XPO INC (XPO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:XPO • US9837931008

Current stock price

192.86 USD
+6.53 (+3.5%)
At close:
192.86 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This XPO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. XPO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year XPO was profitable.
  • In the past year XPO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years XPO has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years XPO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
XPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • XPO's Return On Assets of 3.86% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • XPO has a better Return On Equity (16.98%) than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • XPO's Return On Invested Capital of 8.45% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for XPO is in line with the industry average of 7.14%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.04%) for XPO is below the current ROIC(8.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.86%
ROE 16.98%
ROIC 8.45%
ROA(3y)3.8%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.69%
ROE(5y)30.28%
ROIC(3y)8.04%
ROIC(5y)7.14%
XPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of XPO (3.87%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 8.93%, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XPO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • XPO has a better Gross Margin (60.37%) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • XPO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.93%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 60.37%
OM growth 3Y12.1%
OM growth 5Y41.81%
PM growth 3Y-23.43%
PM growth 5Y24.78%
GM growth 3Y18.88%
GM growth 5Y10.22%
XPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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4

2. XPO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), XPO is destroying value.
  • XPO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • XPO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
XPO Yearly Shares OutstandingXPO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
XPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.52 indicates that XPO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of XPO (3.52) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
  • XPO has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.04. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as XPO would need 10.04 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 10.04, XPO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XPO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.75. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.75, XPO is doing worse than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.75
Debt/FCF 10.04
Altman-Z 3.52
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC10.59%
XPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • XPO has a Current Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that XPO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • XPO has a Current ratio (1.05) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.05 indicates that XPO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • XPO has a Quick ratio (1.05) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
XPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. XPO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for XPO have decreased by -2.86% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 14.81% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • XPO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.04%.
  • XPO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.86%
EPS 3Y-12.09%
EPS 5Y14.81%
EPS Q2Q%-1.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y5.75%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 23.69% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y20.71%
EPS Next 2Y24.79%
EPS Next 3Y24.25%
EPS Next 5Y23.69%
Revenue Next Year5.08%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y5.7%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
XPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B
XPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6 8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. XPO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 51.71, the valuation of XPO can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of XPO is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.61, XPO is valued quite expensively.
  • XPO is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 42.83.
  • XPO's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XPO to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.79), we can say XPO is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 51.71
Fwd PE 42.83
XPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as XPO.
  • XPO's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 68.47
EV/EBITDA 19.88
XPO Per share dataXPO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • XPO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • XPO's earnings are expected to grow with 24.25% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)3.49
EPS Next 2Y24.79%
EPS Next 3Y24.25%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. XPO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • XPO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

XPO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

XPO INC

NYSE:XPO (3/25/2026, 8:04:29 PM)

After market: 192.86 0 (0%)

192.86

+6.53 (+3.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners106%
Inst Owner Change-1.7%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change0.6%
Market Cap22.59B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)316.00M
Analysts80
Price Target198.61 (2.98%)
Short Float %6.02%
Short Ratio3.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.75%
Min EPS beat(2)4.12%
Max EPS beat(2)13.37%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)8.24%
Min EPS beat(4)4.12%
Max EPS beat(4)13.37%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.04%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)17.33%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)17.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.82%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.82%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.01%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.34%
PT rev (1m)25.29%
PT rev (3m)29.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 51.71
Fwd PE 42.83
P/S 2.77
P/FCF 68.47
P/OCF 22.89
P/B 12.14
P/tB 7531.18
EV/EBITDA 19.88
EPS(TTM)3.73
EY1.93%
EPS(NY)4.5
Fwd EY2.33%
FCF(TTM)2.82
FCFY1.46%
OCF(TTM)8.43
OCFY4.37%
SpS69.62
BVpS15.89
TBVpS0.03
PEG (NY)2.5
PEG (5Y)3.49
Graham Number36.51
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.86%
ROE 16.98%
ROCE 10.97%
ROIC 8.45%
ROICexc 8.86%
ROICexgc 12.55%
OM 8.93%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 60.37%
FCFM 4.05%
ROA(3y)3.8%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.69%
ROE(5y)30.28%
ROIC(3y)8.04%
ROIC(5y)7.14%
ROICexc(3y)8.47%
ROICexc(5y)7.6%
ROICexgc(3y)12.35%
ROICexgc(5y)11.69%
ROCE(3y)10.43%
ROCE(5y)9.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y59.44%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y61.91%
OM growth 3Y12.1%
OM growth 5Y41.81%
PM growth 3Y-23.43%
PM growth 5Y24.78%
GM growth 3Y18.88%
GM growth 5Y10.22%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.75
Debt/FCF 10.04
Debt/EBITDA 2.6
Cap/Depr 126.1%
Cap/Sales 8.06%
Interest Coverage 3.18
Cash Conversion 79.02%
Profit Quality 104.43%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
Altman-Z 3.52
F-Score6
WACC10.59%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)214%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.62%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.86%
EPS 3Y-12.09%
EPS 5Y14.81%
EPS Q2Q%-1.12%
EPS Next Y20.71%
EPS Next 2Y24.79%
EPS Next 3Y24.25%
EPS Next 5Y23.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y5.75%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year5.08%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y5.7%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y4%
EBIT growth 3Y14.18%
EBIT growth 5Y49.96%
EBIT Next Year83.46%
EBIT Next 3Y33.23%
EBIT Next 5Y26.88%
FCF growth 1Y1636.84%
FCF growth 3Y2%
FCF growth 5Y-12.3%
OCF growth 1Y22.15%
OCF growth 3Y5.86%
OCF growth 5Y2.21%

XPO INC / XPO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XPO.


Can you provide the valuation status for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to XPO INC (XPO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of XPO stock?

XPO INC (XPO) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for XPO INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of XPO INC (XPO) is expected to grow by 20.71% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of XPO INC (XPO) stock?

The dividend rating of XPO INC (XPO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.