ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ULTA • US90384S3031

535.72 USD
-88.98 (-14.24%)
At close: Mar 13, 2026
531.76 USD
-3.96 (-0.74%)
After Hours: 3/13/2026, 8:01:38 PM

This ULTA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, ULTA scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ULTA was compared to 124 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making ULTA a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. ULTA has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. ULTA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ULTA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ULTA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • ULTA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • ULTA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ULTA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFULTA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • ULTA has a better Return On Assets (16.97%) than 95.16% of its industry peers.
  • ULTA has a Return On Equity of 45.20%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ULTA outperforms 95.16% of its industry peers.
  • ULTA has a Return On Invested Capital of 23.80%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ULTA outperforms 93.55% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ULTA is significantly above the industry average of 13.59%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (23.80%) for ULTA is well below the 3 year average (31.18%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that ULTA had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.97%
ROE 45.2%
ROIC 23.8%
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
ULTA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICULTA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.93%, ULTA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ULTA has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 13.12%, ULTA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ULTA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • ULTA's Gross Margin of 39.19% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ULTA outperforms 59.68% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ULTA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.12%
PM (TTM) 9.93%
GM 39.19%
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
ULTA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsULTA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

8

2. ULTA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ULTA is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ULTA has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ULTA has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • ULTA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
ULTA Yearly Shares OutstandingULTA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
ULTA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsULTA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • ULTA has an Altman-Z score of 6.70. This indicates that ULTA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ULTA has a Altman-Z score of 6.70. This is amongst the best in the industry. ULTA outperforms 93.55% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ULTA is 0.53, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ULTA, only 0.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • ULTA's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.53 is amongst the best of the industry. ULTA outperforms 83.87% of its industry peers.
  • ULTA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.21, ULTA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 0.53
Altman-Z 6.7
ROIC/WACC2.43
WACC9.79%
ULTA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFULTA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ULTA has a Current Ratio of 1.33. This is a normal value and indicates that ULTA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ULTA has a Current ratio (1.33) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • ULTA has a Quick Ratio of 1.33. This is a bad value and indicates that ULTA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ULTA has a worse Quick ratio (0.25) than 82.26% of its industry peers.
  • The current and quick ratio evaluation for ULTA is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.25
ULTA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesULTA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

4

3. ULTA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.48% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.85% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, ULTA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.45% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 8.83% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.48%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%12.95%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ULTA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.26% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ULTA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.18%
EPS Next 2Y7.06%
EPS Next 3Y7.61%
EPS Next 5Y9.26%
Revenue Next Year9.78%
Revenue Next 2Y7.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ULTA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesULTA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
ULTA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesULTA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10 20 30 40 50

4

4. ULTA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.52, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ULTA.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ULTA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ULTA is cheaper than 64.52% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • ULTA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • ULTA is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.42.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ULTA.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ULTA to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say ULTA is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.52
Fwd PE 18.42
ULTA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsULTA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ULTA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ULTA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ULTA is cheaper than 63.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.82
EV/EBITDA 14.78
ULTA Per share dataULTA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200 250

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • ULTA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)6.46
PEG (5Y)1.29
EPS Next 2Y7.06%
EPS Next 3Y7.61%

0

5. ULTA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ULTA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ULTA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ULTA BEAUTY INC

NASDAQ:ULTA (3/13/2026, 8:01:38 PM)

After market: 531.76 -3.96 (-0.74%)

535.72

-88.98 (-14.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)12-04
Earnings (Next)05-27
Inst Owners101.27%
Inst Owner Change-1.8%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.45%
Market Cap23.76B
Revenue(TTM)11.98B
Net Income(TTM)1.19B
Analysts76
Price Target688.13 (28.45%)
Short Float %4.85%
Short Ratio3.99
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.22%
Min EPS beat(2)8.65%
Max EPS beat(2)11.78%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.61%
Min EPS beat(4)8.65%
Max EPS beat(4)16.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.92%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.51%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)10.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.5%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.44%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.23%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.67%
PT rev (1m)0.56%
PT rev (3m)13.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.52
Fwd PE 18.42
P/S 1.98
P/FCF 22.82
P/OCF 17.49
P/B 9.03
P/tB 10.64
EV/EBITDA 14.78
EPS(TTM)26.11
EY4.87%
EPS(NY)29.08
Fwd EY5.43%
FCF(TTM)23.48
FCFY4.38%
OCF(TTM)30.63
OCFY5.72%
SpS270.11
BVpS59.36
TBVpS50.37
PEG (NY)6.46
PEG (5Y)1.29
Graham Number186.74
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.97%
ROE 45.2%
ROCE 35.15%
ROIC 23.8%
ROICexc 24.81%
ROICexgc 27.05%
OM 13.12%
PM (TTM) 9.93%
GM 39.19%
FCFM 8.69%
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
ROICexc(3y)36.11%
ROICexc(5y)30.76%
ROICexgc(3y)36.24%
ROICexgc(5y)30.87%
ROCE(3y)40.98%
ROCE(5y)34.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.74%
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 0.53
Debt/EBITDA 0.3
Cap/Depr 109.77%
Cap/Sales 2.65%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 73%
Profit Quality 87.52%
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.25
Altman-Z 6.7
F-Score6
WACC9.79%
ROIC/WACC2.43
Cap/Depr(3y)149.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.94%
Profit Quality(3y)85.03%
Profit Quality(5y)143.84%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.48%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y3.18%
EPS Next 2Y7.06%
EPS Next 3Y7.61%
EPS Next 5Y9.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%12.95%
Revenue Next Year9.78%
Revenue Next 2Y7.68%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y0.42%
EBIT growth 3Y6.46%
EBIT growth 5Y11.68%
EBIT Next Year23.18%
EBIT Next 3Y11.25%
EBIT Next 5Y9.08%
FCF growth 1Y22.91%
FCF growth 3Y2.82%
FCF growth 5Y3.73%
OCF growth 1Y7.28%
OCF growth 3Y8.11%
OCF growth 5Y3.98%

ULTA BEAUTY INC / ULTA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ULTA BEAUTY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ULTA.


Can you provide the valuation status for ULTA BEAUTY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ULTA BEAUTY INC?

ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ULTA stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) is expected to grow by 3.18% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) stock?

The dividend rating of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.