XPO INC (XPO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:XPO • US9837931008

Current stock price

222.12 USD
+11.79 (+5.61%)
At close:
222.12 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This XPO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. XPO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year XPO was profitable.
  • In the past year XPO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years XPO has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years XPO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
XPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFXPO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • XPO has a better Return On Assets (3.86%) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 16.98%, XPO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of XPO (8.45%) is better than 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for XPO is in line with the industry average of 7.15%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.04%) for XPO is below the current ROIC(8.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.86%
ROE 16.98%
ROIC 8.45%
ROA(3y)3.8%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.69%
ROE(5y)30.28%
ROIC(3y)8.04%
ROIC(5y)7.14%
XPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICXPO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 3.87%, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XPO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • XPO has a better Operating Margin (8.93%) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
  • XPO has a better Gross Margin (60.37%) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.93%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 60.37%
OM growth 3Y12.1%
OM growth 5Y41.81%
PM growth 3Y-23.43%
PM growth 5Y24.78%
GM growth 3Y18.88%
GM growth 5Y10.22%
XPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsXPO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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4

2. XPO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so XPO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for XPO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
XPO Yearly Shares OutstandingXPO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
XPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsXPO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.92 indicates that XPO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.92, XPO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of XPO is 10.04, which is on the high side as it means it would take XPO, 10.04 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.04, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.75 is on the high side and indicates that XPO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.75, XPO is doing worse than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.75
Debt/FCF 10.04
Altman-Z 3.92
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC10.33%
XPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFXPO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • XPO has a Current Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that XPO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.05, XPO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • XPO has a Quick Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that XPO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.05, XPO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
XPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesXPO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. XPO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • XPO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -2.86%.
  • Measured over the past years, XPO shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.81% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, XPO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.04% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.75% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.86%
EPS 3Y-12.09%
EPS 5Y14.81%
EPS Q2Q%-1.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y5.75%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, XPO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 23.69% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y20.83%
EPS Next 2Y24.75%
EPS Next 3Y24.17%
EPS Next 5Y23.69%
Revenue Next Year5.16%
Revenue Next 2Y5.84%
Revenue Next 3Y5.7%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
XPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesXPO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B
XPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesXPO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6 8

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3

4. XPO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 59.55 indicates a quite expensive valuation of XPO.
  • XPO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.53. XPO is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 49.28, which means the current valuation is very expensive for XPO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XPO is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • XPO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 37.95.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 59.55
Fwd PE 49.28
XPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsXPO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of XPO is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as XPO.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 78.85
EV/EBITDA 23.24
XPO Per share dataXPO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates XPO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • XPO has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as XPO's earnings are expected to grow with 24.17% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)4.02
EPS Next 2Y24.75%
EPS Next 3Y24.17%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. XPO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for XPO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

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XPO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

XPO INC

NYSE:XPO (4/16/2026, 8:06:59 PM)

After market: 222.12 0 (0%)

222.12

+11.79 (+5.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners105.97%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.9%
Ins Owner Change0.6%
Market Cap26.02B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)316.00M
Analysts79.33
Price Target208.55 (-6.11%)
Short Float %5.55%
Short Ratio3.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.75%
Min EPS beat(2)4.12%
Max EPS beat(2)13.37%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)8.24%
Min EPS beat(4)4.12%
Max EPS beat(4)13.37%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.04%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)17.33%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)17.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.82%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.82%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.01%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.34%
PT rev (1m)5.01%
PT rev (3m)33.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.77%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 59.55
Fwd PE 49.28
P/S 3.19
P/FCF 78.85
P/OCF 26.36
P/B 13.98
P/tB 8673.78
EV/EBITDA 23.24
EPS(TTM)3.73
EY1.68%
EPS(NY)4.51
Fwd EY2.03%
FCF(TTM)2.82
FCFY1.27%
OCF(TTM)8.43
OCFY3.79%
SpS69.62
BVpS15.89
TBVpS0.03
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)4.02
Graham Number36.513 (-83.56%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.86%
ROE 16.98%
ROCE 10.97%
ROIC 8.45%
ROICexc 8.86%
ROICexgc 12.55%
OM 8.93%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 60.37%
FCFM 4.05%
ROA(3y)3.8%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.69%
ROE(5y)30.28%
ROIC(3y)8.04%
ROIC(5y)7.14%
ROICexc(3y)8.47%
ROICexc(5y)7.6%
ROICexgc(3y)12.35%
ROICexgc(5y)11.69%
ROCE(3y)10.43%
ROCE(5y)9.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y59.44%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.4%
ROICexc growth 5Y61.91%
OM growth 3Y12.1%
OM growth 5Y41.81%
PM growth 3Y-23.43%
PM growth 5Y24.78%
GM growth 3Y18.88%
GM growth 5Y10.22%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.75
Debt/FCF 10.04
Debt/EBITDA 2.6
Cap/Depr 126.1%
Cap/Sales 8.06%
Interest Coverage 3.18
Cash Conversion 79.02%
Profit Quality 104.43%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
Altman-Z 3.92
F-Score6
WACC10.33%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)214%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.62%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.86%
EPS 3Y-12.09%
EPS 5Y14.81%
EPS Q2Q%-1.12%
EPS Next Y20.83%
EPS Next 2Y24.75%
EPS Next 3Y24.17%
EPS Next 5Y23.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.04%
Revenue growth 3Y1.86%
Revenue growth 5Y5.75%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year5.16%
Revenue Next 2Y5.84%
Revenue Next 3Y5.7%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y4%
EBIT growth 3Y14.18%
EBIT growth 5Y49.96%
EBIT Next Year83.72%
EBIT Next 3Y33.23%
EBIT Next 5Y26.88%
FCF growth 1Y1636.84%
FCF growth 3Y2%
FCF growth 5Y-12.3%
OCF growth 1Y22.15%
OCF growth 3Y5.86%
OCF growth 5Y2.21%

XPO INC / XPO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XPO.


Can you provide the valuation status for XPO INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to XPO INC (XPO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is XPO INC (XPO) stock?

XPO INC (XPO) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is XPO INC?

The financial health rating of XPO INC (XPO) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for XPO stock?

The dividend rating of XPO INC (XPO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.