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VINTAGE WINE ESTATES INC (VWE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:VWE - Nasdaq - US92747V1061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.0262  -0.03 (-49.52%)

After market: 0.0141 -0.01 (-46.18%)

Fundamental Rating

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We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to VWE. VWE was compared to 32 industry peers in the Beverages industry. Both the profitability and financial health of VWE have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, VWE is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VWE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year VWE has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years VWE reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: VWE reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
VWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

VWE has a Return On Assets of -29.15%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VWE underperforms 84.85% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -162.52%, VWE is doing worse than 87.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -29.15%
ROE -162.52%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-11.06%
ROA(5y)-8.49%
ROE(3y)-36.01%
ROE(5y)-25.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

VWE has a worse Gross Margin (14.55%) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
VWE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for VWE so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.55%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.25%
GM growth 5YN/A
VWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VWE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, VWE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, VWE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
VWE Yearly Shares OutstandingVWE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
VWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.10, we must say that VWE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of VWE (-1.10) is worse than 78.79% of its industry peers.
VWE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.65. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
VWE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.65. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VWE underperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.65
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC4.12%
VWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that VWE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VWE has a Current ratio of 0.67. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VWE underperforms 84.85% of its industry peers.
VWE has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that VWE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VWE has a worse Quick ratio (0.31) than 87.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.31
VWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

VWE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -139.58%.
VWE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -17.99%.
Measured over the past years, VWE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.25% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-139.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-156.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-34.27%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, VWE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 67.94% on average per year.
VWE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 15.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y-117.95%
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%
EPS Next 5Y67.94%
Revenue Next Year-7.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.47%
Revenue Next 3Y14.13%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
VWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
VWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 -1 -2

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VWE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VWE. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
VWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
VWE Per share dataVWE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

VWE's earnings are expected to grow with 90.78% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VWE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VINTAGE WINE ESTATES INC

NASDAQ:VWE (8/1/2024, 8:00:03 PM)

After market: 0.0141 -0.01 (-46.18%)

0.0262

-0.03 (-49.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)07-18 2024-07-18/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners0.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners45.99%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.65M
Analysts80
Price Target1.02 (3793.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-26.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.67%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-26.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.73%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.4%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.02
P/tB 0.03
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.19
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.23
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.07
OCFYN/A
SpS3.91
BVpS1.37
TBVpS1.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -29.15%
ROE -162.52%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.55%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-11.06%
ROA(5y)-8.49%
ROE(3y)-36.01%
ROE(5y)-25.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.25%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.65
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 42.5%
Cap/Sales 4.12%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z -1.1
F-Score2
WACC4.12%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)168.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)10.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-139.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-156.83%
EPS Next Y-117.95%
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%
EPS Next 5Y67.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-34.27%
Revenue Next Year-7.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.47%
Revenue Next 3Y14.13%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-21.73%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.97%
EBIT Next 3Y32.57%
EBIT Next 5Y24.1%
FCF growth 1Y-151.22%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-153.09%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A