Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:VSTO • US9283771007

Current stock price

44.63 USD
+0.24 (+0.54%)
At close:
44.63 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This VSTO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. VSTO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year VSTO was profitable.
  • VSTO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years VSTO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years VSTO had a positive operating cash flow.
VSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -0.39%, VSTO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO has a Return On Equity of -0.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSTO outperforms 54.84% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 9.38%, VSTO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VSTO is significantly above the industry average of 7.55%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for VSTO is well above the current ROIC(9.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROIC 9.38%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
VSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.75%, VSTO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 31.49%, VSTO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
VSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

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7

2. VSTO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • VSTO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, VSTO has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, VSTO has more shares outstanding
  • VSTO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
VSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingVSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
VSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • VSTO has an Altman-Z score of 3.15. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • VSTO's Altman-Z score of 3.15 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
  • VSTO has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.70. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.70 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.70, VSTO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • VSTO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • VSTO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.48) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Altman-Z 3.15
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
VSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.90 indicates that VSTO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • VSTO's Current ratio of 2.90 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • VSTO has a Quick ratio (1.26) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
VSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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4

3. VSTO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for VSTO have decreased strongly by -13.45% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 91.86% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, VSTO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.27% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, VSTO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
VSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
VSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8

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8

4. VSTO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • VSTO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of VSTO to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.35), we can say VSTO is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.06, which indicates a very decent valuation of VSTO.
  • VSTO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VSTO is cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of VSTO to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.23), we can say VSTO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
VSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VSTO is valued a bit cheaper than 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.53
EV/EBITDA 9.54
VSTO Per share dataVSTO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • VSTO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of VSTO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. VSTO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for VSTO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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VSTO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Vista Outdoor Inc

NYSE:VSTO (11/26/2024, 7:08:32 PM)

After market: 44.63 0 (0%)

44.63

+0.24 (+0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)01-29
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Revenue(TTM)2.69B
Net Income(TTM)-9.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
P/S 0.97
P/FCF 7.53
P/OCF 6.97
P/B 2.12
P/tB 8.34
EV/EBITDA 9.54
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROCE 11.87%
ROIC 9.38%
ROICexc 9.56%
ROICexgc 18.13%
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
FCFM 12.9%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Debt/EBITDA 1.77
Cap/Depr 28.55%
Cap/Sales 1.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 112.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z 3.15
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%

Vista Outdoor Inc / VSTO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for VSTO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VSTO.


What is the valuation status of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of VSTO stock?

Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) stock?

The financial health rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for VSTO stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is expected to grow by 11.68% in the next year.