UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
AMS:UMG • NL0015000IY2
Current stock price
15.63 EUR
-0.03 (-0.22%)
Last:
This UMG.AS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. UMG.AS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year UMG was profitable.
- In the past year UMG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years UMG has always been profitable.
- UMG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.38%, UMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- UMG's Return On Equity of 31.43% is amongst the best of the industry. UMG outperforms 91.11% of its industry peers.
- UMG has a better Return On Invested Capital (13.14%) than 82.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.38% | ||
| ROE | 31.43% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- UMG has a better Profit Margin (12.26%) than 75.56% of its industry peers.
- UMG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- UMG has a Operating Margin of 15.98%. This is amongst the best in the industry. UMG outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of UMG has remained more or less at the same level.
- UMG has a worse Gross Margin (42.46%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of UMG has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.26% | ||
| GM | 42.46% |
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
2. UMG.AS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so UMG is creating value.
- UMG has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- UMG has an Altman-Z score of -0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- UMG has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.03) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of UMG is 2.24, which is a good value as it means it would take UMG, 2.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.24, UMG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that UMG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- UMG's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. UMG outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for UMG, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.03 |
ROIC/WACC1.85
WACC7.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.63 indicates that UMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- UMG has a Current ratio of 0.63. This is in the lower half of the industry: UMG underperforms 62.22% of its industry peers.
- UMG has a Quick Ratio of 0.63. This is a bad value and indicates that UMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- UMG has a Quick ratio of 0.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: UMG underperforms 62.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 |
3. UMG.AS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- UMG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.29%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.05% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.69% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.97% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.51%
EPS 5Y2.05%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- UMG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.65% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.28%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue Next Year7.35%
Revenue Next 2Y7.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. UMG.AS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- UMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.17.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, UMG is valued cheaper than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- UMG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.61.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.18, UMG is valued correctly.
- 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than UMG, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.79, UMG is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- UMG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. UMG is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 17.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates UMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- UMG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.09
PEG (5Y)7.41
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
5. UMG.AS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.21%, UMG has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- In the last 3 months the price of UMG has falen by -28.89%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.06, UMG pays a better dividend. On top of this UMG pays more dividend than 91.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, UMG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.21% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 62.17% of the earnings are spent on dividend by UMG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP62.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
UMG.AS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
AMS:UMG (3/26/2026, 1:33:11 PM)
15.63
-0.03 (-0.22%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)03-05 2026-03-05/amc
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27
Inst Owners37.86%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners18.51%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap28.67B
Revenue(TTM)12.51B
Net Income(TTM)1.53B
Analysts76.3
Price Target28.28 (80.93%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.21% |
Yearly Dividend0.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP62.17%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.89%
PT rev (3m)-1.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.18 | ||
| P/S | 2.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 17.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.49 | ||
| P/B | 5.88 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY6.59%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY7.05%
FCF(TTM)0.91
FCFY5.82%
OCF(TTM)0.95
OCFY6.07%
SpS6.82
BVpS2.66
TBVpS-1.16
PEG (NY)2.09
PEG (5Y)7.41
Graham Number7.85
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.38% | ||
| ROE | 31.43% | ||
| ROCE | 17.96% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 40.4% | ||
| OM | 15.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.26% | ||
| GM | 42.46% | ||
| FCFM | 13.34% |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-1.02%
PM growth 3Y17.46%
PM growth 5Y-7.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.45%
GM growth 5Y-2.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.56% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 95.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 108.87% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.03 |
F-Score5
WACC7.09%
ROIC/WACC1.85
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)0.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.44%
Profit Quality(3y)111.54%
Profit Quality(5y)135.82%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.29%
EPS 3Y24.51%
EPS 5Y2.05%
EPS Q2Q%5.77%
EPS Next Y7.28%
EPS Next 2Y8.92%
EPS Next 3Y6.3%
EPS Next 5Y9.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.69%
Revenue growth 3Y6.55%
Revenue growth 5Y10.97%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%
Revenue Next Year7.35%
Revenue Next 2Y7.19%
Revenue Next 3Y6.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.65%
EBIT growth 1Y12.56%
EBIT growth 3Y7.69%
EBIT growth 5Y9.83%
EBIT Next Year39.63%
EBIT Next 3Y18.83%
EBIT Next 5Y15.03%
FCF growth 1Y0.3%
FCF growth 3Y-0.59%
FCF growth 5Y13.22%
OCF growth 1Y-0.91%
OCF growth 3Y0.13%
OCF growth 5Y13.43%
UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV / UMG.AS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to UMG.AS.
What is the valuation status of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) stock?
UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for UMG stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 15.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.88.
Is the dividend of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV sustainable?
The dividend rating of UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV (UMG.AS) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 62.17%.