ZUMIEZ INC (ZUMZ) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:ZUMZ - Nasdaq - US9898171015 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall ZUMZ gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated ZUMZ against 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ZUMZ has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. While showing a medium growth rate, ZUMZ is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ZUMZ had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ZUMZ had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years ZUMZ reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years ZUMZ 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
ZUMZ has a Return On Assets (0.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 0.25%, ZUMZ perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.45% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.39%, ZUMZ is not doing good in the industry: 61.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.12% | ||
| ROE | 0.25% | ||
| ROIC | 0.39% |
ROA(3y)-2.3%
ROA(5y)2.92%
ROE(3y)-4.36%
ROE(5y)5.23%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 0.08%, ZUMZ perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ZUMZ's Operating Margin of 0.25% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ZUMZ is outperformed by 62.10% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ZUMZ has declined.
The Gross Margin of ZUMZ (34.20%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ZUMZ's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.08% | ||
| GM | 34.2% |
OM growth 3Y-69.24%
OM growth 5Y-45.83%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.98%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ZUMZ has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ZUMZ has less shares outstanding
ZUMZ has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
ZUMZ has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.50 indicates that ZUMZ is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
ZUMZ has a Altman-Z score of 2.50. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ZUMZ outperforms 57.26% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for ZUMZ. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.5 |
ROIC/WACC0.04
WACC8.87%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.91 indicates that ZUMZ should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ZUMZ's Current ratio of 1.91 is amongst the best of the industry. ZUMZ outperforms 82.26% of its industry peers.
ZUMZ has a Quick Ratio of 1.91. This is a bad value and indicates that ZUMZ is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.89, ZUMZ is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.58% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 100.32% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, ZUMZ shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.01% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ZUMZ shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.97% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)100.32%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.97%
Sales Q2Q%3.92%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 176.07% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.51% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y455.3%
EPS Next 2Y267.08%
EPS Next 3Y176.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.08%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y2.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 1328.00, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ZUMZ.
ZUMZ's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
ZUMZ is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.82, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.29 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ZUMZ.
ZUMZ's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ZUMZ to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.21), we can say ZUMZ is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1328 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.29 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ZUMZ is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ZUMZ.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 93.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates ZUMZ does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
ZUMZ's earnings are expected to grow with 176.07% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.92
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y267.08%
EPS Next 3Y176.07%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ZUMZ does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
13.28
-0.43 (-3.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners85.05%
Inst Owner Change0.33%
Ins Owners22.67%
Ins Owner Change1.75%
Market Cap235.99M
Analysts47.5
Price Target14.28 (7.53%)
Short Float %8.75%
Short Ratio4.63
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.41%
Max EPS beat(2)0.28%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)54.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.41%
Max EPS beat(4)135.29%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-53.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-31.29%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-29.4%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.27%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.41%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-22.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-298.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1328 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.29 | ||
| P/S | 0.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 93.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.72 | ||
| P/B | 0.79 | ||
| P/tB | 0.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.54 |
EPS(TTM)0.01
EY0.08%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY5.18%
FCF(TTM)0.14
FCFY1.07%
OCF(TTM)0.97
OCFY7.29%
SpS50.43
BVpS16.8
TBVpS15.11
PEG (NY)2.92
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.12% | ||
| ROE | 0.25% | ||
| ROCE | 0.49% | ||
| ROIC | 0.39% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.55% | ||
| OM | 0.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.08% | ||
| GM | 34.2% | ||
| FCFM | 0.28% |
ROA(3y)-2.3%
ROA(5y)2.92%
ROE(3y)-4.36%
ROE(5y)5.23%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-71.81%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-43.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-70.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y-42.87%
OM growth 3Y-69.24%
OM growth 5Y-45.83%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.98%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.5
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 66.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.99% | ||
| Profit Quality | 341.98% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.5 |
F-Score8
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC0.04
Cap/Depr(3y)91.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)76.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)100.32%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.14%
EPS Next Y455.3%
EPS Next 2Y267.08%
EPS Next 3Y176.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.97%
Sales Q2Q%3.92%
Revenue Next Year1.08%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y2.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y103.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-72.04%
EBIT growth 5Y-47.44%
EBIT Next Year6983.28%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y115.54%
FCF growth 3Y-63.72%
FCF growth 5Y-42%
OCF growth 1Y53.52%
OCF growth 3Y-46.48%
OCF growth 5Y-27.81%