CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Europe - Frankfurt Stock Exchange - FRA:YCP - US20825C1045 - Common Stock
83.91 EUR
+1.95 (+2.38%)
Overall YCP gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated YCP against 75 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. YCP scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. YCP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- YCP had positive earnings in the past year.
- YCP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- YCP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years YCP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of YCP (7.20%) is better than 84.00% of its industry peers.
- YCP has a better Return On Equity (13.59%) than 77.33% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of YCP (7.70%) is better than 74.67% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for YCP is above the industry average of 8.82%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (13.48%) for YCP is well above the current ROIC(7.70%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.2% | ||
| ROE | 13.59% | ||
| ROIC | 7.7% |
ROA(3y)12.91%
ROA(5y)8.66%
ROE(3y)25.06%
ROE(5y)16.77%
ROIC(3y)13.48%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- YCP has a Profit Margin of 14.76%. This is in the better half of the industry: YCP outperforms 74.67% of its industry peers.
- YCP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- YCP has a better Operating Margin (21.10%) than 61.33% of its industry peers.
- YCP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- YCP has a Gross Margin of 46.10%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: YCP outperforms 52.00% of its industry peers.
- YCP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.76% | ||
| GM | 46.1% |
OM growth 3Y-5.12%
OM growth 5Y1.4%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y-5.35%
GM growth 3Y-0.54%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so YCP is still creating some value.
- YCP has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- YCP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- YCP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- YCP has an Altman-Z score of 2.88. This is not the best score and indicates that YCP is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- YCP's Altman-Z score of 2.88 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. YCP outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
- YCP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.31. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as YCP would need 3.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.31, YCP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- YCP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- YCP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.35. This is in the better half of the industry: YCP outperforms 68.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.35 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.87%
2.3 Liquidity
- YCP has a Current Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that YCP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- YCP has a Current ratio (1.32) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that YCP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- YCP has a Quick ratio of 1.18. This is in the better half of the industry: YCP outperforms 65.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- YCP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -13.31%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has grown by 8.24% in the past year. This is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, YCP shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.31%
EPS 3Y9%
EPS 5Y16.7%
EPS Q2Q%-9.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.24%
Revenue growth 3Y6.11%
Revenue growth 5Y11.04%
Sales Q2Q%14.1%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, YCP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.96%
EPS Next 2Y-14.59%
EPS Next 3Y-0.65%
EPS Next 5Y8.65%
Revenue Next Year8.83%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y3.53%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- YCP is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.82.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, YCP is valued a bit cheaper than 65.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.21, YCP is valued a bit cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.33, YCP is valued on the expensive side.
- YCP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. YCP is more expensive than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.26, YCP is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.33 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- YCP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. YCP is cheaper than 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of YCP is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- YCP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.83
EPS Next 2Y-14.59%
EPS Next 3Y-0.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- YCP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.40%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- YCP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.11.
- YCP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of YCP grows each year by 17.10%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)17.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- YCP pays out 43.68% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- YCP's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP43.68%
EPS Next 2Y-14.59%
EPS Next 3Y-0.65%
CONOCOPHILLIPS / YCP.DE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for YCP stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to YCP.DE.
Can you provide the valuation status for CONOCOPHILLIPS?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) stock?
CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) is 13.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.87.
How sustainable is the dividend of CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) stock?
The dividend rating of CONOCOPHILLIPS (YCP.DE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 43.68%.