VALVOLINE INC (VVV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:VVV • US92047W1018
Current stock price
33.14 USD
-0.28 (-0.84%)
At close:
33.14 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This VVV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. VVV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year VVV was profitable.
- VVV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- VVV had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- VVV had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of VVV (2.54%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- VVV has a better Return On Equity (28.06%) than 86.18% of its industry peers.
- VVV has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.64%. This is in the better half of the industry: VVV outperforms 65.04% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VVV is in line with the industry average of 13.27%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (11.31%) for VVV is well above the current ROIC(6.64%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.54% | ||
| ROE | 28.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.64% |
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of VVV (4.91%) is better than 76.42% of its industry peers.
- VVV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of VVV (15.39%) is better than 93.50% of its industry peers.
- VVV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- VVV has a Gross Margin of 38.58%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VVV outperforms 57.72% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VVV has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.91% | ||
| GM | 38.58% |
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
2. VVV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VVV is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, VVV has less shares outstanding
- VVV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, VVV has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.66, we must say that VVV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- VVV has a Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VVV outperforms 46.34% of its industry peers.
- VVV has a debt to FCF ratio of 28.80. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as VVV would need 28.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- VVV's Debt to FCF ratio of 28.80 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VVV outperforms 45.53% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.31 is on the high side and indicates that VVV has dependencies on debt financing.
- VVV's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.31 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VVV is outperformed by 76.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 28.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC7.68%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.70 indicates that VVV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of VVV (0.70) is worse than 86.99% of its industry peers.
- VVV has a Quick Ratio of 0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that VVV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- VVV has a Quick ratio (0.57) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. VVV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- VVV shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.88%.
- VVV shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 1.32% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.90% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.66% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.58% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.07% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y8.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.5%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. VVV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- VVV is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.33.
- VVV's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VVV is cheaper than 69.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 24.75, VVV is valued at the same level.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.35, the valuation of VVV can be described as correct.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VVV indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VVV is cheaper than 67.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- VVV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- VVV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as VVV.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.79 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- VVV has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as VVV's earnings are expected to grow with 15.58% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.36
PEG (5Y)15.45
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
5. VVV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- VVV has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.43%.
- VVV's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.75.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, VVV is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.43% |
5.2 History
- VVV has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
VVV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
33.14
-0.28 (-0.84%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners117.34%
Inst Owner Change2.07%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change4.91%
Market Cap4.22B
Revenue(TTM)1.76B
Net Income(TTM)86.30M
Analysts79.05
Price Target42.86 (29.33%)
Short Float %9.35%
Short Ratio5.86
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.43% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.75%
Max EPS beat(2)12.27%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.75%
Max EPS beat(4)12.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.07%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.92%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.44%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.11%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.12%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.64%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.66%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-12.55%
PT rev (1m)0.32%
PT rev (3m)7.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.35 | ||
| P/S | 2.4 | ||
| P/FCF | 73 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.15 | ||
| P/B | 13.72 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.79 |
EPS(TTM)1.63
EY4.92%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY6.12%
FCF(TTM)0.45
FCFY1.37%
OCF(TTM)2.52
OCFY7.6%
SpS13.81
BVpS2.42
TBVpS-7.83
PEG (NY)2.36
PEG (5Y)15.45
Graham Number9.41
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.54% | ||
| ROE | 28.06% | ||
| ROCE | 8.91% | ||
| ROIC | 6.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.13% | ||
| OM | 15.39% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.91% | ||
| GM | 38.58% | ||
| FCFM | 3.29% |
ROA(3y)21.9%
ROA(5y)18.26%
ROE(3y)291.62%
ROE(5y)265.15%
ROIC(3y)11.31%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
ROICexc(3y)12.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.28%
ROICexgc(3y)19.68%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)15.17%
ROCE(5y)12.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.17%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.53%
ROICexc growth 5Y20.78%
OM growth 3Y6.87%
OM growth 5Y6.08%
PM growth 3Y-28.93%
PM growth 5Y-22.32%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.44%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 28.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.13 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 66.98% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.66 |
F-Score6
WACC7.68%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)210.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)194.73%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.88%
EPS 3Y-9.48%
EPS 5Y1.32%
EPS Q2Q%15.62%
EPS Next Y8.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.26%
EPS Next 3Y15.58%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.9%
Revenue growth 3Y11.43%
Revenue growth 5Y18.66%
Sales Q2Q%11.47%
Revenue Next Year19.5%
Revenue Next 2Y14.94%
Revenue Next 3Y13.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-16.35%
EBIT growth 3Y19.09%
EBIT growth 5Y25.88%
EBIT Next Year53.47%
EBIT Next 3Y24.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y129.63%
FCF growth 3Y-37.03%
FCF growth 5Y-29.68%
OCF growth 1Y2729.51%
OCF growth 3Y1.5%
OCF growth 5Y-4.39%
VALVOLINE INC / VVV Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for VALVOLINE INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to VVV.
What is the valuation status of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to VALVOLINE INC (VVV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VALVOLINE INC?
VALVOLINE INC (VVV) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for VALVOLINE INC (VVV) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is expected to grow by 8.6% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for VVV stock?
The dividend rating of VALVOLINE INC (VVV) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.