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UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY (USAP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:USAP - Nasdaq - US9138371003 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

44.99  +0.41 (+0.92%)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, USAP scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. USAP was compared to 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. USAP has an average financial health and profitability rating. USAP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year USAP was profitable.
In the past year USAP had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: USAP reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: USAP reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
USAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUSAP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

USAP has a better Return On Assets (7.17%) than 81.38% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.52%, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 9.28%, USAP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROIC 9.28%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
USAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUSAP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -5 -10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.14%, USAP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.62% of the companies in the same industry.
USAP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of USAP (11.59%) is better than 68.28% of its industry peers.
USAP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
USAP has a Gross Margin (21.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
USAP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
USAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUSAP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), USAP is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has more shares outstanding
USAP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, USAP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
USAP Yearly Shares OutstandingUSAP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M
USAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUSAP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.44 indicates that USAP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
USAP has a better Altman-Z score (4.44) than 66.90% of its industry peers.
USAP has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.64. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as USAP would need 3.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
USAP's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.64 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 72.41% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26 indicates that USAP is not too dependend on debt financing.
USAP's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.26 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. USAP outperforms 41.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Altman-Z 4.44
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC11.17%
USAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUSAP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.38 indicates that USAP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 4.38, USAP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.93% of the companies in the same industry.
USAP has a Quick Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that USAP is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
USAP has a Quick ratio of 1.35. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: USAP outperforms 46.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
USAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUSAP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

USAP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1694.12%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for USAP have been decreasing by -16.94% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 24.80% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
USAP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 156.90% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, USAP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.33% on average per year.
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
USAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
USAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUSAP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 3

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.60, the valuation of USAP can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, USAP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.10% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.03. USAP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.37, which indicates a correct valuation of USAP.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, USAP is valued a bit cheaper than 67.59% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.28. USAP is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
USAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUSAP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

66.90% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than USAP, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of USAP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: USAP is cheaper than 75.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.03
EV/EBITDA 8.35
USAP Per share dataUSAP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
USAP's earnings are expected to grow with 156.90% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for USAP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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UNIVERSAL STAINLESS & ALLOY

NASDAQ:USAP (1/22/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 44.9925 +0 (+0.01%)

44.99

+0.41 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22 2025-01-22/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners66.11%
Inst Owner Change-2.42%
Ins Owners6.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap418.86M
Analysts43.33
Price Target46.92 (4.29%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)38.19%
Min EPS beat(2)6.69%
Max EPS beat(2)69.68%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)22.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.28%
Max EPS beat(4)69.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.78%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)11.84%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.48%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.54%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.96%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.51%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.25%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)43.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.6
Fwd PE 13.37
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 22.03
P/OCF 11.39
P/B 1.65
P/tB 1.65
EV/EBITDA 8.35
EPS(TTM)2.71
EY6.02%
EPS(NY)3.37
Fwd EY7.48%
FCF(TTM)2.04
FCFY4.54%
OCF(TTM)3.95
OCFY8.78%
SpS35.17
BVpS27.2
TBVpS27.2
PEG (NY)0.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 10.52%
ROCE 11.74%
ROIC 9.28%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 9.28%
OM 11.59%
PM (TTM) 8.14%
GM 21.62%
FCFM 5.81%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-1.24%
ROE(3y)-0.62%
ROE(5y)-1.7%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.38%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.31%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.33%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.64
Debt/EBITDA 1.12
Cap/Depr 86.51%
Cap/Sales 5.43%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 62.9%
Profit Quality 71.33%
Current Ratio 4.38
Quick Ratio 1.35
Altman-Z 4.44
F-Score8
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)62.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.98%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1694.12%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-16.94%
EPS Q2Q%455%
EPS Next Y546%
EPS Next 2Y156.9%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.75%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%22.47%
Revenue Next Year16.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.33%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y555.2%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-3.1%
EBIT Next Year348.63%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y154.35%
FCF growth 3Y-5.9%
FCF growth 5Y58.5%
OCF growth 1Y289.52%
OCF growth 3Y1.95%
OCF growth 5Y8.72%