UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:UNP - US9078181081 - Common Stock
234.15 USD
-0.46 (-0.2%)
234.15 USD
0 (0%)
Overall UNP gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated UNP against 42 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While UNP belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. UNP is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. UNP also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year UNP was profitable.
In the past year UNP had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years UNP has been profitable.
In the past 5 years UNP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
UNP's Return On Assets of 10.27% is amongst the best of the industry. UNP outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 40.75%, UNP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of UNP (12.12%) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for UNP is significantly above the industry average of 6.83%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.01%) for UNP is below the current ROIC(12.12%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.27% | ||
| ROE | 40.75% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% |
ROA(3y)10.05%
ROA(5y)9.8%
ROE(3y)46.87%
ROE(5y)43.64%
ROIC(3y)12.01%
ROIC(5y)11.77%
1.3 Margins
UNP has a better Profit Margin (28.73%) than 95.24% of its industry peers.
UNP's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 40.62%, UNP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
UNP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of UNP (79.83%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
UNP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 40.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 28.73% | ||
| GM | 79.83% |
OM growth 3Y-2.21%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-2.39%
PM growth 5Y0.4%
GM growth 3Y-0.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UNP is still creating some value.
UNP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
UNP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, UNP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.83 indicates that UNP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
UNP has a Altman-Z score of 3.83. This is in the better half of the industry: UNP outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of UNP is 5.29, which is a neutral value as it means it would take UNP, 5.29 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
UNP's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.29 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. UNP outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
UNP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.75. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
UNP's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.75 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. UNP is outperformed by 78.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.83 |
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC9.86%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.75 indicates that UNP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of UNP (0.75) is worse than 80.95% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.60 indicates that UNP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.60, UNP is not doing good in the industry: 85.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 8.08% over the past year.
UNP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.83% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.06% in the past year.
UNP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.08%
EPS 3Y3.84%
EPS 5Y5.83%
EPS Q2Q%12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.06%
Revenue growth 3Y3.61%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%2.51%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, UNP will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.05% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y6.52%
EPS Next 2Y7.11%
EPS Next 3Y7.54%
EPS Next 5Y9.05%
Revenue Next Year1.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.36%
Revenue Next 5Y7.82%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.89, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of UNP.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UNP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
UNP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.50.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.32, the valuation of UNP can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, UNP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of UNP to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.93), we can say UNP is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
UNP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, UNP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.48% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.68 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates UNP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
UNP has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.05
PEG (5Y)3.41
EPS Next 2Y7.11%
EPS Next 3Y7.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.35%, UNP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.75, UNP pays a better dividend. On top of this UNP pays more dividend than 92.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, UNP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.35% |
5.2 History
The dividend of UNP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.62%!
UNP has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
UNP has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.62%
Div Incr Years18
Div Non Decr Years26
5.3 Sustainability
45.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UNP. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of UNP is growing around the same rate as the earnings are growing. If this keeps up the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP45.77%
EPS Next 2Y7.11%
EPS Next 3Y7.54%
234.15
-0.46 (-0.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners86.91%
Inst Owner Change4.01%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change-0.01%
Market Cap138.89B
Revenue(TTM)24.55B
Net Income(TTM)7.05B
Analysts80
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %3.77%
Short Ratio6.93
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.35% |
Yearly Dividend5.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.62%
DP45.77%
Div Incr Years18
Div Non Decr Years26
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.47%
Min EPS beat(2)1.88%
Max EPS beat(2)3.06%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.76%
Max EPS beat(4)5.25%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.97%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)0.55%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)0.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.01%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.07%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.46%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.73%
PT rev (1m)0.14%
PT rev (3m)1.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.32 | ||
| P/S | 5.66 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.28 | ||
| P/B | 8.03 | ||
| P/tB | 8.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.68 |
EPS(TTM)11.77
EY5.03%
EPS(NY)12.78
Fwd EY5.46%
FCF(TTM)10.14
FCFY4.33%
OCF(TTM)16.4
OCFY7%
SpS41.38
BVpS29.17
TBVpS29.17
PEG (NY)3.05
PEG (5Y)3.41
Graham Number87.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.27% | ||
| ROE | 40.75% | ||
| ROCE | 15.72% | ||
| ROIC | 12.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.28% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.28% | ||
| OM | 40.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 28.73% | ||
| GM | 79.83% | ||
| FCFM | 24.5% |
ROA(3y)10.05%
ROA(5y)9.8%
ROE(3y)46.87%
ROE(5y)43.64%
ROIC(3y)12.01%
ROIC(5y)11.77%
ROICexc(3y)12.22%
ROICexc(5y)12.01%
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)12.01%
ROCE(3y)15.58%
ROCE(5y)15.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.85%
OM growth 3Y-2.21%
OM growth 5Y0.33%
PM growth 3Y-2.39%
PM growth 5Y0.4%
GM growth 3Y-0.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.13%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.29 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 151.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.13% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.86 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 85.27% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.83 |
F-Score6
WACC9.86%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)153.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.22%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.44%
Profit Quality(3y)81.41%
Profit Quality(5y)88.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.08%
EPS 3Y3.84%
EPS 5Y5.83%
EPS Q2Q%12%
EPS Next Y6.52%
EPS Next 2Y7.11%
EPS Next 3Y7.54%
EPS Next 5Y9.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.06%
Revenue growth 3Y3.61%
Revenue growth 5Y2.24%
Sales Q2Q%2.51%
Revenue Next Year1.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.36%
Revenue Next 5Y7.82%
EBIT growth 1Y3.91%
EBIT growth 3Y1.32%
EBIT growth 5Y2.57%
EBIT Next Year30.26%
EBIT Next 3Y13.77%
EBIT Next 5Y16.45%
FCF growth 1Y26.22%
FCF growth 3Y-1.12%
FCF growth 5Y2.71%
OCF growth 1Y17.53%
OCF growth 3Y1.15%
OCF growth 5Y1.66%
UNION PACIFIC CORP / UNP FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for UNION PACIFIC CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to UNP.
Can you provide the valuation status for UNION PACIFIC CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for UNION PACIFIC CORP?
UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is UNION PACIFIC CORP?
The financial health rating of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) is 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP) is expected to grow by 6.52% in the next year.