Fundamental Analysis of Vivint Smart Home Inc(NYSE:VVNT) stock

Fundamental Rating

We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to VVNT. VVNT was compared to 65 industry peers in the Diversified Consumer Services industry. Both the profitability and financial health of VVNT have multiple concerns. VVNT is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VVNT had negative earnings in the past year.

In the past year VVNT has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VVNT reported negative net income in multiple years.

In multiple years VVNT reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

The profitability ratios for VVNT are negative, so there is not much use analyzing them.

VVNT's Return On Invested Capital of 0.77% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VVNT outperforms 55.22% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	N/A
ROE	N/A
ROIC	0.77%

ROA(3y)N/A

ROA(5y)N/A

ROE(3y)N/A

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

VVNT has a Operating Margin (1.18%) which is in line with its industry peers.

VVNT does not have Profit Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	1.18%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VVNT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.

Compared to 1 year ago, VVNT has more shares outstanding

The debt/assets ratio for VVNT has been reduced compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.96, we must say that VVNT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

The Altman-Z score of VVNT (-0.96) is worse than 80.60% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	-0.96

ROIC/WACC0.12

WACC6.54%

2.3 Liquidity

VVNT has a Current Ratio of 0.47. This is a bad value and indicates that VVNT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

VVNT has a Current ratio of 0.47. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VVNT underperforms 82.09% of its industry peers.

VVNT has a Quick Ratio of 0.47. This is a bad value and indicates that VVNT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

VVNT's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VVNT is outperformed by 85.07% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	0.47
Quick Ratio	0.39

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

VVNT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 69.96%, which is quite impressive.

VVNT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 16.23%.

EPS 1Y (TTM)69.96%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS growth Q2Q57.4%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.23%

Revenue growth 3YN/A

Revenue growth 5YN/A

Revenue growth Q2Q13.62%

3.2 Future

VVNT is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 20.97% yearly.

The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.78% on average over the next years. This is quite good.

EPS Next Y60.72%

EPS Next 2Y24.3%

EPS Next 3Y20.97%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year14.1%

Revenue Next 2Y9.24%

Revenue Next 3Y9.78%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VVNT. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for VVNT. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VVNT is on the same level as its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	54.34

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as VVNT's earnings are expected to grow with 20.97% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y24.3%

EPS Next 3Y20.97%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VVNT does not give a dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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Vivint Smart Home Inc

NYSE:VVNT (3/9/2023, 7:04:00 PM)

After market: 12 0 (0%)

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary

GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services

GICS IndustryDiversified Consumer Services

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

Ins Owner Change

Market Cap2.58B

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)

Div Incr Years

Div Non Decr Years

Ex-Date

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

Avg EPS beat(2)

Min EPS beat(2)

Max EPS beat(2)

EPS beat(4)

Avg EPS beat(4)

Min EPS beat(4)

Max EPS beat(4)

EPS beat(8)

Avg EPS beat(8)

EPS beat(12)

Avg EPS beat(12)

EPS beat(16)

Avg EPS beat(16)

Revenue beat(2)

Avg Revenue beat(2)

Min Revenue beat(2)

Max Revenue beat(2)

Revenue beat(4)

Avg Revenue beat(4)

Min Revenue beat(4)

Max Revenue beat(4)

Revenue beat(8)

Avg Revenue beat(8)

Revenue beat(12)

Avg Revenue beat(12)

Revenue beat(16)

Avg Revenue beat(16)

PT rev (1m)

PT rev (3m)

EPS NQ rev (1m)

EPS NQ rev (3m)

EPS NY rev (1m)

EPS NY rev (3m)

Revenue NQ rev (1m)

Revenue NQ rev (3m)

Revenue NY rev (1m)

Revenue NY rev (3m)

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S
P/FCF
P/OCF
P/B
P/tB
EV/EBITDA

EPS(TTM)

EPS(NY)

Fwd EY

FCF(TTM)

FCFY

OCF(TTM)

OCFY

SpS

BVpS

TBVpS

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	N/A
ROE	N/A
ROCE
ROIC
ROICexc
ROICexgc
OM	1.18%
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	N/A
FCFM

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

ROICexgc(5y)

ROCE(3y)

ROCE(5y)

ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover0.55

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	N/A
Debt/FCF
Debt/EBITDA
Cap/Depr
Cap/Sales
Interest Coverage
Cash Conversion
Profit Quality
Current Ratio	0.47
Quick Ratio	0.39
Altman-Z

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)69.96%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y

EPS growth Q2Q

EPS Next Y60.72%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.23%

Revenue growth 3YN/A

Revenue growth 5Y

Revenue growth Q2Q

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

EBIT growth 1Y

EBIT growth 3Y

EBIT growth 5Y

EBIT Next Year

EBIT Next 3Y

EBIT Next 5Y

FCF growth 1Y

FCF growth 3Y

FCF growth 5Y

OCF growth 1Y

OCF growth 3Y

OCF growth 5Y

Vivint Smart Home Inc (VVNT)

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

More info and screens