XPO INC (XPO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:XPO • US9837931008

215.37 USD
+0.19 (+0.09%)
At close: Mar 3, 2026
215 USD
-0.37 (-0.17%)
After Hours: 3/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

XPO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. XPO scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, XPO is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year XPO was profitable.
  • XPO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years XPO has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years XPO had a positive operating cash flow.
XPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of XPO (3.86%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of XPO (16.98%) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.45%, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XPO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.04%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.32%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.04%) for XPO is below the current ROIC(8.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.86%
ROE 16.98%
ROIC 8.45%
ROA(3y)3.8%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.69%
ROE(5y)30.28%
ROIC(3y)8.04%
ROIC(5y)7.14%
XPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of XPO (3.87%) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • XPO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.93%, XPO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XPO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of XPO (60.37%) is better than 69.05% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.93%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 60.37%
OM growth 3Y12.1%
OM growth 5Y41.81%
PM growth 3Y-23.43%
PM growth 5Y24.78%
GM growth 3Y18.88%
GM growth 5Y10.22%
XPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), XPO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for XPO remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, XPO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
XPO Yearly Shares OutstandingXPO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
XPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • XPO has an Altman-Z score of 3.84. This indicates that XPO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • XPO's Altman-Z score of 3.84 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • XPO has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.04. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as XPO would need 10.04 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • XPO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 10.04. This is in the better half of the industry: XPO outperforms 69.05% of its industry peers.
  • XPO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.75. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.75, XPO is not doing good in the industry: 85.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.75
Debt/FCF 10.04
Altman-Z 3.84
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC10.42%
XPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.05 indicates that XPO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.05, XPO is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.05 indicates that XPO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • XPO has a Quick ratio of 1.05. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XPO outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
XPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for XPO have decreased by -2.86% in the last year.
  • XPO shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 14.81% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, XPO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.04% in the last year.
  • XPO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.86%
EPS 3Y-12.09%
EPS 5Y14.81%
EPS Q2Q%-1.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y5.75%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 23.69% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, XPO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.46%
EPS Next 2Y22.35%
EPS Next 3Y23.79%
EPS Next 5Y23.69%
Revenue Next Year4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y5.72%
Revenue Next 3Y5.61%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
XPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B
XPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6 8

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 57.74 indicates a quite expensive valuation of XPO.
  • XPO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.83. XPO is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 49.58 indicates a quite expensive valuation of XPO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XPO is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • XPO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.95.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.74
Fwd PE 49.58
XPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, XPO is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 64.29% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of XPO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: XPO is cheaper than 61.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 76.46
EV/EBITDA 22.59
XPO Per share dataXPO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • XPO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • XPO's earnings are expected to grow with 23.79% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.51
PEG (5Y)3.9
EPS Next 2Y22.35%
EPS Next 3Y23.79%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for XPO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

XPO INC

NYSE:XPO (3/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 215 -0.37 (-0.17%)

215.37

+0.19 (+0.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners108.83%
Inst Owner Change-1.69%
Ins Owners0.69%
Ins Owner Change0.02%
Market Cap25.23B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)316.00M
Analysts80
Price Target198.61 (-7.78%)
Short Float %6.27%
Short Ratio3.89
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.75%
Min EPS beat(2)4.12%
Max EPS beat(2)13.37%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)8.24%
Min EPS beat(4)4.12%
Max EPS beat(4)13.37%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.04%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)17.33%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)17.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.82%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.82%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.01%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.34%
PT rev (1m)25.64%
PT rev (3m)30.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.74
Fwd PE 49.58
P/S 3.09
P/FCF 76.46
P/OCF 25.56
P/B 13.56
P/tB 8410.2
EV/EBITDA 22.59
EPS(TTM)3.73
EY1.73%
EPS(NY)4.34
Fwd EY2.02%
FCF(TTM)2.82
FCFY1.31%
OCF(TTM)8.43
OCFY3.91%
SpS69.62
BVpS15.89
TBVpS0.03
PEG (NY)3.51
PEG (5Y)3.9
Graham Number36.51
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.86%
ROE 16.98%
ROCE 10.97%
ROIC 8.45%
ROICexc 8.86%
ROICexgc 12.55%
OM 8.93%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 60.37%
FCFM 4.05%
ROA(3y)3.8%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.69%
ROE(5y)30.28%
ROIC(3y)8.04%
ROIC(5y)7.14%
ROICexc(3y)8.47%
ROICexc(5y)7.6%
ROICexgc(3y)12.35%
ROICexgc(5y)11.69%
ROCE(3y)10.43%
ROCE(5y)9.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y59.44%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y61.91%
OM growth 3Y12.1%
OM growth 5Y41.81%
PM growth 3Y-23.43%
PM growth 5Y24.78%
GM growth 3Y18.88%
GM growth 5Y10.22%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.75
Debt/FCF 10.04
Debt/EBITDA 2.6
Cap/Depr 126.1%
Cap/Sales 8.06%
Interest Coverage 3.18
Cash Conversion 79.02%
Profit Quality 104.43%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
Altman-Z 3.84
F-Score6
WACC10.42%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)214%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.62%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.86%
EPS 3Y-12.09%
EPS 5Y14.81%
EPS Q2Q%-1.12%
EPS Next Y16.46%
EPS Next 2Y22.35%
EPS Next 3Y23.79%
EPS Next 5Y23.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y5.75%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year4.88%
Revenue Next 2Y5.72%
Revenue Next 3Y5.61%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y4%
EBIT growth 3Y14.18%
EBIT growth 5Y49.96%
EBIT Next Year83.33%
EBIT Next 3Y33.15%
EBIT Next 5Y26.88%
FCF growth 1Y1636.84%
FCF growth 3Y2%
FCF growth 5Y-12.3%
OCF growth 1Y22.15%
OCF growth 3Y5.86%
OCF growth 5Y2.21%

XPO INC / XPO FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XPO.


Can you provide the valuation status for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to XPO INC (XPO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of XPO stock?

XPO INC (XPO) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for XPO INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of XPO INC (XPO) is expected to grow by 16.46% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of XPO INC (XPO) stock?

The dividend rating of XPO INC (XPO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.