Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:VSTO - US9283771007 - Common Stock
44.63 USD
+0.24 (+0.54%)
44.63 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, VSTO scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. VSTO was compared to 31 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. VSTO has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. VSTO scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. This makes VSTO very considerable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
VSTO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year VSTO had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VSTO reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years VSTO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.39%, VSTO is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO has a Return On Equity (-0.74%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.38%, VSTO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.42% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for VSTO is significantly above the industry average of 7.51%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for VSTO is well above the current ROIC(9.38%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
1.3 Margins
VSTO's Operating Margin of 8.75% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
VSTO has a Gross Margin of 31.49%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSTO outperforms 58.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% |
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), VSTO is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VSTO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.15 indicates that VSTO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.15, VSTO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO is 1.70, which is an excellent value as it means it would take VSTO, only 1.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
VSTO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.70) than 74.19% of its industry peers.
VSTO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
VSTO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.48) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
2.3 Liquidity
VSTO has a Current Ratio of 2.90. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.90, VSTO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.52% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.26 indicates that VSTO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of VSTO (1.26) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VSTO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -13.45%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 91.86% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has decreased by -6.27% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.99% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
VSTO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.56, the valuation of VSTO can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.24.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.06, which indicates a very decent valuation of VSTO.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 35.82. VSTO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, VSTO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of VSTO indicates a rather cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VSTO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for VSTO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
44.63
+0.24 (+0.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change-12.18%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.97 | ||
| P/B | 2.12 | ||
| P/tB | 8.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.87% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.13% | ||
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% | ||
| FCFM | 12.9% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexcg growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 28.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 112.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%