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Vivint Smart Home Inc (VVNT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VVNT - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9285421098 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

12  0 (0%)

After market: 12 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

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We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to VVNT. VVNT was compared to 72 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of VVNT have multiple concerns. VVNT is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VVNT had negative earnings in the past year.
VVNT had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
VVNT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVVNT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for VVNT are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.
VVNT has a Return On Invested Capital (0.77%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROIC 0.77%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
VVNT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVVNT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of VVNT (1.18%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VVNT does not have Profit Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
VVNT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVVNT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -10 -20 -30 -40

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), VVNT is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VVNT has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for VVNT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
VVNT Yearly Shares OutstandingVVNT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M
VVNT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVVNT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.96, we must say that VVNT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of VVNT (-0.96) is worse than 80.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.96
ROIC/WACC0.12
WACC6.54%
VVNT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVVNT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

VVNT has a Current Ratio of 0.47. This is a bad value and indicates that VVNT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VVNT's Current ratio of 0.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VVNT is outperformed by 82.09% of its industry peers.
VVNT has a Quick Ratio of 0.47. This is a bad value and indicates that VVNT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VVNT's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VVNT is outperformed by 85.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.47
Quick Ratio 0.39
VVNT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVVNT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M 800M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

VVNT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 69.96%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, VVNT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.23% in the last year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)69.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.23%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%13.62%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, VVNT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.97% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, VVNT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y60.72%
EPS Next 2Y24.3%
EPS Next 3Y20.97%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year14.1%
Revenue Next 2Y9.24%
Revenue Next 3Y9.78%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

VVNT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVVNT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
VVNT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVVNT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -0.5 -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VVNT. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year VVNT is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
VVNT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVVNT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

VVNT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 54.34
VVNT Per share dataVVNT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 -10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as VVNT's earnings are expected to grow with 20.97% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.3%
EPS Next 3Y20.97%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VVNT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Vivint Smart Home Inc

NYSE:VVNT (3/9/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 12 0 (0%)

12

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services
Earnings (Last)02-23 2023-02-23
Earnings (Next)05-01 2023-05-01
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.84%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.58B
Analysts74.55
Price Target10.81 (-9.92%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)62.04%
Min EPS beat(2)29.71%
Max EPS beat(2)94.37%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)56.99%
Min EPS beat(4)29.71%
Max EPS beat(4)94.37%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.05%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.05%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)20.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.58
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 54.34
EPS(TTM)-0.6
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.67
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.15
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.05
OCFYN/A
SpS7.62
BVpS-8.11
TBVpS-11.96
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA N/A
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC 0.77%
ROICexc 0.92%
ROICexgc 1.82%
OM 1.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.55
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 29.57
Cap/Depr 31.81%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.47
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z -0.96
F-Score4
WACC6.54%
ROIC/WACC0.12
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)69.96%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.4%
EPS Next Y60.72%
EPS Next 2Y24.3%
EPS Next 3Y20.97%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.23%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%13.62%
Revenue Next Year14.1%
Revenue Next 2Y9.24%
Revenue Next 3Y9.78%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y107.72%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year513.89%
EBIT Next 3Y89.75%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-115.84%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-104.6%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A