UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:UPBD • US76009N1000
Current stock price
18.3 USD
+0.37 (+2.06%)
At close:
18.3 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This UPBD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UPBD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year UPBD was profitable.
- In the past year UPBD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- UPBD had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years UPBD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- UPBD's Return On Assets of 2.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 57.26% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of UPBD (10.53%) is better than 67.74% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Return On Invested Capital of 8.40% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD outperforms 73.39% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for UPBD is below the industry average of 13.59%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 1.56%, UPBD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of UPBD has declined.
- UPBD has a Operating Margin of 6.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
- UPBD's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 48.39%, UPBD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPBD's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% |
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. UPBD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- UPBD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for UPBD has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for UPBD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- UPBD has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- UPBD has an Altman-Z score of 2.71. This is not the best score and indicates that UPBD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 2.71, UPBD perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of UPBD is 6.58, which is on the high side as it means it would take UPBD, 6.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- UPBD has a Debt to FCF ratio (6.58) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- UPBD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.26. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- UPBD's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.26 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UPBD is outperformed by 68.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.71 |
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC9.22%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.99 indicates that UPBD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- UPBD has a Current ratio of 1.99. This is in the better half of the industry: UPBD outperforms 79.84% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that UPBD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of UPBD (0.39) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. UPBD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.83% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.13% on average over the past years.
- UPBD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.67%.
- Measured over the past years, UPBD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, UPBD will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.51% on average per year.
- UPBD is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. UPBD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- UPBD is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.43.
- 97.58% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UPBD, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of UPBD to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.70), we can say UPBD is valued rather cheaply.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.22 indicates a rather cheap valuation of UPBD.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UPBD is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPBD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, UPBD is valued cheaper than 84.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- UPBD's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. UPBD is cheaper than 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)1.42
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
5. UPBD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- UPBD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.27%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.38, UPBD pays a better dividend. On top of this UPBD pays more dividend than 95.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- UPBD's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.27% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of UPBD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.14%!
- UPBD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- UPBD has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 119.97% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UPBD. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of UPBD is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP119.97%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
UPBD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
18.3
+0.37 (+2.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners89.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.96%
Ins Owner Change18.36%
Market Cap1.06B
Revenue(TTM)4.70B
Net Income(TTM)73.24M
Analysts83.08
Price Target29.73 (62.46%)
Short Float %9.64%
Short Ratio6.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.27% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.14%
DP119.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.31%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(2)1.66%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.28%
Max EPS beat(4)3.99%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.83%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.77%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)7.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.04%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.29%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.51%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.2%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.09%
PT rev (1m)2%
PT rev (3m)-8.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.54%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.22 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.48 | ||
| P/B | 1.53 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.74 |
EPS(TTM)4.13
EY22.57%
EPS(NY)4.34
Fwd EY23.69%
FCF(TTM)4.11
FCFY22.44%
OCF(TTM)5.26
OCFY28.73%
SpS80.78
BVpS11.97
TBVpS-2.44
PEG (NY)0.89
PEG (5Y)1.42
Graham Number33.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.24% | ||
| ROE | 10.53% | ||
| ROCE | 12.24% | ||
| ROIC | 8.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.84% | ||
| OM | 6.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.56% | ||
| GM | 48.39% | ||
| FCFM | 5.08% |
ROA(3y)2.24%
ROA(5y)2.33%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)11.58%
ROIC(3y)9.97%
ROIC(5y)10.71%
ROICexc(3y)10.4%
ROICexc(5y)11.26%
ROICexgc(3y)15.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.7%
ROCE(3y)14.52%
ROCE(5y)15.6%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.81%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.86%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.94%
OM growth 3Y-1.87%
OM growth 5Y-6.51%
PM growth 3Y74.8%
PM growth 5Y-26.74%
GM growth 3Y-0.41%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.58 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 49.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.42% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | 325.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.99 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.71 |
F-Score5
WACC9.22%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)45.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)44%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.83%
EPS 3Y3.83%
EPS 5Y3.13%
EPS Q2Q%-3.81%
EPS Next Y4.98%
EPS Next 2Y10.53%
EPS Next 3Y8.28%
EPS Next 5Y8.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y3.41%
Revenue growth 5Y10.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.86%
Revenue Next Year4.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.88%
Revenue Next 5Y3.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y1.48%
EBIT growth 5Y3.57%
EBIT Next Year44.55%
EBIT Next 3Y16.75%
EBIT Next 5Y11.72%
FCF growth 1Y392.73%
FCF growth 3Y-16.3%
FCF growth 5Y3.4%
OCF growth 1Y191.8%
OCF growth 3Y-13.28%
OCF growth 5Y5.26%
UPBOUND GROUP INC / UPBD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for UPBD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UPBD.
Can you provide the valuation status for UPBOUND GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) stock?
UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for UPBD stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is expected to grow by 4.98% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for UPBD stock?
The dividend rating of UPBOUND GROUP INC (UPBD) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 119.97%.