CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A (WISH) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:WISH • US21077C3051

Current stock price

5.13 USD
-0.05 (-0.97%)
At close:
5.13 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This WISH fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

0

1. WISH Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • WISH had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year WISH has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • WISH had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • WISH had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
WISH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFWISH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200M -400M -600M -800M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -74.94%, WISH is doing worse than 96.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • WISH's Return On Equity of -146.08% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. WISH is outperformed by 84.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.94%
ROE -146.08%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-50.38%
ROA(5y)-38.43%
ROE(3y)-90.24%
ROE(5y)-96.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
WISH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICWISH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • With a Gross Margin value of 20.56%, WISH is not doing good in the industry: 87.88% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • WISH's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • WISH does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.56%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-31.06%
GM growth 5Y-24.52%
WISH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsWISH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. WISH Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • WISH does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • WISH has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • WISH has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
WISH Yearly Shares OutstandingWISH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
WISH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsWISH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • WISH has an Altman-Z score of -11.57. This is a bad value and indicates that WISH is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of WISH (-11.57) is worse than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • WISH has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -11.57
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.19%
WISH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFWISH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • WISH has a Current Ratio of 2.09. This indicates that WISH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • WISH has a better Current ratio (2.09) than 78.79% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.09 indicates that WISH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of WISH (2.09) is better than 87.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.09
Quick Ratio 2.09
WISH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesWISH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. WISH Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • WISH shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 33.91%, which is quite impressive.
  • WISH shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -49.74%.
  • WISH shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -30.17% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%36.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-49.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-51.66%
Revenue growth 5Y-30.17%
Sales Q2Q%-62.5%

3.2 Future

  • WISH is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.78% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 53.14% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y51.89%
EPS Next 2Y26.6%
EPS Next 3Y26.19%
EPS Next 5Y15.78%
Revenue Next Year-25.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 5Y53.14%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
WISH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesWISH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
WISH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesWISH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -50 -100 -150

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

1

4. WISH Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • WISH reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Also next year WISH is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
WISH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsWISH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
WISH Per share dataWISH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as WISH's earnings are expected to grow with 26.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.6%
EPS Next 3Y26.19%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. WISH Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • WISH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

WISH Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A

NASDAQ:WISH (5/10/2024, 8:27:47 PM)

After market: 5.13 0 (0%)

5.13

-0.05 (-0.97%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)05-08
Earnings (Next)08-01
Inst Owners52.67%
Inst Owner Change288.02%
Ins Owners201.41%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap125.17M
Revenue(TTM)287.00M
Net Income(TTM)-317.00M
Analysts43.33
Price Target6.02 (17.35%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.82%
Min EPS beat(2)0.78%
Max EPS beat(2)0.86%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.57%
Min EPS beat(4)0.78%
Max EPS beat(4)11.52%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)12.08%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)7.53%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.56%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.56%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-10.64%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-18.62%
PT rev (3m)4.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-32.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-27.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-24.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.44
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.58
P/tB 0.58
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-11.85
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-5.26
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-14.1
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-13.98
OCFYN/A
SpS11.76
BVpS8.89
TBVpS8.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -74.94%
ROE -146.08%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.56%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-50.38%
ROA(5y)-38.43%
ROE(3y)-90.24%
ROE(5y)-96.69%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-31.06%
GM growth 5Y-24.52%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 75%
Cap/Sales 1.05%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.09
Quick Ratio 2.09
Altman-Z -11.57
F-Score1
WACC10.19%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)43.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)33.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%36.55%
EPS Next Y51.89%
EPS Next 2Y26.6%
EPS Next 3Y26.19%
EPS Next 5Y15.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-49.74%
Revenue growth 3Y-51.66%
Revenue growth 5Y-30.17%
Sales Q2Q%-62.5%
Revenue Next Year-25.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 5Y53.14%
EBIT growth 1Y18.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year58.67%
EBIT Next 3Y25.76%
EBIT Next 5Y23.06%
FCF growth 1Y18.87%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y19.19%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A / WISH Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A (WISH) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to WISH.


What is the valuation status of CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A (WISH) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A (WISH). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A?

CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A (WISH) has a profitability rating of 0 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for WISH stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CONTEXTLOGIC INC - A (WISH) is expected to grow by 51.89% in the next year.