EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:XOM - US30231G1022 - Common Stock
114.77 USD
+0.26 (+0.23%)
114.65 USD
-0.12 (-0.1%)
XOM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of XOM get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. XOM has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year XOM was profitable.
XOM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years XOM 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years XOM had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
XOM has a Return On Assets of 6.59%. This is in the better half of the industry: XOM outperforms 75.24% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of XOM (11.50%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.29%. This is in the better half of the industry: XOM outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
XOM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.41%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.29%) for XOM is well below the 3 year average (11.97%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that XOM had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.59% | ||
| ROE | 11.5% | ||
| ROIC | 7.29% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
XOM has a Profit Margin (9.22%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
XOM has a Operating Margin of 11.87%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XOM outperforms 41.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of XOM has grown nicely.
XOM's Gross Margin of 29.97% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XOM outperforms 40.95% of its industry peers.
XOM's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.22% | ||
| GM | 29.97% |
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
XOM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for XOM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, XOM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
XOM has an Altman-Z score of 4.02. This indicates that XOM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
XOM's Altman-Z score of 4.02 is amongst the best of the industry. XOM outperforms 87.62% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of XOM is 1.77, which is an excellent value as it means it would take XOM, only 1.77 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
XOM has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.77) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.13, XOM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC8.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that XOM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
XOM has a Current ratio of 1.14. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XOM outperforms 50.48% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that XOM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of XOM (0.79) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
XOM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -19.19%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
XOM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -4.40%.
Measured over the past years, XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.83% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-19.19%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-2.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.4%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-5.25%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.52% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.64% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-11.29%
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
EPS Next 5Y6.52%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.64%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.51 indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of XOM is on the same level as its industry peers.
XOM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.15.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.37 indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
XOM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of XOM to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.12), we can say XOM is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
XOM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of XOM is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.14 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
XOM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
XOM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.45%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
XOM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.90.
XOM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.41.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
5.2 History
The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 3.02%.
XOM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
XOM pays out 57.54% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
XOM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP57.54%
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
114.77
+0.26 (+0.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners66.54%
Inst Owner Change-0.57%
Ins Owners0.06%
Ins Owner Change0.04%
Market Cap489.29B
Revenue(TTM)324.92B
Net Income(TTM)29.95B
Analysts75.63
Price Target131.76 (14.8%)
Short Float %0.98%
Short Ratio2.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.45% |
Yearly Dividend4.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
DP57.54%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.79%
Min EPS beat(2)2.44%
Max EPS beat(2)5.14%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.56%
Min EPS beat(4)0.84%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)3.22%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.2%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.24%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.03%
PT rev (1m)3.65%
PT rev (3m)3.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.37 | ||
| P/S | 1.51 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.5 | ||
| P/B | 1.88 | ||
| P/tB | 1.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.14 |
EPS(TTM)6.95
EY6.06%
EPS(NY)7.47
Fwd EY6.51%
FCF(TTM)5.58
FCFY4.86%
OCF(TTM)12.08
OCFY10.53%
SpS76.22
BVpS61.12
TBVpS61.12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
Graham Number97.76
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.59% | ||
| ROE | 11.5% | ||
| ROCE | 10.24% | ||
| ROIC | 7.29% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.57% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.57% | ||
| OM | 11.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.22% | ||
| GM | 29.97% | ||
| FCFM | 7.32% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.81%
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.13 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.77 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 21.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.23% | ||
| Profit Quality | 79.37% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.02 |
F-Score6
WACC8.22%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)101.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)96.28%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-19.19%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-2.08%
EPS Next Y-11.29%
EPS Next 2Y-2.08%
EPS Next 3Y6.42%
EPS Next 5Y6.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.4%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%-5.25%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.64%
EBIT growth 1Y-13.2%
EBIT growth 3Y19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y23.11%
EBIT Next Year31.94%
EBIT Next 3Y15.23%
EBIT Next 5Y11.27%
FCF growth 1Y-37.16%
FCF growth 3Y-5.2%
FCF growth 5Y41.81%
OCF growth 1Y-13.13%
OCF growth 3Y4.56%
OCF growth 5Y13.11%
EXXON MOBIL CORP / XOM FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to XOM.
What is the valuation status for XOM stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) stock?
EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for EXXON MOBIL CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) is expected to decline by -11.29% in the next year.
Is the dividend of EXXON MOBIL CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 57.54%.