Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:VSTO - US9283771007 - Common Stock
44.63 USD
+0.24 (+0.54%)
44.63 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to VSTO. VSTO was compared to 33 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. VSTO has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. VSTO may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth With these ratings, VSTO could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VSTO was profitable.
In the past year VSTO had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: VSTO reported negative net income in multiple years.
VSTO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
VSTO has a Return On Assets (-0.39%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -0.74%, VSTO is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
VSTO's Return On Invested Capital of 9.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 77.42% of its industry peers.
VSTO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.20%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.07%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.38%) for VSTO is well below the 3 year average (17.20%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that VSTO had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
1.3 Margins
VSTO has a better Operating Margin (8.75%) than 77.42% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of VSTO (31.49%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VSTO has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% |
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
VSTO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, VSTO has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for VSTO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
VSTO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
VSTO has an Altman-Z score of 3.15. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of VSTO (3.15) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO is 1.70, which is an excellent value as it means it would take VSTO, only 1.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of VSTO (1.70) is better than 74.19% of its industry peers.
VSTO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
VSTO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.48 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VSTO outperforms 41.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC8.19%
2.3 Liquidity
VSTO has a Current Ratio of 2.90. This indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
VSTO has a Current ratio of 2.90. This is in the better half of the industry: VSTO outperforms 64.52% of its industry peers.
VSTO has a Quick Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that VSTO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
VSTO has a Quick ratio of 1.26. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: VSTO outperforms 45.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VSTO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -13.45%.
VSTO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 91.86% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -6.27% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, VSTO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.99% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.38% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.56, which indicates a very decent valuation of VSTO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of VSTO indicates a rather cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
VSTO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.89, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.06, the valuation of VSTO can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, VSTO is valued cheaper than 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.59. VSTO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VSTO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: VSTO is cheaper than 77.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
93.55% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VSTO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
VSTO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
VSTO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
44.63
+0.24 (+0.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.38%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.74%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.61B
Revenue(TTM)2.69B
Net Income(TTM)-9.11M
Analysts73.33
Price Target43.67 (-2.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.79%
Min EPS beat(2)3.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.07%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.41%
Max EPS beat(4)6.1%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.65%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)19.37%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.06%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.06%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.73%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.98%
PT rev (1m)0.71%
PT rev (3m)2.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.06 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.97 | ||
| P/B | 2.12 | ||
| P/tB | 8.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY8.65%
EPS(NY)4.93
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)5.93
FCFY13.29%
OCF(TTM)6.4
OCFY14.34%
SpS45.97
BVpS21.08
TBVpS5.35
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)0.13
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.39% | ||
| ROE | -0.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.87% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.13% | ||
| OM | 8.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 31.49% | ||
| FCFM | 12.9% |
ROA(3y)6.39%
ROA(5y)4.62%
ROE(3y)13.58%
ROE(5y)8.36%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)13.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.6%
ROICexc(5y)14.78%
ROICexgc(3y)34.86%
ROICexgc(5y)27.4%
ROCE(3y)21.77%
ROCE(5y)17.56%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.25%
ROICexgc growth 5Y83.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16%
ROICexc growth 5Y78.35%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y80.05%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.22%
GM growth 5Y9.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.7 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.77 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 28.55% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 112.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.15 |
F-Score6
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)44.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13.45%
EPS 3Y2.14%
EPS 5Y91.86%
EPS Q2Q%7.29%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y12.39%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.27%
Revenue growth 3Y7.26%
Revenue growth 5Y5.93%
Sales Q2Q%-1.61%
Revenue Next Year-1.5%
Revenue Next 2Y0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y0.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-28.88%
EBIT growth 3Y0.26%
EBIT growth 5Y90.73%
EBIT Next Year31.39%
EBIT Next 3Y16.84%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5.09%
FCF growth 3Y5.52%
FCF growth 5Y46.28%
OCF growth 1Y-8.01%
OCF growth 3Y5.09%
OCF growth 5Y32.68%
Vista Outdoor Inc / VSTO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for VSTO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to VSTO.
Can you provide the valuation status for Vista Outdoor Inc?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for Vista Outdoor Inc?
Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for VSTO stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is expected to grow by 11.68% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) stock?
The dividend rating of Vista Outdoor Inc (VSTO) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.