Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:VSTO - US9283771007 - Common Stock
44.63 USD
+0.24 (+0.54%)
44.63 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to VSTO. VSTO was compared to 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. While VSTO has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. VSTO is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! With these ratings, VSTO could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year VSTO was profitable.
- VSTO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VSTO reported negative net income in multiple years.
- VSTO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- VSTO has a Return On Assets of -0.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSTO outperforms 54.84% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of VSTO (-0.74%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.38%, VSTO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for VSTO is significantly above the industry average of 7.35%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for VSTO is well above the current ROIC(9.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
1.3 Margins
- The Operating Margin of VSTO (8.75%) is better than 77.42% of its industry peers.
- VSTO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 31.49%, VSTO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.06% of the companies in the same industry.
- VSTO's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% |
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VSTO is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- VSTO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- VSTO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.15 indicates that VSTO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of VSTO (3.15) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO is 1.70, which is an excellent value as it means it would take VSTO, only 1.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- VSTO's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.70 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 indicates that VSTO is not too dependend on debt financing.
- VSTO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.48) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
2.3 Liquidity
- VSTO has a Current Ratio of 2.90. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of VSTO (2.90) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- VSTO has a Quick ratio (1.26) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- VSTO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -13.45%.
- Measured over the past years, VSTO shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 91.86% on average per year.
- VSTO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.27%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- VSTO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- VSTO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56.
- VSTO's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. VSTO is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.38, VSTO is valued rather cheaply.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.06 indicates a reasonable valuation of VSTO.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.29. VSTO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VSTO is valued a bit cheaper than 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of VSTO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for VSTO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
44.63
+0.24 (+0.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)01-29 2025-01-29/amc
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Revenue(TTM)2.69B
Net Income(TTM)-9.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.97 | ||
| P/B | 2.12 | ||
| P/tB | 8.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.87% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.13% | ||
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% | ||
| FCFM | 12.9% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 28.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 112.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%
Vista Outdoor Inc / VSTO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VSTO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VSTO.
What is the valuation status of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for Vista Outdoor Inc?
Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is Vista Outdoor Inc?
The financial health rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 7 / 10.
Is the dividend of Vista Outdoor Inc sustainable?
The dividend rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.