Tivity Health Inc (TVTY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:TVTY • US88870R1023

32.5
+0.02 (+0.06%)
At close: Jun 27, 2022
32.51
+0.01 (+0.03%)
After Hours: 6/27/2022, 8:04:47 PM

This TVTY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall TVTY gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated TVTY against 101 industry peers in the Health Care Providers & Services industry. TVTY may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, TVTY is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. TVTY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TVTY was profitable.
TVTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTVTY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.51%
ROE 67.5%
ROIC 21.46%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TVTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTVTY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -2K -4K -6K

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.32%
PM (TTM) 17.25%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TVTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTVTY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. TVTY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), TVTY is creating value.
  • TVTY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • TVTY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TVTY Yearly Shares OutstandingTVTY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 10M 20M 30M 40M
TVTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTVTY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • TVTY has an Altman-Z score of 2.97. This is not the best score and indicates that TVTY is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TVTY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.97. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.97
ROIC/WACC2.54
WACC8.45%
TVTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTVTY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.47 indicates that TVTY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.47 indicates that TVTY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.47
Quick Ratio 2.47
TVTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTVTY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M

5

3. TVTY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TVTY shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.13%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.59% on average over the past years.
  • TVTY shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 29.68%.
  • TVTY shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.80% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.13%
EPS 3Y-11.9%
EPS 5Y7.59%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)29.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.8%
Sales Q2Q%17.96%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TVTY will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.95% on average per year.
  • TVTY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 12.89% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.13%
EPS Next 3Y10.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.95%
Revenue Next Year14.69%
Revenue Next 2Y13.45%
Revenue Next 3Y12.7%
Revenue Next 5Y12.89%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
TVTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTVTY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
TVTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTVTY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. TVTY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 20.31, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TVTY.
  • TVTY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.83.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.16, which indicates a correct valuation of TVTY.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.95. TVTY is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.31
Fwd PE 16.16
TVTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTVTY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.26
TVTY Per share dataTVTY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TVTY's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.57
PEG (5Y)2.68
EPS Next 2Y12.13%
EPS Next 3Y10.31%

0

5. TVTY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TVTY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TVTY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Tivity Health Inc

NASDAQ:TVTY (6/27/2022, 8:04:47 PM)

After market: 32.51 +0.01 (+0.03%)

32.5

+0.02 (+0.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)05-05
Earnings (Next)08-03
Inst Owners0.27%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.13%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.62B
Revenue(TTM)500.68M
Net Income(TTM)86.36M
Analysts50
Price Target30.77 (-5.32%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.31
Fwd PE 16.16
P/S 3.24
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 12.68
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.26
EPS(TTM)1.6
EY4.92%
EPS(NY)2.01
Fwd EY6.19%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS10.03
BVpS2.56
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)1.57
PEG (5Y)2.68
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.51%
ROE 67.5%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 21.46%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc 72.11%
OM 28.32%
PM (TTM) 17.25%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y0%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.97
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.47
Quick Ratio 2.47
Altman-Z 2.97
F-Score8
WACC8.45%
ROIC/WACC2.54
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.13%
EPS 3Y-11.9%
EPS 5Y7.59%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y12.9%
EPS Next 2Y12.13%
EPS Next 3Y10.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)29.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.41%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.8%
Sales Q2Q%17.96%
Revenue Next Year14.69%
Revenue Next 2Y13.45%
Revenue Next 3Y12.7%
Revenue Next 5Y12.89%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

Tivity Health Inc / TVTY FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Tivity Health Inc (TVTY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to TVTY.


Can you provide the valuation status for Tivity Health Inc?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to Tivity Health Inc (TVTY). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Tivity Health Inc?

Tivity Health Inc (TVTY) has a profitability rating of 10 / 10.


How financially healthy is Tivity Health Inc?

The financial health rating of Tivity Health Inc (TVTY) is 8 / 10.