XPO INC (XPO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:XPO - US9837931008 - Common Stock
145.9 USD
-4.51 (-3%)
145.9 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, XPO scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. XPO was compared to 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While XPO has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. XPO is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year XPO was profitable.
- In the past year XPO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years XPO has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years XPO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.05%, XPO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of XPO (18.27%) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
- XPO's Return On Invested Capital of 8.40% is amongst the best of the industry. XPO outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for XPO is in line with the industry average of 6.93%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (7.94%) for XPO is below the current ROIC(8.40%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.05% | ||
| ROE | 18.27% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% |
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)34.97%
ROE(5y)27.47%
ROIC(3y)7.94%
ROIC(5y)5.64%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.12%, XPO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- XPO's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- XPO's Operating Margin of 8.73% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XPO has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of XPO (60.26%) is better than 69.05% of its industry peers.
- XPO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.12% | ||
| GM | 60.26% |
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5Y12.76%
PM growth 3Y0.91%
PM growth 5Y6.2%
GM growth 3Y17.98%
GM growth 5Y13.75%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), XPO is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for XPO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, XPO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- XPO has an Altman-Z score of 3.03. This indicates that XPO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.03, XPO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of XPO is 14.43, which is on the high side as it means it would take XPO, 14.43 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- XPO's Debt to FCF ratio of 14.43 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
- XPO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.77. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.77, XPO is doing worse than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.77 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC10.2%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.02 indicates that XPO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.02, XPO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- XPO has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that XPO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- XPO's Quick ratio of 1.02 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XPO outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.54% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, XPO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.25% on average per year.
- XPO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.28%.
- Measured over the past years, XPO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.45% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.54%
EPS 3Y-11.82%
EPS 5Y-1.25%
EPS Q2Q%4.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.28%
Revenue growth 3Y3.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.45%
Sales Q2Q%2.83%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, XPO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.93% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, XPO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.56% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-3.77%
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y13.91%
EPS Next 5Y16.93%
Revenue Next Year0.39%
Revenue Next 2Y1.98%
Revenue Next 3Y3.38%
Revenue Next 5Y4.56%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 39.01 indicates a quite expensive valuation of XPO.
- XPO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- XPO is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.94, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.36, the valuation of XPO can be described as expensive.
- XPO's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- XPO is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.94, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- XPO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, XPO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 73.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The excellent profitability rating of XPO may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as XPO's earnings are expected to grow with 13.91% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y13.91%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- XPO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
145.9
-4.51 (-3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-05 2026-02-05/amc
Inst Owners108.83%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.69%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap17.13B
Revenue(TTM)8.07B
Net Income(TTM)332.00M
Analysts82.67
Price Target158.07 (8.34%)
Short Float %8.54%
Short Ratio7.25
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.53%
Min EPS beat(2)4.12%
Max EPS beat(2)4.94%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.62%
Min EPS beat(4)4.12%
Max EPS beat(4)38.89%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)15.27%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)17.44%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)18.84%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.81%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.3%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-17.95%
PT rev (1m)3.01%
PT rev (3m)12.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.36 | ||
| P/S | 2.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 73.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.05 | ||
| P/B | 9.43 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.55 |
EPS(TTM)3.74
EY2.56%
EPS(NY)4.51
Fwd EY3.09%
FCF(TTM)1.98
FCFY1.35%
OCF(TTM)8.08
OCFY5.54%
SpS68.73
BVpS15.48
TBVpS-0.46
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number36.09
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.05% | ||
| ROE | 18.27% | ||
| ROCE | 10.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.7% | ||
| OM | 8.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.12% | ||
| GM | 60.26% | ||
| FCFM | 2.88% |
ROA(3y)6.05%
ROA(5y)4.5%
ROE(3y)34.97%
ROE(5y)27.47%
ROIC(3y)7.94%
ROIC(5y)5.64%
ROICexc(3y)8.52%
ROICexc(5y)6.05%
ROICexgc(3y)13.48%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.2%
ROCE(5y)7.25%
ROICexgc growth 3Y29.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.06%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.05%
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5Y12.76%
PM growth 3Y0.91%
PM growth 5Y6.2%
GM growth 3Y17.98%
GM growth 5Y13.75%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.99
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.77 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.65 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 139.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.02 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.98% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.03 |
F-Score5
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)216.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)156.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.54%
EPS 3Y-11.82%
EPS 5Y-1.25%
EPS Q2Q%4.9%
EPS Next Y-3.77%
EPS Next 2Y8.36%
EPS Next 3Y13.91%
EPS Next 5Y16.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.28%
Revenue growth 3Y3.87%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.45%
Sales Q2Q%2.83%
Revenue Next Year0.39%
Revenue Next 2Y1.98%
Revenue Next 3Y3.38%
Revenue Next 5Y4.56%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.56%
EBIT growth 3Y33.38%
EBIT growth 5Y6.62%
EBIT Next Year72.24%
EBIT Next 3Y29.41%
EBIT Next 5Y21.5%
FCF growth 1Y514.29%
FCF growth 3Y-65.23%
FCF growth 5Y-45.95%
OCF growth 1Y56.86%
OCF growth 3Y3.87%
OCF growth 5Y0.43%
XPO INC / XPO FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XPO INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XPO.
Can you provide the valuation status for XPO INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to XPO INC (XPO). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of XPO stock?
XPO INC (XPO) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for XPO INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of XPO INC (XPO) is expected to decline by -3.77% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of XPO INC (XPO) stock?
The dividend rating of XPO INC (XPO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.