UPS CDR (UPS.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:UPS
14.51 CAD
-0.22 (-1.49%)
Last: Mar 2, 2026, 07:00 PM
UPS gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 3 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While UPS belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. UPS may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings could make UPS a good candidate for value investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year UPS was profitable.
- UPS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years UPS has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years UPS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of UPS (7.62%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of UPS (34.34%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.69%, UPS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.68%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.62% | ||
| ROE | 34.34% | ||
| ROIC | 10.69% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)12.03%
ROE(3y)35.89%
ROE(5y)51.3%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)14.96%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of UPS (6.28%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- UPS's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.91%, UPS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- UPS has a Gross Margin of 83.19%. This is amongst the best in the industry. UPS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- UPS's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.28% | ||
| GM | 83.19% |
OM growth 3Y-12.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.35%
PM growth 3Y-18.26%
PM growth 5Y31.69%
GM growth 3Y2.87%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), UPS is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, UPS has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, UPS has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for UPS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- UPS has an Altman-Z score of 2.11. This is not the best score and indicates that UPS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- UPS has a Altman-Z score of 2.11. This is amongst the best in the industry. UPS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- UPS has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.06. This is a neutral value as UPS would need 5.06 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- UPS has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.06) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- UPS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.45. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of UPS (1.45) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.06 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.11 |
ROIC/WACC1.93
WACC5.55%
2.3 Liquidity
- UPS has a Current Ratio of 1.22. This is a normal value and indicates that UPS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- UPS has a better Current ratio (1.22) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.22 indicates that UPS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- UPS has a better Quick ratio (1.22) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- UPS shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.37%.
- UPS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.72% yearly.
- The Revenue has decreased by -2.65% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.94% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.37%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5Y-2.72%
EPS Q2Q%-13.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.04%
Revenue growth 5Y0.94%
Sales Q2Q%-3.25%
3.2 Future
- UPS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.78% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-0.36%
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.72%
EPS Next 5Y10.78%
Revenue Next Year1.35%
Revenue Next 2Y2.81%
Revenue Next 3Y2.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.13%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 1.48, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of UPS.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UPS is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.13.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.49, the valuation of UPS can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UPS is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.11. UPS is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 1.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of UPS indicates a rather cheap valuation: UPS is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UPS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. UPS is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 1.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.34 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The excellent profitability rating of UPS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.72%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.62%, UPS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- UPS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.54. UPS pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, UPS pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.62% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of UPS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.10%!
- UPS does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.1%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
5.3 Sustainability
- 96.88% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UPS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of UPS is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP96.88%
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.72%
TSX:UPS (3/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
14.51
-0.22 (-1.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)01-27 2026-01-27/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/bmo
Inst Owners66.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.31B
Revenue(TTM)88.66B
Net Income(TTM)5.57B
Analysts72
Price Target14.84 (2.27%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.62% |
Yearly Dividend8.67
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.1%
DP96.88%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.84%
Min EPS beat(2)7.04%
Max EPS beat(2)32.65%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.66%
Max EPS beat(4)32.65%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.96%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)4.47%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.78%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.78%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.18%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.17%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.21%
PT rev (1m)8.14%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 1.49 | ||
| P/S | 0.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 1.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.07 | ||
| P/B | 0.55 | ||
| P/tB | 1.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.34 |
EPS(TTM)9.79
EY67.47%
EPS(NY)9.75
Fwd EY67.21%
FCF(TTM)7.68
FCFY52.91%
OCF(TTM)13.62
OCFY93.83%
SpS142.86
BVpS26.15
TBVpS10.26
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number75.89
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.62% | ||
| ROE | 34.34% | ||
| ROCE | 13.75% | ||
| ROIC | 10.69% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.72% | ||
| OM | 8.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.28% | ||
| GM | 83.19% | ||
| FCFM | 5.37% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)12.03%
ROE(3y)35.89%
ROE(5y)51.3%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)14.96%
ROICexc(3y)13.68%
ROICexc(5y)17.5%
ROICexgc(3y)16.53%
ROICexgc(5y)20.88%
ROCE(3y)15.62%
ROCE(5y)19.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.14%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.76%
OM growth 3Y-12.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.35%
PM growth 3Y-18.26%
PM growth 5Y31.69%
GM growth 3Y2.87%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.06 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.56% | ||
| Profit Quality | 85.52% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.11 |
F-Score6
WACC5.55%
ROIC/WACC1.93
Cap/Depr(3y)119.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.64%
Profit Quality(3y)89.57%
Profit Quality(5y)86.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.37%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5Y-2.72%
EPS Q2Q%-13.45%
EPS Next Y-0.36%
EPS Next 2Y6.31%
EPS Next 3Y6.72%
EPS Next 5Y10.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.04%
Revenue growth 5Y0.94%
Sales Q2Q%-3.25%
Revenue Next Year1.35%
Revenue Next 2Y2.81%
Revenue Next 3Y2.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.88%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.44%
EBIT Next Year47.99%
EBIT Next 3Y18.73%
EBIT Next 5Y14.49%
FCF growth 1Y-23.31%
FCF growth 3Y-20.08%
FCF growth 5Y-1.14%
OCF growth 1Y-16.52%
OCF growth 3Y-15.7%
OCF growth 5Y-4.18%
UPS CDR / UPS.CA FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for UPS stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UPS.CA.
What is the valuation status for UPS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to UPS CDR (UPS.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is UPS CDR (UPS.CA) stock?
UPS CDR (UPS.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for UPS stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for UPS CDR (UPS.CA) is 1.48 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.55.
What is the expected EPS growth for UPS CDR (UPS.CA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UPS CDR (UPS.CA) is expected to decline by -0.36% in the next year.