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FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:ULCC - US35909R1086 - Common Stock

3.645 USD
-0.27 (-7.02%)
Last: 11/17/2025, 3:05:07 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

ULCC gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 21 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. ULCC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, ULCC is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ULCC has reported negative net income.
ULCC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
ULCC had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years ULCC reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
ULCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFULCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

ULCC has a Return On Assets of -2.04%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ULCC outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
ULCC has a Return On Equity of -31.57%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ULCC outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.04%
ROE -31.57%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.11%
ROA(5y)-1.68%
ROE(3y)1.49%
ROE(5y)-17.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ULCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICULCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

ULCC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ULCC has declined.
ULCC has a Gross Margin of 55.51%. This is in the better half of the industry: ULCC outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ULCC has declined.
ULCC does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 55.51%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-33.83%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-25.97%
GM growth 3Y5.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.83%
ULCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsULCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ULCC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
ULCC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ULCC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
ULCC has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ULCC Yearly Shares OutstandingULCC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
ULCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsULCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

ULCC has an Altman-Z score of 0.34. This is a bad value and indicates that ULCC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of ULCC (0.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70 indicates that ULCC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.70, ULCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.7
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.34
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.05%
ULCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFULCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.40 indicates that ULCC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ULCC has a worse Current ratio (0.40) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
ULCC has a Quick Ratio of 0.40. This is a bad value and indicates that ULCC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ULCC has a Quick ratio of 0.36. This is in the lower half of the industry: ULCC underperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.4
Quick Ratio 0.36
ULCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesULCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ULCC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -4395513236313604608.00%.
The earnings per share for ULCC have been decreasing by -20.53% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, ULCC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.77% in the last year.
ULCC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4395513236313604600%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.53%
EPS Q2Q%-580%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.77%
Revenue growth 3Y22.37%
Revenue growth 5Y8.52%
Sales Q2Q%-5.24%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.06% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.74% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-436.19%
EPS Next 2Y-37.2%
EPS Next 3Y33.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.42%
Revenue Next 2Y6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y8.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
ULCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesULCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B
ULCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesULCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 -1 -1.5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ULCC reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.19, ULCC can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ULCC.
ULCC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 34.59.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 40.19
ULCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsULCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ULCC Per share dataULCC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as ULCC's earnings are expected to grow with 33.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-37.2%
EPS Next 3Y33.06%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ULCC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:ULCC (11/17/2025, 3:05:07 PM)

3.645

-0.27 (-7.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-05 2026-02-05/amc
Inst Owners28.18%
Inst Owner Change8.39%
Ins Owners33.72%
Ins Owner Change-0.16%
Market Cap831.64M
Revenue(TTM)3.73B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts68.89
Price Target5.87 (61.04%)
Short Float %46.7%
Short Ratio6.64
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.4%
Max EPS beat(2)5.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-85.03%
Max EPS beat(4)87.63%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.65%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)11.63%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)12.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.7%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.2%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.27%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.33%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.34%
PT rev (1m)2.22%
PT rev (3m)23.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.69%
EPS NY rev (3m)-310.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 40.19
P/S 0.22
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.92
P/tB 2.04
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.61
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.09
Fwd EY2.49%
FCF(TTM)-1.81
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.52
OCFYN/A
SpS16.34
BVpS1.9
TBVpS1.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.04%
ROE -31.57%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 55.51%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.11%
ROA(5y)-1.68%
ROE(3y)1.49%
ROE(5y)-17.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-33.83%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-25.97%
GM growth 3Y5.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.83%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.7
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 79.76%
Cap/Sales 1.8%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.4
Quick Ratio 0.36
Altman-Z 0.34
F-Score2
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)99.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4395513236313604600%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.53%
EPS Q2Q%-580%
EPS Next Y-436.19%
EPS Next 2Y-37.2%
EPS Next 3Y33.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.77%
Revenue growth 3Y22.37%
Revenue growth 5Y8.52%
Sales Q2Q%-5.24%
Revenue Next Year-0.42%
Revenue Next 2Y6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y8.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-1490.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-28.19%
EBIT Next Year-1469.83%
EBIT Next 3Y268.44%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-158.75%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-207.08%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC / ULCC FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ULCC.


What is the valuation status for ULCC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) stock?

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for ULCC stock?

The financial health rating of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) is 1 / 10.


Is the dividend of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.