URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:URBN - US9170471026 - Common Stock
67.71 USD
-3.99 (-5.56%)
68 USD
+0.29 (+0.43%)
Overall URBN gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated URBN against 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. URBN scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on URBN. These ratings could make URBN a good candidate for value and quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year URBN was profitable.
URBN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years URBN has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years URBN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
URBN's Return On Assets of 10.09% is amongst the best of the industry. URBN outperforms 82.11% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 18.42%, URBN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.86% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 12.00%, URBN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.30% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for URBN is below the industry average of 11.93%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.01%) for URBN is below the current ROIC(12.00%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.09% | ||
| ROE | 18.42% | ||
| ROIC | 12% |
ROA(3y)6.75%
ROA(5y)5.69%
ROE(3y)12.94%
ROE(5y)11.34%
ROIC(3y)9.01%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 8.15%, URBN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.55% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of URBN has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of URBN (9.54%) is better than 82.93% of its industry peers.
URBN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 35.67%, URBN is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.97% of the companies in the same industry.
URBN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.15% | ||
| GM | 35.67% |
OM growth 3Y-1.37%
OM growth 5Y5.69%
PM growth 3Y2.02%
PM growth 5Y11.44%
GM growth 3Y1.94%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), URBN is creating some value.
URBN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, URBN has less shares outstanding
URBN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
URBN has an Altman-Z score of 4.35. This indicates that URBN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
URBN's Altman-Z score of 4.35 is amongst the best of the industry. URBN outperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
URBN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.35 |
ROIC/WACC1.26
WACC9.5%
2.3 Liquidity
URBN has a Current Ratio of 1.48. This is a normal value and indicates that URBN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.48, URBN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
URBN has a Quick Ratio of 1.48. This is a bad value and indicates that URBN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
URBN has a better Quick ratio (0.84) than 73.17% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for URBN is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
URBN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 39.03%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.50% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 9.63% in the past year. This is quite good.
URBN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.86% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.03%
EPS 3Y9.26%
EPS 5Y15.5%
EPS Q2Q%27.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.86%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%11.3%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, URBN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.08% on average per year.
URBN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.49% yearly.
EPS Next Y25.31%
EPS Next 2Y17.33%
EPS Next 3Y14.98%
EPS Next 5Y10.08%
Revenue Next Year8.46%
Revenue Next 2Y7.59%
Revenue Next 3Y7.4%
Revenue Next 5Y7.49%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.87 indicates a correct valuation of URBN.
URBN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. URBN is cheaper than 79.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.30. URBN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.08, URBN is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, URBN is valued a bit cheaper than 78.05% of the companies in the same industry.
URBN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.73.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, URBN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, URBN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.15 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
URBN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of URBN may justify a higher PE ratio.
URBN's earnings are expected to grow with 14.98% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)0.9
EPS Next 2Y17.33%
EPS Next 3Y14.98%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
URBN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
67.71
-3.99 (-5.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners76.48%
Inst Owner Change3%
Ins Owners28.55%
Ins Owner Change0.35%
Market Cap6.07B
Analysts75.79
Price Target80.13 (18.34%)
Short Float %17.43%
Short Ratio5.43
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)20.26%
Min EPS beat(2)4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)35.67%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)18.08%
Min EPS beat(4)4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)35.67%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)15.31%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.1%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)8.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.18%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.46%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.18%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.6%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.46%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.86%
PT rev (1m)8.46%
PT rev (3m)13.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)9.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.2%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.08 | ||
| P/S | 1.04 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.29 | ||
| P/B | 2.35 | ||
| P/tB | 2.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.15 |
EPS(TTM)4.88
EY7.21%
EPS(NY)5.6
Fwd EY8.27%
FCF(TTM)4.45
FCFY6.57%
OCF(TTM)6.58
OCFY9.72%
SpS65.06
BVpS28.79
TBVpS28.79
PEG (NY)0.55
PEG (5Y)0.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.09% | ||
| ROE | 18.42% | ||
| ROCE | 15.4% | ||
| ROIC | 12% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.5% | ||
| OM | 9.54% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.15% | ||
| GM | 35.67% | ||
| FCFM | 6.84% |
ROA(3y)6.75%
ROA(5y)5.69%
ROE(3y)12.94%
ROE(5y)11.34%
ROIC(3y)9.01%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)10.7%
ROICexc(5y)9.26%
ROICexgc(3y)10.7%
ROICexgc(5y)9.26%
ROCE(3y)11.56%
ROCE(5y)9.99%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-0.78%
ROICexcg growth 5Y7.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.78%
OM growth 3Y-1.37%
OM growth 5Y5.69%
PM growth 3Y2.02%
PM growth 5Y11.44%
GM growth 3Y1.94%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 159.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.28% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.88% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.48 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.35 |
F-Score8
WACC9.5%
ROIC/WACC1.26
Cap/Depr(3y)182.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.34%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)39.03%
EPS 3Y9.26%
EPS 5Y15.5%
EPS Q2Q%27.42%
EPS Next Y25.31%
EPS Next 2Y17.33%
EPS Next 3Y14.98%
EPS Next 5Y10.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.86%
Revenue growth 5Y6.86%
Sales Q2Q%11.3%
Revenue Next Year8.46%
Revenue Next 2Y7.59%
Revenue Next 3Y7.4%
Revenue Next 5Y7.49%
EBIT growth 1Y36.11%
EBIT growth 3Y5.4%
EBIT growth 5Y12.93%
EBIT Next Year53.63%
EBIT Next 3Y21.35%
EBIT Next 5Y13.26%
FCF growth 1Y86.96%
FCF growth 3Y48.96%
FCF growth 5Y41.48%
OCF growth 1Y53.03%
OCF growth 3Y11.86%
OCF growth 5Y12.92%