WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A (WMG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:WMG • US9345502036

Current stock price

27.32 USD
+0.45 (+1.67%)
At close:
27.32 USD
0 (0%)
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This WMG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. WMG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • WMG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year WMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • WMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • WMG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
WMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 2.99%, WMG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of WMG (41.52%) is better than 98.75% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of WMG (13.79%) is better than 93.75% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for WMG is significantly above the industry average of 7.34%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (13.79%) for WMG is above the 3 year average (13.09%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.99%
ROE 41.52%
ROIC 13.79%
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)92.24%
ROE(5y)320.47%
ROIC(3y)13.09%
ROIC(5y)12.66%
WMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200 400 600 800

1.3 Margins

  • WMG has a Profit Margin of 4.35%. This is in the better half of the industry: WMG outperforms 73.75% of its industry peers.
  • WMG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 14.74%, WMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of WMG has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 45.87%, WMG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WMG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.74%
PM (TTM) 4.35%
GM 45.87%
OM growth 3Y4.68%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-16.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.49%
GM growth 5Y-0.8%
WMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 30 40

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1

2. WMG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • WMG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • WMG has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for WMG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, WMG has a worse debt to assets ratio.
WMG Yearly Shares OutstandingWMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
WMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that WMG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.60, WMG is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WMG has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.50. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as WMG would need 9.50 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • WMG has a better Debt to FCF ratio (9.50) than 71.25% of its industry peers.
  • WMG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.07. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of WMG (6.07) is worse than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.07
Debt/FCF 9.5
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC1.42
WACC9.7%
WMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • WMG has a Current Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that WMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • WMG has a Current ratio of 0.70. This is in the lower half of the industry: WMG underperforms 68.75% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that WMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.69, WMG is doing worse than 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.69
WMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. WMG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • WMG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -53.23%.
  • WMG shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -12.92% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, WMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.46% in the last year.
  • WMG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.49% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-53.23%
EPS 3Y-12.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.46%
Revenue growth 3Y4.25%
Revenue growth 5Y8.49%
Sales Q2Q%10.44%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, WMG will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.64% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.05% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y94.72%
EPS Next 2Y57.8%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y25.64%
Revenue Next Year8.97%
Revenue Next 2Y7.47%
Revenue Next 3Y6.88%
Revenue Next 5Y6.05%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
WMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
WMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

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6

4. WMG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 47.10, which means the current valuation is very expensive for WMG.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, WMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.70. WMG is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.67 indicates a correct valuation of WMG.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, WMG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • WMG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 47.1
Fwd PE 15.67
WMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, WMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of WMG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: WMG is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.02
EV/EBITDA 12.58
WMG Per share dataWMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • WMG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • WMG's earnings are expected to grow with 41.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y57.8%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. WMG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • WMG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.54%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 7.43, WMG pays a better dividend. On top of this WMG pays more dividend than 92.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • WMG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.54%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of WMG has a limited annual growth rate of 1.77%.
  • WMG has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • WMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.77%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
WMG Yearly Dividends per shareWMG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 130.10% of the earnings are spent on dividend by WMG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • WMG's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP130.1%
EPS Next 2Y57.8%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
WMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendWMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M 800M
WMG Dividend Payout.WMG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.WMG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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WMG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A

NASDAQ:WMG (3/13/2026, 8:03:30 PM)

After market: 27.32 0 (0%)

27.32

+0.45 (+1.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners106.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.66%
Ins Owners0.9%
Ins Owner Change7.11%
Market Cap14.27B
Revenue(TTM)6.88B
Net Income(TTM)299.00M
Analysts81.67
Price Target38.35 (40.37%)
Short Float %5.32%
Short Ratio3.21
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.54%
Yearly Dividend0.74
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.77%
DP130.1%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date02-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-23.57%
Min EPS beat(2)-37.42%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.72%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-58.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-110.91%
Max EPS beat(4)-9.72%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-23.63%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-19.41%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.59%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.01%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.66%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.01%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.72%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.01%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.73%
PT rev (1m)0.14%
PT rev (3m)-1.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 47.1
Fwd PE 15.67
P/S 2.07
P/FCF 31.02
P/OCF 18.61
P/B 19.82
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.58
EPS(TTM)0.58
EY2.12%
EPS(NY)1.74
Fwd EY6.38%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY3.22%
OCF(TTM)1.47
OCFY5.37%
SpS13.17
BVpS1.38
TBVpS-8.02
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number4.24
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.99%
ROE 41.52%
ROCE 17.79%
ROIC 13.79%
ROICexc 15.88%
ROICexgc 1828.08%
OM 14.74%
PM (TTM) 4.35%
GM 45.87%
FCFM 6.69%
ROA(3y)4.44%
ROA(5y)4.89%
ROE(3y)92.24%
ROE(5y)320.47%
ROIC(3y)13.09%
ROIC(5y)12.66%
ROICexc(3y)14.86%
ROICexc(5y)14.42%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.89%
ROCE(5y)16.33%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.38%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y4.68%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-16.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.49%
GM growth 5Y-0.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.07
Debt/FCF 9.5
Debt/EBITDA 3.12
Cap/Depr 78.92%
Cap/Sales 4.46%
Interest Coverage 5.42
Cash Conversion 54.67%
Profit Quality 153.85%
Current Ratio 0.7
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score5
WACC9.7%
ROIC/WACC1.42
Cap/Depr(3y)84.69%
Cap/Depr(5y)107.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)6%
Profit Quality(3y)101.59%
Profit Quality(5y)80.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-53.23%
EPS 3Y-12.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
EPS Next Y94.72%
EPS Next 2Y57.8%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y25.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.46%
Revenue growth 3Y4.25%
Revenue growth 5Y8.49%
Sales Q2Q%10.44%
Revenue Next Year8.97%
Revenue Next 2Y7.47%
Revenue Next 3Y6.88%
Revenue Next 5Y6.05%
EBIT growth 1Y16.28%
EBIT growth 3Y9.13%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year96.34%
EBIT Next 3Y33.38%
EBIT Next 5Y20.75%
FCF growth 1Y-7.26%
FCF growth 3Y-6.41%
FCF growth 5Y0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-0.52%
OCF growth 3Y-3.11%
OCF growth 5Y7.83%

WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A / WMG Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for WMG stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to WMG.


What is the valuation status of WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A (WMG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A (WMG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of WMG stock?

WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A (WMG) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A (WMG) is expected to grow by 94.72% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A (WMG) stock?

The dividend rating of WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP-CL A (WMG) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 130.1%.