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FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:ULCC - US35909R1086 - Common Stock

5.35 USD
+0.44 (+8.96%)
Last: 1/21/2026, 8:00:01 PM
5.3209 USD
-0.03 (-0.54%)
After Hours: 1/21/2026, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

ULCC gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. ULCC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. ULCC is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ULCC had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ULCC has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ULCC reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years ULCC reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
ULCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFULCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -2.04%, ULCC is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ULCC has a Return On Equity of -31.57%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ULCC outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.04%
ROE -31.57%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.11%
ROA(5y)-1.68%
ROE(3y)1.49%
ROE(5y)-17.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ULCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICULCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • ULCC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ULCC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 55.51%, ULCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ULCC has declined.
  • ULCC does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 55.51%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-47.25%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-25.97%
GM growth 3Y5.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.83%
ULCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsULCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ULCC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • ULCC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ULCC has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ULCC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ULCC Yearly Shares OutstandingULCC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
ULCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsULCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • ULCC has an Altman-Z score of 0.37. This is a bad value and indicates that ULCC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • ULCC has a Altman-Z score of 0.37. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ULCC outperforms 40.91% of its industry peers.
  • ULCC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70. This is a neutral value indicating ULCC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ULCC (0.70) is better than 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.7
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.37
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.77%
ULCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFULCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.40 indicates that ULCC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.40, ULCC is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • ULCC has a Quick Ratio of 0.40. This is a bad value and indicates that ULCC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ULCC has a Quick ratio of 0.36. This is in the lower half of the industry: ULCC underperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.4
Quick Ratio 0.36
ULCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesULCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • ULCC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -4395513236313604608.00%.
  • ULCC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -20.53% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.77% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 8.52% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4395513236313604600%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.53%
EPS Q2Q%-580%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.77%
Revenue growth 3Y22.37%
Revenue growth 5Y8.52%
Sales Q2Q%-5.24%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ULCC will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 38.46% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ULCC will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-431.37%
EPS Next 2Y-43.07%
EPS Next 3Y38.46%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.64%
Revenue Next 2Y7.12%
Revenue Next 3Y9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
ULCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesULCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B
ULCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesULCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 -1 -1.5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ULCC reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ULCC. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
ULCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsULCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ULCC Per share dataULCC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ULCC's earnings are expected to grow with 38.46% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-43.07%
EPS Next 3Y38.46%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ULCC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:ULCC (1/21/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 5.3209 -0.03 (-0.54%)

5.35

+0.44 (+8.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-05
Inst Owners32.96%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners33.27%
Ins Owner Change-0.4%
Market Cap1.22B
Revenue(TTM)3.73B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts68.89
Price Target5.74 (7.29%)
Short Float %37.88%
Short Ratio5.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.4%
Max EPS beat(2)5.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-85.03%
Max EPS beat(4)87.63%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.65%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)11.63%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)12.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.85%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.7%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.2%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.27%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.33%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.34%
PT rev (1m)7.71%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-22.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.33
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.82
P/tB 3.01
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.61
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.01
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.81
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.52
OCFYN/A
SpS16.29
BVpS1.9
TBVpS1.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -2.04%
ROE -31.57%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 55.51%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.11%
ROA(5y)-1.68%
ROE(3y)1.49%
ROE(5y)-17.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-47.25%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-25.97%
GM growth 3Y5.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.83%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.7
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 79.76%
Cap/Sales 1.8%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.4
Quick Ratio 0.36
Altman-Z 0.37
F-Score2
WACC9.77%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)99.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4395513236313604600%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.53%
EPS Q2Q%-580%
EPS Next Y-431.37%
EPS Next 2Y-43.07%
EPS Next 3Y38.46%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.77%
Revenue growth 3Y22.37%
Revenue growth 5Y8.52%
Sales Q2Q%-5.24%
Revenue Next Year-1.64%
Revenue Next 2Y7.12%
Revenue Next 3Y9%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-1490.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-42.75%
EBIT Next Year-1602.44%
EBIT Next 3Y266.01%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-158.75%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-207.08%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC / ULCC FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ULCC.


Can you provide the valuation status for FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ULCC stock?

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) is 2 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) stock?

The dividend rating of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.