TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:TSCO • US8923561067
Current stock price
35.67 USD
-1.07 (-2.91%)
At close:
35.7 USD
+0.03 (+0.08%)
After Hours:
This TSCO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TSCO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year TSCO was profitable.
- In the past year TSCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- TSCO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years TSCO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.27%, TSCO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.93% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of TSCO (43.01%) is better than 91.87% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.99%, TSCO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TSCO is in line with the industry average of 13.24%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.27% | ||
| ROE | 43.01% | ||
| ROIC | 12.99% |
ROA(3y)11.1%
ROA(5y)11.79%
ROE(3y)47.49%
ROE(5y)49.11%
ROIC(3y)15.2%
ROIC(5y)16.37%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 6.91%, TSCO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TSCO has remained more or less at the same level.
- TSCO has a Operating Margin of 9.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TSCO outperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TSCO has remained more or less at the same level.
- TSCO has a Gross Margin (36.43%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- TSCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 36.43% |
OM growth 3Y-2.19%
OM growth 5Y-1.19%
PM growth 3Y-2.7%
PM growth 5Y0.02%
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
2. TSCO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), TSCO is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TSCO has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, TSCO has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for TSCO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- TSCO has an Altman-Z score of 4.04. This indicates that TSCO is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- TSCO has a Altman-Z score of 4.04. This is amongst the best in the industry. TSCO outperforms 80.49% of its industry peers.
- TSCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.92. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as TSCO would need 3.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of TSCO (3.92) is better than 68.29% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.86 indicates that TSCO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.86, TSCO is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.53% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.86 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.04 |
ROIC/WACC1.54
WACC8.42%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.38 indicates that TSCO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of TSCO (1.38) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.16 indicates that TSCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- TSCO has a worse Quick ratio (0.16) than 91.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. TSCO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.29% over the past year.
- TSCO shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.54% yearly.
- TSCO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.64%.
- TSCO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.29%
EPS 3Y2.15%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%-8.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.64%
Revenue growth 3Y3%
Revenue growth 5Y7.89%
Sales Q2Q%3.61%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, TSCO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.17% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.16% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y7.46%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y10.17%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.16%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. TSCO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.49, TSCO is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TSCO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- TSCO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.54, which indicates a correct valuation of TSCO.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TSCO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.23, TSCO is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- TSCO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- TSCO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.89 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TSCO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The decent profitability rating of TSCO may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.35
PEG (5Y)2.05
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
5. TSCO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TSCO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- In the last 3 months the price of TSCO has falen by -29.89%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- TSCO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.78. TSCO pays more dividend than 80.49% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, TSCO pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.61% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of TSCO decreases each year by -9.18%.
- TSCO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- TSCO has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.18%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years15
5.3 Sustainability
- 45.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TSCO. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP45.47%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
TSCO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
35.67
-1.07 (-2.91%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)04-21 2026-04-21/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-22 2026-07-22
Inst Owners99.5%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner Change7.64%
Market Cap18.76B
Revenue(TTM)15.65B
Net Income(TTM)1.08B
Analysts77.3
Price Target57.72 (61.82%)
Short Float %5.45%
Short Ratio4.64
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.61% |
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.18%
DP45.47%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-24 2026-02-24 (0.24)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.04%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.18%
Max EPS beat(2)-8.89%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.18%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.36%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-4.96%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.24%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.23%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.74%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.77%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-1.6%
PT rev (3m)-9.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.54 | ||
| P/S | 1.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.43 | ||
| P/B | 7.46 | ||
| P/tB | 8.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.89 |
EPS(TTM)2.04
EY5.72%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY6.88%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY2.95%
OCF(TTM)2.87
OCFY8.05%
SpS29.75
BVpS4.78
TBVpS4.02
PEG (NY)2.35
PEG (5Y)2.05
Graham Number14.8105 (-58.48%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.27% | ||
| ROE | 43.01% | ||
| ROCE | 16.62% | ||
| ROIC | 12.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.99% | ||
| OM | 9.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 36.43% | ||
| FCFM | 3.54% |
ROA(3y)11.1%
ROA(5y)11.79%
ROE(3y)47.49%
ROE(5y)49.11%
ROIC(3y)15.2%
ROIC(5y)16.37%
ROICexc(3y)15.82%
ROICexc(5y)17.52%
ROICexgc(3y)16.51%
ROICexgc(5y)18.15%
ROCE(3y)19.45%
ROCE(5y)20.94%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.39%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.65%
OM growth 3Y-2.19%
OM growth 5Y-1.19%
PM growth 3Y-2.7%
PM growth 5Y0.02%
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.34
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.86 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.92 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.11 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 191.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 51.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.04 |
F-Score6
WACC8.42%
ROIC/WACC1.54
Cap/Depr(3y)182.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.32%
Profit Quality(3y)59.26%
Profit Quality(5y)56.51%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.29%
EPS 3Y2.15%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%-8.82%
EPS Next Y7.46%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y10.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.64%
Revenue growth 3Y3%
Revenue growth 5Y7.89%
Sales Q2Q%3.61%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.16%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.13%
EBIT growth 3Y0.75%
EBIT growth 5Y6.6%
EBIT Next Year38.53%
EBIT Next 3Y17.26%
EBIT Next 5Y13.39%
FCF growth 1Y-32.39%
FCF growth 3Y8.26%
FCF growth 5Y-7.62%
OCF growth 1Y-3.96%
OCF growth 3Y6.41%
OCF growth 5Y3.24%
TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY / TSCO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TSCO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to TSCO.
Can you provide the valuation status for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY?
TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TSCO stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) is 17.49 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.46.
What is the earnings growth outlook for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) is expected to grow by 7.46% in the next year.