FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ULCC • US35909R1086

Current stock price

3.37 USD
-0.03 (-0.88%)
At close:
3.4 USD
+0.03 (+0.89%)
After Hours:

This ULCC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

1

1. ULCC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ULCC had negative earnings in the past year.
  • ULCC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years ULCC reported 4 times negative net income.
  • ULCC had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
ULCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFULCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of ULCC (-1.90%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • ULCC has a Return On Equity (-27.90%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.9%
ROE -27.9%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-0.25%
ROA(5y)-0.8%
ROE(3y)-5.39%
ROE(5y)-8.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ULCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICULCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • ULCC has a Gross Margin of 54.97%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ULCC outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
  • ULCC's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for ULCC so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 54.97%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.33%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
ULCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsULCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. ULCC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ULCC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ULCC has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ULCC has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ULCC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
ULCC Yearly Shares OutstandingULCC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
ULCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsULCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.34, we must say that ULCC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.34, ULCC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that ULCC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • ULCC has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.64) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.34
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.12%
ULCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFULCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • ULCC has a Current Ratio of 0.46. This is a bad value and indicates that ULCC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.46, ULCC is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • ULCC has a Quick Ratio of 0.46. This is a bad value and indicates that ULCC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ULCC has a worse Quick ratio (0.41) than 68.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.46
Quick Ratio 0.41
ULCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesULCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. ULCC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ULCC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -365.22%.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -1.35% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 24.40% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-365.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.35%
Revenue growth 3Y3.84%
Revenue growth 5Y24.4%
Sales Q2Q%-0.5%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 50.44% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.60% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y113.14%
EPS Next 2Y68.9%
EPS Next 3Y50.44%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year20.01%
Revenue Next 2Y16.38%
Revenue Next 3Y13.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
ULCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesULCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
ULCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesULCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 -1 -1.5

More info and screens

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2

4. ULCC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for ULCC. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 42.05, ULCC can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as ULCC.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.84, ULCC is valued quite expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 42.05
ULCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsULCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ULCC Per share dataULCC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • ULCC's earnings are expected to grow with 50.44% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y68.9%
EPS Next 3Y50.44%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. ULCC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ULCC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

ULCC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:ULCC (3/13/2026, 8:01:38 PM)

After market: 3.4 +0.03 (+0.89%)

3.37

-0.03 (-0.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners28.76%
Inst Owner Change-5.62%
Ins Owners33.26%
Ins Owner Change0.31%
Market Cap773.79M
Revenue(TTM)3.72B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts52.94
Price Target5.74 (70.33%)
Short Float %23.73%
Short Ratio6.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)49.12%
Min EPS beat(2)5.95%
Max EPS beat(2)92.28%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.95%
Min EPS beat(4)-85.03%
Max EPS beat(4)92.28%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)9.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)19.24%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)17.56%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.96%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.4%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.7%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.4%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.94%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.86%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.62%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-194.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)3504.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)71.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.75%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 42.05
P/S 0.21
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.58
P/tB 1.67
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.61
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY2.38%
FCF(TTM)-2.61
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-2.29
OCFYN/A
SpS16.22
BVpS2.14
TBVpS2.02
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.9%
ROE -27.9%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 54.97%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.25%
ROA(5y)-0.8%
ROE(3y)-5.39%
ROE(5y)-8.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.33%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 82.42%
Cap/Sales 2.01%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.46
Quick Ratio 0.41
Altman-Z 0.34
F-Score1
WACC10.12%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)96.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.82%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.6%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-365.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y113.14%
EPS Next 2Y68.9%
EPS Next 3Y50.44%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.35%
Revenue growth 3Y3.84%
Revenue growth 5Y24.4%
Sales Q2Q%-0.5%
Revenue Next Year20.01%
Revenue Next 2Y16.38%
Revenue Next 3Y13.6%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-352.54%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year157%
EBIT Next 3Y54.39%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-279.75%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-540.24%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC / ULCC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to ULCC.


Can you provide the valuation status for FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of ULCC stock?

FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.


How financially healthy is FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) is 1 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) stock?

The dividend rating of FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INC (ULCC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.