CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
FRA:YCP - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US20825C1045 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to YCP. YCP was compared to 60 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. YCP has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. YCP has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
YCP had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year YCP had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years YCP 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years YCP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
YCP's Return On Assets of 7.66% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YCP outperforms 68.33% of its industry peers.
YCP has a Return On Equity of 14.58%. This is in the better half of the industry: YCP outperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
YCP has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.30%. This is in the better half of the industry: YCP outperforms 61.67% of its industry peers.
YCP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.48%. This is in line with the industry average of 14.75%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.30%) for YCP is well below the 3 year average (13.48%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that YCP had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.66% | ||
| ROE | 14.58% | ||
| ROIC | 8.3% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of YCP (16.57%) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
YCP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 23.79%, YCP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
YCP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 47.56%, YCP is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of YCP has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 23.79% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.57% | ||
| GM | 47.56% |
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
YCP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, YCP has more shares outstanding
YCP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
YCP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
YCP has an Altman-Z score of 2.71. This is not the best score and indicates that YCP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
YCP's Altman-Z score of 2.71 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YCP outperforms 71.67% of its industry peers.
YCP has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.74. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as YCP would need 2.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
YCP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.74) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
YCP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of YCP (0.36) is better than 65.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.71 |
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC9.6%
2.3 Liquidity
YCP has a Current Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that YCP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
YCP has a worse Current ratio (1.27) than 63.33% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.13 indicates that YCP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
YCP has a Quick ratio (1.13) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.13 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
YCP shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.12%.
Measured over the past years, YCP shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 16.70% on average per year.
YCP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.05%.
Measured over the past years, YCP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.12%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%2.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.05%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.13%
3.2 Future
YCP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.93% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, YCP will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
EPS Next 5Y8.93%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y4.19%
Revenue Next 3Y2.96%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.88, the valuation of YCP can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of YCP is on the same level as its industry peers.
YCP is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.25, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.91 indicates a reasonable valuation of YCP.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as YCP.
YCP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.15.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of YCP is on the same level as its industry peers.
YCP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 12.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of YCP may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.65
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
YCP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.64%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
In the last 3 months the price of YCP has falen by -20.16%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 60.33, YCP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
YCP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.64% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of YCP grows each year by 17.10%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
YCP pays out 39.10% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of YCP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP39.1%
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
FRA:YCP (5/30/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
75.19
+0.59 (+0.79%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.74%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap94.92B
Analysts81.82
Price Target109.04 (45.02%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.64% |
Yearly Dividend2.62
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
DP39.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.71%
Min EPS beat(2)0.59%
Max EPS beat(2)6.82%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.7%
Min EPS beat(4)0%
Max EPS beat(4)7.4%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.92%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.21%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.94%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.19%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.38%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.33%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.31%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.53%
PT rev (1m)0.08%
PT rev (3m)-15.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-24.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-29.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.9%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.73%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.91 | ||
| P/S | 1.87 | ||
| P/FCF | 12.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.06 | ||
| P/B | 1.65 | ||
| P/tB | 1.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.18 |
EPS(TTM)6.91
EY9.19%
EPS(NY)6.31
Fwd EY8.4%
FCF(TTM)6.06
FCFY8.06%
OCF(TTM)14.85
OCFY19.75%
SpS40.11
BVpS45.57
TBVpS45.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.66% | ||
| ROE | 14.58% | ||
| ROCE | 12.31% | ||
| ROIC | 8.3% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.88% | ||
| OM | 23.79% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.57% | ||
| GM | 47.56% | ||
| FCFM | 15.11% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.87%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.87%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)19.99%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.85%
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 124.14% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 21.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 17.83 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 91.17% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.71 |
F-Score5
WACC9.6%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)132.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)111.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.37%
Profit Quality(3y)88.06%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.12%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%2.96%
EPS Next Y-15.19%
EPS Next 2Y-4.01%
EPS Next 3Y6.76%
EPS Next 5Y8.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.05%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.13%
Revenue Next Year6.6%
Revenue Next 2Y4.19%
Revenue Next 3Y2.96%
Revenue Next 5Y-3.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.62%
EBIT growth 3Y0.67%
EBIT growth 5Y12.6%
EBIT Next Year66.63%
EBIT Next 3Y22.97%
EBIT Next 5Y23.45%
FCF growth 1Y-53.75%
FCF growth 3Y-11.81%
FCF growth 5Y12.37%
OCF growth 1Y-25.81%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y12.63%