14.66 USD
+0.21 (+1.45%)
14.66 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to TWIN. TWIN was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. TWIN has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. TWIN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TWIN was profitable.
In the past year TWIN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TWIN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
TWIN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.10%, TWIN is doing worse than 67.69% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 0.22%, TWIN is doing worse than 66.92% of the companies in the same industry.
TWIN's Return On Invested Capital of 4.66% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TWIN is outperformed by 61.54% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TWIN is significantly below the industry average of 10.24%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.31%) for TWIN is below the current ROIC(4.66%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.1% | ||
| ROE | 0.22% | ||
| ROIC | 4.66% |
ROA(3y)2.19%
ROA(5y)-0.08%
ROE(3y)4.37%
ROE(5y)-0.33%
ROIC(3y)4.31%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
TWIN has a worse Profit Margin (0.10%) than 66.15% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.09%, TWIN is doing worse than 65.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TWIN has declined.
TWIN has a Gross Margin of 28.16%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWIN outperforms 44.62% of its industry peers.
TWIN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.1% | ||
| GM | 28.16% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.33%
GM growth 5Y3.81%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TWIN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TWIN has more shares outstanding
TWIN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TWIN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
TWIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.62. This is not the best score and indicates that TWIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.62, TWIN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.38% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TWIN is 10.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take TWIN, 10.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TWIN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 10.88. This is in the lower half of the industry: TWIN underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
TWIN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
TWIN's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.29 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TWIN outperforms 66.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.62 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC9.42%
2.3 Liquidity
TWIN has a Current Ratio of 2.08. This indicates that TWIN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
TWIN has a Current ratio of 2.08. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWIN outperforms 50.77% of its industry peers.
TWIN has a Quick Ratio of 2.08. This is a bad value and indicates that TWIN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.79, TWIN is not doing good in the industry: 76.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TWIN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -95.65%.
TWIN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 14.24%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%80%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.24%
Revenue growth 3Y11.94%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.73%
3.2 Future
TWIN is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 251.36% yearly.
TWIN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y916%
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.72%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 733.00, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TWIN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TWIN is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 73.85% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.45. TWIN is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.12, the valuation of TWIN can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TWIN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.54% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TWIN is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.46, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 733 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.12 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TWIN indicates a rather cheap valuation: TWIN is cheaper than 86.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TWIN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. TWIN is more expensive than 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 46.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TWIN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
TWIN's earnings are expected to grow with 251.36% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.8
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TWIN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.11%.
TWIN's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.95.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.11, TWIN pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.42.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
5.2 History
The dividend of TWIN decreases each year by -14.70%.
TWIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of TWIN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-14.7%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
647.73% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TWIN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP647.73%
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
14.66
+0.21 (+1.45%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.61%
Inst Owner Change-58.36%
Ins Owners21.17%
Ins Owner Change5.35%
Market Cap210.96M
Revenue(TTM)347.84M
Net Income(TTM)352.00K
Analysts82.86
Price Target24.48 (66.98%)
Short Float %0.44%
Short Ratio1.19
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.11% |
Yearly Dividend0.16
Dividend Growth(5Y)-14.7%
DP647.73%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-179.19%
Min EPS beat(2)-296.08%
Max EPS beat(2)-62.29%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)37.14%
PT rev (3m)100%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 733 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.12 | ||
| P/S | 0.61 | ||
| P/FCF | 46.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.14 | ||
| P/B | 1.32 | ||
| P/tB | 1.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.4 |
EPS(TTM)0.02
EY0.14%
EPS(NY)1.45
Fwd EY9.88%
FCF(TTM)0.32
FCFY2.17%
OCF(TTM)1.45
OCFY9.86%
SpS24.17
BVpS11.14
TBVpS10.07
PEG (NY)0.8
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number2.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.1% | ||
| ROE | 0.22% | ||
| ROCE | 5.9% | ||
| ROIC | 4.66% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.31% | ||
| OM | 4.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.1% | ||
| GM | 28.16% | ||
| FCFM | 1.31% |
ROA(3y)2.19%
ROA(5y)-0.08%
ROE(3y)4.37%
ROE(5y)-0.33%
ROIC(3y)4.31%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.68%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)5.04%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)5.46%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.52%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.7%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.33%
GM growth 5Y3.81%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.56 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 107.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.86% | ||
| Profit Quality | 1299.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.62 |
F-Score4
WACC9.42%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)91.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.85%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%80%
EPS Next Y916%
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.24%
Revenue growth 3Y11.94%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.73%
Revenue Next Year9.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.72%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.41%
EBIT growth 3Y4.58%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year163.51%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-80.97%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.73%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y21.33%
TWIN DISC INC / TWIN FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TWIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TWIN.
What is the valuation status of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TWIN DISC INC (TWIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) stock?
TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) stock?
The financial health rating of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TWIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) is expected to grow by 916% in the next year.