74.12 USD
-0.3 (-0.4%)
74.12 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, XEL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. XEL was compared to 47 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. While XEL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. XEL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
XEL had positive earnings in the past year.
XEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years XEL has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years XEL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of XEL (2.42%) is worse than 72.34% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 9.04%, XEL is not doing good in the industry: 68.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.84%, XEL is doing worse than 87.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for XEL is in line with the industry average of 5.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.42% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROIC | 2.84% |
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
1.3 Margins
XEL has a Profit Margin of 13.46%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: XEL outperforms 48.94% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of XEL has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 18.53%, XEL is doing worse than 68.09% of the companies in the same industry.
XEL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
XEL's Gross Margin of 92.94% is amongst the best of the industry. XEL outperforms 95.74% of its industry peers.
XEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.46% | ||
| GM | 92.94% |
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so XEL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, XEL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, XEL has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for XEL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.88, we must say that XEL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.88, XEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.19% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64 is on the high side and indicates that XEL has dependencies on debt financing.
XEL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. XEL is outperformed by 61.70% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC6.63%
2.3 Liquidity
XEL has a Current Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.79, XEL is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.81% of the companies in the same industry.
XEL has a Quick Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that XEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
XEL's Quick ratio of 0.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. XEL outperforms 51.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
XEL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.82%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.68% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, XEL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.38% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.85% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, XEL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.59% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
EPS Next 5Y8.85%
Revenue Next Year3.22%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.59%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.36, XEL is valued on the expensive side.
65.96% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than XEL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
XEL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.84.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.79, XEL is valued on the expensive side.
XEL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.40. XEL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
76.60% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than XEL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.88
PEG (5Y)3.58
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
XEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.84%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
XEL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.02.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, XEL pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of XEL grows each year by 6.45%, which is quite nice.
XEL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of XEL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
XEL pays out 65.69% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
XEL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.69%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
74.12
-0.3 (-0.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners95.24%
Inst Owner Change4.94%
Ins Owners0.14%
Ins Owner Change-0.94%
Market Cap43.84B
Revenue(TTM)14.23B
Net Income(TTM)1.92B
Analysts82.61
Price Target88.68 (19.64%)
Short Float %5.49%
Short Ratio6.29
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% |
Yearly Dividend2.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.45%
DP65.69%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.85%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.97%
Max EPS beat(2)14.67%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.55%
Max EPS beat(4)14.67%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.53%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.25%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.88%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.13%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.72%
PT rev (1m)-1.47%
PT rev (3m)12.46%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.79 | ||
| P/S | 3.08 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 9.66 | ||
| P/B | 2.07 | ||
| P/tB | 2.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.42 |
EPS(TTM)3.64
EY4.91%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY5.62%
FCF(TTM)-8.7
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.67
OCFY10.35%
SpS24.05
BVpS35.81
TBVpS35.81
PEG (NY)1.88
PEG (5Y)3.58
Graham Number54.15
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.42% | ||
| ROE | 9.04% | ||
| ROCE | 3.66% | ||
| ROIC | 2.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.88% | ||
| OM | 18.53% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.46% | ||
| GM | 92.94% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)2.79%
ROA(5y)2.77%
ROE(3y)10.13%
ROE(5y)10.14%
ROIC(3y)3.27%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)3.28%
ROICexc(5y)3.28%
ROICexgc(3y)3.28%
ROICexgc(5y)3.28%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.22%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4%
OM growth 3Y2.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.62%
PM growth 3Y6.6%
PM growth 5Y3.89%
GM growth 3Y0.42%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.1 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 318.86% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 68.08% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.88 |
F-Score4
WACC6.63%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)221.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)222.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)42.1%
Cap/Sales(5y)40.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.82%
EPS 3Y5.54%
EPS 5Y5.68%
EPS Q2Q%-0.8%
EPS Next Y10.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.42%
EPS Next 3Y9.41%
EPS Next 5Y8.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.38%
Revenue growth 3Y0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y3.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.44%
Revenue Next Year3.22%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.18%
Revenue Next 5Y5.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.86%
EBIT growth 3Y2.7%
EBIT growth 5Y2.48%
EBIT Next Year110.64%
EBIT Next 3Y40.84%
EBIT Next 5Y26.07%
FCF growth 1Y-1083.68%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-11.33%
OCF growth 3Y28.47%
OCF growth 5Y7.3%
XCEL ENERGY INC / XEL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for XCEL ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to XEL.
What is the valuation status of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) stock?
XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is XCEL ENERGY INC?
The financial health rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 1 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for XEL stock?
The dividend rating of XCEL ENERGY INC (XEL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.69%.