XPO INC (XPO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:XPO • US9837931008

188.41 USD
+8.87 (+4.94%)
Last: Feb 5, 2026, 12:21 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

XPO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. XPO scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. XPO has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year XPO was profitable.
  • In the past year XPO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years XPO has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years XPO had a positive operating cash flow.
XPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • XPO has a Return On Assets of 4.05%. This is in the better half of the industry: XPO outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 18.27%, XPO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XPO has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.40%. This is amongst the best in the industry. XPO outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • XPO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.94%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.88%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.94%) for XPO is below the current ROIC(8.40%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.05%
ROE 18.27%
ROIC 8.4%
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)34.97%
ROE(5y)27.47%
ROIC(3y)7.94%
ROIC(5y)5.64%
XPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 4.12%, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 8.73%, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of XPO (60.26%) is better than 69.05% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.73%
PM (TTM) 4.12%
GM 60.26%
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5Y12.76%
PM growth 3Y0.91%
PM growth 5Y6.2%
GM growth 3Y17.98%
GM growth 5Y13.75%
XPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • XPO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for XPO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, XPO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
XPO Yearly Shares OutstandingXPO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
XPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.40 indicates that XPO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • XPO's Altman-Z score of 3.40 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 69.05% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of XPO is 14.43, which is on the high side as it means it would take XPO, 14.43 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of XPO (14.43) is better than 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.77 is on the high side and indicates that XPO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.77, XPO is doing worse than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.77
Debt/FCF 14.43
Altman-Z 3.4
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC10.18%
XPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.02 indicates that XPO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • XPO has a Current ratio (1.02) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • XPO has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that XPO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • XPO has a Quick ratio (1.02) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 1.02
XPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • XPO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 0.54%.
  • XPO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.25% yearly.
  • XPO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.28%.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.45% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.54%
EPS 3Y-11.82%
EPS 5Y-1.25%
EPS Q2Q%4.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.28%
Revenue growth 3Y3.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.45%
Sales Q2Q%2.83%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, XPO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.93% on average per year.
  • XPO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y-4.72%
EPS Next 2Y6.53%
EPS Next 3Y13.38%
EPS Next 5Y16.93%
Revenue Next Year0.36%
Revenue Next 2Y2%
Revenue Next 3Y3.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.56%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
XPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B
XPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6 8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 50.38, which means the current valuation is very expensive for XPO.
  • XPO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • XPO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.25.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 43.23 indicates a quite expensive valuation of XPO.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as XPO.
  • XPO is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.50, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 50.38
Fwd PE 43.23
XPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • XPO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of XPO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: XPO is cheaper than 64.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 95.33
EV/EBITDA 19.79
XPO Per share dataXPO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • XPO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as XPO's earnings are expected to grow with 13.38% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.53%
EPS Next 3Y13.38%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for XPO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

XPO INC

NYSE:XPO (2/5/2026, 12:21:54 PM)

188.41

+8.87 (+4.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)10-30
Earnings (Next)02-05
Inst Owners108.83%
Inst Owner Change-1.51%
Ins Owners0.69%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap22.12B
Revenue(TTM)8.07B
Net Income(TTM)332.00M
Analysts82.67
Price Target158.07 (-16.1%)
Short Float %7.65%
Short Ratio6.21
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.53%
Min EPS beat(2)4.12%
Max EPS beat(2)4.94%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.62%
Min EPS beat(4)4.12%
Max EPS beat(4)38.89%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)15.27%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)17.44%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)18.84%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.81%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.3%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-17.95%
PT rev (1m)1.32%
PT rev (3m)9.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.84%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 50.38
Fwd PE 43.23
P/S 2.74
P/FCF 95.33
P/OCF 23.3
P/B 12.17
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 19.79
EPS(TTM)3.74
EY1.99%
EPS(NY)4.36
Fwd EY2.31%
FCF(TTM)1.98
FCFY1.05%
OCF(TTM)8.08
OCFY4.29%
SpS68.73
BVpS15.48
TBVpS-0.46
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number36.09
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.05%
ROE 18.27%
ROCE 10.79%
ROIC 8.4%
ROICexc 8.86%
ROICexgc 12.7%
OM 8.73%
PM (TTM) 4.12%
GM 60.26%
FCFM 2.88%
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)34.97%
ROE(5y)27.47%
ROIC(3y)7.94%
ROIC(5y)5.64%
ROICexc(3y)8.52%
ROICexc(5y)6.05%
ROICexgc(3y)13.48%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.2%
ROCE(5y)7.25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y29.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.05%
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5Y12.76%
PM growth 3Y0.91%
PM growth 5Y6.2%
GM growth 3Y17.98%
GM growth 5Y13.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.77
Debt/FCF 14.43
Debt/EBITDA 2.65
Cap/Depr 139.77%
Cap/Sales 8.89%
Interest Coverage 3.02
Cash Conversion 77.98%
Profit Quality 69.88%
Current Ratio 1.02
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z 3.4
F-Score5
WACC10.18%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)216.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)156.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.54%
EPS 3Y-11.82%
EPS 5Y-1.25%
EPS Q2Q%4.9%
EPS Next Y-4.72%
EPS Next 2Y6.53%
EPS Next 3Y13.38%
EPS Next 5Y16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.28%
Revenue growth 3Y3.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.45%
Sales Q2Q%2.83%
Revenue Next Year0.36%
Revenue Next 2Y2%
Revenue Next 3Y3.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.56%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.56%
EBIT growth 3Y33.38%
EBIT growth 5Y6.62%
EBIT Next Year71.83%
EBIT Next 3Y29.22%
EBIT Next 5Y21.5%
FCF growth 1Y514.29%
FCF growth 3Y-65.23%
FCF growth 5Y-45.95%
OCF growth 1Y56.86%
OCF growth 3Y3.87%
OCF growth 5Y0.43%

XPO INC / XPO FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XPO.


Can you provide the valuation status for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to XPO INC (XPO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of XPO stock?

XPO INC (XPO) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for XPO INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of XPO INC (XPO) is expected to decline by -4.72% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of XPO INC (XPO) stock?

The dividend rating of XPO INC (XPO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.