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Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:VSTO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US9283771007 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

44.63  +0.24 (+0.54%)

After market: 44.63 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall VSTO gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated VSTO against 30 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. VSTO has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. VSTO may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings could make VSTO a good candidate for value investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

VSTO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VSTO had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VSTO reported negative net income in multiple years.
VSTO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
VSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFVSTO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M -600M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -0.39%, VSTO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO has a Return On Equity (-0.74%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
VSTO has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.38%) than 77.42% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VSTO is significantly above the industry average of 8.00%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for VSTO is well above the current ROIC(9.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROIC 9.38%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
VSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICVSTO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.75%, VSTO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
VSTO has a Gross Margin (31.49%) which is in line with its industry peers.
VSTO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
VSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsVSTO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

VSTO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
VSTO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VSTO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
VSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingVSTO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
VSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsVSTO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

VSTO has an Altman-Z score of 3.15. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
VSTO has a better Altman-Z score (3.15) than 64.52% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO is 1.70, which is an excellent value as it means it would take VSTO, only 1.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
VSTO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.70) than 74.19% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that VSTO is not too dependend on debt financing.
VSTO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.48. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSTO outperforms 41.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Altman-Z 3.15
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
VSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFVSTO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

VSTO has a Current Ratio of 2.90. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
VSTO has a Current ratio of 2.90. This is in the better half of the industry: VSTO outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
VSTO's Quick ratio of 1.26 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 45.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
VSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesVSTO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

VSTO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -13.45%.
VSTO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 91.86% yearly.
VSTO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.27%.
Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.38% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
VSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
VSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesVSTO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8

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8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

VSTO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56.
93.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VSTO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.32. VSTO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.06 indicates a reasonable valuation of VSTO.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.13.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
VSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsVSTO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VSTO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 77.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VSTO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.53
EV/EBITDA 9.54
VSTO Per share dataVSTO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of VSTO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

VSTO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Vista Outdoor Inc

NYSE:VSTO (11/26/2024, 7:08:32 PM)

After market: 44.63 0 (0%)

44.63

+0.24 (+0.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)01-29 2025-01-29/amc
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change-87.38%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.56
Fwd PE 9.06
P/S 0.97
P/FCF 7.53
P/OCF 6.97
P/B 2.12
P/tB 8.34
EV/EBITDA 9.54
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.39%
ROE -0.74%
ROCE 11.87%
ROIC 9.38%
ROICexc 9.56%
ROICexgc 18.13%
OM 8.75%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 31.49%
FCFM 12.9%
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexcg growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.48
Debt/FCF 1.7
Debt/EBITDA 1.77
Cap/Depr 28.55%
Cap/Sales 1.02%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 112.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.9
Quick Ratio 1.26
Altman-Z 3.15
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%