33.3 USD
-0.05 (-0.15%)
33.34 USD
+0.04 (+0.12%)
TWNK gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of TWNK get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. TWNK is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TWNK was profitable.
In the past year TWNK had a positive cash flow from operations.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.83%, TWNK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.44% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of TWNK (9.18%) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of TWNK (5.38%) is better than 63.44% of its industry peers.
TWNK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.37%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.50%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.38%) for TWNK is above the 3 year average (4.37%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 12.28%, TWNK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.32% of the companies in the same industry.
TWNK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.91%, TWNK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TWNK has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 34.99%, TWNK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TWNK has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% |
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TWNK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TWNK has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TWNK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
TWNK has an Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is not the best score and indicates that TWNK is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TWNK has a Altman-Z score (2.54) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TWNK is 9.63, which is on the high side as it means it would take TWNK, 9.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TWNK has a better Debt to FCF ratio (9.63) than 63.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53 indicates that TWNK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
TWNK has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.53) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC7.88%
2.3 Liquidity
TWNK has a Current Ratio of 1.80. This is a normal value and indicates that TWNK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.80, TWNK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.84% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that TWNK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.47, TWNK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.19% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 9.47% over the past year.
TWNK shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.36% yearly.
Looking at the last year, TWNK shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 10.00% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.84% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
3.2 Future
TWNK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.80% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, TWNK will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.32% on average per year.
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 32.02, the valuation of TWNK can be described as expensive.
TWNK's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.51, TWNK is valued a bit more expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.64, the valuation of TWNK can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TWNK is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.13, TWNK is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as TWNK.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as TWNK.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TWNK's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TWNK!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
33.3
-0.05 (-0.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners19.27%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.42B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)169.94M
Analysts70
Price Target34.74 (4.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)2.05%
Max EPS beat(2)5.14%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.97%
Min EPS beat(4)1.05%
Max EPS beat(4)7.63%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.27%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.74%
PT rev (3m)16.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.62%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.64 | ||
| P/S | 3.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 42.86 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.7 | ||
| P/B | 2.39 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.97 |
EPS(TTM)1.04
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1.25
Fwd EY3.75%
FCF(TTM)0.78
FCFY2.33%
OCF(TTM)1.88
OCFY5.65%
SpS10.41
BVpS13.94
TBVpS-5.91
PEG (NY)1.78
PEG (5Y)4.35
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.83% | ||
| ROE | 9.18% | ||
| ROCE | 7.06% | ||
| ROIC | 5.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.54% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.86% | ||
| OM | 16.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.28% | ||
| GM | 34.99% | ||
| FCFM | 7.46% |
ROA(3y)3.36%
ROA(5y)2.84%
ROE(3y)6.69%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)3.94%
ROICexc(3y)4.63%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)35.07%
ROICexgc(5y)36.04%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)5.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.58%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-14.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.38%
OM growth 3Y3.8%
OM growth 5Y-7.44%
PM growth 3Y20.25%
PM growth 5Y-15.96%
GM growth 3Y1.25%
GM growth 5Y-4.03%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.63 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.32 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 235.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 10.61% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.78 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.43% | ||
| Profit Quality | 60.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score8
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)149.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)132.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.24%
Profit Quality(3y)114.45%
Profit Quality(5y)131.78%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)9.47%
EPS 3Y17.37%
EPS 5Y7.36%
EPS Q2Q%27.27%
EPS Next Y18%
EPS Next 2Y13.51%
EPS Next 3Y11.36%
EPS Next 5Y8.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.84%
Sales Q2Q%3.49%
Revenue Next Year5.6%
Revenue Next 2Y5.07%
Revenue Next 3Y4.87%
Revenue Next 5Y4.32%
EBIT growth 1Y12.2%
EBIT growth 3Y18.73%
EBIT growth 5Y3.52%
EBIT Next Year45.07%
EBIT Next 3Y18.06%
EBIT Next 5Y17.33%
FCF growth 1Y-21.87%
FCF growth 3Y4.56%
FCF growth 5Y-1.62%
OCF growth 1Y34.54%
OCF growth 3Y20%
OCF growth 5Y8.73%
HOSTESS BRANDS INC / TWNK FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TWNK.
Can you provide the valuation status for HOSTESS BRANDS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of TWNK stock?
HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) stock?
The financial health rating of HOSTESS BRANDS INC (TWNK) is 5 / 10.