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VINTAGE WINE ESTATES INC (VWE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:VWE - Nasdaq - US92747V1061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.0262  -0.03 (-49.52%)

After market: 0.0141 -0.01 (-46.18%)

Fundamental Rating

1

Taking everything into account, VWE scores 1 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VWE was compared to 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. VWE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, VWE is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year VWE has reported negative net income.
VWE had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years VWE reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: VWE reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
VWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

VWE has a Return On Assets of -29.15%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VWE underperforms 84.85% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -162.52%, VWE is doing worse than 87.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -29.15%
ROE -162.52%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-11.06%
ROA(5y)-8.49%
ROE(3y)-36.01%
ROE(5y)-25.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of VWE (14.55%) is worse than 90.91% of its industry peers.
VWE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
VWE does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.55%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.25%
GM growth 5YN/A
VWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1K

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VWE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for VWE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, VWE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
VWE Yearly Shares OutstandingVWE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
VWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

VWE has an Altman-Z score of -1.10. This is a bad value and indicates that VWE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
VWE's Altman-Z score of -1.10 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VWE is outperformed by 78.79% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.65 is on the high side and indicates that VWE has dependencies on debt financing.
VWE's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.65 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VWE is outperformed by 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.65
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -1.1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC4.12%
VWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

VWE has a Current Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that VWE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of VWE (0.67) is worse than 84.85% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that VWE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.31, VWE is doing worse than 87.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.31
VWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for VWE have decreased strongly by -139.58% in the last year.
VWE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -17.99%.
VWE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.25% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-139.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-156.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-34.27%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, VWE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 67.94% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 15.79% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-117.95%
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%
EPS Next 5Y67.94%
Revenue Next Year-7.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.47%
Revenue Next 3Y14.13%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
VWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
VWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 -1 -2

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VWE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year VWE is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
VWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
VWE Per share dataVWE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as VWE's earnings are expected to grow with 90.78% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VWE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

VINTAGE WINE ESTATES INC

NASDAQ:VWE (8/1/2024, 8:00:03 PM)

After market: 0.0141 -0.01 (-46.18%)

0.0262

-0.03 (-49.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)07-18 2024-07-18/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners0.36%
Inst Owner Change-23.44%
Ins Owners45.99%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.65M
Analysts80
Price Target1.02 (3793.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-26.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.67%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-26.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)19.73%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.4%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.01
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.02
P/tB 0.03
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.19
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.23
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.07
OCFYN/A
SpS3.91
BVpS1.37
TBVpS1.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -29.15%
ROE -162.52%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 14.55%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-11.06%
ROA(5y)-8.49%
ROE(3y)-36.01%
ROE(5y)-25.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.25%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.65
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 42.5%
Cap/Sales 4.12%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z -1.1
F-Score2
WACC4.12%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)168.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)10.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-139.58%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-156.83%
EPS Next Y-117.95%
EPS Next 2Y-10.57%
EPS Next 3Y90.78%
EPS Next 5Y67.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.99%
Revenue growth 3Y14.25%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-34.27%
Revenue Next Year-7.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.47%
Revenue Next 3Y14.13%
Revenue Next 5Y15.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-21.73%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.97%
EBIT Next 3Y32.57%
EBIT Next 5Y24.1%
FCF growth 1Y-151.22%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-153.09%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A