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TUSIMPLE HOLDINGS INC - A (TSP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:TSP - Nasdaq - US90089L1089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.25  -0.02 (-5.66%)

After market: 0.2599 +0.01 (+3.96%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to TSP. TSP was compared to 39 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. TSP scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. While showing a medium growth rate, TSP is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TSP had negative earnings in the past year.
TSP had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
TSP had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TSP always reported negative operating cash flow.
TSP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTSP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

TSP has a worse Return On Assets (-42.32%) than 94.44% of its industry peers.
TSP has a worse Return On Equity (-46.55%) than 88.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -42.32%
ROE -46.55%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-51.36%
ROA(5y)-68.42%
ROE(3y)-60.55%
ROE(5y)-83.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TSP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTSP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for TSP so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TSP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTSP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -100K -200K -300K -400K

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TSP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, TSP has more shares outstanding
TSP has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TSP Yearly Shares OutstandingTSP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M 200M
TSP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTSP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -3.00, we must say that TSP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -3.00, TSP is doing worse than 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that TSP is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.01, TSP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -3
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.22%
TSP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTSP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

TSP has a Current Ratio of 21.32. This indicates that TSP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 21.32, TSP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TSP has a Quick Ratio of 21.32. This indicates that TSP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 21.32, TSP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 21.32
Quick Ratio 21.32
TSP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTSP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TSP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.78%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, TSP shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -77.28% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, TSP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 136.32% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-77.28%
Revenue growth 3Y136.32%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-100%

3.2 Future

TSP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.49% yearly.
TSP is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 154.10% yearly.
EPS Next Y35.48%
EPS Next 2Y10.1%
EPS Next 3Y-13.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.49%
Revenue Next Year-96.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-85.64%
Revenue Next 3Y191.35%
Revenue Next 5Y154.1%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
TSP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTSP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TSP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTSP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 -2 -4 -6 -8

0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for TSP. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year TSP is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
TSP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTSP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
TSP Per share dataTSP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as TSP's earnings are expected to decrease with -13.87% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.1%
EPS Next 3Y-13.87%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for TSP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TUSIMPLE HOLDINGS INC - A

NASDAQ:TSP (2/6/2024, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 0.2599 +0.01 (+3.96%)

0.25

-0.02 (-5.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-07 2024-02-07/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners0.12%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.13%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap57.47M
Analysts41.82
Price Target0.74 (196%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.85%
Min EPS beat(2)18.25%
Max EPS beat(2)51.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)51.46%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.37%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-99.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-100%
Max Revenue beat(2)-98.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-80.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-100%
Max Revenue beat(4)-26.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-50.36%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-78.61%
PT rev (3m)-79.12%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.69%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-96.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-97.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 26.49
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.07
P/tB 0.07
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.58
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.65
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.3
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.27
OCFYN/A
SpS0.01
BVpS3.36
TBVpS3.36
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -42.32%
ROE -46.55%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-51.36%
ROA(5y)-68.42%
ROE(3y)-60.55%
ROE(5y)-83.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 27.89%
Cap/Sales 312.9%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 21.32
Quick Ratio 21.32
Altman-Z -3
F-Score3
WACC10.22%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)85.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)206.13%
Cap/Sales(5y)20439.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%46%
EPS Next Y35.48%
EPS Next 2Y10.1%
EPS Next 3Y-13.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-77.28%
Revenue growth 3Y136.32%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-100%
Revenue Next Year-96.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-85.64%
Revenue Next 3Y191.35%
Revenue Next 5Y154.1%
EBIT growth 1Y15.96%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-74.55%
EBIT Next 3Y-4.98%
EBIT Next 5Y23.73%
FCF growth 1Y-24.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.44%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A