VINCE HOLDING CORP (VNCE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:VNCE - US92719W2070 - Common Stock
2.95 USD
+0.05 (+1.72%)
2.8603 USD
-0.09 (-3.04%)
VNCE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 48 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. VNCE has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. VNCE is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year VNCE was profitable.
In the past year VNCE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years VNCE reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years VNCE reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
VNCE has a Return On Assets of -7.00%. This is in the lower half of the industry: VNCE underperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -33.96%, VNCE is doing worse than 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.28%, VNCE is doing worse than 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -7% | ||
| ROE | -33.96% | ||
| ROIC | 4.28% |
ROA(3y)-3.29%
ROA(5y)-6.67%
ROE(3y)-60.11%
ROE(5y)-60.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.15%, VNCE is doing worse than 64.58% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of VNCE has grown nicely.
VNCE's Gross Margin of 50.20% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE outperforms 56.25% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of VNCE has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 50.2% |
OM growth 3Y150.69%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y0.8%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so VNCE is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for VNCE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, VNCE has more shares outstanding
VNCE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -4.82, we must say that VNCE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
VNCE's Altman-Z score of -4.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. VNCE is outperformed by 87.50% of its industry peers.
VNCE has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as VNCE would need 2.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.05, VNCE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
VNCE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.63. This is a neutral value indicating VNCE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of VNCE (0.63) is worse than 64.58% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for VNCE, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | -4.82 |
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC10.2%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.61 indicates that VNCE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of VNCE (1.61) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that VNCE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
VNCE has a Quick ratio of 0.51. This is amonst the worse of the industry: VNCE underperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
VNCE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 115.79%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.75% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the past year.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -4.80% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)115.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.75%
EPS Q2Q%660%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.12%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.8%
Sales Q2Q%-1.25%
3.2 Future
VNCE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.14% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, VNCE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.40% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-94.63%
EPS Next 2Y18.14%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.91%
Revenue Next 2Y3.4%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
VNCE is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.20.
89.58% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VNCE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
VNCE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.67.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.12, the valuation of VNCE can be described as very reasonable.
83.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than VNCE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.33. VNCE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.12 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of VNCE indicates a rather cheap valuation: VNCE is cheaper than 85.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, VNCE is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.41 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
VNCE's earnings are expected to grow with 18.14% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.14%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for VNCE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
2.95
+0.05 (+1.72%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners6.94%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.06%
Ins Owner Change-0.1%
Market Cap38.26M
Revenue(TTM)291.29M
Net Income(TTM)-16739000
Analysts82.5
Price Target4.34 (47.12%)
Short Float %18.8%
Short Ratio0.24
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)243.09%
Min EPS beat(2)13.63%
Max EPS beat(2)472.55%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)163.07%
Min EPS beat(4)4.17%
Max EPS beat(4)472.55%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.21%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.67%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.04%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)30.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-31.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-31.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)102.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)102.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.29%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.12 | ||
| P/S | 0.13 | ||
| P/FCF | 2.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.78 | ||
| P/B | 0.78 | ||
| P/tB | 0.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.41 |
EPS(TTM)0.41
EY13.9%
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY8.99%
FCF(TTM)1.17
FCFY39.66%
OCF(TTM)1.66
OCFY56.23%
SpS22.46
BVpS3.8
TBVpS3.8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number5.92
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -7% | ||
| ROE | -33.96% | ||
| ROCE | 5.41% | ||
| ROIC | 4.28% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.3% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.3% | ||
| OM | 3.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 50.2% | ||
| FCFM | 5.21% |
ROA(3y)-3.29%
ROA(5y)-6.67%
ROE(3y)-60.11%
ROE(5y)-60.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y136.27%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y186.77%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y150.69%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y0.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.22
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 180.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.18% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.84 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 169.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | -4.82 |
F-Score5
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)56.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.18%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)115.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-3.75%
EPS Q2Q%660%
EPS Next Y-94.63%
EPS Next 2Y18.14%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.12%
Revenue growth 5Y-4.8%
Sales Q2Q%-1.25%
Revenue Next Year1.91%
Revenue Next 2Y3.4%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3565.2%
EBIT growth 3Y142.87%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-36.98%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y174.9%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y7.7%
OCF growth 1Y210.57%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y5.57%