Twitter Inc (TWTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TWTR • US90184L1026

53.7 USD
+0.35 (+0.66%)
At close: Oct 27, 2022
53.86 USD
+0.16 (+0.3%)
After Hours: 10/27/2022, 8:08:24 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to TWTR. TWTR was compared to 69 industry peers in the Interactive Media & Services industry. TWTR may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. TWTR is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TWTR was profitable.
  • In the past year TWTR had a positive cash flow from operations.
TWTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTWTR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TWTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTWTR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TWTR has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM -5.38%
PM (TTM) -2.14%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y-15.56%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TWTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTWTR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 -20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • TWTR does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • TWTR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • TWTR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
TWTR Yearly Shares OutstandingTWTR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M
TWTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTWTR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • TWTR has an Altman-Z score of 3.99. This indicates that TWTR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that TWTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.99
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.24%
TWTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTWTR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TWTR has a Current Ratio of 7.15. This indicates that TWTR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TWTR has a Quick Ratio of 7.15. This indicates that TWTR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 7.15
Quick Ratio 7.15
TWTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTWTR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • TWTR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.46%.
  • TWTR shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.83% yearly.
  • TWTR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.46%.
  • Measured over the past years, TWTR shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.46%
EPS 3Y0.78%
EPS 5Y8.83%
EPS Q2Q%-140%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.46%
Revenue growth 3Y18.62%
Revenue growth 5Y14.95%
Sales Q2Q%-1.16%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TWTR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.05% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.65% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y31.67%
EPS Next 2Y-16%
EPS Next 3Y10.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.05%
Revenue Next Year3.03%
Revenue Next 2Y8.37%
Revenue Next 3Y11.35%
Revenue Next 5Y12.65%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
TWTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTWTR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B
TWTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTWTR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 2

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 114.26, the valuation of TWTR can be described as expensive.
  • TWTR is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.99, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • TWTR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 87.48.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TWTR to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.06), we can say TWTR is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 114.26
Fwd PE 87.48
TWTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTWTR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 121.33
TWTR Per share dataTWTR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TWTR does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)3.61
PEG (5Y)12.95
EPS Next 2Y-16%
EPS Next 3Y10.74%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • TWTR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Twitter Inc

NYSE:TWTR (10/27/2022, 8:08:24 PM)

After market: 53.86 +0.16 (+0.3%)

53.7

+0.35 (+0.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryInteractive Media & Services
Earnings (Last)07-22
Earnings (Next)11-15
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.95%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap41.09B
Revenue(TTM)5.23B
Net Income(TTM)-111.78M
Analysts57.37
Price Target44.96 (-16.28%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-64.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-157.79%
Max EPS beat(2)29.51%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-28.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-157.79%
Max EPS beat(4)29.51%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.87%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.04%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 114.26
Fwd PE 87.48
P/S 7.86
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2517.23
P/B 6.93
P/tB 9.05
EV/EBITDA 121.33
EPS(TTM)0.47
EY0.88%
EPS(NY)0.61
Fwd EY1.14%
FCF(TTM)-1.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.02
OCFY0.04%
SpS6.83
BVpS7.75
TBVpS5.94
PEG (NY)3.61
PEG (5Y)12.95
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.82%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM -5.38%
PM (TTM) -2.14%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.56%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 141.84%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 7.15
Quick Ratio 7.15
Altman-Z 3.99
F-Score5
WACC10.24%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)159.4%
Cap/Depr(5y)126.5%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.46%
EPS 3Y0.78%
EPS 5Y8.83%
EPS Q2Q%-140%
EPS Next Y31.67%
EPS Next 2Y-16%
EPS Next 3Y10.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.46%
Revenue growth 3Y18.62%
Revenue growth 5Y14.95%
Sales Q2Q%-1.16%
Revenue Next Year3.03%
Revenue Next 2Y8.37%
Revenue Next 3Y11.35%
Revenue Next 5Y12.65%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-288.82%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-98.46%
OCF growth 3Y-22.13%
OCF growth 5Y-3.68%

Twitter Inc / TWTR FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TWTR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWTR.


What is the valuation status of Twitter Inc (TWTR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 0 / 10 to Twitter Inc (TWTR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is Twitter Inc (TWTR) stock?

Twitter Inc (TWTR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for TWTR stock?

The financial health rating of Twitter Inc (TWTR) is 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TWTR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Twitter Inc (TWTR) is expected to grow by 31.67% in the next year.