ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:ULTA • US90384S3031
Current stock price
535.72 USD
-88.98 (-14.24%)
At close:
531.76 USD
-3.96 (-0.74%)
After Hours:
This ULTA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. ULTA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ULTA was profitable.
- In the past year ULTA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- ULTA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- ULTA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- ULTA's Return On Assets of 16.97% is amongst the best of the industry. ULTA outperforms 95.16% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of ULTA (45.20%) is better than 95.16% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 23.80%, ULTA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- ULTA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 31.18%. This is significantly above the industry average of 13.59%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (31.18%) for ULTA is well above the current ROIC(23.80%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.97% | ||
| ROE | 45.2% | ||
| ROIC | 23.8% |
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of ULTA (9.93%) is better than 90.32% of its industry peers.
- ULTA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 13.12%, ULTA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ULTA has grown nicely.
- ULTA has a Gross Margin of 39.19%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ULTA outperforms 59.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ULTA has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 39.19% |
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
2. ULTA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ULTA is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for ULTA has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- ULTA has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- ULTA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- ULTA has an Altman-Z score of 6.16. This indicates that ULTA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- ULTA has a Altman-Z score of 6.16. This is amongst the best in the industry. ULTA outperforms 92.74% of its industry peers.
- ULTA has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.53. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- ULTA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.53. This is amongst the best in the industry. ULTA outperforms 83.87% of its industry peers.
- ULTA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.21, ULTA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.16 |
ROIC/WACC2.43
WACC9.8%
2.3 Liquidity
- ULTA has a Current Ratio of 1.33. This is a normal value and indicates that ULTA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ULTA has a Current ratio (1.33) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.25 indicates that ULTA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- ULTA's Quick ratio of 0.25 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ULTA is outperformed by 82.26% of its industry peers.
- The current and quick ratio evaluation for ULTA is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 |
3. ULTA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ULTA shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.48%.
- Measured over the past years, ULTA shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.85% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.45% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, ULTA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.83% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.48%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%12.95%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.18%
EPS Next 2Y7.06%
EPS Next 3Y7.61%
EPS Next 5Y9.26%
Revenue Next Year9.78%
Revenue Next 2Y7.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. ULTA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.52, ULTA is valued on the expensive side.
- ULTA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ULTA is cheaper than 69.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- ULTA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.42 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ULTA.
- 66.13% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ULTA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ULTA to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say ULTA is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ULTA is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ULTA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.66 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of ULTA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)6.46
PEG (5Y)1.29
EPS Next 2Y7.06%
EPS Next 3Y7.61%
5. ULTA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for ULTA!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
ULTA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
535.72
-88.98 (-14.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)12-04 2025-12-04/amc
Earnings (Next)05-27 2026-05-27
Inst Owners101.27%
Inst Owner Change-1.8%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.45%
Market Cap23.76B
Revenue(TTM)11.98B
Net Income(TTM)1.19B
Analysts76
Price Target688.13 (28.45%)
Short Float %4.85%
Short Ratio3.99
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.22%
Min EPS beat(2)8.65%
Max EPS beat(2)11.78%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.61%
Min EPS beat(4)8.65%
Max EPS beat(4)16.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.92%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.51%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)10.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.5%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.44%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.23%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.67%
PT rev (1m)0.56%
PT rev (3m)13.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.74%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.42 | ||
| P/S | 1.98 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.49 | ||
| P/B | 9.03 | ||
| P/tB | 10.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.66 |
EPS(TTM)26.11
EY4.87%
EPS(NY)29.08
Fwd EY5.43%
FCF(TTM)23.48
FCFY4.38%
OCF(TTM)30.63
OCFY5.72%
SpS270.11
BVpS59.36
TBVpS50.37
PEG (NY)6.46
PEG (5Y)1.29
Graham Number186.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.97% | ||
| ROE | 45.2% | ||
| ROCE | 35.15% | ||
| ROIC | 23.8% | ||
| ROICexc | 24.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.05% | ||
| OM | 13.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 39.19% | ||
| FCFM | 8.69% |
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
ROICexc(3y)36.11%
ROICexc(5y)30.76%
ROICexgc(3y)36.24%
ROICexgc(5y)30.87%
ROCE(3y)40.98%
ROCE(5y)34.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.74%
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.71
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 109.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73% | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.52% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.16 |
F-Score6
WACC9.8%
ROIC/WACC2.43
Cap/Depr(3y)149.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.94%
Profit Quality(3y)85.03%
Profit Quality(5y)143.84%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.48%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y3.18%
EPS Next 2Y7.06%
EPS Next 3Y7.61%
EPS Next 5Y9.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%12.95%
Revenue Next Year9.78%
Revenue Next 2Y7.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y0.42%
EBIT growth 3Y6.46%
EBIT growth 5Y11.68%
EBIT Next Year23.18%
EBIT Next 3Y11.25%
EBIT Next 5Y9.08%
FCF growth 1Y22.91%
FCF growth 3Y2.82%
FCF growth 5Y3.73%
OCF growth 1Y7.28%
OCF growth 3Y8.11%
OCF growth 5Y3.98%
ULTA BEAUTY INC / ULTA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ULTA BEAUTY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ULTA.
Can you provide the valuation status for ULTA BEAUTY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ULTA BEAUTY INC?
ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ULTA stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) is expected to grow by 3.18% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) stock?
The dividend rating of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.