XPO INC (XPO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:XPO - US9837931008 - Common Stock
150.41 USD
-4.01 (-2.6%)
150.41 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to XPO. XPO was compared to 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. XPO scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. XPO has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year XPO was profitable.
- In the past year XPO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years XPO has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years XPO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.05%, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 18.27%, XPO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.40%, XPO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for XPO is in line with the industry average of 6.93%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (8.40%) for XPO is above the 3 year average (7.94%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.05% | ||
| ROE | 18.27% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% |
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)34.97%
ROE(5y)27.47%
ROIC(3y)7.94%
ROIC(5y)5.64%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.12%, XPO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
- XPO's Operating Margin of 8.73% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
- With a decent Gross Margin value of 60.26%, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.05% of the companies in the same industry.
- XPO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.12% | ||
| GM | 60.26% |
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5Y12.76%
PM growth 3Y0.91%
PM growth 5Y6.2%
GM growth 3Y17.98%
GM growth 5Y13.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), XPO is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for XPO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for XPO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.08 indicates that XPO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of XPO (3.08) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- XPO has a debt to FCF ratio of 14.43. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as XPO would need 14.43 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- XPO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 14.43. This is in the better half of the industry: XPO outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.77 is on the high side and indicates that XPO has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.77, XPO is doing worse than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.77 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.08 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC10.21%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.02 indicates that XPO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- XPO has a Current ratio of 1.02. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XPO outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
- XPO has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that XPO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of XPO (1.02) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.54% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, XPO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.25% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -0.28% in the past year.
- XPO shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.45% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.54%
EPS 3Y-11.82%
EPS 5Y-1.25%
EPS Q2Q%4.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.28%
Revenue growth 3Y3.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.45%
Sales Q2Q%2.83%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, XPO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.93% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, XPO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-3.77%
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y13.91%
EPS Next 5Y16.93%
Revenue Next Year0.39%
Revenue Next 2Y1.98%
Revenue Next 3Y3.38%
Revenue Next 5Y4.56%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 40.22, the valuation of XPO can be described as expensive.
- XPO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of XPO to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.38), we can say XPO is valued slightly more expensively.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.36, XPO can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as XPO.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.29. XPO is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- XPO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, XPO is valued a bit cheaper than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 76.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- XPO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- XPO's earnings are expected to grow with 13.91% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y13.91%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for XPO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
150.41
-4.01 (-2.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-05 2026-02-05/amc
Inst Owners108.83%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.69%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap17.66B
Revenue(TTM)8.07B
Net Income(TTM)332.00M
Analysts82.67
Price Target158.07 (5.09%)
Short Float %8.75%
Short Ratio6.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.53%
Min EPS beat(2)4.12%
Max EPS beat(2)4.94%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.62%
Min EPS beat(4)4.12%
Max EPS beat(4)38.89%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)15.27%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)17.44%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)18.84%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.81%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.3%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-17.95%
PT rev (1m)3.01%
PT rev (3m)12.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.36 | ||
| P/S | 2.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 76.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.6 | ||
| P/B | 9.72 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.98 |
EPS(TTM)3.74
EY2.49%
EPS(NY)4.51
Fwd EY3%
FCF(TTM)1.98
FCFY1.31%
OCF(TTM)8.08
OCFY5.38%
SpS68.73
BVpS15.48
TBVpS-0.46
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number36.09
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.05% | ||
| ROE | 18.27% | ||
| ROCE | 10.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.7% | ||
| OM | 8.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.12% | ||
| GM | 60.26% | ||
| FCFM | 2.88% |
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)34.97%
ROE(5y)27.47%
ROIC(3y)7.94%
ROIC(5y)5.64%
ROICexc(3y)8.52%
ROICexc(5y)6.05%
ROICexgc(3y)13.48%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.2%
ROCE(5y)7.25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y29.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.05%
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5Y12.76%
PM growth 3Y0.91%
PM growth 5Y6.2%
GM growth 3Y17.98%
GM growth 5Y13.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.77 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 139.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.08 |
F-Score5
WACC10.21%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)216.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)156.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.54%
EPS 3Y-11.82%
EPS 5Y-1.25%
EPS Q2Q%4.9%
EPS Next Y-3.77%
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y13.91%
EPS Next 5Y16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.28%
Revenue growth 3Y3.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.45%
Sales Q2Q%2.83%
Revenue Next Year0.39%
Revenue Next 2Y1.98%
Revenue Next 3Y3.38%
Revenue Next 5Y4.56%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.56%
EBIT growth 3Y33.38%
EBIT growth 5Y6.62%
EBIT Next Year72.24%
EBIT Next 3Y29.41%
EBIT Next 5Y21.5%
FCF growth 1Y514.29%
FCF growth 3Y-65.23%
FCF growth 5Y-45.95%
OCF growth 1Y56.86%
OCF growth 3Y3.87%
OCF growth 5Y0.43%
XPO INC / XPO FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XPO INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XPO.
Can you provide the valuation status for XPO INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to XPO INC (XPO). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of XPO stock?
XPO INC (XPO) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for XPO INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of XPO INC (XPO) is expected to decline by -3.77% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of XPO INC (XPO) stock?
The dividend rating of XPO INC (XPO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.