EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:XOM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US30231G1022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall XOM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated XOM against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. XOM has an average financial health and profitability rating. XOM has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
XOM had positive earnings in the past year.
XOM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
XOM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years XOM had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
XOM has a Return On Assets of 7.34%. This is in the better half of the industry: XOM outperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Return On Equity of 12.63%. This is in the better half of the industry: XOM outperforms 65.71% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.17%. This is in the better half of the industry: XOM outperforms 67.62% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for XOM is significantly below the industry average of 23.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.34% | ||
| ROE | 12.63% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
XOM has a Profit Margin of 9.76%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XOM outperforms 55.71% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 12.76%, XOM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.81% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
XOM's Gross Margin of 29.61% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. XOM is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XOM has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.76% | ||
| GM | 29.61% |
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
XOM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for XOM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for XOM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
XOM has an Altman-Z score of 4.14. This indicates that XOM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of XOM (4.14) is better than 88.10% of its industry peers.
XOM has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.33. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.33 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.33, XOM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.62% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
XOM's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.12 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 75.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.14 |
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC9.07%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.24 indicates that XOM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.24, XOM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that XOM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
XOM's Quick ratio of 0.90 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 47.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for XOM have decreased strongly by -14.40% in the last year.
XOM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.13% yearly.
Looking at the last year, XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.54% in the last year.
XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.83% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.4%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-14.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.54%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%0.06%
3.2 Future
XOM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.57% yearly.
XOM is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.52% yearly.
EPS Next Y-13.83%
EPS Next 2Y0.47%
EPS Next 3Y8.42%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.04%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.07, the valuation of XOM can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as XOM.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.19, XOM is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.36, the valuation of XOM can be described as correct.
XOM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.33. XOM is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as XOM.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, XOM is valued a bit cheaper than 60.48% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.58
EPS Next 2Y0.47%
EPS Next 3Y8.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
XOM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.45%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.41, XOM has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.35, XOM pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
5.2 History
The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 3.02%.
XOM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
XOM pays out 51.94% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of XOM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP51.94%
EPS Next 2Y0.47%
EPS Next 3Y8.42%
112.91
-1.01 (-0.89%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners66.54%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.06%
Ins Owner Change-0.05%
Market Cap486.64B
Analysts76.13
Price Target124.64 (10.39%)
Short Float %0.94%
Short Ratio2.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
Yearly Dividend4.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
DP51.94%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.33%
Min EPS beat(2)0.84%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.38%
Min EPS beat(4)0.84%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.72%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.51%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.87%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.27%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.35%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.07 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.36 | ||
| P/S | 1.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.13 | ||
| P/B | 1.85 | ||
| P/tB | 1.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.56 |
EPS(TTM)7.49
EY6.63%
EPS(NY)7.86
Fwd EY6.96%
FCF(TTM)6.54
FCFY5.79%
OCF(TTM)12.37
OCFY10.95%
SpS78.86
BVpS60.96
TBVpS60.96
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.58
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.34% | ||
| ROE | 12.63% | ||
| ROCE | 11.47% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.55% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.55% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.76% | ||
| GM | 29.61% | ||
| FCFM | 8.29% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.81%
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.33 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.48 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 20.3 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.75% | ||
| Profit Quality | 84.95% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.14 |
F-Score5
WACC9.07%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)101.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)96.28%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.4%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-14.56%
EPS Next Y-13.83%
EPS Next 2Y0.47%
EPS Next 3Y8.42%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.54%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%0.06%
Revenue Next Year-6.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.04%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.12%
EBIT growth 3Y19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y23.11%
EBIT Next Year28.66%
EBIT Next 3Y16.4%
EBIT Next 5Y15.27%
FCF growth 1Y-51.78%
FCF growth 3Y-5.2%
FCF growth 5Y41.81%
OCF growth 1Y-31.96%
OCF growth 3Y4.56%
OCF growth 5Y13.11%