UPS CDR (UPS.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada • Toronto Stock Exchange • TSX:UPS

14.82 CAD
+0.59 (+4.15%)
Last: Feb 4, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Overall UPS gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated UPS against 3 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While UPS has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. UPS is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! These ratings could make UPS a good candidate for value investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year UPS was profitable.
  • UPS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years UPS has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years UPS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
UPS.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFUPS.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 7.62%, UPS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 34.34%, UPS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of UPS (10.69%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • UPS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.14%. This is significantly above the industry average of 6.68%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.62%
ROE 34.34%
ROIC 10.69%
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)12.03%
ROE(3y)35.89%
ROE(5y)51.3%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)14.96%
UPS.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICUPS.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200 400 600 800

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of UPS (6.28%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UPS has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 8.91%, UPS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UPS has declined.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 83.19%, UPS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of UPS has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.91%
PM (TTM) 6.28%
GM 83.19%
OM growth 3Y-12.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.35%
PM growth 3Y-18.26%
PM growth 5Y31.69%
GM growth 3Y2.87%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
UPS.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsUPS.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UPS is creating value.
  • UPS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, UPS has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for UPS is higher compared to a year ago.
UPS.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingUPS.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
UPS.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsUPS.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.11 indicates that UPS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • UPS has a Altman-Z score of 2.11. This is amongst the best in the industry. UPS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of UPS is 5.06, which is a neutral value as it means it would take UPS, 5.06 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • UPS's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.06 is amongst the best of the industry. UPS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.45 is on the high side and indicates that UPS has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of UPS (1.45) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.45
Debt/FCF 5.06
Altman-Z 2.11
ROIC/WACC1.88
WACC5.68%
UPS.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFUPS.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.22 indicates that UPS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 1.22, UPS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • UPS has a Quick Ratio of 1.22. This is a normal value and indicates that UPS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • UPS has a Quick ratio of 1.22. This is amongst the best in the industry. UPS outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.22
Quick Ratio 1.22
UPS.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesUPS.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • UPS shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.37%.
  • Measured over the past years, UPS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.72% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, UPS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.65% in the last year.
  • UPS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.94% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.37%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5Y-2.72%
EPS Q2Q%-13.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.04%
Revenue growth 5Y0.94%
Sales Q2Q%-3.25%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, UPS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.28% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, UPS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.41%
EPS Next 2Y5.75%
EPS Next 3Y8.52%
EPS Next 5Y8.28%
Revenue Next Year-0.26%
Revenue Next 2Y1.92%
Revenue Next 3Y3.04%
Revenue Next 5Y3.43%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
UPS.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesUPS.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
UPS.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesUPS.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2 4 6 8 10

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 1.52, the valuation of UPS can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UPS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of UPS to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.67), we can say UPS is valued rather cheaply.
  • UPS is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.51.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UPS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • UPS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.20.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 1.52
Fwd PE 1.51
UPS.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsUPS.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, UPS is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UPS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.93
EV/EBITDA 2.36
UPS.CA Per share dataUPS.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • UPS has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.75%
EPS Next 3Y8.52%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.19%, UPS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • UPS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.70. UPS pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, UPS pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.19%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of UPS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.10%!
  • UPS is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.1%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

  • UPS pays out 96.88% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of UPS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP96.88%
EPS Next 2Y5.75%
EPS Next 3Y8.52%
UPS.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendUPS.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
UPS.CA Dividend Payout.UPS.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.UPS.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

UPS CDR

TSX:UPS (2/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

14.82

+0.59 (+4.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)01-27
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners66.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap12.57B
Revenue(TTM)88.66B
Net Income(TTM)5.57B
Analysts72.94
Price Target13.72 (-7.42%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.19%
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.1%
DP96.88%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.84%
Min EPS beat(2)7.04%
Max EPS beat(2)32.65%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)11.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.66%
Max EPS beat(4)32.65%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.34%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)4.96%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)4.47%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.78%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.78%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.18%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.17%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.21%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 1.52
Fwd PE 1.51
P/S 0.1
P/FCF 1.93
P/OCF 1.09
P/B 0.57
P/tB 1.45
EV/EBITDA 2.36
EPS(TTM)9.78
EY65.99%
EPS(NY)9.82
Fwd EY66.24%
FCF(TTM)7.67
FCFY51.74%
OCF(TTM)13.6
OCFY91.76%
SpS142.68
BVpS26.11
TBVpS10.25
PEG (NY)3.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number75.81
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.62%
ROE 34.34%
ROCE 13.75%
ROIC 10.69%
ROICexc 11.91%
ROICexgc 14.72%
OM 8.91%
PM (TTM) 6.28%
GM 83.19%
FCFM 5.37%
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)12.03%
ROE(3y)35.89%
ROE(5y)51.3%
ROIC(3y)12.14%
ROIC(5y)14.96%
ROICexc(3y)13.68%
ROICexc(5y)17.5%
ROICexgc(3y)16.53%
ROICexgc(5y)20.88%
ROCE(3y)15.62%
ROCE(5y)19.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.14%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.76%
OM growth 3Y-12.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.35%
PM growth 3Y-18.26%
PM growth 5Y31.69%
GM growth 3Y2.87%
GM growth 5Y1.17%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.21
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.45
Debt/FCF 5.06
Debt/EBITDA 2.02
Cap/Depr 98.37%
Cap/Sales 4.16%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 72.56%
Profit Quality 85.52%
Current Ratio 1.22
Quick Ratio 1.22
Altman-Z 2.11
F-Score6
WACC5.68%
ROIC/WACC1.88
Cap/Depr(3y)119.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.64%
Profit Quality(3y)89.57%
Profit Quality(5y)86.69%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.37%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5Y-2.72%
EPS Q2Q%-13.45%
EPS Next Y0.41%
EPS Next 2Y5.75%
EPS Next 3Y8.52%
EPS Next 5Y8.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.04%
Revenue growth 5Y0.94%
Sales Q2Q%-3.25%
Revenue Next Year-0.26%
Revenue Next 2Y1.92%
Revenue Next 3Y3.04%
Revenue Next 5Y3.43%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.88%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.44%
EBIT Next Year48.56%
EBIT Next 3Y18.29%
EBIT Next 5Y14.52%
FCF growth 1Y-23.31%
FCF growth 3Y-20.08%
FCF growth 5Y-1.14%
OCF growth 1Y-16.52%
OCF growth 3Y-15.7%
OCF growth 5Y-4.18%

UPS CDR / UPS.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for UPS stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UPS.CA.


What is the valuation status for UPS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to UPS CDR (UPS.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is UPS CDR (UPS.CA) stock?

UPS CDR (UPS.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for UPS stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for UPS CDR (UPS.CA) is 1.52 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.57.


What is the expected EPS growth for UPS CDR (UPS.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UPS CDR (UPS.CA) is expected to grow by 0.41% in the next year.