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CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A (WISH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:WISH - Nasdaq - US21077C3051 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

5.13  -0.05 (-0.97%)

After market: 5.13 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall WISH gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated WISH against 28 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. While WISH has a great health rating, there are worries on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, WISH is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

WISH had negative earnings in the past year.
WISH had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
WISH had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
WISH had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
WISH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWISH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200M -400M -600M -800M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of WISH (-74.94%) is worse than 96.97% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of WISH (-146.08%) is worse than 84.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.94%
ROE -146.08%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-50.38%
ROA(5y)-38.43%
ROE(3y)-90.24%
ROE(5y)-96.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
WISH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWISH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of WISH (20.56%) is worse than 87.88% of its industry peers.
WISH's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
WISH does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.56%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-31.06%
GM growth 5Y-24.52%
WISH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWISH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

WISH does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
WISH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, WISH has less shares outstanding
WISH has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
WISH Yearly Shares OutstandingWISH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
WISH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWISH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

WISH has an Altman-Z score of -11.57. This is a bad value and indicates that WISH is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
WISH has a Altman-Z score of -11.57. This is amonst the worse of the industry: WISH underperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for WISH. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -11.57
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.19%
WISH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWISH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.09 indicates that WISH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
WISH has a Current ratio of 2.09. This is in the better half of the industry: WISH outperforms 78.79% of its industry peers.
WISH has a Quick Ratio of 2.09. This indicates that WISH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of WISH (2.09) is better than 87.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.09
Quick Ratio 2.09
WISH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWISH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 33.91% over the past year.
The Revenue for WISH has decreased by -49.74% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, WISH shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -30.17% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%36.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-49.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-51.66%
Revenue growth 5Y-30.17%
Sales Q2Q%-62.5%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.78% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, WISH will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 53.14% on average per year.
EPS Next Y51.89%
EPS Next 2Y26.6%
EPS Next 3Y26.19%
EPS Next 5Y15.78%
Revenue Next Year-25.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 5Y53.14%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
WISH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWISH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
WISH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWISH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -50 -100 -150

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

WISH reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year WISH is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
WISH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWISH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
WISH Per share dataWISH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

WISH's earnings are expected to grow with 26.19% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.6%
EPS Next 3Y26.19%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

WISH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A

NASDAQ:WISH (5/10/2024, 8:27:47 PM)

After market: 5.13 0 (0%)

5.13

-0.05 (-0.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)05-08 2024-05-08/amc
Earnings (Next)08-01 2024-08-01/amc
Inst Owners52.67%
Inst Owner Change-0.08%
Ins Owners201.41%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap125.17M
Analysts43.33
Price Target6.02 (17.35%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.82%
Min EPS beat(2)0.78%
Max EPS beat(2)0.86%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.57%
Min EPS beat(4)0.78%
Max EPS beat(4)11.52%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)12.08%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)7.53%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.56%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.56%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.64%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-18.62%
PT rev (3m)4.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-32.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-27.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-24.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.44
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.58
P/tB 0.58
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-11.85
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-5.26
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-14.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-13.98
OCFYN/A
SpS11.76
BVpS8.89
TBVpS8.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.94%
ROE -146.08%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.56%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-50.38%
ROA(5y)-38.43%
ROE(3y)-90.24%
ROE(5y)-96.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-31.06%
GM growth 5Y-24.52%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 75%
Cap/Sales 1.05%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.09
Quick Ratio 2.09
Altman-Z -11.57
F-Score1
WACC10.19%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)43.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%36.55%
EPS Next Y51.89%
EPS Next 2Y26.6%
EPS Next 3Y26.19%
EPS Next 5Y15.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-49.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-51.66%
Revenue growth 5Y-30.17%
Sales Q2Q%-62.5%
Revenue Next Year-25.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 5Y53.14%
EBIT growth 1Y18.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year58.67%
EBIT Next 3Y25.76%
EBIT Next 5Y23.06%
FCF growth 1Y18.87%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y19.19%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A