VITAL ENERGY INC (VTLE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VTLE • US5168062058

Current stock price

17.92 USD
-0.18 (-0.99%)
At close:
17.92 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This VTLE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. VTLE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VTLE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • VTLE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VTLE reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • VTLE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
VTLE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVTLE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of VTLE (-27.86%) is worse than 91.94% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -74.84%, VTLE is not doing good in the industry: 87.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.26%, VTLE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.40% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VTLE is below the industry average of 22.51%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.74%) for VTLE is well above the current ROIC(7.26%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.86%
ROE -74.84%
ROIC 7.26%
ROA(3y)11.23%
ROA(5y)-4.25%
ROE(3y)25.12%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.74%
ROIC(5y)16.17%
VTLE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVTLE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1K 2K 3K 4K

1.3 Margins

  • VTLE has a Operating Margin (20.23%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VTLE has declined.
  • VTLE's Gross Margin of 66.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VTLE outperforms 73.46% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VTLE has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.23%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 66.8%
OM growth 3Y-20.05%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.41%
GM growth 5Y0.31%
VTLE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVTLE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. VTLE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VTLE is creating value.
  • VTLE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for VTLE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for VTLE is higher compared to a year ago.
VTLE Yearly Shares OutstandingVTLE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
VTLE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVTLE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.16, we must say that VTLE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.16, VTLE is not doing good in the industry: 66.82% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VTLE is 15.73, which is on the high side as it means it would take VTLE, 15.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • VTLE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 15.73. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VTLE outperforms 49.29% of its industry peers.
  • VTLE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.30, VTLE is doing worse than 72.51% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF 15.73
Altman-Z 0.16
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC9.45%
VTLE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVTLE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.78 indicates that VTLE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VTLE has a worse Current ratio (0.78) than 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that VTLE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.78, VTLE is doing worse than 60.66% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.78
Quick Ratio 0.78
VTLE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVTLE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. VTLE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.19% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for VTLE have been decreasing by -13.37% on average. This is quite bad
  • VTLE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.85%.
  • VTLE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.45% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.19%
EPS 3Y-5.85%
EPS 5Y-13.37%
EPS Q2Q%-5.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.85%
Revenue growth 3Y11.88%
Revenue growth 5Y18.45%
Sales Q2Q%-8.36%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VTLE will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.32% on average per year.
  • VTLE is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.42% yearly.
EPS Next Y10.62%
EPS Next 2Y-25.43%
EPS Next 3Y-9.08%
EPS Next 5Y1.32%
Revenue Next Year-3.52%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
VTLE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVTLE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
VTLE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVTLE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15 20

8

4. VTLE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 2.18 indicates a rather cheap valuation of VTLE.
  • 98.58% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VTLE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • VTLE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.71.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.46, the valuation of VTLE can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VTLE is valued cheaper than 97.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VTLE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.18
Fwd PE 4.46
VTLE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVTLE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 92.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VTLE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VTLE is valued cheaper than 92.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.78
EV/EBITDA 2.56
VTLE Per share dataVTLE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • VTLE's earnings are expected to decrease with -9.08% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-25.43%
EPS Next 3Y-9.08%

0

5. VTLE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for VTLE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

VTLE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VITAL ENERGY INC

NYSE:VTLE (12/12/2025, 8:07:02 PM)

After market: 17.92 0 (0%)

17.92

-0.18 (-0.99%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-03
Earnings (Next)02-17
Inst Owners65.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.53%
Ins Owner Change-823.52%
Market Cap693.32M
Revenue(TTM)1.90B
Net Income(TTM)-1.31B
Analysts53.75
Price Target19.24 (7.37%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.93%
Min EPS beat(2)5.8%
Max EPS beat(2)6.06%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.8%
Min EPS beat(4)5.57%
Max EPS beat(4)9.76%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.03%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.53%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.51%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.27%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-8.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.17%
Max Revenue beat(4)-5.33%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.38%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.36%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.85%
PT rev (1m)-1.88%
PT rev (3m)-0.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.76%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.37%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.18
Fwd PE 4.46
P/S 0.37
P/FCF 4.78
P/OCF 0.6
P/B 0.39
P/tB 0.39
EV/EBITDA 2.56
EPS(TTM)8.22
EY45.87%
EPS(NY)4.01
Fwd EY22.4%
FCF(TTM)3.75
FCFY20.93%
OCF(TTM)29.65
OCFY165.44%
SpS49.03
BVpS45.39
TBVpS45.39
PEG (NY)0.21
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number91.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.86%
ROE -74.84%
ROCE 9.19%
ROIC 7.26%
ROICexc 7.29%
ROICexgc 7.29%
OM 20.23%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 66.8%
FCFM 7.65%
ROA(3y)11.23%
ROA(5y)-4.25%
ROE(3y)25.12%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.74%
ROIC(5y)16.17%
ROICexc(3y)18.01%
ROICexc(5y)16.5%
ROICexgc(3y)18.01%
ROICexgc(5y)16.5%
ROCE(3y)22.46%
ROCE(5y)20.47%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.73%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.45%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.73%
OM growth 3Y-20.05%
OM growth 5Y-3%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.41%
GM growth 5Y0.31%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.3
Debt/FCF 15.73
Debt/EBITDA 1.98
Cap/Depr 129.9%
Cap/Sales 52.82%
Interest Coverage 1.92
Cash Conversion 99.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.78
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 0.16
F-Score4
WACC9.45%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)147.48%
Cap/Depr(5y)160.83%
Cap/Sales(3y)38.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.91%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.19%
EPS 3Y-5.85%
EPS 5Y-13.37%
EPS Q2Q%-5.59%
EPS Next Y10.62%
EPS Next 2Y-25.43%
EPS Next 3Y-9.08%
EPS Next 5Y1.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.85%
Revenue growth 3Y11.88%
Revenue growth 5Y18.45%
Sales Q2Q%-8.36%
Revenue Next Year-3.52%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.87%
EBIT growth 3Y-10.55%
EBIT growth 5Y14.9%
EBIT Next Year165.38%
EBIT Next 3Y32.49%
EBIT Next 5Y23.2%
FCF growth 1Y73.37%
FCF growth 3Y17.38%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y66.7%
OCF growth 3Y26.28%
OCF growth 5Y16.06%

VITAL ENERGY INC / VTLE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VITAL ENERGY INC (VTLE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to VTLE.


What is the valuation status of VITAL ENERGY INC (VTLE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to VITAL ENERGY INC (VTLE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of VTLE stock?

VITAL ENERGY INC (VTLE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for VTLE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VITAL ENERGY INC (VTLE) is expected to grow by 10.62% in the next year.