EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:XOM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US30231G1022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, XOM scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. XOM was compared to 213 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. XOM has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. XOM has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. Finally XOM also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings would make XOM suitable for dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
XOM had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year XOM had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years XOM 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years XOM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.34%, XOM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.65% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.63%, XOM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.17%, XOM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for XOM is significantly below the industry average of 23.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.34% | ||
| ROE | 12.63% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.76%, XOM is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.87% of the companies in the same industry.
XOM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of XOM (12.76%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
XOM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of XOM (29.61%) is worse than 60.09% of its industry peers.
XOM's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.76% | ||
| GM | 29.61% |
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
XOM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, XOM has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for XOM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.02 indicates that XOM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
XOM's Altman-Z score of 4.02 is amongst the best of the industry. XOM outperforms 87.79% of its industry peers.
XOM has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.33. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.33 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of XOM (1.33) is better than 87.79% of its industry peers.
XOM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of XOM (0.12) is better than 75.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC9.16%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.24 indicates that XOM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
XOM has a Current ratio (1.24) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that XOM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
XOM has a Quick ratio (0.90) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for XOM have decreased strongly by -14.40% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, XOM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.54% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.83% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.4%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-14.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.54%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%0.06%
3.2 Future
XOM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.57% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, XOM will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.52% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-18.18%
EPS Next 2Y-1.54%
EPS Next 3Y7.82%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue Next Year-7.09%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.32 indicates a correct valuation of XOM.
XOM's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.59, XOM is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.20, the valuation of XOM can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as XOM.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.39. XOM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.2 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of XOM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: XOM is cheaper than 61.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, XOM is valued a bit cheaper than 60.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.99 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
EPS Next 2Y-1.54%
EPS Next 3Y7.82%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
XOM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.89%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
XOM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.74.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, XOM pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.89% |
5.2 History
The dividend of XOM has a limited annual growth rate of 3.02%.
XOM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
XOM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
51.94% of the earnings are spent on dividend by XOM. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
XOM's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP51.94%
EPS Next 2Y-1.54%
EPS Next 3Y7.82%
107.22
+2.25 (+2.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.74%
Inst Owner Change0.53%
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner Change0.05%
Market Cap462.12B
Analysts76.13
Price Target124.64 (16.25%)
Short Float %1.05%
Short Ratio2.6
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.89% |
Yearly Dividend4.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.02%
DP51.94%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.33%
Min EPS beat(2)0.84%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.38%
Min EPS beat(4)0.84%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.03%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.72%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.51%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.87%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.12%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.27%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.74%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.74%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.35%
PT rev (1m)-0.67%
PT rev (3m)-5.2%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.96%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.2 | ||
| P/S | 1.36 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.67 | ||
| P/B | 1.76 | ||
| P/tB | 1.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.99 |
EPS(TTM)7.49
EY6.99%
EPS(NY)7.55
Fwd EY7.04%
FCF(TTM)6.54
FCFY6.1%
OCF(TTM)12.37
OCFY11.54%
SpS78.86
BVpS60.96
TBVpS60.96
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.34% | ||
| ROE | 12.63% | ||
| ROCE | 11.47% | ||
| ROIC | 8.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.55% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.55% | ||
| OM | 12.76% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.76% | ||
| GM | 29.61% | ||
| FCFM | 8.29% |
ROA(3y)10.7%
ROA(5y)6.43%
ROE(3y)19.64%
ROE(5y)11.66%
ROIC(3y)11.97%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.17%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)13.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.83%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexcg growth 5Y19.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.81%
OM growth 3Y11.67%
OM growth 5Y16.33%
PM growth 3Y6.04%
PM growth 5Y12.09%
GM growth 3Y-1.5%
GM growth 5Y0.14%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.75
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.12 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.33 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.48 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 103.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 20.3 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.75% | ||
| Profit Quality | 84.95% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.24 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.02 |
F-Score5
WACC9.16%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)101.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.11%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.47%
Profit Quality(3y)96.28%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.4%
EPS 3Y13.13%
EPS 5Y26.13%
EPS Q2Q%-14.56%
EPS Next Y-18.18%
EPS Next 2Y-1.54%
EPS Next 3Y7.82%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.54%
Revenue growth 3Y7.03%
Revenue growth 5Y5.83%
Sales Q2Q%0.06%
Revenue Next Year-7.09%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.12%
EBIT growth 3Y19.52%
EBIT growth 5Y23.11%
EBIT Next Year28.66%
EBIT Next 3Y16.4%
EBIT Next 5Y15.27%
FCF growth 1Y-51.78%
FCF growth 3Y-5.2%
FCF growth 5Y41.81%
OCF growth 1Y-31.96%
OCF growth 3Y4.56%
OCF growth 5Y13.11%