ZUMIEZ INC (ZUMZ) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:ZUMZ - Nasdaq - US9898171015 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall ZUMZ gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated ZUMZ against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ZUMZ has a great financial health rating, but its profitability evaluates not so good. ZUMZ is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ZUMZ had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ZUMZ had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years ZUMZ reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
ZUMZ had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ZUMZ has a Return On Assets (0.12%) which is in line with its industry peers.
ZUMZ has a Return On Equity (0.25%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ZUMZ's Return On Invested Capital of 0.39% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ZUMZ is outperformed by 62.30% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.12% | ||
| ROE | 0.25% | ||
| ROIC | 0.39% |
ROA(3y)-2.3%
ROA(5y)2.92%
ROE(3y)-4.36%
ROE(5y)5.23%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
ZUMZ's Profit Margin of 0.08% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ZUMZ outperforms 48.36% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 0.25%, ZUMZ is doing worse than 63.11% of the companies in the same industry.
ZUMZ's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ZUMZ has a Gross Margin (34.20%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ZUMZ has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.08% | ||
| GM | 34.2% |
OM growth 3Y-69.24%
OM growth 5Y-45.83%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.98%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ZUMZ is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ZUMZ has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
ZUMZ has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for ZUMZ. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.57 indicates that ZUMZ is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of ZUMZ (2.57) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
There is no outstanding debt for ZUMZ. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
ROIC/WACC0.04
WACC9.62%
2.3 Liquidity
ZUMZ has a Current Ratio of 1.91. This is a normal value and indicates that ZUMZ is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ZUMZ (1.91) is better than 81.97% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that ZUMZ may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ZUMZ has a Quick ratio of 0.89. This is in the better half of the industry: ZUMZ outperforms 72.13% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 100.32% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, ZUMZ shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.01% in the last year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.97% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)100.32%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.97%
Sales Q2Q%3.92%
3.2 Future
ZUMZ is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 176.07% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ZUMZ will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.51% on average per year.
EPS Next Y455.3%
EPS Next 2Y267.08%
EPS Next 3Y176.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.08%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y2.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 1515.00, which means the current valuation is very expensive for ZUMZ.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as ZUMZ.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ZUMZ to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.35), we can say ZUMZ is valued expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.00, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ZUMZ.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ZUMZ is on the same level as its industry peers.
ZUMZ is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 37.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1515 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ZUMZ is valued cheaper than 91.80% of the companies in the same industry.
ZUMZ's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 106.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.92 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
ZUMZ's earnings are expected to grow with 176.07% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y267.08%
EPS Next 3Y176.07%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for ZUMZ!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
15.15
+0.35 (+2.36%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners85.05%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners22.67%
Ins Owner Change1.75%
Market Cap269.22M
Analysts47.5
Price Target14.28 (-5.74%)
Short Float %12.2%
Short Ratio6.37
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.41%
Max EPS beat(2)0.28%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)54.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.41%
Max EPS beat(4)135.29%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-53.98%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-31.29%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-29.4%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.03%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.27%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.41%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.1%
PT rev (1m)-22.22%
PT rev (3m)-22.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-69.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-298.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1515 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22 | ||
| P/S | 0.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 106.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.66 | ||
| P/B | 0.9 | ||
| P/tB | 1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.92 |
EPS(TTM)0.01
EY0.07%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY4.54%
FCF(TTM)0.14
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.97
OCFY6.39%
SpS50.43
BVpS16.8
TBVpS15.11
PEG (NY)3.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.12% | ||
| ROE | 0.25% | ||
| ROCE | 0.49% | ||
| ROIC | 0.39% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.55% | ||
| OM | 0.25% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.08% | ||
| GM | 34.2% | ||
| FCFM | 0.28% |
ROA(3y)-2.3%
ROA(5y)2.92%
ROE(3y)-4.36%
ROE(5y)5.23%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-71.81%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-43.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y-70.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y-42.87%
OM growth 3Y-69.24%
OM growth 5Y-45.83%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.98%
GM growth 5Y-0.75%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.5
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 66.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.99% | ||
| Profit Quality | 341.98% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.57 |
F-Score8
WACC9.62%
ROIC/WACC0.04
Cap/Depr(3y)91.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)76.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)100.32%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.14%
EPS Next Y455.3%
EPS Next 2Y267.08%
EPS Next 3Y176.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.01%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.97%
Sales Q2Q%3.92%
Revenue Next Year1.08%
Revenue Next 2Y1.21%
Revenue Next 3Y2.51%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y103.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-72.04%
EBIT growth 5Y-47.44%
EBIT Next Year6983.28%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y115.54%
FCF growth 3Y-63.72%
FCF growth 5Y-42%
OCF growth 1Y53.52%
OCF growth 3Y-46.48%
OCF growth 5Y-27.81%