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CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:YCP - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US20825C1045 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

77.38  -1.45 (-1.84%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall YCP gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated YCP against 58 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. YCP has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. YCP has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year YCP was profitable.
YCP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
YCP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
YCP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
YCP.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYCP.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

YCP has a better Return On Assets (7.51%) than 65.52% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 14.22%, YCP is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.87%, YCP is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.45% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for YCP is in line with the industry average of 15.08%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.48%) for YCP is well above the current ROIC(7.87%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.51%
ROE 14.22%
ROIC 7.87%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.78%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
YCP.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYCP.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 16.83%, YCP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
YCP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
YCP's Operating Margin of 23.58% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. YCP outperforms 56.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of YCP has remained more or less at the same level.
YCP has a Gross Margin (47.46%) which is in line with its industry peers.
YCP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 23.58%
PM (TTM) 16.83%
GM 47.46%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
YCP.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYCP.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so YCP is still creating some value.
YCP has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
YCP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, YCP has a worse debt to assets ratio.
YCP.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYCP.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
YCP.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYCP.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.72 indicates that YCP is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
YCP's Altman-Z score of 2.72 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YCP outperforms 72.41% of its industry peers.
YCP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.04. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as YCP would need 3.04 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.04, YCP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.14% of the companies in the same industry.
YCP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
YCP has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.36) than 65.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 3.04
Altman-Z 2.72
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC9.82%
YCP.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYCP.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

YCP has a Current Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that YCP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.29, YCP is doing worse than 62.07% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.14 indicates that YCP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
YCP has a Quick ratio (1.14) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.14
YCP.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYCP.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

YCP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.50%.
YCP shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 16.70% yearly.
YCP shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.49%.
YCP shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.5%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-17.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%-3.72%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.93% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
YCP is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y-4.81%
EPS Next 2Y2.2%
EPS Next 3Y7.62%
EPS Next 5Y8.93%
Revenue Next Year6.38%
Revenue Next 2Y4.63%
Revenue Next 3Y3.62%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
YCP.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYCP.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 20B 40B 60B
YCP.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYCP.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

YCP is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.31.
YCP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 23.99, YCP is valued rather cheaply.
YCP is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.89.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as YCP.
YCP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 20.35.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.31
Fwd PE 11.89
YCP.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsYCP.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

YCP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
YCP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.88
EV/EBITDA 5.72
YCP.DE Per share dataYCP.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.68
EPS Next 2Y2.2%
EPS Next 3Y7.62%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

YCP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.44%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 61.98, YCP is paying slightly less dividend.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, YCP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.44%

5.2 History

The dividend of YCP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 17.10%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
YCP.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYCP.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

YCP pays out 39.56% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
YCP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP39.56%
EPS Next 2Y2.2%
EPS Next 3Y7.62%
YCP.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYCP.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B
YCP.DE Dividend Payout.YCP.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.YCP.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CONOCOPHILLIPS

FRA:YCP (5/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

77.38

-1.45 (-1.84%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-06 2025-02-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-08 2025-05-08/bmo
Inst Owners82.74%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap97.82B
Analysts81.82
Price Target108.95 (40.8%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.44%
Yearly Dividend2.62
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP39.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.11%
Min EPS beat(2)6.82%
Max EPS beat(2)7.4%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)7.4%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.71%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.73%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.98%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.01%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.01%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.99%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.3%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.42%
PT rev (1m)-11.05%
PT rev (3m)-15.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.2%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.31
Fwd PE 11.89
P/S 2.03
P/FCF 13.88
P/OCF 5.52
P/B 1.72
P/tB 1.72
EV/EBITDA 5.72
EPS(TTM)6.84
EY8.84%
EPS(NY)6.51
Fwd EY8.41%
FCF(TTM)5.57
FCFY7.2%
OCF(TTM)14.01
OCFY18.11%
SpS38.12
BVpS45.12
TBVpS45.12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.68
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.51%
ROE 14.22%
ROCE 11.67%
ROIC 7.87%
ROICexc 8.33%
ROICexgc 8.33%
OM 23.58%
PM (TTM) 16.83%
GM 47.46%
FCFM 14.62%
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.78%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 3.04
Debt/EBITDA 1.03
Cap/Depr 126.24%
Cap/Sales 22.14%
Interest Coverage 16.01
Cash Conversion 89.41%
Profit Quality 86.87%
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.14
Altman-Z 2.72
F-Score5
WACC9.82%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.5%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-17.5%
EPS Next Y-4.81%
EPS Next 2Y2.2%
EPS Next 3Y7.62%
EPS Next 5Y8.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%-3.72%
Revenue Next Year6.38%
Revenue Next 2Y4.63%
Revenue Next 3Y3.62%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.51%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year82.21%
EBIT Next 3Y24.74%
EBIT Next 5Y23.45%
FCF growth 1Y-8.16%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y0.8%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%