Logo image of ULTA

ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ULTA - Nasdaq - US90384S3031 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

395.64  +2.71 (+0.69%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, ULTA scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ULTA was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ULTA has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. ULTA has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ULTA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ULTA had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ULTA has always been profitable.
ULTA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ULTA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFULTA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

ULTA has a Return On Assets of 20.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ULTA outperforms 96.69% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 48.27%, ULTA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.39% of the companies in the same industry.
ULTA's Return On Invested Capital of 28.20% is amongst the best of the industry. ULTA outperforms 94.21% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ULTA is significantly above the industry average of 13.08%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 20.01%
ROE 48.27%
ROIC 28.2%
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
ULTA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICULTA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

ULTA's Profit Margin of 10.63% is amongst the best of the industry. ULTA outperforms 91.74% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ULTA has grown nicely.
ULTA has a better Operating Margin (13.85%) than 91.74% of its industry peers.
ULTA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 38.84%, ULTA is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.02% of the companies in the same industry.
ULTA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.85%
PM (TTM) 10.63%
GM 38.84%
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
ULTA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsULTA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ULTA is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for ULTA has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ULTA has less shares outstanding
ULTA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
ULTA Yearly Shares OutstandingULTA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
ULTA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsULTA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 6.38 indicates that ULTA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
ULTA has a better Altman-Z score (6.38) than 92.56% of its industry peers.
ULTA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 6.38
ROIC/WACC3.1
WACC9.11%
ULTA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFULTA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.70 indicates that ULTA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ULTA has a Current ratio of 1.70. This is in the better half of the industry: ULTA outperforms 71.07% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.60 indicates that ULTA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ULTA (0.60) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for ULTA is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.7
Quick Ratio 0.6
ULTA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesULTA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for ULTA have decreased by -2.61% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ULTA shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.85% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ULTA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.79% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ULTA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.83% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.61%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%4.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.88%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.99% on average over the next years.
ULTA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.64% yearly.
EPS Next Y-7.28%
EPS Next 2Y1.41%
EPS Next 3Y4.9%
EPS Next 5Y7.99%
Revenue Next Year3.14%
Revenue Next 2Y3.86%
Revenue Next 3Y4.42%
Revenue Next 5Y4.64%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ULTA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesULTA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B
ULTA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesULTA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10 20 30 40 50

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ULTA is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.59.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ULTA is valued a bit cheaper than 71.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.75, ULTA is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.82 indicates a correct valuation of ULTA.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ULTA is valued a bit cheaper than 65.29% of the companies in the same industry.
ULTA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 20.49.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.59
Fwd PE 16.82
ULTA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsULTA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

ULTA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ULTA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.94% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.59
EV/EBITDA 9.33
ULTA Per share dataULTA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ULTA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.98
EPS Next 2Y1.41%
EPS Next 3Y4.9%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ULTA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ULTA BEAUTY INC

NASDAQ:ULTA (5/2/2025, 1:12:35 PM)

395.64

+2.71 (+0.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-13 2025-03-13/amc
Earnings (Next)05-28 2025-05-28/amc
Inst Owners93.36%
Inst Owner Change1.33%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change4.07%
Market Cap17.93B
Analysts71.89
Price Target421.53 (6.54%)
Short Float %5.88%
Short Ratio2.37
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.7%
Min EPS beat(2)10.88%
Max EPS beat(2)16.52%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)6.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.85%
Max EPS beat(4)16.52%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.61%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)10.04%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)23.23%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.96%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.59%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.6%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.48%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.18%
PT rev (1m)-10.35%
PT rev (3m)-6.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.61%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.7%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.59
Fwd PE 16.82
P/S 1.59
P/FCF 18.59
P/OCF 13.39
P/B 7.2
P/tB 7.24
EV/EBITDA 9.33
EPS(TTM)25.37
EY6.41%
EPS(NY)23.52
Fwd EY5.95%
FCF(TTM)21.28
FCFY5.38%
OCF(TTM)29.54
OCFY7.47%
SpS249.3
BVpS54.92
TBVpS54.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.98
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 20.01%
ROE 48.27%
ROCE 37.07%
ROIC 28.2%
ROICexc 33.83%
ROICexgc 33.94%
OM 13.85%
PM (TTM) 10.63%
GM 38.84%
FCFM 8.54%
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
ROICexc(3y)36.11%
ROICexc(5y)30.76%
ROICexgc(3y)36.24%
ROICexgc(5y)30.87%
ROCE(3y)40.98%
ROCE(5y)34.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.69%
ROICexcg growth 5Y9.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.74%
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 140.22%
Cap/Sales 3.32%
Interest Coverage 376.29
Cash Conversion 73.07%
Profit Quality 80.27%
Current Ratio 1.7
Quick Ratio 0.6
Altman-Z 6.38
F-Score5
WACC9.11%
ROIC/WACC3.1
Cap/Depr(3y)149.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.94%
Profit Quality(3y)85.03%
Profit Quality(5y)143.84%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-2.61%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%4.7%
EPS Next Y-7.28%
EPS Next 2Y1.41%
EPS Next 3Y4.9%
EPS Next 5Y7.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.79%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%-1.88%
Revenue Next Year3.14%
Revenue Next 2Y3.86%
Revenue Next 3Y4.42%
Revenue Next 5Y4.64%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.74%
EBIT growth 3Y6.46%
EBIT growth 5Y11.68%
EBIT Next Year12.12%
EBIT Next 3Y8.64%
EBIT Next 5Y7.21%
FCF growth 1Y-7.38%
FCF growth 3Y2.82%
FCF growth 5Y3.73%
OCF growth 1Y-9.32%
OCF growth 3Y8.11%
OCF growth 5Y3.98%