597.88 USD
+3.87 (+0.65%)
599.99 USD
+2.11 (+0.35%)
Taking everything into account, ULTA scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ULTA was compared to 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. ULTA has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. ULTA has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ULTA was profitable.
In the past year ULTA had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ULTA has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years ULTA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 16.97%, ULTA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.16% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 45.20%, ULTA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.35% of the companies in the same industry.
ULTA's Return On Invested Capital of 23.80% is amongst the best of the industry. ULTA outperforms 91.94% of its industry peers.
ULTA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 31.18%. This is significantly above the industry average of 12.18%.
The 3 year average ROIC (31.18%) for ULTA is well above the current ROIC(23.80%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.97% | ||
| ROE | 45.2% | ||
| ROIC | 23.8% |
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of ULTA (9.93%) is better than 89.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ULTA has grown nicely.
ULTA has a Operating Margin of 13.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ULTA outperforms 88.71% of its industry peers.
ULTA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of ULTA (39.19%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ULTA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 39.19% |
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), ULTA is creating value.
ULTA has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ULTA has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for ULTA. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.58 indicates that ULTA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 6.58, ULTA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.35% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ULTA is 0.53, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ULTA, only 0.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.53, ULTA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.87% of the companies in the same industry.
ULTA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ULTA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.21. This is in the better half of the industry: ULTA outperforms 61.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.58 |
ROIC/WACC2.48
WACC9.58%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.33 indicates that ULTA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ULTA has a Current ratio of 1.33. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ULTA outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.25 indicates that ULTA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ULTA has a worse Quick ratio (0.25) than 86.29% of its industry peers.
ULTA does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.48% over the past year.
ULTA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.85% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.45% in the past year.
ULTA shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.83% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.48%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%12.95%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.69% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.02% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-0.19%
EPS Next 2Y4.22%
EPS Next 3Y6.22%
EPS Next 5Y8.69%
Revenue Next Year7.9%
Revenue Next 2Y6%
Revenue Next 3Y5.79%
Revenue Next 5Y6.02%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.90, ULTA is valued on the expensive side.
69.35% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ULTA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.39, ULTA is valued at the same level.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.70 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ULTA.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ULTA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ULTA is cheaper than 61.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. ULTA is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ULTA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ULTA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.13% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ULTA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.45
EPS Next 2Y4.22%
EPS Next 3Y6.22%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ULTA does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
597.88
+3.87 (+0.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.86%
Inst Owner Change-0.1%
Ins Owners0.13%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap26.81B
Revenue(TTM)11.98B
Net Income(TTM)1.19B
Analysts76.36
Price Target605.95 (1.35%)
Short Float %5.14%
Short Ratio3.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.22%
Min EPS beat(2)8.65%
Max EPS beat(2)11.78%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.61%
Min EPS beat(4)8.65%
Max EPS beat(4)16.52%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)7.92%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.51%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)10.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.94%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.95%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.94%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.51%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.63%
PT rev (1m)2.59%
PT rev (3m)2.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.7 | ||
| P/S | 2.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.73 | ||
| P/B | 10.18 | ||
| P/tB | 12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.29 |
EPS(TTM)26.11
EY4.37%
EPS(NY)27.55
Fwd EY4.61%
FCF(TTM)23.23
FCFY3.89%
OCF(TTM)30.3
OCFY5.07%
SpS267.22
BVpS58.72
TBVpS49.83
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.45
Graham Number185.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 16.97% | ||
| ROE | 45.2% | ||
| ROCE | 35.15% | ||
| ROIC | 23.8% | ||
| ROICexc | 24.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.05% | ||
| OM | 13.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.93% | ||
| GM | 39.19% | ||
| FCFM | 8.69% |
ROA(3y)21.92%
ROA(5y)17.98%
ROE(3y)56.09%
ROE(5y)48.26%
ROIC(3y)31.18%
ROIC(5y)26.29%
ROICexc(3y)36.11%
ROICexc(5y)30.76%
ROICexgc(3y)36.24%
ROICexgc(5y)30.87%
ROCE(3y)40.98%
ROCE(5y)34.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.69%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.74%
OM growth 3Y-2.67%
OM growth 5Y2.61%
PM growth 3Y-2.36%
PM growth 5Y2.19%
GM growth 3Y-0.17%
GM growth 5Y1.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.71
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 109.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73% | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.52% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.58 |
F-Score6
WACC9.58%
ROIC/WACC2.48
Cap/Depr(3y)149.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.94%
Profit Quality(3y)85.03%
Profit Quality(5y)143.84%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.48%
EPS 3Y12.16%
EPS 5Y15.85%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-0.19%
EPS Next 2Y4.22%
EPS Next 3Y6.22%
EPS Next 5Y8.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.45%
Revenue growth 3Y9.38%
Revenue growth 5Y8.83%
Sales Q2Q%12.95%
Revenue Next Year7.9%
Revenue Next 2Y6%
Revenue Next 3Y5.79%
Revenue Next 5Y6.02%
EBIT growth 1Y0.42%
EBIT growth 3Y6.46%
EBIT growth 5Y11.68%
EBIT Next Year21.13%
EBIT Next 3Y10.11%
EBIT Next 5Y8.83%
FCF growth 1Y22.91%
FCF growth 3Y2.82%
FCF growth 5Y3.73%
OCF growth 1Y7.28%
OCF growth 3Y8.11%
OCF growth 5Y3.98%
ULTA BEAUTY INC / ULTA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ULTA BEAUTY INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ULTA.
What is the valuation status for ULTA stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ULTA BEAUTY INC?
ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is ULTA BEAUTY INC?
The financial health rating of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) is 8 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ULTA stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ULTA BEAUTY INC (ULTA) is expected to decline by -0.19% in the next year.