EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:XOM - US30231G1022 - Common Stock
112.82 USD
-1.11 (-0.97%)
112.82 USD
0 (0%)
XOM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. XOM has an average financial health and profitability rating. XOM has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year XOM was profitable.
In the past year XOM had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years XOM 4 years were profitable.
XOM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
XOM's Return On Assets of 6.93% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
XOM has a better Return On Equity (11.81%) than 65.71% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.61%, XOM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for XOM is significantly below the industry average of 21.66%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.61%) for XOM is well below the 3 year average (11.97%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that XOM had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.93% | ||
| ROE | 11.81% | ||
| ROIC | 7.61% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
XOM's Profit Margin of 9.42% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 53.81% of its industry peers.
XOM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
XOM has a Operating Margin of 12.31%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XOM outperforms 44.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of XOM (29.97%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
XOM's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.42% | ||
| GM | 29.97% |
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), XOM is creating some value.
XOM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, XOM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
XOM has an Altman-Z score of 4.15. This indicates that XOM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 4.15, XOM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.19% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.34. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.34 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.34, XOM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.62% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13 indicates that XOM is not too dependend on debt financing.
XOM's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.13 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.34 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.15 |
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC8.31%
2.3 Liquidity
XOM has a Current Ratio of 1.25. This is a normal value and indicates that XOM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.25, XOM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that XOM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
XOM's Quick ratio of 0.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 45.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for XOM have decreased strongly by -21.90% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has decreased by -3.31% in the past year.
XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.83% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.9%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-23.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.31%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-12.42%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.51% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
XOM is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.52% yearly.
EPS Next Y-13.59%
EPS Next 2Y-0.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5Y11.51%
Revenue Next Year-5.39%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.14, XOM is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as XOM.
XOM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.38.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.68, the valuation of XOM can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XOM is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.86, XOM is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
XOM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as XOM.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.83 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of XOM may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.62
EPS Next 2Y-0.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
XOM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.46%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
XOM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.18.
XOM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.46% |
5.2 History
The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 3.02%.
XOM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
XOM pays out 55.57% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of XOM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP55.57%
EPS Next 2Y-0.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
112.82
-1.11 (-0.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners66.58%
Inst Owner Change-2.15%
Ins Owners0.06%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap480.98B
Analysts76
Price Target127.23 (12.77%)
Short Float %1.11%
Short Ratio3.15
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.46% |
Yearly Dividend4.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
DP55.57%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.99%
Min EPS beat(2)0.84%
Max EPS beat(2)5.14%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.28%
Min EPS beat(4)0.84%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.34%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.19%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.66%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.22%
PT rev (1m)0.15%
PT rev (3m)2.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)14.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.72%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.68 | ||
| P/S | 1.46 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.86 | ||
| P/B | 1.83 | ||
| P/tB | 1.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.83 |
EPS(TTM)6.99
EY6.2%
EPS(NY)7.68
Fwd EY6.81%
FCF(TTM)6.83
FCFY6.05%
OCF(TTM)12.74
OCFY11.29%
SpS77.26
BVpS61.59
TBVpS61.59
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.62
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.93% | ||
| ROE | 11.81% | ||
| ROCE | 10.69% | ||
| ROIC | 7.61% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.91% | ||
| OM | 12.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.42% | ||
| GM | 29.97% | ||
| FCFM | 8.84% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.81%
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.34 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 102.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 21.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 93.9% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.25 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.15 |
F-Score6
WACC8.31%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)101.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)96.28%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.9%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-23.36%
EPS Next Y-13.59%
EPS Next 2Y-0.68%
EPS Next 3Y5.51%
EPS Next 5Y11.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.31%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-12.42%
Revenue Next Year-5.39%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-10.03%
EBIT growth 3Y19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y23.11%
EBIT Next Year33.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.52%
EBIT Next 5Y14.79%
FCF growth 1Y-37.15%
FCF growth 3Y-5.2%
FCF growth 5Y41.81%
OCF growth 1Y-19.87%
OCF growth 3Y4.56%
OCF growth 5Y13.11%