Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VSTO • US9283771007

44.63 USD
+0.24 (+0.54%)
At close: Nov 26, 2024
44.63 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 11/26/2024, 7:08:32 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This VSTO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

VSTO gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 32 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. VSTO has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. VSTO scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. This makes VSTO very considerable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. VSTO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • VSTO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year VSTO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VSTO reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years VSTO had a positive operating cash flow.
VSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -0.39%, VSTO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO has a Return On Equity (-0.74%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • VSTO's Return On Invested Capital of 9.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
  • VSTO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.20%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.36%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for VSTO is well above the current ROIC(9.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROIC 9.38%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
VSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • VSTO's Operating Margin of 8.75% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
  • VSTO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • VSTO has a Gross Margin (31.49%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
VSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. VSTO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VSTO is creating value.
  • VSTO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • VSTO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • VSTO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
VSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingVSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
VSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.15 indicates that VSTO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • VSTO has a Altman-Z score of 3.15. This is in the better half of the industry: VSTO outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO is 1.70, which is an excellent value as it means it would take VSTO, only 1.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO (1.70) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
  • VSTO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.48, VSTO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Altman-Z 3.15
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
VSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.90 indicates that VSTO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • VSTO has a better Current ratio (2.90) than 64.52% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VSTO has a Quick ratio (1.26) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
VSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. VSTO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • VSTO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -13.45%.
  • VSTO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 91.86% yearly.
  • VSTO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.27%.
  • Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, VSTO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.99% on average per year.
  • VSTO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
VSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
VSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

8

4. VSTO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56 indicates a reasonable valuation of VSTO.
  • VSTO's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VSTO is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.29. VSTO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.06 indicates a reasonable valuation of VSTO.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.60.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
VSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • VSTO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. VSTO is cheaper than 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VSTO is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.53
EV/EBITDA 9.54
VSTO Per share dataVSTO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VSTO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of VSTO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. VSTO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • VSTO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VSTO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Vista Outdoor Inc

NYSE:VSTO (11/26/2024, 7:08:32 PM)

After market: 44.63 0 (0%)

44.63

+0.24 (+0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)01-29
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Revenue(TTM)2.69B
Net Income(TTM)-9.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
P/S 0.97
P/FCF 7.53
P/OCF 6.97
P/B 2.12
P/tB 8.34
EV/EBITDA 9.54
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROCE 11.87%
ROIC 9.38%
ROICexc 9.56%
ROICexgc 18.13%
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
FCFM 12.9%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Debt/EBITDA 1.77
Cap/Depr 28.55%
Cap/Sales 1.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 112.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z 3.15
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%

Vista Outdoor Inc / VSTO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for VSTO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VSTO.


What is the valuation status of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Vista Outdoor Inc?

Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is Vista Outdoor Inc?

The financial health rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 7 / 10.


Is the dividend of Vista Outdoor Inc sustainable?

The dividend rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.