68
Cap/Depr(3y)92.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.19%
Profit Quality(3y)403.1%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.64%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%38.95%
EPS Next Y18.93%
EPS Next 2Y18.99%
EPS Next 3Y17.5%
EPS Next 5Y16.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%10.29%
Revenue Next Year6.61%
Revenue Next 2Y6.83%
Revenue Next 3Y7.06%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%
EBIT growth 1Y13.43%
EBIT growth 3Y85.19%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year133.26%
EBIT Next 3Y40.4%
EBIT Next 5Y26.87%
FCF growth 1Y26.3%
FCF growth 3Y-8.85%
FCF growth 5Y7.7%
OCF growth 1Y14.68%
OCF growth 3Y-6.28%
OCF growth 5Y2.2%