EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:XOM - US30231G1022 - Common Stock
113.76 USD
-0.6 (-0.52%)
113.12 USD
-0.64 (-0.56%)
XOM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. XOM has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. XOM has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year XOM was profitable.
XOM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
XOM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years XOM had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
XOM has a Return On Assets of 6.59%. This is in the better half of the industry: XOM outperforms 75.71% of its industry peers.
XOM's Return On Equity of 11.50% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 66.19% of its industry peers.
XOM's Return On Invested Capital of 7.29% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 65.24% of its industry peers.
XOM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.75%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.29%) for XOM is well below the 3 year average (11.97%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that XOM had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.59% | ||
| ROE | 11.5% | ||
| ROIC | 7.29% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 9.22%, XOM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.81% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
XOM has a Operating Margin of 11.87%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XOM outperforms 41.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
XOM's Gross Margin of 29.97% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 41.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of XOM has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.22% | ||
| GM | 29.97% |
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so XOM is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
XOM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, XOM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.01 indicates that XOM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of XOM (4.01) is better than 86.19% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of XOM is 1.77, which is an excellent value as it means it would take XOM, only 1.77 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of XOM (1.77) is better than 84.29% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13 indicates that XOM is not too dependend on debt financing.
XOM has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.13) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.31%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that XOM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of XOM (1.14) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
XOM has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that XOM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.79, XOM is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.48% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
XOM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -19.19%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
XOM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.40%.
Measured over the past years, XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.83% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-19.19%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-2.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.4%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-5.25%
3.2 Future
XOM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.97% yearly.
XOM is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.64% yearly.
EPS Next Y-11.29%
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
EPS Next 5Y9.97%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.64%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.37 indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as XOM.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.51. XOM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.23, the valuation of XOM can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as XOM.
XOM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.53.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.23 |
4.2 Price Multiples
XOM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
XOM's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.09 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
XOM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
XOM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.45%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.82, XOM has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
XOM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
5.2 History
The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 3.02%.
XOM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
XOM pays out 57.54% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
XOM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP57.54%
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
113.76
-0.6 (-0.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners66.54%
Inst Owner Change-0.65%
Ins Owners0.06%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap484.99B
Revenue(TTM)324.92B
Net Income(TTM)29.95B
Analysts75.63
Price Target129.42 (13.77%)
Short Float %0.94%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
Yearly Dividend4.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
DP57.54%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.79%
Min EPS beat(2)2.44%
Max EPS beat(2)5.14%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.56%
Min EPS beat(4)0.84%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)3.22%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.2%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.24%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.03%
PT rev (1m)1.72%
PT rev (3m)2.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8.88%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.39%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.23 | ||
| P/S | 1.49 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.41 | ||
| P/B | 1.86 | ||
| P/tB | 1.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.09 |
EPS(TTM)6.95
EY6.11%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY6.57%
FCF(TTM)5.58
FCFY4.9%
OCF(TTM)12.08
OCFY10.62%
SpS76.22
BVpS61.12
TBVpS61.12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
Graham Number97.76
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.59% | ||
| ROE | 11.5% | ||
| ROCE | 10.24% | ||
| ROIC | 7.29% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.57% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.57% | ||
| OM | 11.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.22% | ||
| GM | 29.97% | ||
| FCFM | 7.32% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.81%
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.77 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | 79.37% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.01 |
F-Score6
WACC8.31%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)101.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)96.28%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-19.19%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-2.08%
EPS Next Y-11.29%
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
EPS Next 5Y9.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.4%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-5.25%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.64%
EBIT growth 1Y-13.2%
EBIT growth 3Y19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y23.11%
EBIT Next Year31.94%
EBIT Next 3Y15.23%
EBIT Next 5Y12.78%
FCF growth 1Y-37.16%
FCF growth 3Y-5.2%
FCF growth 5Y41.81%
OCF growth 1Y-13.13%
OCF growth 3Y4.56%
OCF growth 5Y13.11%
EXXON MOBIL CORP / XOM FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XOM.
What is the valuation status for XOM stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) stock?
EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for EXXON MOBIL CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) is expected to decline by -11.29% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXXON MOBIL CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 57.54%.