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UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:USAP - US9138371003 - Common Stock

44.99 USD
+0.41 (+0.92%)
Last: 1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM
44.9925 USD
+0 (+0.01%)
After Hours: 1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, USAP scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. USAP was compared to 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. USAP has an average financial health and profitability rating. USAP has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

USAP had positive earnings in the past year.
USAP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: USAP reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years USAP reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
USAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUSAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

USAP has a better Return On Assets (7.17%) than 81.38% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of USAP (10.52%) is better than 78.62% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of USAP (9.28%) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROIC 9.28%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
USAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUSAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -5 -10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.14%, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
USAP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 11.59%, USAP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.28% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of USAP has declined.
USAP has a Gross Margin (21.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of USAP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
USAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUSAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

USAP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has more shares outstanding
USAP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
USAP Yearly Shares OutstandingUSAP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M
USAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUSAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

USAP has an Altman-Z score of 4.44. This indicates that USAP is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of USAP (4.44) is better than 66.90% of its industry peers.
USAP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.64. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as USAP would need 3.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
USAP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.64) than 72.41% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 indicates that USAP is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of USAP (0.26) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Altman-Z 4.44
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC11.17%
USAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUSAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

USAP has a Current Ratio of 4.38. This indicates that USAP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
USAP's Current ratio of 4.38 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 77.93% of its industry peers.
USAP has a Quick Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that USAP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.35, USAP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
USAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUSAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1694.12% over the past year.
USAP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -16.94% yearly.
Looking at the last year, USAP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 24.80%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.24% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 156.90% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
USAP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
USAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
USAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.60 indicates a correct valuation of USAP.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of USAP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: USAP is cheaper than 73.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
USAP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.08.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.37, USAP is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, USAP is valued a bit cheaper than 67.59% of the companies in the same industry.
USAP is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.67, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
USAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUSAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of USAP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: USAP is cheaper than 66.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of USAP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: USAP is cheaper than 75.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.03
EV/EBITDA 8.35
USAP Per share dataUSAP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

USAP's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as USAP's earnings are expected to grow with 156.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for USAP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY

NASDAQ:USAP (1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

44.99

+0.41 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22 2025-01-22/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners66.11%
Inst Owner Change-44.61%
Ins Owners6.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap418.86M
Analysts43.33
Price Target46.92 (4.29%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)38.19%
Min EPS beat(2)6.69%
Max EPS beat(2)69.68%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)22.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.28%
Max EPS beat(4)69.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.78%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.48%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.54%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.51%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 22.03
P/OCF 11.39
P/B 1.65
P/tB 1.65
EV/EBITDA 8.35
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.02%
EPS(NY)3.37
Fwd EY7.48%
FCF(TTM)2.04
FCFY4.54%
OCF(TTM)3.95
OCFY8.78%
SpS35.17
BVpS27.2
TBVpS27.2
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROCE 11.74%
ROIC 9.28%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 9.28%
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
FCFM 5.81%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Debt/EBITDA 1.12
Cap/Depr 86.51%
Cap/Sales 5.43%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 62.9%
Profit Quality 71.33%
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
Altman-Z 4.44
F-Score8
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)62.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.98%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y555.2%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-3.1%
EBIT Next Year348.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y154.35%
FCF growth 3Y-5.9%
FCF growth 5Y58.5%
OCF growth 1Y289.52%
OCF growth 3Y1.95%
OCF growth 5Y8.72%